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Stocks
Delek Logistics Partners, LP
DKL

DKL Delek Logistics Partners, LP

Delek Logistics Partners, LP · NYSE
Market Closed
56.90
▼ ⁦-0.18%⁩ (-0.10)
Market Cap$3.0B
Beta0.41
52w Low52w High
42.3561.50
Last Week
⁦+2.60%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.26%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+13.71%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.93%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall49
Balanced — near the middle of the marketTurnaroundF 5/9Insider cluster buyBetter than 49% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
19.8x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
46
30.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
38
8.0%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
22
11.7x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
20
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
82
36.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
90
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$57
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$56
⁦-2%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$52–$60⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$33
⁦-42%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$33–$56⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$56.00
⁦-1.6%⁩
Current Price $56.90·Median $56.00
Low
$52.00
High
$60.00
Current price
$56.90
Average target
$56.00
Street summary

Delek Logistics (DKL) Forecast Analysis

The analyst forecast analysis for DKL stock shows price stability with a decline in the number of analysts covering it. The average price target has stabilized at $56 over the past 30 days, which is 2% lower than the current price of $57.19. This stability reflects a narrow gap between the high ($60) and low ($52) estimates, indicating a relative consensus on fair value despite the recent decrease in the number of analysts from 3 to 2.

As of 2026-07-24
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
17%
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
1
4
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-16
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-04-30
    Raymond James
    Outperform· $60.00
  • = Reiterate2026-04-21
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $52.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    19.83x
    3.56x28.47x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    15.06x
    3.36x26.89x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    26.45x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    8.3%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    30.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -2.7%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    17.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    8.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    11.69x
    0.40x3.19x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates through an integrated platform of crude oil, natural gas, and water infrastructure services, with a clear concentration in the Permian Basin, particularly the Delaware and Midland basins. Its business generates earnings from gathering and processing crude oil and natural gas, handling and disposing of produced water, as well as wholesale marketing, terminal operations, storage, transportation, and investments in joint-venture pipeline projects. Management says approximately 80% of the pro forma adjusted EBITDA run rate in fiscal year 2026 will come from third parties, reducing the business's dependence on its sponsor, Delek.

In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, the partnership reported a quarterly record of approximately $144 million in adjusted EBITDA, compared with $127 million in the comparable quarter of fiscal year 2025, while adjusted distributable cash flow was approximately $81 million, with distribution coverage of 1.33 times. Gathering and Processing generated $104 million, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling $13 million, Storage and Transportation $16 million, and Investments in Pipeline Joint Ventures $21 million. The improvement in Gathering and Processing came from higher utilization of the Libby complex and strong realized margins in the Permian crude oil business, while results from the Wink-to-Webster project supported growth in the contribution from pipeline joint ventures.

The provided accounting data does not include revenue or net income for Q2 of fiscal year 2026, so the financial statements for Q1 of fiscal year 2026 represent the latest available basis for these two items: revenue of $297.5 million, gross profit of $46.9 million, and net income of $32.4 million. This equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 15.8%, compared with approximately 17.2% in Q4 of fiscal year 2025, when revenue was $255.8 million, gross profit was $43.9 million, and net income was $47.3 million. On a trailing twelve-month basis in fiscal year 2026, revenue was $1.1 billion, gross profit was $208.3 million, and net income was $169.8 million.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Adjusted EBITDA rose to a record $144 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, an increase of approximately 13.4% from $127 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, while management maintained its fiscal year 2026 guidance of $520 million to $560 million.
  • Delaware crude oil gathering volumes reached a record of more than 157 thousand barrels per day in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, up from approximately 129 thousand barrels per day in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, while produced water volumes increased to more than 687 thousand barrels per day from 557 thousand.
  • Natural gas volumes exceeded 80 million cubic feet per day in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with approximately 64 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. Management expects a meaningful change in capacity utilization after completing the Libby sour gas system, which includes Libby 2, the first acid gas injection well, gathering infrastructure, and compression stations, during the second half of fiscal year 2026.
  • The partnership is investing between $180 million and $190 million in its growth program during fiscal year 2026 and expects it to generate up to $75 million in annual EBITDA once fully operational; an expected contribution of $15 million in fiscal year 2026 and $60 million in fiscal year 2027 has been identified.
  • On August 14, 2026, Delek Logistics closed a public offering of 4.6 million units at $50 per unit, representing gross proceeds of approximately $230 million before expenses. The offering provides an additional source of capital, but it also increases the number of outstanding units.
  • The board raised the quarterly distribution to $1.135 per unit, marking the fifty-fourth consecutive quarterly increase, while the distributable cash flow coverage ratio remained approximately 1.33 times in Q2 of fiscal year 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +DKL's model combines three service streams: crude oil, natural gas, and water. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, this was reflected in growth in Delaware crude oil volumes to more than 157 thousand barrels per day, natural gas volumes to more than 80 million cubic feet per day, and produced water volumes to more than 687 thousand barrels per day.
    • +Adjusted EBITDA for the Gathering and Processing segment increased to $104 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 from $78 million a year earlier, or approximately 33.3%, driven by higher Libby utilization and improved Permian crude oil margins.
    • +The growth program offers potentially strong operating returns according to management's estimates, as the partnership targets up to $75 million in annual EBITDA against spending of between $180 million and $190 million, with most of the impact expected to emerge in fiscal year 2027.
    • +Liquidity of approximately $1.1 billion and extended maturities following the issuance of $800 million of senior notes due in 2034 support the partnership's ability to fund growth, while the refinancing reduced annual interest expense according to management.
    • +The fifty-fourth consecutive distribution increase, to $1.135 per unit, provides partnership-specific historical evidence of sustained distribution growth, with coverage remaining at 1.33 times in Q2 of fiscal year 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Leverage was 4.23 times at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026, above management's long-term target of 3.5 times; the deleveraging plan depends on realizing the expected earnings from the $180 million to $190 million growth program within the targeted timing and return parameters.
    • −The gross profit margin calculated from EDGAR data declined to approximately 15.8% in Q1 of fiscal year 2026, from approximately 17.2% in Q4 of fiscal year 2025 and approximately 20.7% in Q3 of fiscal year 2025. Net income also fell to $32.4 million from $47.3 million in the previous quarter despite revenue increasing to $297.5 million from $255.8 million.
    • −Adjusted EBITDA for the Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling segment declined to approximately $13 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2026 from $23 million a year earlier, which management attributed primarily to the effects of the 2024 amendment and extension agreement with Delek. Storage and Transportation EBITDA also declined to $16 million from $17 million due to a related-party transaction in January 2026.
    • −A significant part of the growth trajectory depends on completing the Libby sour gas system and increasing its utilization, including the gathering infrastructure, compression stations, and acid gas injection well. Any delay in commissioning or in increasing customer volumes would postpone part of the targeted contribution of $15 million in fiscal year 2026 and $60 million in fiscal year 2027.
    • −The offering of 4.6 million units at $50 per unit on August 14, 2026 increased the number of units, creating dilution to existing units' share of future cash flows unless the additional capital generates sufficient growth in distributable cash flow per unit.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $56, within a range of $52 to $60, and this average is below the 52-week range high of $61.5 and above its low of $42.35. The consensus reflects a Neutral rating, while the data does not provide a usable price-to-earnings multiple; therefore, growth in operating earnings and distributions should be weighed against leverage of 4.23 times and unit dilution resulting from the August 2026 offering.

    HoldAnalyst target: $56(-1.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the most important operating driver for DKL units in fiscal year 2026?

    The expansion of the sour gas system at the Libby complex represents the most prominent specific operating driver in the data. Natural gas volumes exceeded 80 million cubic feet per day in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, up from approximately 64 million in Q1 of fiscal year 2026. Management links the next increase in utilization to the completion of Libby 2, the first acid gas injection well, gathering infrastructure, and compression stations during the second half of fiscal year 2026.

    How did Delek Logistics' segments perform in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

    The Gathering and Processing segment generated $104 million in adjusted EBITDA, compared with $78 million in Q2 of fiscal year 2025. Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling generated $13 million, Storage and Transportation $16 million, and Investments in Pipeline Joint Ventures $21 million. Total partnership-level adjusted EBITDA reached a record $144 million, compared with $127 million a year earlier.

    Can DKL fund its growth program while maintaining its distributions?

    Liquidity was approximately $1.1 billion at the end of Q2 of fiscal year 2026, following a refinancing that included $800 million of new senior notes due in 2034. Adjusted distributable cash flow was approximately $81 million, with coverage of 1.33 times, and the distribution increased to $1.135 per unit for the fifty-fourth consecutive quarter. In contrast, leverage reached 4.23 times versus a long-term target of 3.5 times, making the realization of returns from the growth program important to sustaining financial improvement.

    What return is expected from DKL's capital spending in fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects a growth program of between $180 million and $190 million to generate up to $75 million in annual EBITDA once fully operational. It identified an expected contribution of $15 million in fiscal year 2026 and $60 million in fiscal year 2027. In Q2 of fiscal year 2026, total capital expenditures were approximately $61 million, including $51 million for growth, concentrated primarily on the acid gas injection well and sour gas gathering infrastructure.

    What is the impact of the unit offering that Delek Logistics closed in August 2026?

    On August 14, 2026, Delek Logistics closed a public offering comprising 4.6 million units at $50 per unit. This represents gross proceeds of approximately $230 million before offering expenses, adding funding to the capital structure. However, the increase in the number of units also means potential dilution of cash flow and distributions on a per-unit basis if the use of proceeds does not increase earnings at a sufficient rate.

    What do insider transactions in DKL reveal during the three months ended August 2026?

    The data classifies the insider signal as Strong Buy, with net activity of 750 thousand over three months. The period included five purchases and no sales, with the latest recorded transaction on August 13, 2026. These data support a positive interpretation of internal confidence, but they do not by themselves offset the risks from leverage of 4.23 times or the decline in gross profit margin in Q1 of fiscal year 2026.

    −
    The analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rating rather than a Buy recommendation, with price targets ranging from $52 to $60. The absence of an available price-to-earnings multiple in the data also makes valuing the units relative to their earnings less clear, particularly given elevated leverage and the decline in gross profit margin in the latest available accounting quarter.