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Stocks
DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall53
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 4/8Insider cluster buyBetter than 53% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
86
14.8x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
56
53.5%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
52
7.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
49
4.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
26
3.59%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
18
-4.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
91
15▲3Top tier
DKS

DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc.

DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
135.03
▲ ⁦+1.42%⁩ (+1.89)
Market Cap$11.4B
Beta1.19
52w Low52w High
120.40244.38
Last Week
⁦-1.68%⁩
Last Month
⁦-34.14%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-37.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦-38.70%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$135
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$150
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$99–$205⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$99
⁦-26%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.6⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$99–$150⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$153.71
⁦+13.8%⁩
Current Price $135.03·Median $150.00
Low
$99.00
High
$205.00
Current price
$135.03
Average target
$153.71
Street summary

Sharp Decline in DKS’s Average Price Target

Bearish tilt

The average price target stood at $153.71 according to five analysts, unchanged over the last day, but it fell by $2.73, or 1.75%, over seven days, and by $110.29, or 41.78%, over 30 days. The range is between $99 and $205, while the median is $150, reflecting a wide dispersion in estimates compared with the current price of $133.36.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-41.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.62
Buy
Analyst coverage
26
Buy conviction
54%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 2↓
Target dispersion
79%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time26 analysts rating
4
10
11
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.43 → 3.62
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    BMO Capital
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    UBS
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    14.82x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.66x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.20x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    53.5%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -36.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    32.1%
    12.0%66.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    7.5%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.38x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    3.6%
    0.1%5.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    53.2%
    8.9%99.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-25 data

Company Overview

DICK'S Sporting Goods operates a specialized sporting goods retail ecosystem that brings together DICK'S and Foot Locker stores, the House of Sport and Field House concepts, the GameChanger platform, and the DICK'S Media Network. Revenue is primarily generated from sales of athletic footwear, apparel, and equipment, while GameChanger and the advertising network add revenue streams and margins that help diversify profitability. The ScoreCard program, which connects the company with approximately 30 million active athletes, also provides a direct channel for increasing repeat purchases and personalizing offers, and the company has launched the paid ScoreCard+ tier for 99 dollars annually.

In quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, consolidated net sales rose 53.2% to 5.59 billion dollars, including 1.74 billion dollars from Foot Locker, or approximately 31% of the total. Comparable sales for the DICK'S business grew 4.9%, driven by a 3.6% increase in average transaction value and a 1.3% increase in transactions, while Foot Locker's pro forma comparable sales declined 3.6%. Adjusted gross profit reached 1.9 billion dollars at a margin of 34.06%, down 300 basis points, despite a 79-basis-point expansion in DICK'S margin.

Adjusted operating income in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 was approximately 453.3 million dollars, or 8.11% of sales, compared with 475 million dollars and a margin of 13.02% in the comparable period. The DICK'S business generated operating income of 485.2 million dollars and a margin of 12.6%, but Foot Locker recorded an operating loss of 31.9 million dollars. Adjusted earnings per share were 3.53 dollars, and earnings per share under accounting principles were 3.50 dollars, with the comparison affected by the issuance of 9.6 million shares to finance the Foot Locker acquisition.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Comparable sales for the DICK'S business grew 4.9% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, outpacing the broader sector's growth by approximately 200 basis points, with broad-based growth across footwear, apparel, and hardlines and particular strength in team sports and licensed products.
  • The company is expanding its experiential store formats; during quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, it opened five House of Sport stores and eight Field House stores, and it is targeting approximately 14 and 20 openings, respectively, during fiscal 2026. It also plans to increase the number of Foot Locker stores operating under the Fast Break model to more than 300 and potentially 350 stores globally by the end of fiscal 2026, after exceeding its back-to-school target of approximately 250 stores.
  • New products are supporting demand within DICK'S, with strong performance from Nike Mind, Vomero, and Peg footwear and patterned Adidas women's products, alongside Gymshark, Free People Movement, UGG, and Birkenstock. By contrast, the quality of product launches remains critical for Foot Locker after the number of launches and consumer response to them in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 fell below the expectations of both the company and the sector.
  • GameChanger and DICK'S Media Network continue to support margin growth and earnings diversification, and together with tariff refunds, they contributed to a 79-basis-point expansion in DICK'S margin. The company received approximately 59 million dollars in tariff refunds during the quarter, included 21 million dollars of them in adjusted results, and reinvested part of the benefits in pricing to counter operating inflation.
  • Management lowered its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of 11–12 dollars from 13.50–14.50 dollars, but maintained its comparable-sales growth outlook for the DICK'S business at 2.5%–4%. For Foot Locker, guidance changed to a pro forma comparable-sales decline of between 2% and zero and an operating loss of between 80 and 40 million dollars, instead of the previous forecast of 1.5%–3% growth and operating profit of between 110 and 150 million dollars.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The core DICK'S business demonstrates clear resilience; it delivered comparable growth of 4.9% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, with increases in transaction value and transaction count and growth across footwear, apparel, and hardlines, without a reduction in the annual sales outlook for this business.
  • +House of Sport, Field House, GameChanger, and DICK'S Media Network provide growth drivers beyond the traditional sporting goods store model, and the digital and advertising businesses have already contributed to the expansion of DICK'S margin despite markdowns and fuel and supply-chain pressures.
  • +The company has liquidity of 914 million dollars and had not drawn any amount from its 2 billion dollar unsecured credit facility at the end of quarter 2 of fiscal 2026, giving it the financial capacity to fund store upgrades, expand Fast Break, and support Foot Locker's transformation.
  • +Management affirms its confidence in achieving cost savings related to the Foot Locker acquisition of between 100 and 125 million dollars over the medium term, primarily through purchasing efficiency and direct sourcing. The outperformance of Fast Break stores versus traditional Foot Locker stores and improvements in the mix of in-demand brands could support a recovery if the plan is executed successfully.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of 156.44 dollars, but the wide range between 99 and 205 dollars reveals substantial divergence in the assessment of Foot Locker's risks, and even the highest target remains below the top of the 52-week range of 244.38 dollars. The 52-week range extends from 120.40 to 244.38 dollars, while the enterprise value-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple was 13.5 times according to news data, and no price-to-earnings multiple is provided. Therefore, the valuation rationale depends heavily on margin stabilization and the realization of acquisition savings, weighed against the reduction in fiscal 2026 earnings-per-share guidance and the shift in Foot Locker's outlook from profit to loss.

BuyAnalyst target: $156.44(+15.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

Why did DKS stock fall sharply after the results for quarter 2 of fiscal 2026?

Sales and earnings came in below market expectations, and the stock fell 30.7% in the August 26, 2026 session, the worst one-day loss cited in the data. The main factor was weakness at Foot Locker, which recorded a 3.6% decline in pro forma comparable sales and an operating loss of 31.9 million dollars. Management also lowered its adjusted earnings-per-share guidance for fiscal 2026 from 13.50–14.50 dollars to 11–12 dollars because of markdowns, higher costs, and difficulties in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Is the core DICK'S business as weak as Foot Locker?

The figures for quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 do not show the same weakness in the core DICK'S business; its comparable sales grew 4.9%, with a 3.6% increase in average transaction value and a 1.3% increase in transactions. The unit generated operating income of 485.2 million dollars and a margin of 12.6%, while its gross margin expanded by 79 basis points. By contrast, Foot Locker's pro forma comparable sales declined 3.6%, and the unit recorded an operating loss of 31.9 million dollars.

What is DICK'S plan to fix Foot Locker?

The plan focuses on converting stores to the Fast Break model, adjusting the mix toward in-demand brands and products, and increasing apparel and products that can be sold at full price. The company exceeded its back-to-school target of approximately 250 Fast Break stores and expects to reach more than 300 and potentially 350 stores globally by the end of fiscal 2026. Foot Locker also launched the Colors campaign and is increasing investment in marketing and store employees, while the group is targeting cost savings of between 100 and 125 million dollars over the medium term.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −Foot Locker faces tangible operating contraction; its pro forma comparable sales declined 3.6%, and it recorded an operating loss of 31.9 million dollars in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026. The company lowered its annual outlook for this unit from operating profit of between 110 and 150 million dollars to a loss of between 80 and 40 million dollars, making it the largest direct source of pressure on consolidated results.
  • −The 2.4 billion dollar Foot Locker acquisition carries elevated execution and integration risks, as the company expects pre-tax charges of up to 750 million dollars, of which it has recognized 516 million dollars, with the remainder continuing through fiscal 2026 and over the medium term. The targeted cost savings of 100–125 million dollars still depend on successfully improving purchasing efficiency and direct sourcing.
  • −The accumulation of footwear and apparel inventory across the sector, particularly older styles, has prompted aggressive markdowns by brands and competitors that are expected to continue through at least quarter 4 of fiscal 2026. Foot Locker is more exposed to this risk because of its greater reliance on footwear, launches, and older products, while DICK'S also needs to invest in pricing to protect its market share.
  • −Group profitability deteriorated in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026; the adjusted gross margin declined 300 basis points to 34.06%, and the adjusted operating margin fell from 13.02% to 8.11%. Management lowered the expected operating-margin range for the DICK'S business to 10.6%–10.9% from 11%–11.4% and expects a slight decline in gross margin, alongside a reduction in adjusted earnings-per-share guidance to 11–12 dollars.
  • −Foot Locker's business in Europe, the Middle East, and Africa remains weaker than expected because of competition, markdowns, and consumer caution related to the geopolitical environment. Continued pressure in this region led to an approximately 200-basis-point increase in the expected effective tax rate for fiscal 2026 to around 29%, reducing expected adjusted earnings per share by approximately 0.35 dollars.
  • −The valuation does not appear entirely low-risk despite the stock's repricing, as news data indicated an enterprise value-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization multiple of 13.5 times while earnings estimates are declining and Foot Locker is facing operating losses. The wide range of analyst targets from 99 to 205 dollars reflects substantial differences in assessments of the transformation and margin outcomes.
What is the impact of the promotional environment on DKS margins?

The accumulation of older footwear and apparel inventory led to broad markdowns, and DICK'S decided to match prices to protect its market share. The consolidated adjusted gross margin declined 300 basis points to 34.06%, and the adjusted operating margin fell to 8.11% in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026. Management expects gross-margin pressure to be more severe in quarter 3 of fiscal 2026 and the promotional market to continue through at least quarter 4 of fiscal 2026.

What growth drivers could offset weakness in older footwear?

The company opened five House of Sport stores and eight Field House stores in quarter 2 of fiscal 2026 and is targeting approximately 14 and 20 openings, respectively, during fiscal 2026. These stores benefit from Collectors Clubhouse and the Lids partnership, while management described trading cards and collectibles as a major growth opportunity supported by a partnership with Fanatics. GameChanger and DICK'S Media Network add new revenue streams and margins, while ScoreCard supports a base of approximately 30 million active athletes and the paid ScoreCard+ tier priced at 99 dollars annually.