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Home
Stocks
CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketContrarianF 6/9Better than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
96
3.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
72
9.7%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
66
8.7%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
65
2.0x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
84
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
43
26.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
39
4▲3Bottom tier
CX

CX CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V.

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. · NYSE
Market Closed
10.69
▲ ⁦+0.28%⁩ (+0.03)
Market Cap$15.5B
Beta0.84
52w Low52w High
8.7313.67
Last Week
⁦+1.04%⁩
Last Month
⁦-5.40%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-18.33%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.71%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$11
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$14
⁦+33%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$16⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$18
⁦+64%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.1⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$14–$18⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$14.50
⁦+35.6%⁩
Current Price $10.69·Median $14.25
Low
$13.50
High
$16.00
Current price
$10.69
Average target
$14.50
Street summary

Cemex (CX) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Cemex (CX) stock has seen an improvement in analyst optimism over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 5% to reach $14.5, compared to $13.81 in mid-July 2026. This upward adjustment, with estimates stabilizing in the last week, reflects growing confidence in the company's performance, especially as the current price ($11.06) is still trading below the lowest price target set by analysts ($13.5), indicating a valuation gap in favor of investors.

As of 2026-08-16
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.20
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
73%
High
Target dispersion
23%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
7
4
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.19 → 4.20
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-14
    Scotiabank
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    3.23x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.52x
    3.70x29.59x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    2.59x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    116.4%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.7%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    2242.7%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    33.7%
    7.6%58.9%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    8.7%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.99x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. operates in building materials through cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates, benefiting from integration among these products to increase sales volumes across the value chain. Its operations span Mexico, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean, with demand coming from housing, infrastructure, industrial facilities, and data centers. Its portfolio of urbanization solutions, the Omega acquisition, and the Project Cutting Edge program also work to reduce costs and improve asset efficiency and cash flow quality.

In Q2 FY2026, sales adjusted for the nonrecurring item grew 11%, EBITDA rose 19% to exceed $1 billion, and operating profit grew 29%. The EBITDA margin reached 21.4% after excluding a positive nonrecurring European settlement of $42 million, up 1.4 percentage points, while the operating margin rose by about 2 percentage points; controlling net income increased 9%. Three of the 4 regions contributed double-digit earnings growth, led by Mexico, while weather and material and freight costs pressured the United States, and European demand remained softer.

Free cash flow from operations reached $651 million in Q2 FY2026, a second-quarter record and an adjusted year-over-year increase of more than $400 million, while the last-12-month conversion rate reached 60%. For annual comparison, FY2024 recorded revenue of $16.2 billion, gross profit of $5.4 billion, and net income of $960 million, compared with revenue of $16.6 billion and net income of $199 million in FY2023. This shows that the annual improvement in profitability did not depend on revenue growth, while Q2 FY2026 results indicate a shift in focus toward margins, cash flow, and capital efficiency.

What's Driving the Stock

  • CEMEX raised its FY2026 EBITDA growth outlook to a range of 16%–17% year over year, supported by first-half performance, Project Cutting Edge contributions, and lower expected interest expense.
  • Project Cutting Edge delivered savings of $60 million during Q2 FY2026, and execution reached 80% of the initial target, prompting the company to raise its total savings target from $400 million to $475 million; the new target is divided into about $230 million from administrative expense reductions and $245 million from operating efficiencies.
  • CEMEX's exposure to digital infrastructure spending in the United States is expanding; about 35% of planned or under-construction hyperscale data center projects are within its operating footprint. Supply volumes to these projects doubled in FY2026 after growing 185% in FY2025, and the bid win rate reached 60%, supporting sales of ready-mix concrete, cement, aggregates, and admixtures.
  • Social housing in Mexico provides the company with a defined demand path; it has secured work related to about 135 thousand units, up 12% from the previous quarter, and is negotiating for an additional 145 thousand units under a program targeting 1.8 million units through 2030. The ready-mix concrete backlog associated with railways, roads, and dams also increased, but management expects the impact of these projects to become more significant in FY2027 because of slow execution starts.
  • Cash flow quality improved clearly; free cash flow from operations in the first half of FY2026 increased by more than $730 million to $666 million, while working capital investment declined by $175 million compared with the first half of FY2025. CEMEX expects to pay about $455 million in interest and subordinated instrument coupons in FY2026, nearly $40 million less than the previous year.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Margin expansion supports the bullish case; EBITDA exceeded $1 billion in Q2 FY2026, and its margin reached the highest level since 2008, while the operating margin rose by about 2 percentage points after excluding the positive nonrecurring item.
  • +The earnings increase depends largely on measurable internal actions; Project Cutting Edge reduced cost of sales and operating expenses as a percentage of sales by 106 and 167 basis points, respectively, in Q2 FY2026, and the company raised its savings target to $475 million.
  • +The demand mix provides several CEMEX-specific drivers, including 135 thousand awarded social housing units in Mexico, 145 thousand units under negotiation, a 60% bid win rate for U.S. data center projects, and approximately 100% growth in supply volumes to those projects in FY2026 through the date of the call.
  • +The financial structure improved as net leverage, including perpetual subordinated instruments, declined to 2.08 times, down 0.22 times from Q1 FY2026. The company also replaced 2 credit facilities totaling $2.3 billion with a $3 billion 5-year revolving facility and aims to reduce net debt including subordinated instruments by the end of FY2026 compared with the end of FY2025.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

Analyst consensus on CX stock is “Buy,” with an average target of $14.5 and a range of $13.5 to $16; the average is above the 52-week range high of $13.67, while the range low is $8.73. The high target of $16 reflects the potential for continued margin and cash flow expansion, but the low target of $13.5 is close to the 52-week range high and highlights that strong execution has become important to justify a higher valuation. The reported P/E ratio does not provide an additional anchor, so the valuation assessment is based on the target range versus the 52-week range and on the company's ability to achieve its guided 16%–17% earnings growth in FY2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $14.5(+35.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CEMEX's results in Q2 FY2026?

Sales adjusted for the nonrecurring item grew 11%, while EBITDA rose 19% and operating profit increased 29%. EBITDA exceeded $1 billion, and its adjusted margin reached 21.4% after excluding a positive nonrecurring European settlement of $42 million. Project Cutting Edge contributed $60 million in savings, while improved pricing for core products and $50 million of foreign exchange support provided additional contributions.

How important is Project Cutting Edge to CX stock?

Project Cutting Edge is a multiyear program to reduce expenses and improve operations, earnings quality, and asset efficiency. By Q2 FY2026, CEMEX had completed about 80% of the initial target and raised its savings target from $400 million to $475 million. The updated target consists of about $230 million in administrative expenses and $245 million in operating efficiencies, with $185 million in savings expected in FY2026 and about $90 million more in FY2027. The company also identified $300 million of potential free cash flow improvement through lower spending and optimization of the asset base.

How does CEMEX benefit from data centers and artificial intelligence in the United States?

CEMEX estimates that U.S. data centers could add about 2% to annual national cement consumption between 2026 and 2030. About 35% of planned or under-construction hyperscale projects are within the company's footprint, and its teams achieved a 60% bid win rate. Supply volumes to these projects grew 185% in FY2025 and then doubled in FY2026 through the date of the July 23, 2026 call, with the company benefiting through ready-mix concrete and the associated cement, aggregates, and admixtures.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Cyclical demand remains uneven across markets; housing activity in most of Europe remained subdued amid project delays and a weak recovery, while housing affordability and elevated inventory in some markets continued to pressure U.S. residential construction. In Q2 FY2026, lower European volumes kept the region's margin flat after excluding a positive nonrecurring settlement of $42 million.
  • −Management expects growth in Mexico to slow and its margins to decline slightly during the second half of FY2026, as temporary market-share gains resulting from competitors' outages end, the mix shifts from more attractive bagged cement to bulk cement, and additional maintenance shutdowns take place. The company is also monitoring the potential restart of competing production capacity in Q4 FY2026.
  • −U.S. margins in Q2 FY2026 were pressured by adverse weather in Texas, higher material and freight costs, temporary aggregate purchases, and a 7% increase in imported cement consumption. Management expects improvement in the second half only if there is no significant impact during hurricane season, making the recovery sensitive to weather and variable costs.
  • −Savings and guidance could face inflationary and geopolitical pressure; management indicated that some savings could slip because of costs associated with the war with Iran, and it expects cement energy costs to rise by a low-single-digit percentage in FY2026. This includes 4% cost growth in the second half and a negative impact of about $20 million, despite hedging about 80% of expected diesel consumption for FY2027.
  • −The comparison base will become more difficult in the second half of FY2026, after the second quarter benefited from $50 million of foreign exchange support, a positive nonrecurring European settlement of $42 million, and a sharp decline in fuel costs. Therefore, the pace of earnings and margin growth recorded in the first half may not be repeated even as Project Cutting Edge savings continue.
  • −Insider activity recorded 1 sale and no purchases, for net sales of $2.3 million during the 3 months ending with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data states otherwise.
Can the strength of CEMEX's business in Mexico continue?

Cement volumes recorded year-over-year growth for the second consecutive quarter in Q2 FY2026, supported by self-construction, social housing, and improved efficiency and pricing. The company secured work for about 135 thousand social housing units and is negotiating for an additional 145 thousand units under a government target of 1.8 million units through 2030. However, management expects margins to decline slightly during the second half of FY2026 because market-share gains resulting from competitors' outages will end, the sales mix will become less attractive, and maintenance shutdowns will increase. The backlog of railway, road, and dam projects is expected to become more impactful in FY2027 because of slow execution starts.

What is the state of CEMEX's debt and cash flow?

Free cash flow from operations reached $651 million in Q2 FY2026, and the adjusted last-12-month conversion rate reached 60% versus 33% a year earlier. Net leverage, including perpetual subordinated instruments, declined to 2.08 times, despite net debt including subordinated instruments increasing by about $270 million since December because of the Omega acquisition, share repurchases, and dividends. The company repaid about $1.5 billion of bank loans, redeemed $1 billion of subordinated instruments, and issued $1.5 billion of 10-year senior notes with a 5.75% coupon. It expects to pay about $455 million in interest and coupons in FY2026, nearly $40 million less than the previous year.