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Stocks
Delta Air Lines, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall79
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 6/9DistressBetter than 79% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
89
13.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
55
10.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
62
10.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
54
2.1x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
32
0.94%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
78
49.0%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
43
13▲3Around median
DAL

DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc.

Delta Air Lines, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
79.91
▲ ⁦+2.13%⁩ (+1.67)
Market Cap$51.5B
Beta1.31
52w Low52w High
55.0395.68
Last Week
⁦+1.47%⁩
Last Month
⁦-11.14%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-2.35%⁩
Last Year
⁦+30.17%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$80
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$106
⁦+32%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$85–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$90
⁦+13%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦10.2⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$90–$106⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$105.33
⁦+31.8%⁩
Current Price $79.91·Median $105.50
Low
$85.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$79.91
Average target
$105.33
Street summary

A slight decline in the consensus DAL price targets amid continued divergence

Delta Air Lines’ consensus price target fell to 105.33 from 106.17 over one day, 107.25 over seven days, and 107.75 over 30 days; a cumulative decline of 2.25%, while the number of analysts remained at five. Although the consensus and median are above the current price of 79.91, the wide target range between 85 and 125 reflects clear divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.08
Buy
Analyst coverage
25
Buy conviction
96%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
50%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time25 analysts rating
5
19
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.04 → 4.08
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    UBS
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-03
    Oppenheimer
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.21x
    5.69x45.54x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    9.84x
    4.57x36.58x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.66x
    3.43x27.47x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    11.5%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -12.3%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    25.8%
    8.6%54.6%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    10.5%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.12x
    0.55x4.37x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.1%4.8%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.6%
    6.6%80.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.45
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-10 data

Company Overview

Delta Air Lines operates a domestic and international air transportation network and generates revenue from main cabin and premium cabin tickets, as well as cargo and third-party aircraft and engine maintenance through Delta TechOps. Its loyalty program also represents an important segment of its model; the company benefits from SkyMiles membership and its partnership with American Express, and expects remuneration of $9 billion during fiscal year 2026, up 10% from fiscal year 2025.

According to EDGAR filings, Delta recorded revenue of $19.8 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and earnings per share of $2.44 in fiscal year 2026 Q2, compared with a net loss of $289 million and negative earnings per share of $0.44 in fiscal year 2026 Q1. On the basis of the twelve months recorded within fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $68.3 billion, net income was $4 billion, and earnings per share were approximately $6.00, compared with revenue of $63.4 billion and net income of $5 billion in fiscal year 2025.

In its adjusted fiscal year 2026 Q2 results presentation, management reported total revenue of $17.7 billion, up 14% year over year with capacity increasing by only approximately 1%, pre-tax income of $1.4 billion, and an operating margin between 8.8% and 9%. Diversified revenue sources accounted for 61% of the total, up two percentage points, while premium cabin and loyalty revenue each grew by approximately 20%, cargo revenue by 39%, and third-party maintenance revenue by more than 30%. The EDGAR figures and the adjusted call figures should each be presented on their respective accounting bases and should not be treated as one identical series.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Total fiscal year 2026 Q2 revenue, according to management's presentation, grew by 14%, or by more than $2 billion, while capacity increased by only approximately 1%, driving total unit revenue growth of 12.4%.
  • Management expects fiscal year 2026 Q3 revenue growth in the mid-teens, an operating margin between 11% and 13%, and earnings per share between $2.20 and $2.50, compared with $1.70 in the corresponding period.
  • Delta reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 guidance for earnings per share between $6.50 and $7.50, representing 20% year-over-year growth, and free cash flow between $3 billion and $4 billion despite an expected increase of approximately $4 billion in fuel costs.
  • The company expects remuneration from the Delta American Express partnership to reach approximately $9 billion in fiscal year 2026, up 10%, following double-digit card spending growth for seven consecutive quarters, and it is also targeting the addition of approximately one million cards during the year.
  • Delta TechOps is targeting approximately $1.2 billion in third-party maintenance revenue in fiscal year 2026, up approximately 50% with low-double-digit margins, and management expects to more than double this revenue over several years, supported by the order book.
  • On August 19, 2026, DAL shares fell 2.17% alongside a decline in airline stocks following damage from Hurricane Lala in Hawaii, although the published operating impact estimate of approximately $123 million and the two- to three-point reduction in unit revenue related to Alaska Air, not Delta.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Fiscal year 2026 Q2 results demonstrate Delta's ability to convert limited capacity growth of 1% into adjusted revenue growth of 14% and unit revenue growth of 12.4%, reflecting pricing power and a strong commercial mix.
  • +Diversified revenue accounted for 61% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, with approximately 20% growth in premium cabin and loyalty revenue, 39% growth in cargo, and more than 30% growth in third-party maintenance, reducing the company's reliance on main cabin ticket revenue alone for growth.
  • +The company generated $4 billion in operating cash flow and $1.4 billion in free cash flow during the first half of fiscal year 2026 after investments of $2.6 billion, and reduced adjusted net debt to $13.6 billion.
  • +Strong bookings for fiscal year 2026 Q4 and a plan to increase capacity by 2% to 3%, led by international flights, support management's expectation of a return to earnings growth and double-digit operating margins during the second half.
  • +The product strategy combines the completed rollout of basic, classic, and extra categories in Delta Comfort+, their expansion into premium cabins, and the availability of the AI-powered Delta Sync Concierge to more than half of Fly Delta app users at the time of the July 10, 2026 call.

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $107.25 within a wide range of $85 to $125; the average is above the 52-week range high of $95.68, while the lowest target is within the 52-week range of $55.03 to $95.68. This divergence reflects optimism about improved earnings and margins in the second half of fiscal year 2026, but it also reveals a meaningful difference in estimates of the impact of fuel and costs, and the available data do not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that could be used as an additional anchor.

BuyAnalyst target: $107.25(+34.2%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What were Delta's key results in fiscal year 2026 Q2?

EDGAR filings showed revenue of $19.8 billion, net income of $1.6 billion, and earnings per share of $2.44. In management's adjusted presentation, total revenue was $17.7 billion, up 14% year over year, and pre-tax income was $1.4 billion. The adjusted operating margin reached a range between 8.8% and 9% despite fuel expense reaching $4.4 billion. The EDGAR figures and the adjusted presentation reflect different accounting bases, so they should not be compared directly as though they were two figures for the same metric.

What is Delta's guidance for the remainder of fiscal year 2026?

Management reaffirmed fiscal year 2026 earnings-per-share guidance between $6.50 and $7.50, representing 20% year-over-year growth. It also maintained its free cash flow forecast between $3 billion and $4 billion despite an annual fuel cost increase of approximately $4 billion. For fiscal year 2026 Q3, the company expects an operating margin between 11% and 13% and earnings per share between $2.20 and $2.50. It plans to increase capacity by approximately 1% in Q3 and then between 2% and 3% in Q4.

How important is Delta's partnership with American Express?

Delta expects $9 billion in remuneration from the partnership during fiscal year 2026, up 10% from fiscal year 2025. Card spending grew at double-digit rates for seven consecutive quarters, with particular strength among premium Reserve cardholders. The company is also targeting the addition of approximately one million cards during fiscal year 2026. Loyalty growth, alongside premium cabins, helped increase diversified revenue to 61% of total fiscal year 2026 Q2 revenue.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Total fuel expense reached $4.4 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q2, up approximately $2 billion, and management expects fiscal year 2026 Q3 fuel expense to remain approximately 40% above the corresponding period; therefore, improved profitability depends on the company's continued ability to recover fuel inflation through pricing.
  • −Unit cost excluding fuel rose 6.8% in fiscal year 2026 Q2 due to crew and revenue-related costs while capacity growth fell short of plan, compressing the adjusted operating margin to 8.8% despite record revenue.
  • −Delta's refinery experienced a temporary outage that reduced its benefit by five cents per gallon in fiscal year 2026 Q2, and it was operating at approximately 75% of capacity at the time of the call; management expects an impact of between five and seven cents per gallon to continue in Q3.
  • −Limited aircraft and engine availability and the durability of new engine technologies constrain fleet modernization; management tied plans to increase capacity and replace older 717 and 757 aircraft to the expected delivery of MAX 10 in fiscal year 2027.
  • −Adjusted net debt of $13.6 billion remains a significant financial obligation despite investment-grade ratings, and the company is targeting a reduction in gross leverage to two times earnings by the end of fiscal year 2026 and then to one time over the long term.
  • −The insider signal was classified as a strong sell after six sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 5, 2026, with net sales of $6.4 million; however, it is a weak trading signal on its own because these sales may have been prearranged unless the disclosures indicate otherwise.
How do fuel prices affect DAL's earnings?

The average fuel price was $3.93 per gallon in fiscal year 2026 Q2, and total expense reached $4.4 billion, up approximately $2 billion. Q3 guidance assumes an all-in price of approximately $3.50 per gallon, with fuel expense approximately 40% above the corresponding period. The refinery contributed a benefit of 11 cents per gallon in Q2 before a five-cent impact from a temporary outage. Management expects a net refinery benefit of five cents per gallon in Q3 despite the continuing outage impact of between five and seven cents.

What are the sources of growth outside the core passenger transportation business?

Cargo revenue grew 39% in fiscal year 2026 Q2, with most of the growth driven by volume and the rerouting of some shipments away from routes in the Middle East. Third-party maintenance revenue also grew by more than 30%, and Delta TechOps is targeting approximately $1.2 billion in revenue during fiscal year 2026. Management expects maintenance revenue to more than double over several years as margins move from the 10% to 12% range toward the mid-teens. In addition, premium cabin and loyalty revenue each grew by approximately 20% during the quarter.

What supports Delta's international flight strategy?

The company plans for its international business to grow faster than its domestic business, with expansion over the coming years focused on Asia and the Middle East. The markets mentioned included Hong Kong, Melbourne, and Riyadh, while the partnership with Korean Air provides access to between 70 and 80 destinations in Asia. In fiscal year 2026 Q2, international revenue grew 8%, led by Latin America, while Pacific unit revenue rose by approximately 8% with similar capacity. In contrast, management described Mexico and short-haul Latin American flights as weaker, reduced regional capacity by 7%, and tied its restoration to a recovery in demand.