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Stocks
China Yuchai International Limited
CYD

CYD China Yuchai International Limited

China Yuchai International Limited · NYSE
Market Closed
35.82
▼ ⁦-0.22%⁩ (-0.08)
Market Cap$1.3B
Beta1.45
52w Low52w High
28.6561.48
Last Week
⁦-5.24%⁩
Last Month
⁦-26.49%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-40.01%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.71%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall76
Strong — clearly above market medianValue TrapF 7/9Better than 76% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
17.6x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
89
25.4%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
23
—4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
46
—2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
97
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
36
56.4%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
41
33Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$36
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$60
⁦+68%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$60–$60⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$60.00
⁦+67.5%⁩
Current Price $35.82·Median $60.00
Low
$60.00
High
$60.00
Street summary

China Yuchai (CYD) stock target analysis

Bullish tilt

China Yuchai stock has seen its price target remain stable at $60 over the past 30 days, reflecting consistent optimism despite limited coverage, which is restricted to a single analyst for the price target. However, the positive outlook was significantly bolstered following Citigroup's upgrade of the stock rating to 'Buy' on July 27, 2026, indicating a significant growth gap between the current price of $46.49 and the set target.

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.75 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-27
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-01-06
    UBS
    Buy· $60.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.62x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    1.33x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    22.4%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    25.4%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    69.5%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    16.5%
    12.0%66.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

China Yuchai International Limited manufactures and sells engines for a diverse range of markets, including heavy-, medium-, and light-duty trucks, construction equipment and agricultural machinery, industrial and marine applications, and power generation. The company benefits from sales of larger, high-horsepower engines, including engines used in artificial intelligence data centers, while MTU Yuchai, joint ventures, and associates contribute to profits. In the first half of fiscal year 2026, the company sold 277,684 engines, an increase of 10.9% from 250,396 engines in the first half of fiscal year 2025.

In the first half of fiscal year 2026, revenue increased 13.9% to 14.7 billion yuan, gross profit rose 36.5% to 2.5 billion yuan, and the gross margin expanded from 14.3% to 17.1% due to higher volume, an improved product mix, and lower warranty expenses. Operating profit climbed 58.9% to 988.2 million yuan, with the operating margin improving from 4.8% to 6.7%. Net profit attributable to the company’s shareholders also grew 53.2% to 560.6 million yuan, and diluted earnings per share reached 14.81 yuan, compared with 9.75 yuan in the first half of fiscal year 2025.

The truck segment led growth, with truck engine sales rising 20.4%, including growth of 47.3% in heavy-duty truck engines, 23.6% in light-duty truck engines, and 7.9% in medium-duty truck engines. Off-road market sales increased 7.7%, driven by a 42% surge in marine and power generation applications and growth of 15.8% in industrial applications, while agricultural machinery engine sales declined 18.9%. The share of results from associates and joint ventures increased 56.2% to a profit of 95.9 million yuan, supported mainly by higher profits at MTU Yuchai.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sales of artificial intelligence data center engines from MTU Yuchai and the Yuchai brand totaled approximately 1,800 units in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and management expects them to exceed 3,500 units for the full fiscal year 2026, making this application a tangible driver of demand for high-horsepower engines.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The combined production capacity for high-horsepower engines at Yuchai and MTU Yuchai reached approximately 5,000 units in fiscal year 2026, compared with approximately 3,000 units in fiscal year 2025, following an expansion that added around 700 units and the outsourcing of certain machining operations, which added approximately another 1,000 units of machining capacity.
  • Higher sales of larger engines improved the average selling price and profitability; heavy-duty truck engine sales rose 47.3%, and the gross margin expanded to 17.1% from 14.3% in the first half of fiscal year 2025.
  • In the first half of fiscal year 2026, the company launched small commercial buses equipped with the YCY24-65kW Flywheel Range Extender System, known as YC-FRS, in the Hong Kong market, and also developed its first internal combustion engine powered entirely by ammonia through high-pressure direct injection.
  • The company acquired a 27.97% stake in Nanyue Fuel Injection Systems and began consolidating its financial results from 1 April 2026 after gaining control on 31 March 2026; management says the transaction supports technical capabilities, access to new powertrain products, and supply chain resilience.
  • Cash and bank balances totaled 8.1 billion yuan as of 30 June 2026, compared with 7.9 billion yuan at the end of fiscal year 2025, while short- and long-term loans and borrowings declined to 1.4 billion yuan from 2 billion yuan, supporting the financing of product development and production expansion.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The bullish case is based on revenue growth of 13.9% and growth in net profit attributable to shareholders of 53.2% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, with the operating margin expanding to 6.7% from 4.8%, demonstrating that improvements in mix and volume translated into profit growth faster than sales growth.
    • +The company’s truck engine sales outperformed the market growth reported by CAAM; heavy-duty truck engine sales grew 47.3% versus growth of 13.1% in the heavy-duty truck market, while light-duty truck engine sales rose 23.6% despite a contraction in the light-duty truck market.
    • +Artificial intelligence data center demand provides a quantifiable growth path, with approximately 1,800 engines sold in the first half of fiscal year 2026 and management expecting more than 3,500 units during fiscal year 2026, alongside total production capacity of approximately 5,000 high-horsepower engines.
    • +The financial position combines 8.1 billion yuan in cash and bank balances with only 1.4 billion yuan in loans and borrowings as of 30 June 2026, after borrowings declined from 2 billion yuan at the end of fiscal year 2025, while the company paid a dividend of 0.87 dollars per share for fiscal year 2025 compared with 0.53 dollars for fiscal year 2024.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The high-horsepower engine market remains highly competitive as other manufacturers expand their production capacity; management confirmed that there was no actual price increase compared with fiscal year 2025, while MTU Yuchai faced pricing pressure and had to offer additional discounts to manufacturers and partners, causing the joint venture’s net profit to grow more slowly than its revenue.
    • −Research and development expenses increased 24.5% to 593.4 million yuan in the first half of fiscal year 2026 due to higher testing and personnel costs and lower capitalization of project costs, while total research spending, including capitalized costs, reached 622.5 million yuan. Management also noted an unfavorable increase in precious metal prices, which partially offset cost-reduction gains and may limit continued margin expansion.
    • −Agricultural machinery engine sales declined 18.9% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, representing weakness in one of the company’s end markets that contrasts with the growth recorded in trucks and marine and power generation applications.
    • −Trade receivables and notes receivable increased to 14.1 billion yuan as of 30 June 2026 from 11 billion yuan at the end of fiscal year 2025, a faster rate than the first-half revenue growth of 13.9%, increasing the importance of collections and working capital quality.
    • −Gas engines intended for the North American market remained under testing and undergoing certification procedures as of 7 August 2026, and management did not provide a specific date for entering that market. The company also does not have a fuel cell product dedicated to power generation in the short term, limiting its near-term ability to benefit from this opportunity within data centers.
    • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on 12 August 2026 recorded four sales and no purchases, for net sales of 1.2 million dollars; this is a weak trading signal on its own because such sales may be prearranged unless the context indicates otherwise.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus rates CYD as Neutral, with a single target of 60 dollars, so the average, high, and low targets are identical and there is no dispersion among estimates on which to rely. This target is slightly below the 52-week range high of 61.48 dollars, while the range low is 28.65 dollars; the Neutral rating reflects a balance between accelerating earnings in the first half of fiscal year 2026 and the risks of competition, pricing pressure at MTU Yuchai, and higher research spending.

    HoldAnalyst target: $60(+67.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove China Yuchai’s profit growth in the first half of fiscal year 2026?

    Revenue increased 13.9% to 14.7 billion yuan, while gross profit grew 36.5% to 2.5 billion yuan. The company benefited from higher sales of large engines, an improved product mix, and lower warranty expenses, lifting the gross margin to 17.1% from 14.3%. As a result, operating profit rose 58.9% to 988.2 million yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders increased 53.2% to 560.6 million yuan.

    How much exposure does CYD have to artificial intelligence data center demand?

    MTU Yuchai and the Yuchai brand sold approximately 1,800 engines for artificial intelligence data centers in the first half of fiscal year 2026. Management expects sales to exceed 3,500 units for the full fiscal year 2026. Combined production capacity for all high-horsepower engine applications, whether for data centers or other uses, is approximately 5,000 units in fiscal year 2026.

    Can growth in high-horsepower engines continue to support China Yuchai’s margins?

    Higher sales of large engines and heavy-duty truck engines helped raise the gross margin to 17.1% in the first half of fiscal year 2026. However, the high-horsepower engine market is competitive, and the company did not achieve an actual price increase compared with fiscal year 2025, except for passing through some supplier cost increases. At MTU Yuchai, the gross margin exceeded 30%, but declined slightly due to engine costs, pricing pressure, and discounts offered to manufacturers and partners.

    What is the significance of China Yuchai’s acquisition of Nanyue Fuel Injection Systems?

    The company acquired a 27.97% stake in Nanyue Fuel Injection Systems, known as NYDK. It began consolidating NYDK’s results from 1 April 2026 after Yuchai gained control on 31 March 2026. According to management, the transaction strengthens technical capabilities, access to new powertrain products, and supply chain resilience.

    What are China Yuchai’s most notable new powertrain technologies in fiscal year 2026?

    In the first half of fiscal year 2026, the company launched small commercial buses in Hong Kong using the YCY24-65kW Flywheel Range Extender System, or YC-FRS, which reduces the need for fixed charging infrastructure. It also developed its first internal combustion engine powered entirely by ammonia using high-pressure direct injection. Regarding fuel cells, management confirmed on 7 August 2026 that there was no short-term product for power generation, while gas engines intended for North America remained under certification and testing.

    What do CYD’s liquidity and dividends look like?

    Cash and bank balances totaled 8.1 billion yuan as of 30 June 2026, compared with 7.9 billion yuan at the end of fiscal year 2025. Short- and long-term loans and borrowings declined to 1.4 billion yuan from 2 billion yuan over the same period. In July 2026, the company paid a cash dividend of 0.87 dollars per share for fiscal year 2025, compared with 0.53 dollars for fiscal year 2024, and management said payout ratios over the previous 10 years had typically ranged around 30% to 40%, with some variation around that range.