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Stocks
Darling Ingredients Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall95
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 95% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
76
17.4x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
68
14.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
54
10.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
67
2.7x▼2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
74
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
96
75.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
DAR

DAR Darling Ingredients Inc.

Darling Ingredients Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
65.11
▼ ⁦-1.90%⁩ (-1.26)
Market Cap$10.3B
Beta1.02
52w Low52w High
29.1569.98
Last Week
⁦-3.71%⁩
Last Month
⁦+9.59%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.73%⁩
Last Year
⁦+89.66%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$65
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$70
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$65–$75⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$80
⁦+23%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$70–$80⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$70.00
⁦+7.5%⁩
Current Price $65.11·Median $70.00
Low
$65.00
High
$75.00
Current price
$65.11
Average target
$70.00
Street summary

Target Price Analysis for Darling Ingredients (DAR) Stock

Bullish tilt

The stock has seen an upward revision in its average target price, rising from $64.86 30 days ago to $70 currently, an increase of 7.92%. However, this increase coincided with a decrease in the number of analysts contributing to the consensus from 3 to just one, suggesting a higher level of uncertainty regarding the comprehensiveness of this target price despite it being higher than the current market price of $67.67.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.2%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
92%
High
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
10
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.23 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-27
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-22
    Barclays
    Negative
  • = Reiterate2026-05-04
    Jefferies
    Buy· $75.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.41x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.39x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.88x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.1%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.9%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    458.2%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    31.0%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    10.0%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.72x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Darling Ingredients Inc. transforms animal materials and food industry residuals into value-added ingredients across three interconnected businesses: Feed Ingredients, Food Ingredients, and Fuel Ingredients. The Feed Ingredients business benefits from selling fats and proteins to the biofuel, aquaculture, and pet food sectors, while the Food Ingredients business relies heavily on Rousselot and its gelatin, collagen, and targeted Nextida health ingredient products; the Fuel Ingredients business includes the company’s stake in Diamond Green Diesel, which produces renewable diesel and sustainable aviation fuel.

In fiscal Q2 2026, net sales reached $1.7 billion versus $1.5 billion a year earlier, and net income increased to $387 million from $13 million, while diluted GAAP earnings per share rose to $2.41 from $0.08. Combined adjusted EBITDA reached $742 million versus $250 million, split between $353 million from core ingredients and $389 million from Darling’s share of Diamond Green Diesel; this equates to a combined adjusted margin of approximately 43.6% of sales, with the caveat that this metric includes the joint venture’s results and does not represent a GAAP operating margin.

During the first half of fiscal 2026, Darling recorded sales of $3.3 billion versus $2.9 billion, and net income of $521.6 million versus a net loss of $13.5 million in the corresponding period. On a trailing twelve-month basis in 2026, EDGAR data showed revenue of $6.3 billion, gross profit of $1.6 billion, and net income of $223.3 million, compared with revenue of $6.1 billion, gross profit of $1.5 billion, and net income of $62.8 million in fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Diamond Green Diesel’s contribution to adjusted EBITDA jumped to $389 million in fiscal Q2 2026 from $43 million a year earlier, after producing 356 million gallons and selling approximately 350 million gallons at a margin of $2.23 per gallon, but the result included a positive $51 million IEEPA tariff refund at the project level.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for the core ingredients business increased to $353 million in fiscal Q2 2026, from $207 million a year earlier and $256 million in the previous quarter, supported by higher fat prices, strong biofuel demand, tight fishmeal supplies, growth in poultry production, contract improvements, and price risk management.
  • Management is targeting adjusted EBITDA for core ingredients of between $325 million and $340 million in fiscal Q3 2026, and Diamond Green Diesel plans to produce approximately 335 million gallons; after excluding Rousselot’s $18 million benefit from IEEPA refunds in Q2, management believes the guidance reflects underlying performance close to the previous quarter’s level.
  • Rousselot’s shift toward higher-value products represents an important mix lever; in the described market environment, collagen margins are 2.5 to 3 times gelatin margins, while targeted health ingredients generate 7 to 11 times those margins, alongside repeat orders for Nextida glucose control and the start of its sales in Asia.
  • Darling received approximately $280 million in cash distributions from Diamond Green Diesel during fiscal Q2 2026 and used the liquidity to reduce debt by more than $220 million, repurchase $73 million of shares, and fund the Potenze assets in Brazil for approximately $122 million; as a result, the leverage ratio improved to approximately 2.3 times from 2.9 times at the end of fiscal 2025.
  • Management is targeting net debt near or below $3 billion and a leverage ratio well below 2 times by the end of fiscal 2026, supported by the sale of most of the grease trap business on July 22, 2026, for approximately $90 million, the agreed sale of the European casings business, and the monetization of tax credits and operating inventory during the second half of fiscal 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Fiscal Q2 2026 results showed a clear broadening of earnings strength, as combined adjusted EBITDA nearly tripled to $742 million and net income increased to $387 million, with simultaneous improvement in core ingredients and Diamond Green Diesel.
  • +The company’s global footprint provides more than one growth driver, from rising demand for fats and proteins to improvements in Rousselot’s mix; management identified an opportunity to add $150 million to $300 million to adjusted EBITDA for core ingredients over three years through improvements in contracts, marketing, and price risk management.
  • +Deleveraging supports capital flexibility, as the leverage ratio declined to approximately 2.3 times by the end of fiscal Q2 2026 despite spending approximately $122 million on Potenze and $73 million on share repurchases, and management is targeting a ratio well below 2 times by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • +The collagen and Nextida mix gives the company a path to improve margins using its existing production infrastructure, as collagen generates margins 2.5 to 3 times those of gelatin, while targeted health ingredients could generate 7 to 11 times those margins under the market conditions presented by management.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $70, within a range of $65 to $75, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is approximately at the upper end of the 52-week range of $29.15 to $69.98, while the highest target exceeds it by approximately 7%. This valuation requires continued strength at Diamond Green Diesel, improvement in core ingredients, and debt reduction, while the wide 52-week range and the reliance of part of fiscal Q2 2026 earnings on IEEPA refunds justify considering normalization risk alongside the positive consensus.

BuyAnalyst target: $70(+7.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove DAR’s earnings surge in fiscal Q2 2026?

Net sales increased to $1.7 billion from $1.5 billion a year earlier, and net income jumped to $387 million from $13 million. Combined adjusted EBITDA reached $742 million versus $250 million, including $353 million from core ingredients and $389 million from Diamond Green Diesel. The improvement came from higher fat and protein prices, strong biofuel demand, improvements in contracts and operations, and Diamond Green Diesel’s performance. The results also included $51 million of IEEPA refunds at the project and a net $18 million at Rousselot.

How important is Diamond Green Diesel to Darling’s results?

Diamond Green Diesel produced approximately 356 million gallons in fiscal Q2 2026, and Darling sold approximately 350 million gallons at a margin of $2.23 per gallon. Darling’s share of the project’s adjusted EBITDA reached $389 million versus $43 million a year earlier, and it also received approximately $280 million in cash distributions from it. Management plans to produce approximately 335 million gallons in fiscal Q3 2026. Results remain sensitive to renewable diesel margins, RIN markets, and RVO policy, despite management describing the margin environment as attractive.

How can Rousselot and Nextida products improve DAR’s earnings?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The surge in Diamond Green Diesel’s earnings depends on a high-margin environment, RIN markets, RVO policy, and volatile fuel prices; management emphasized that sustaining the production needed to meet the mandate requires margins to remain strong, making earnings vulnerable to changes in policy or the supply-demand balance.
  • −Fiscal Q2 2026 results included nonrecurring or uncertain benefits, including $51 million of IEEPA tariff refunds at Diamond Green Diesel and a net $18 million at Rousselot, so the full earnings surge does not represent an underlying level that can automatically be repeated.
  • −Core ingredients guidance for fiscal Q3 2026 of $325 million to $340 million indicates a potential decline from $353 million in Q2; even after removing Rousselot’s $18 million benefit, the underlying result is approximately $335 million, which is within the guidance range rather than above it.
  • −Feed Ingredients results are directly linked to fat and protein prices, fishmeal scarcity, and poultry production, which are cyclical market factors; management described the current environment as closer to an upcycle than a mid-cycle environment, increasing the risk of earnings normalization if these conditions weaken.
  • −The company raised its fiscal 2026 maintenance capital expenditure estimate from approximately $400 million to $450 million, reflecting the need for catch-up spending after reducing investment in 2024 and 2025, as well as spending to remove bottlenecks and increase capacity at certain sites, consuming a larger portion of cash flow.
  • −Net insider activity during the three months ended August 18, 2026, was negative $1.8 million, with one purchase and seven sales; this is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and without additional operating evidence it is insufficient to change the investment thesis.

Darling is shifting Rousselot’s mix from lower-margin gelatin toward collagen and targeted health ingredients using its existing production infrastructure. According to management, collagen generates margins 2.5 to 3 times those of gelatin, while targeted ingredients generate 7 to 11 times those margins. The Nextida glucose control product recorded repeat orders and began selling in Asia by fiscal Q2 2026. The company also approved a collagen spray dryer project in Kaiping, China, and the addition of extraction and drying capabilities in Paraguay.

Is Darling’s debt position improving during fiscal 2026?

The company reduced net debt by more than $220 million during fiscal Q2 2026, lowering its leverage ratio to approximately 2.3 times from 2.9 times at the end of fiscal 2025. This was achieved despite purchasing the Potenze assets in Brazil for approximately $122 million and repurchasing $73 million of shares. Management is targeting net debt near or below $3 billion and a leverage ratio well below 2 times by the end of fiscal 2026. The target is supported by the sale of most of the grease trap business for approximately $90 million on July 22, 2026, alongside expected cash flows from inventory, tax credits, and the sale of the European casings business.

What is DAR’s guidance for fiscal Q3 2026?

Management expects adjusted EBITDA for core ingredients of between $325 million and $340 million in fiscal Q3 2026. This compares with $353 million in Q2, which included a net $18 million benefit from IEEPA refunds at Rousselot. Diamond Green Diesel also intends to produce approximately 335 million gallons during the quarter. The outlook is based on continued global demand for proteins, specialty products, and low-carbon fuels, while margins remain exposed to market and policy volatility.

What are the key risks to monitor for DAR stock?

The most significant risk is Diamond Green Diesel’s sensitivity to fuel prices, renewable diesel margins, RIN markets, and RVO decisions, because management said meeting the mandate requires margins to remain strong. Fiscal Q2 2026 also benefited from $51 million of IEEPA refunds at the project and $18 million at Rousselot, benefits that should not be assumed to recur. Feed Ingredients is affected by cycles in fat and protein prices, poultry production, and fishmeal availability. The fiscal 2026 maintenance capital expenditure estimate also increased from $400 million to $450 million, reducing some of the liquidity available for debt reduction or returns to shareholders.