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Stocks
Dave Inc.
DAVE

DAVE Dave Inc.

Dave Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
350.71
▼ ⁦-2.13%⁩ (-7.65)
Market Cap$4.8B
Beta3.86
52w Low52w High
152.21458.25
Last Week
⁦+2.96%⁩
Last Month
⁦-18.47%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+36.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦+77.12%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall97
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/8Better than 97% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
39
22.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
96
48.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
97
61.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
83
0.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
24
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
91
115.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
46
8▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$351
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$450
⁦+28%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$310–$500⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$289
⁦-18%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦7⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$289–$450⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$436.75
⁦+24.5%⁩
Current Price $350.71·Median $450.00
Low
$310.00
High
$500.00
Current price
$350.71
Average target
$436.75
Street summary

Limited Improvement in DAVE Stock Price Targets Amid Clear Divergence

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose to 436.75 from 427.71 over the last 7 days, an increase of 2.11%, and to 436.75 from 434 over the last 30 days, an increase of 0.63%. The average remained unchanged over the last day, despite the number of analysts in the snapshot increasing from 3 to 6, making the daily comparison less meaningful. The current price target is above the current price of 350.71, while the target range is between 310 and 500, with a median of 450, reflecting overall optimism but accompanied by significant dispersion in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.15
Buy
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
85%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
54%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
7
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.18 → 4.15
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-08
    Loop Capital Markets
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Piper Sandler
    NeutralOverweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    B. Riley
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.64x
    6.87x54.92x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    20.59x
    5.19x41.53x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.43x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.8%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    48.6%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    317.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    83.3%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    61.7%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.21x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Dave Inc. operates in U.S. financial technology, focusing on providing short-term liquidity through ExtraCash to consumers who link their bank accounts to the platform, without requiring direct deposit of their paychecks to Dave. Monetization relies primarily on ExtraCash fees, which increase as withdrawal limits rise, alongside high-margin subscriptions and Dave Card activity, while the company tests Dave Flex Card as a longer-duration credit product that uses CashAI for underwriting. Management targets a serviceable market of 185 million customers in the United States, with a strategic focus on making its credit products top of wallet for customer spending rather than making direct deposit a primary objective.

In fiscal Q2 2026 ended June 30, 2026, revenue increased 30% year over year to approximately $171 million, marking the ninth consecutive quarter in which the company achieved growth of at least 30%. Non-GAAP gross profit reached $124 million, with a margin of 72%, representing a year-over-year improvement of approximately 300 basis points, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 48% to $76 million, with a margin of 44%. GAAP net income was $7 million after recording $37 million in non-cash expenses related to the revaluation of warrant and earnout liabilities, while adjusted net income increased 39% to $56 million and adjusted diluted earnings per share reached $4.12.

The growth mix in fiscal Q2 2026 came from a 17% increase in monthly transacting members to 3.08 million members and an 11% rise in average revenue per user. The share of high-margin subscriptions increased to 9% of revenue, compared with 6% a year earlier, while Dave Card transaction volume reached approximately $530 million, up 7%. These figures confirm that ExtraCash, member growth, and average revenue per user remain the primary drivers, as management does not expect a material revenue contribution from Dave Flex during fiscal 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Dave added approximately 951 thousand new members in fiscal Q2 2026, up 32% year over year and at the fastest pace in nearly four years, while customer acquisition cost remained at $19 and the payback period stayed below four months; therefore, management intends to increase marketing spending during the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • ExtraCash originations reached approximately $2.3 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, up 27%, and the average ExtraCash amount reached a record $215. Management expects that by late August 2026, nearly all members will either have no fee cap or a $20 cap, with plans to test limits above the current $500 maximum.
  • The rollout of CashAI v6 began, using more than 700 features, including approximately 400 new features, and it had reached roughly one-third of the user base by the August 5, 2026 call. Initial tests showed higher credit limits and lower loss rates, and management aims to increase gross profit dollars while keeping losses within a controlled range.
  • The financing agreement with Coastal Community Bank improved capital efficiency; Dave drew approximately $93 million from a $225 million facility, and the agreement freed up approximately $100 million of balance sheet liquidity. Net cash associated with ExtraCash receivables also shifted from a use of $51.7 million in the comparative period to a source of $30.5 million in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of between $725 million and $735 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $315 million and $325 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $17 and $17.50. This outlook assumes gross margin expansion toward the mid-70% range, despite increased marketing, Coastal financing fees, and no inclusion of a material revenue contribution from Dave Flex.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Operating performance combines 30% revenue growth with 48% growth in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q2 2026, lifting the adjusted margin to 44% and demonstrating strong operating leverage despite accelerating marketing spending.
    • +Customer acquisition economics support continued expansion; new members increased 32% to 951 thousand while acquisition cost remained steady at $19, with one-third of acquisition coming from friends and family referrals and a payback period of less than four months.
    • +Removing the fee cap, increasing ExtraCash limits, and rolling out CashAI v6 provide simultaneous paths to raising average revenue per user, which had already grown 11% in fiscal Q2 2026. Average member revenue also more than doubles on average between the acquisition month and the fourth month, giving new cohorts room to mature financially.
    • +Coastal financing strengthened liquidity and capital efficiency, as Dave ended fiscal Q2 2026 with $254 million in cash, investments, and restricted cash, while $94 million remained available under the share repurchase authorization. Moving receivables financing off the balance sheet reduces direct funding requirements and supports organic investment and share repurchases.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −A significant part of the growth story depends on continued ExtraCash expansion and higher average revenue per user, while subscriptions represented only 9% of revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 and management does not expect material revenue from Dave Flex during fiscal 2026. Therefore, setbacks in new pricing, limit growth, or member cohort maturation could pressure the primary driver behind the raised outlook.
    • −Credit risk remains central as ExtraCash originations grew 27% to $2.3 billion and the company plans to raise limits above $500; the provision for credit losses reached $29 million, up 14% year over year, and losses among new members tend to exceed the portfolio average. Although the 28-day delinquency rate improved by 14 basis points year over year to 2.12%, rapid expansion in members and limits increases the sensitivity of results to any subsequent deterioration in credit quality.
    • −Dave faces competition from earned wage access products offered by larger fintech companies and digital banks, even though no negative impact on acquisition cost appeared in fiscal Q2 2026. Dave's stated advantage depends on reducing friction by linking a bank account instead of requiring direct deposit, and on CashAI's ability to underwrite using external account data, an advantage that must be maintained as competing offerings expand.
    • −Dave Flex remains in the process of expanding test cohorts, and management does not expect it to make a material revenue contribution during fiscal 2026. Despite improving unit economics and positive indications regarding usage and the absence of cannibalization of ExtraCash, the company had not disclosed average limits or portfolio share as of August 5, 2026, leaving the product's commercial success unproven at scale.
    • −The company plans to increase investment in marketing, product development, and artificial intelligence integration during the second half of fiscal 2026, and management said this could limit fixed-cost leverage over the next two quarters. Advertising and activation expense reached $20 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 32% year over year and 43% from the previous quarter, increasing the risk of margin pressure if spending returns decline.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average price target of $427.71 and a wide range between $310 and $475; the average is approximately 6.7% below the 52-week high of $458.25, while the highest target exceeds that peak. No established price-to-earnings multiple is available within the provided data, so the stock's valuation here is based on the breadth of analysts' target range and Dave's ability to achieve its raised fiscal 2026 outlook while controlling credit losses and marketing spending.

    BuyAnalyst target: $427.71(+22.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Dave's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue increased 30% year over year to approximately $171 million, driven by a 17% increase in monthly transacting members to 3.08 million and an 11% rise in average revenue per user. The company added 951 thousand new members, up 32%, while customer acquisition cost remained steady at $19. ExtraCash originations also increased 27% to $2.3 billion, and the average ExtraCash amount reached $215. This helped increase adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by 48% to $76 million, with a margin of 44%.

    How could CashAI v6 affect DAVE's results?

    CashAI v6 uses more than 700 features, including approximately 400 new features, and had been deployed to roughly one-third of users by August 5, 2026. Initial tests showed higher average ExtraCash amounts and lower loss rates, with a better ability to differentiate risk among customers. Dave aims to use the model to increase gross profit dollars within a controlled loss range, rather than merely reducing losses to the lowest possible level. Management links higher limits to improved conversion, retention, reactivation, and average revenue per user.

    What is the significance of removing the ExtraCash fee cap for Dave?

    Dave removed the $15 fee cap for new members and then for a large portion of existing members, and planned to raise the cap to $20 for the remaining members in late August 2026. Management said the impact of the change was limited in fiscal Q2 2026 because it primarily covered new cohorts that typically begin with small limits. However, according to management's response, nearly the majority of existing withdrawals fall within the category that could benefit from higher fees above $300. The new pricing gives the company room to test limits above $500 and increase monetization from members with longer track records and lower loss rates.

    What is Dave's outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects revenue of between $725 million and $735 million, equivalent to annual growth of 32% at the midpoint. It expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $315 million and $325 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $17 and $17.50 based on an effective tax rate of 23%. The assumptions include gross margin expansion toward the mid-70% range and increased advertising and activation spending during the second half of fiscal 2026. The outlook does not include a material revenue contribution from Dave Flex.

    What are the key risks to monitor in DAVE stock?

    The provision for credit losses reached $29 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 14%, alongside growth in ExtraCash originations and plans to raise limits above $500. Additional investment in marketing, product development, and artificial intelligence will also limit fixed-cost leverage over the next two quarters, according to management. Dave Flex remains in testing and is not expected to generate material revenue during fiscal 2026, while the company also faces competition from earned wage access products. The Department of Justice matter remains outstanding, with no updates announced on the August 5, 2026 call.

  • −The Department of Justice matter remains outstanding, and Dave said on August 5, 2026 that there were no updates and that it continued to vigorously defend its position. In addition, analysts' price targets range from $310 to $475, a wide spread that reflects meaningful differences in risk and growth assessments, while the average target of $427.71 is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $458.25.