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Home
Stocks
The Walt Disney Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall59
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 59% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
67
21.7x▼18.2xTop tier
▸
Growth
49
4.6%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
56
9.4%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
66
1.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
36
1.65%▼2.10%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
49
-11.9%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
61
18▲3Around median
DIS

DIS The Walt Disney Company

The Walt Disney Company · NYSE
Market Open
104.37
▼ ⁦-0.89%⁩ (-0.94)
Market Cap$182.8B
Beta1.40
52w Low52w High
92.19119.78
Last Week
⁦-3.45%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.30%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+4.67%⁩
Last Year
⁦-12.15%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$105
Analyst target · 10 analysts
$124
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$111–$164⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$40
⁦-62%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.6⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$40–$124⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$126.30
⁦+21.0%⁩
Current Price $104.37·Median $124.00
Low
$111.00
High
$164.00
Current price
$104.37
Average target
$126.30
Street summary

Slight Decline in Disney’s Consensus Price Target Amid Diverging Ratings

The consensus price target remained at 126.3 among 10 analysts over the past day and 7 days, but declined from 128.1 to 126.3 over 30 days, a decrease of 1.8 or 1.41%, with no change in the number of analysts. The target range is between 111 and 164, while the median is 124, reflecting clear dispersion in estimates compared with the current price of 105.29.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.06
Buy
Analyst coverage
33
Buy conviction
91%
High
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 1↓
Mixed
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time33 analysts rating
6
24
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.91 → 4.06
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    Wolfe Research
    Outperform
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-18
    Craig-Hallum
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.71x
    4.18x33.43x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.88x
    3.14x25.12x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.79x
    2.57x20.56x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.6%
    -32.2%21.5%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.6%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -24.0%
    -466.2%136.1%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    37.6%
    11.3%77.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    9.4%
    -33.7%17.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.86x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.6%
    0.0%8.2%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    35.8%
    5.9%105.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.40
    -8.285.06
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

The Walt Disney Company operates through an interconnected entertainment ecosystem combining Disney Experiences, Disney+, Hulu, ESPN, studios, and consumer products. The company generates revenue from parks, cruises, and in-destination spending, streaming subscriptions and advertising, content rights and theatrical releases, character licensing, and product sales. The One Disney strategy relies on reusing intellectual property across these channels; for example, the five Toy Story films have generated more than $4 billion in cumulative box-office revenue, recorded more than 2 billion viewing hours on Disney+, and the brand generates more than $1 billion in global retail sales annually.

In Q3 of fiscal 2026, Disney's revenue increased 7% year over year to $25.2 billion, while net income reached $2.6 billion and earnings per share were $1.51, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 10.3%. Total segment operating income increased 21% and exceeded the company's previous guidance, while adjusted earnings per share were $2.06 versus expectations of $1.86. On a trailing 12-month basis, the company recorded revenue of $97.3 billion, net income of $11.2 billion, and earnings per share of approximately $6.33.

Disney Experiences was the most prominent component of the operating mix in Q3 of fiscal 2026, generating record revenue for the period of $10 billion, equivalent to nearly 40% of group revenue and representing annual growth of 10%. Global guest volume increased 4%, with domestic park attendance up 3% and per-visitor spending up 4%. In streaming, subscription video services achieved an operating margin of 13%, while the streaming business doubled its profits compared with the corresponding period.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Q3 fiscal 2026 results exceeded expectations, with revenue growing 7% to $25.2 billion and total segment operating income increasing 21%, while adjusted earnings per share reached $2.06 versus expectations of $1.86.
  • Disney Experiences generated record quarterly revenue of $10 billion, up 10%, supported by 4% growth in global guest volume, 3% growth in domestic park attendance, and 4% growth in per-visitor spending, alongside the performance of Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure and the opening of World of Frozen at Disneyland Paris.
  • The subscription video services margin reached 13% in Q3 of fiscal 2026, and management reaffirmed its target of a double-digit margin in fiscal 2026 excluding the impact of the 53rd week; Hulu subscribers can also now link profiles and viewing history within Disney+.
  • Toy Story 5 surpassed $1 billion at the global box office, while the strength of ESPN and ABC supported growth of more than 100% in viewership of the NBA Finals and NHL playoffs compared with the previous season, and ESPN networks recorded their best fiscal third-quarter viewership since 2016.
  • The capital allocation policy supports the stock; the company increased its fiscal 2026 share repurchase program from approximately $7 billion to at least $9 billion, alongside $9 billion in capital expenditures and $24 billion in content spending.
  • On August 4, 2026, Disney agreed to sell its stake in A+E Global Media to Hearst for approximately $1.2 billion, giving Hearst full ownership of brands including Lifetime and The History Channel, while management said the expected proceeds contributed to the increase in the share repurchase plan.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Disney's diversification provides partial protection against volatility in any single business; the company exceeded its Q3 fiscal 2026 guidance despite mixed film performance, thanks to growth in Disney Experiences and streaming and a 21% increase in total segment operating income.
  • +Streaming has shifted from an investment burden to a clearer profit contributor, with a 13% margin for subscription video services and a doubling of streaming profits in Q3 of fiscal 2026, in addition to lower subscriber churn for the Disney+, Hulu, and HBO Max bundle compared with standalone services with similar subscription durations.
  • +Disney Experiences provides a tangible growth driver, generating $10 billion in record quarterly revenue, while investments target projects such as Villains Land, the expansion of Avengers Campus, and the cruise fleet, with management saying approved projects target double-digit returns over their lifetimes.
  • +The company combines investment with capital returns; the fiscal 2026 plan includes $9 billion in capital expenditures, $24 billion for content, and at least $9 billion in share repurchases, supported, according to management, by strong free cash flow and a strong balance sheet.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus rates DIS stock as “Buy,” with an average price target of $126.3 and a wide range between $111 and $164; the average is approximately 5.4% above the 52-week range high of $119.78, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 36.9%. A price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the data, so the valuation assessment is based on the dispersion of targets and the 52-week range of $92.19–$119.78, balancing improving streaming and parks profits against the regulatory dispute over ABC and volatility in film results.

BuyAnalyst target: $126.3(+21.0%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove DIS's results in Q3 of fiscal 2026?

Revenue increased 7% to $25.2 billion, while net income reached $2.6 billion and earnings per share were $1.51. Adjusted earnings per share also reached $2.06 versus expectations of $1.86, and total segment operating income increased 21%. Disney Experiences led the performance with record revenue of $10 billion and annual growth of 10%, alongside a 13% margin for subscription video services.

Have Disney+ and streaming become a profit driver for Disney?

The subscription video services margin reached 13% in Q3 of fiscal 2026, and streaming profits doubled compared with the corresponding period. Management confirmed that it continues to target a double-digit margin in fiscal 2026 excluding the impact of the 53rd week. During the same period, Hulu subscribers gained the ability to link their profiles and viewing history on Disney+, while the TikTok agreement aims to bring curated content and fan-created content to the Verts feature within Disney+.

How important is Disney Experiences to DIS's earnings?

The segment generated $10 billion in revenue in Q3 of fiscal 2026, representing nearly 40% of the group's $25.2 billion in revenue. Global guest volume increased 4%, domestic park attendance increased 3%, and domestic per-visitor spending increased 4%. Management expects segment operating income growth at the high end of the high-single-digit growth range in fiscal 2026, excluding the 53rd week, supported by the parks, Disney Cruise Line, and Disneyland Paris.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Film performance remains volatile; management acknowledged that The Mandalorian and Grogu and the live-action version of Moana did not meet box-office expectations, even as Toy Story 5 succeeded in surpassing $1 billion, highlighting the studio's reliance on a portfolio of titles with varying performance.
  • −The parks face geographic weakness in demand, as the decline in international visitor attendance at domestic parks continued, while Shanghai and Hong Kong also saw a weaker consumer in Q3 of fiscal 2026, which management said continued into Q4 of fiscal 2026.
  • −Streaming advertising faces competition and pricing pressure due to increased market supply, which, according to management, was reflected in the growth rate of subscription video services advertising sales during Q3 of fiscal 2026; weakness also appeared in the telecommunications, restaurants, and consumer packaged goods categories.
  • −The growth plan is tied to substantial spending and execution risks, as Disney allocated approximately $9 billion to capital expenditures and $24 billion to content in fiscal 2026, while the integration of technology and data infrastructure between Disney+ and Hulu remains incomplete and Disney+ requires further expansion outside the United States.
  • −Legal and regulatory risks escalated on August 18, 2026, when Disney filed a lawsuit against FCC in response to threats to revoke ABC broadcast licenses, placing a core media asset under judicial and political uncertainty.
  • −Insider activity showed one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, for net sales of $382,326.72; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the context states otherwise.
How does Disney benefit financially from Toy Story 5 and its intellectual property?

Toy Story 5 surpassed $1 billion at the global box office by the August 5, 2026 call. The franchise's five films have generated more than $4 billion at the box office and more than 2 billion viewing hours on Disney+. Toy Story also generates more than $1 billion in global retail sales annually and extends to four immersive lands, 19 attractions, and two hotels across parks and cruises.

What are the main risks facing DIS stock?

Management acknowledged that The Mandalorian and Grogu and the live-action version of Moana fell short of box-office expectations, illustrating the volatility of film economics. In Q3 of fiscal 2026, weakness in international attendance continued, with a weaker consumer at the Shanghai and Hong Kong parks and pricing pressure in streaming advertising due to increased supply. On August 18, 2026, Disney filed a lawsuit against FCC in response to threats to revoke ABC licenses, adding direct regulatory risk to the traditional media segment.

What is Disney's capital allocation policy in fiscal 2026?

The company plans to spend $9 billion on capital expenditures in fiscal 2026, with a significant portion directed toward expanding Disney Experiences. It is also set to spend $24 billion on content, a modest increase year over year. It raised its share repurchase plan from approximately $7 billion to at least $9 billion, benefiting in part from funds that had been allocated to the OpenAI deal and the expected proceeds from the sale of A+E Global Media to Hearst for approximately $1.2 billion.