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Home
Stocks
California Water Service Group
CWT

CWT California Water Service Group

California Water Service Group · NYSE
Market Closed
48.22
▼ ⁦-1.31%⁩ (-0.64)
Market Cap$3.0B
Beta0.49
52w Low52w High
41.2953.82
Last Week
⁦-4.57%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.55%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+6.92%⁩
Last Year
⁦+2.27%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall40
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 5/9DistressBetter than 40% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
37
21.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
58
3.9%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
46
5.2%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
35
4.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
31
2.54%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
73
8.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$48
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$54
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$53–$54⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$53.50
⁦+10.9%⁩
Current Price $48.22·Median $53.50
Low
$53.00
High
$54.00
Current price
$48.22
Average target
$53.50
Street summary

Slight adjustment in California Water Service Group targets

The consensus price target for CWT stock saw a slight decline of 0.93% over the past 30 days, falling from $54 to $53.5, reflecting a limited adjustment in expectations despite the price target remaining above the current price ($49.91). The forecast range is very narrow with very low dispersion among analysts (between $53 and $54), indicating a high degree of certainty regarding the stock's fair value amid limited analyst coverage.

As of 2026-08-19
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
2%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Seaport Global
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-05-01
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $54.00
  • = Reiterate2025-10-31
    Robert W. Baird
    —· $55.00
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    21.72x
    4.50x36.01x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    18.62x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.45x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -7.9%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.9%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -3.1%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    67.9%
    9.8%69.4%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    5.2%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.38x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.5%
    1.4%6.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    56.9%
    35.0%95.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    0.84
    0.573.91
    Weak
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

California Water Service Group (CWT) operates regulated water utilities, with California representing its largest operating entity, alongside operations in Hawaii and Washington, expansion projects in Texas, and transactions targeting Oregon and Nevada. Earnings growth primarily depends on investing capital in infrastructure and then incorporating it into the regulator-approved rate base; management stated that infrastructure replacement is the primary growth driver, while selective acquisitions represent a secondary driver.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, the company reported on its July 30, 2026 call revenue of $309 million, compared with $265 million in the corresponding period, net income of $56.5 million, compared with $42.2 million, and diluted earnings per share of $0.93, compared with $0.71. These figures represent growth of approximately 16.6% in revenue and 33.9% in net income, with a calculated net margin of approximately 18.3%; however, the provided EDGAR summary reports quarterly revenue of $278 million for the same period and the same net income, so the operating comparison here is based on the figures presented by management on the call.

The quarterly increase came from $15.3 million in IRMA revenue related to the California general rate case decision, $15 million from rate changes and regulatory mechanisms, and $9.3 million in deferred RAM revenue. Conversely, results absorbed $6.3 million from higher per-unit water supply costs, $7.9 million in expenses associated with deferred RAM revenue, and $7 million from higher income taxes. For the first half of fiscal 2026, revenue reached $523 million and net income reached $60.5 million, compared with $469 million and $55.5 million in the corresponding period of fiscal 2025.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The 2024 California general rate case decision became effective for billing on July 1, 2026, after Q2 fiscal 2026 recognized $15.3 million in IRMA revenue retroactive to January 1, 2026; IRMA contributed approximately $0.15 to quarterly earnings per share.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Capital expenditure reached $147 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 23.1% from $119 million, while first-half investment reached a record $270 million. Management expects the rate base to reach approximately $3.5 billion by the end of 2028 if projects are completed on schedule, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 12% for the rate base.
  • California previously approved approximately $1.45 billion of capital under the general rate case, in addition to approximately $229 million of advice letter projects, bringing the total close to $1.7 billion for 2024–2027. The decision also added a sales adjustment mechanism and an insurance cost balancing account, two tools that may reduce volatility in regulated revenue and costs.
  • The capital plan includes estimated net spending of approximately $155 million on PFAS remediation after approximately $60 million in recoveries from polluters, and the company had spent nearly $30 million on the program through the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. Management indicated that the net cost may change as legal recoveries and grants continue.
  • Unrestricted liquidity totaled $43.4 million on June 30, 2026, with approximately $395 million available under the credit line and total facilities of $600 million that can be increased to $800 million. This liquidity supports completion of the capital program and plans to integrate the NEXUS assets, while S&P Global maintained A+ ratings for both the group and Cal Water with a stable outlook.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The regulated investment model provides a visible growth path, as the company increased quarterly capital expenditure by 23.1% and is targeting a rate base of approximately $3.5 billion by the end of 2028, with approximately $1.7 billion of approved capital and projects in California for 2024–2027.
    • +Q2 fiscal 2026 showed strong improvement, with revenue reported on the call growing by approximately 16.6%, net income by approximately 33.9%, and diluted earnings per share rising to $0.93. First-half net income also increased to $60.5 million from $55.5 million in the corresponding period.
    • +Regulatory mechanisms support return stability, including a 10.27% return on equity in California and a cost-of-capital adjustment mechanism when Moody’s AA-rated utility bond index moves by more than 50 basis points. The company also reached a comprehensive $4.12 million settlement in Washington with a 10.18% return on equity, with commission approval still required according to the July 30, 2026 call.
    • +The company maintained consecutive quarterly dividends for the 326th time at $0.335 per share, and its five-year dividend compound annual growth rate was approximately 7.6%. This is paired with a stable A+ credit rating and expandable credit facilities, supporting capital investment funding.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The company’s largest operations are concentrated in California, so a material portion of growth depends on regulatory decisions and the recovery of investments through rates in the state. Although affordability tests were passed in nearly all districts, one small district required support tools, and management acknowledged on the July 30, 2026 call that it is monitoring escalating political pressure related to utility rates.
    • −Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings included items related to the timing of regulatory recognition, including $15.3 million from IRMA, approximately $9.2 million of which related to Q1 fiscal 2026. The net impact of recognizing deferred RAM revenue was also only approximately $1.2–1.3 million after recording $9.3 million in revenue and approximately $7.9 million in costs, making the quality of reported growth less robust than the overall revenue increase.
    • −Per-unit water supply costs increased by $6.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while water production costs reduced quarterly earnings per share by approximately $0.08 and first-half earnings per share by $0.19. Income taxes also increased by $7 million due to higher income and an increased effective tax rate, demonstrating the sensitivity of profitability to expense growth.
    • −Reaching a $3.5 billion rate base by the end of 2028 requires a large volume of projects to be completed on schedule, and management explicitly linked the target to its ability to place capital into service on time. The PFAS program adds an estimated net cost of approximately $155 million, with management acknowledging that the figure may change depending on legal recoveries and grants.
    • −The ATM program sold approximately $88.8 million of shares in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company may require additional financing related to the remainder of the 2026 capital program and the Nevada and Oregon transactions. This provides capital for growth but may dilute shareholders’ ownership, while higher interest rates could increase debt costs before they are recalculated in subsequent regulatory proceedings.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $53.5 and a narrow range of $53 to $54. The average is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $53.82 and significantly above the lower end of $41.29, reflecting positive expectations but leaving little dispersion among analyst estimates; the data do not include a valid price-to-earnings multiple for an additional comparison.

    BuyAnalyst target: $53.5(+10.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CWT’s earnings in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Net income reached $56.5 million and diluted earnings per share reached $0.93, compared with $42.2 million and $0.71 in the corresponding period. Customer rate changes, IRMA, and deferred RAM revenue contributed approximately $0.20, $0.15, and $0.11 to earnings per share, respectively. Conversely, water production costs and RAM-related expenses reduced earnings per share by approximately $0.08 and $0.10.

    How does the capital program support California Water Service Group’s growth?

    The company spent $147 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, an increase of 23.1%, while first-half spending reached a record $270 million. Management is targeting a rate base of approximately $3.5 billion by the end of 2028, provided projects are completed on schedule. In California, the regulatory decision covers approximately $1.45 billion of previously approved capital and approximately $229 million of advice letter projects for 2024–2027.

    What is the impact of the PFAS program on CWT?

    The company estimates included net spending on PFAS remediation at approximately $155 million after accounting for approximately $60 million in recoveries from polluters. Spending on the program reached nearly $30 million through the end of Q2 fiscal 2026. Management stated on July 30, 2026 that the net cost could change as legal recoveries continue and additional grants are obtained.

    What is the status of the NEXUS transaction and expansion outside California?

    Change-of-control applications for the NEXUS assets in Oregon and Nevada had been filed, and integration planning was ongoing according to the July 30, 2026 call. Management set a target to close the transaction before the end of 2026, with the Nevada decision expected first because of its statutory regulatory schedule. In Texas, the company added 200 new connections to wastewater systems in the South Austin market during Q2 fiscal 2026 and was awaiting final approvals related to BVRT and a consolidated rate case.

    Do interest rates and financing represent a risk for CWT?

    As of June 30, 2026, the company had unrestricted liquidity of $43.4 million and approximately $395 million available under its credit line. Total credit facilities amount to $600 million, can be expanded to $800 million, and mature in March 2028. Conversely, the company raised approximately $88.8 million through share issuance under the ATM program in Q2 fiscal 2026, and any additional financing in the second half of fiscal 2026 may be related to capital expenditure and growth transactions.

    What does the reported insider activity at CWT mean?

    The data indicate one sale and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 13, 2026, with net activity of negative 186,350.5. The data do not identify the seller, the reason for the transaction, or whether it was part of a prearranged trading plan. Therefore, this signal remains weaker than operating and regulatory indicators because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.

    −
    The average analyst target is $53.5, within a very narrow range of $53 to $54, and is near the top of the 52-week range of $53.82. This proximity means the consensus positive outlook assumes the stock will approach its annual highs, while the data do not provide a published price-to-earnings multiple to assess how much investors are paying for earnings.