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Dana Incorporated
DAN

DAN Dana Incorporated

Dana Incorporated · NYSE
Market Closed
31.08
▲ ⁦+1.34%⁩ (+0.41)
Market Cap$3.8B
Beta1.99
52w Low52w High
17.7439.56
Last Week
⁦+1.34%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.16%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-10.17%⁩
Last Year
⁦+52.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall75
Strong — clearly above market medianTurnaroundF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 75% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
91
3.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
47
14.9%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
39
2.2%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
56
1.5x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
72
1.42%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
56
38.7%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$31
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$37
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$33–$39⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$2.04
⁦-93%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$2.04–$37⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$36.40
⁦+17.1%⁩
Current Price $31.08·Median $37.00
Low
$33.00
High
$39.00
Current price
$31.08
Average target
$36.40
Street summary

Consensus Stable as Coverage Broadens

The consensus price target remained at 36.4, unchanged over the last day or seven days, while the number of analysts increased from one to three. Over 30 days, the consensus rose marginally from 36 to 36.4, an increase of 1.11%, while the number of analysts remained unchanged at three. The current range is between 33 and 39, with a median of 37, reflecting limited variation among estimates compared with the current price of 30.45.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
8
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time8 analysts rating
3
2
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-06-12
    RBC Capital
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-04-14
    UBS
    Buy· $42.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    3.07x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.30x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.14x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    3.3%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.9%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    6425.0%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    9.5%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    2.2%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.47x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.4%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    4.6%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.35
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Dana Incorporated operates in vehicle drivetrain technologies, with a portfolio that includes axles, driveshafts, thermal management, and sealing products, serving the light vehicle, commercial vehicle, aftermarket, and specialty application markets. The company generates revenue by supplying these systems and components to vehicle manufacturers, through Victor Reinz products in the aftermarket, and from defense programs such as ISV with GM Defense. The Dana 2030 plan targets increasing the standalone company's revenue to approximately $10 billion by 2030, relying on growth in traditional products, the aftermarket, and applied technologies.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $2.0 billion, and gross profit was $210 million, representing a gross margin of approximately 10.5%, while the company recorded a net loss of $5 million and a loss per share of $0.05. On an adjusted basis, Dana reported net income of $21 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.19, compared with $4 million and $0.03 in the corresponding period, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $207 million at a margin of 10.3%, up 270 basis points year over year.

Fiscal Q2 2026 sales increased to $2.01 billion from $1.94 billion, supported by $29 million from pricing and recovery actions, $24 million from currency, $12 million from commodity cost recoveries, $6 million from volume and mix, and $4 million from tariff recoveries. Demand for light vehicle programs, backlog conversion, and improvement in commercial vehicles contributed to the mix, while the company generated adjusted free cash flow of $68 million, a year-over-year improvement of $75 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Dana raised its fiscal 2026 outlook to revenue of approximately $7.75 billion at the midpoint of the range, an increase of $225 million from the previous outlook, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $825 million, an increase of $25 million, driven primarily by improved commercial vehicle demand and production.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted free cash flow outlook from $300 million to approximately $325 million, benefiting from improved earnings, lower cash interest and taxes, and working capital becoming a source of cash, despite expected net capital expenditures of approximately $325 million.
  • Cost-reduction initiatives generated savings of $19 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and $54 million year to date, against a target of $65 million during fiscal 2026, while cumulative program achievement exceeded $310 million toward a total target of $325 million.
  • The Victor Reinz expansion with AutoZone, Advance, and O'Reilly adds approximately $40 million in sales, while the VIPAR partnership, which has more than 875 locations and more than 430 service locations, is expected to generate additional annual sales of $10 to $15 million beginning in the second half of 2026.
  • Dana expects approximately $30 million in new applied technologies sales driven by defense demand, including higher volumes for the ISV program with GM Defense in the second half of 2026 and extending into 2027, alongside a rapid-prototyping project with a major manufacturer.
  • The Eaton Mobility combination represents a major strategic catalyst; the combined company targets sales of between $14 and $15 billion by 2030 and aftermarket sales of approximately $1.7 billion in 2026, equal to approximately 16% of sales, with annual cost savings of at least $250 million within 24 months of the expected closing in fiscal Q1 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The continuing operations demonstrated tangible operational improvement in fiscal Q2 2026, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased to $207 million from $147 million, and the margin expanded 270 basis points to 10.3% due to pricing, manufacturing efficiency, and cost reductions.
    • +The Eaton Mobility combination provides an opportunity to increase scale and diversify the mix toward higher-margin, less cyclical commercial vehicle and aftermarket businesses, with a defined plan to achieve approximately $75 million in savings in the first year, $200 million in the second year, and an annualized run rate of $250 million by the end of the second year.
    • +Growth in aftermarket and defense channels strengthens revenue sources outside core vehicle programs; expansion with national retail chains adds $40 million, the VIPAR partnership adds $10 to $15 million, while current programs and increased defense demand add approximately $30 million.
    • +The capital return policy supports shareholder returns; Dana repurchased 1.2 million shares for $44 million in fiscal Q2 2026, with year-to-date purchases reaching $169 million, and plans to repurchase an additional $200 million through the end of 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Eaton Mobility combination carries significant execution and integration risks, as the savings plan requires integrating corporate functions, information technology, engineering, procurement, plants, and aftermarket networks, with expected cash costs of less than $250 million, while Eaton shareholders will receive at least 50.1% of the combined entity.
    • −Dana lowered its fiscal 2026 adjusted diluted earnings per share outlook to approximately $2 at the midpoint of the range, despite raising its revenue and operating earnings outlooks; it attributed this to higher depreciation, interest, and taxes, and lower earnings from joint ventures in China.
    • −The higher sales outlook did not raise the expected adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin above approximately 10.6%, because the increase is concentrated in lower-margin commercial vehicle businesses, limiting the conversion of revenue growth into additional margin expansion.
    • −Reported profitability remained volatile, as Dana recorded a net loss of $5 million in fiscal Q2 2026 and a loss of $50 million in fiscal Q4 2025, compared with annual net income of only $85 million on revenue of $7.5 billion in fiscal 2025.
    • −The fiscal 2026 outlook faces specific operating burdens, including a one-time union signing bonus of $20 million in fiscal Q3 2026, commodity headwinds of approximately $10 million due to recovery timing, and approximately $40 million in stranded costs following the sale of the Off-Highway business.
    • −Strength in the truck market is not uniform; management expects approximately 275 thousand Class 8 truck units in 2026 and only marginal growth in 2027, while noting lower Class 5 to Class 7 truck volumes and bus production in North America, offsetting part of the improvement in Class 8.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $36.4, within a range of $33 to $39, with a Buy consensus; the average target is below the 52-week range high of $39.56, while the highest target of $39 is close to it. The 52-week range extends from $17.74 to $39.56, and the breadth of the range reflects a revaluation linked to improved margins and cash flow and the raised fiscal 2026 outlook, balanced against the reduced earnings per share outlook and execution risks related to the Eaton Mobility combination; moreover, fluctuations in net income between quarterly profits and losses make the simple price-to-earnings multiple less useful for evaluating underlying operating performance.

    BuyAnalyst target: $36.4(+17.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What did Dana achieve in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Revenue according to EDGAR data was approximately $2.0 billion, gross profit was $210 million, net loss was $5 million, and loss per share was $0.05. On an adjusted basis, earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $207 million at a margin of 10.3%, up 270 basis points year over year. Adjusted net income was also $21 million, adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.19, and the company generated adjusted free cash flow of $68 million.

    How did Dana's fiscal 2026 outlook change?

    Dana raised its revenue outlook to approximately $7.75 billion at the midpoint of the range, an increase of $225 million from its fiscal Q1 2026 outlook. It also raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization outlook to $825 million and its adjusted free cash flow outlook to $325 million. In contrast, it lowered expected adjusted diluted earnings per share to approximately $2 due to higher depreciation, interest, and taxes and lower earnings from joint ventures in China.

    What is the expected impact of the Eaton Mobility combination on Dana?

    Dana targets closing the transaction in fiscal Q1 2027, and Eaton shareholders will receive a stake of at least 50.1% in the combined entity. The combined company targets revenue of between $14 and $15 billion by 2030, compared with Dana's standalone target of approximately $10 billion. Dana also expects combined aftermarket sales of approximately $1.7 billion in 2026 and annual cost savings of at least $250 million within 24 months of closing.

    What are the new sources of growth under the Dana 2030 plan?

    Dana expects the expansion of Victor Reinz products with AutoZone, Advance, and O'Reilly to add approximately $40 million in sales. The VIPAR partnership is expected to add between $10 and $15 million in aftermarket sales, benefiting from more than 875 locations and more than 430 service locations. In applied technologies, the company sees approximately $30 million in new sales driven by demand for current defense programs, including ISV with GM Defense.

    Are Dana's liquidity and capital returns improving?

    Dana generated adjusted free cash flow of $68 million in fiscal Q2 2026, an improvement of $75 million from the corresponding period. It repurchased 1.2 million shares for $44 million during the quarter, bringing year-to-date purchases to $169 million, and plans additional purchases of $200 million through the end of 2026. The company targets completing $2 billion of the repurchase program by 2029, while the continuation of purchases during the first 24 months after closing the Eaton transaction remains under evaluation.

    What are the key risks to monitor in DAN stock?

    Dana lowered its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook to approximately $2, despite raising its sales and operating earnings outlooks, due to depreciation, interest, taxes, and weak earnings from joint ventures in China. Commercial vehicle growth also comes at lower margins, so the expected adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin remained at approximately 10.6%. The Eaton Mobility combination adds execution risks and cash costs of less than $250 million, while a $20 million union bonus and commodity headwinds of approximately $10 million weigh on fiscal 2026.