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Home
Stocks
Deere & Company
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall52
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9Better than 52% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
37.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
16
8.0%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
71
8.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
40
5.0x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
46
0.96%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
88
29.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
70
18▲3Top tier
DE

DE Deere & Company

Deere & Company · NYSE
Market Closed
675.74
▼ ⁦-0.32%⁩ (-2.20)
Market Cap$183.0B
Beta0.91
52w Low52w High
433.00705.88
Last Week
⁦-2.69%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.03%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.83%⁩
Last Year
⁦+43.36%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$676
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$741
⁦+10%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$570–$813⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$160
⁦-76%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$160–$741⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$731.20
⁦+8.2%⁩
Current Price $675.74·Median $741.00
Low
$570.00
High
$813.00
Current price
$675.74
Average target
$731.20
Street summary

Moderate improvement in DE targets with dispersion remaining

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose to 731.2 from 721.55 over one and seven days, an increase of 1.34%, and to 731.2 from 691.58 over 30 days, an increase of 5.73%, with no change in the number of analysts, which remains at 11. Compared with the current price of 677.21, the estimates indicate a calculated upside of approximately 8%, but the target range between 570 and 813 reflects wide dispersion; the median at 741 is higher than the average, suggesting that some lower estimates are weighing on the consensus.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+5.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
54%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
2↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
36%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
5
8
11
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.76 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-09-02
    Evercore ISI Group
    PositiveOutperform
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-31
    Nomura
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Raymond James
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    37.50x
    5.69x45.54x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    30.74x
    4.57x36.58x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    21.47x
    3.43x27.47x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.6%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    8.0%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -5.9%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    35.5%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.4%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.98x
    0.55x4.37x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.0%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    36.0%
    6.6%80.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-20 data

Company Overview

Deere & Company operates through an equipment portfolio that includes Production and Precision Agriculture, Small Agriculture and Turf, and Construction and Forestry, alongside global financial services. Equipment operations generate revenue from shipments of machinery and productivity and safety technologies, while financial services contribute through the financing portfolio and financing spreads; these services generated net income of $219 million in Q3 fiscal 2026.

In Q3 fiscal 2026, net sales and revenues increased 5% to $12.608 billion, and net sales of equipment operations rose 6% to $10.999 billion, while net income reached $1.379 billion and diluted earnings per share were $5.10. Equipment operations recorded an operating margin of 14.4%, reflecting the impact of cost discipline, improved pricing, and strong factory execution, in addition to $110 million in tariff refunds during the quarter.

Equipment sales in Q3 fiscal 2026 were distributed among $3.998 billion for Production and Precision Agriculture, or about 36% of equipment sales, $3.383 billion for Small Agriculture and Turf, or about 31%, and $3.618 billion for Construction and Forestry, or about 33%. Production and Precision Agriculture sales declined 6%, and the segment recorded an operating margin of 13.2%, while Small Agriculture and Turf sales increased 12% with a margin of 18.4%, and Construction and Forestry sales grew 18% with a margin of 12.1%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 20, 2026, Deere raised its fiscal 2026 net income forecast to a range of $4.75–5.00 billion and increased its forecast for cash flow from equipment operations to $5.0–5.5 billion, based on Q3 results and a strong Q4 order book across all segments.
  • The Construction and Forestry segment is supported by infrastructure, data center, energy, and road projects; Deere expects segment sales to grow by about 20% in fiscal 2026, with orders for the year largely filled and the backlog extending into fiscal 2027. Adoption of factory-installed SmartGrade has also increased by more than 50% since the start of the fiscal year, while sales of jobsite safety solutions rose nearly 40% year over year.
  • Early-order programs for fiscal 2027 models indicate a gradual improvement in North American agriculture, with planter and sprayer orders exceeding the prior program's levels by a mid-single-digit percentage. See & Spray is now included on about one-third of ordered sprayers, with its factory installation rate approaching double, while more than 40% of ordered planters included advanced technologies such as ExactRate, ExactShot, and FurrowVision.
  • The John Deere Operations Center footprint reached more than 520 million engaged acres and approximately 1.2 million connected machines, including more than 190 million highly engaged acres with double-digit annual growth. More than 450,000 unique monthly active users use the digital tools, while See & Spray users achieved herbicide savings exceeding 50%.
  • Results benefit from portfolio diversification: Deere expects Small Agriculture and Turf sales to grow by about 15% in fiscal 2026 and raised its operating margin range to 14.5–15.5%, alongside expected Construction and Forestry sales growth of about 20%. This partially offsets the expected decline of about 10% in Production and Precision Agriculture sales.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Deere has demonstrated an ability to protect profitability at the bottom of the agricultural equipment cycle; equipment operations recorded an operating margin of 14.4% in Q3 fiscal 2026, after which the company raised its full-year fiscal net income and cash flow forecasts.
  • +The Construction and Forestry segment provides a counterweight to weakness in large agriculture, with quarterly sales growing 18% to $3.618 billion and orders covering 4–5 months, compared with the typical level of 2–3 months.
  • +Channel indicators support the possibility of a gradual agricultural recovery in fiscal 2027; inventory of used high-horsepower 2023 and 2024 model tractors declined by about 40% year over year, and the gap between new and used equipment values returned to levels closer to normal.
  • +Adoption of See & Spray, ExactRate, ExactShot, FurrowVision, and SmartGrade increases Deere's exposure to productivity technology revenue and cost reductions, at a time when seeds, fertilizers, and crop protection products account for about 70% of farm operating costs, according to the company's presentation.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $692.67, compared with a wide range of $570 to $804, and the consensus carries a Neutral rating; the average also exceeds the upper end of the 52-week range of $674.19 by about 2.7%. The price-to-earnings ratio of 35.9 times reported with the August 20, 2026 earnings report indicates an elevated valuation dependent on continued margin resilience and growth in construction and precision technologies, while weakness in large agriculture and the expected fiscal 2027 tariff burden justify some of the caution in the consensus.

HoldAnalyst target: $692.67(+2.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were the key Q3 fiscal 2026 results for DE stock?

Deere's net sales and revenues reached $12.608 billion, up 5% year over year. Net income reached $1.379 billion, and diluted earnings per share were $5.10. Equipment operations sales rose 6% to $10.999 billion, with an operating margin of 14.4%. Following the results published on August 20, 2026, the company raised its fiscal 2026 net income forecast to $4.75–5.00 billion.

Has Deere's agricultural equipment cycle begun to recover?

Management believes fiscal 2026 represents the bottom of the agricultural equipment cycle, but it expects a gradual recovery rather than a sharp rebound in fiscal 2027. Early planter and sprayer orders increased by a mid-single-digit percentage compared with the total for the previous program. In contrast, the company still expects the large agricultural equipment market in the United States and Canada to decline 15–20% during fiscal 2026. It also expects the South American market to decline 15–20% due to higher production and interest costs.

What role do precision agriculture technologies play in the DE investment thesis?

Customers used See & Spray across a much larger area year over year, with herbicide savings exceeding 50%. Orders for fiscal 2027 models indicate that the technology is included on about one-third of ordered sprayers, with its factory installation rate approaching double. More than 40% of ordered planters also included advanced technologies such as ExactRate, ExactShot, and FurrowVision. The John Deere Operations Center ecosystem reached more than 520 million engaged acres and approximately 1.2 million connected machines.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Demand for large agriculture remains weak: Deere expects sales of large agricultural equipment in the United States and Canada to decline 15–20% in fiscal 2026 and the South American market to decline 15–20%, while it lowered its Production and Precision Agriculture sales forecast to a decline of approximately 10% and narrowed its operating margin to 11–12%.
  • −The company faces a significant tariff burden; it expects direct expenses of approximately $1.1 billion in fiscal 2026, against cumulative refunds of $382 million, and assumes no additional refunds for the remainder of the fiscal year. Management indicated that the net burden in fiscal 2027 could approach $1 billion, making it higher than the net fiscal 2026 burden.
  • −On August 24, 2026, UAW members rejected Deere's contract extension offer because the union viewed its job security guarantees as insufficient, creating a risk to production continuity if labor negotiations falter.
  • −Deere expects the global forestry equipment market to contract 10% in fiscal 2026 due to weak residential construction and lower lumber prices, particularly in North America. In addition, the positive pricing of 8% in Construction and Forestry during Q3 benefited partly from an easy comparison with competitive incentives that reduced prices in the prior period, and therefore does not necessarily represent a sustainable pace.
  • −Analyst consensus reflects a Neutral rating despite an average target of $692.67, while the price-to-earnings ratio of 35.9 times reported with the August 20, 2026 results assigns the stock a premium tied to margin resilience and growth in construction and technology. This valuation could come under pressure if the agricultural recovery is delayed or the tariff burden rises as management expects for fiscal 2027.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 21, 2026 recorded net selling of $15.1 million, with five sales and no purchases. This remains a weaker trading signal than the operational risks because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.
Why is Deere's Construction and Forestry segment growing despite weakness in large agriculture?

Segment sales increased 18% to $3.618 billion in Q3 fiscal 2026, and operating profit reached $436 million with a margin of 12.1%. Deere is targeting annual sales growth of about 20%, supported by infrastructure, data center, energy, and road projects. The company has orders covering 4–5 months, compared with a typical level of 2–3 months, and the backlog extends into fiscal 2027. SmartGrade adoption has also increased by more than 50% since the start of the fiscal year, while sales of jobsite safety solutions rose nearly 40% annually.

How do tariffs affect Deere's earnings?

Deere expects direct tariff expenses of approximately $1.1 billion in fiscal 2026, down from a previous estimate of $1.2 billion. The company recorded $110 million in refunds in Q3, bringing total fiscal-year refunds to $382 million, with no additional refunds assumed for the remainder of the year. The reduction in the expense estimate came primarily after the rate on certain European imports declined from about 25% to 15% effective June 1, 2026. Nevertheless, management expects the net burden rate in fiscal 2027 to approach $1 billion.

What do analyst targets and DE stock's valuation mean?

DE stock carries a Neutral consensus and an average price target of $692.67. Analyst targets range from a low of $570 to a high of $804, revealing significant divergence in estimates of the agricultural cycle's trajectory. The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $674.19 by about 2.7%. The price-to-earnings ratio of 35.9 times in the August 20, 2026 report reflects elevated expectations for earnings resilience, despite weakness in large agriculture and tariff risks.