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Stocks
Clearway Energy, Inc.
CWEN

CWEN Clearway Energy, Inc.

Clearway Energy, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
31.14
▼ ⁦-1.42%⁩ (-0.45)
Market Cap$6.4B
Beta0.88
52w Low52w High
27.6741.74
Last Week
⁦-1.21%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.13%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-22.94%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.60%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall31
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9Better than 31% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
42
42.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
62
9.9%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
69
1.2%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
31
10.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
14
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
34
5.5%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
Fair Value
Current price$31
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$42
⁦+33%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$38–$58⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$29
⁦-6%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦5⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$29–$42⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$43.67
⁦+40.2%⁩
Current Price $31.14·Median $41.50
Low
$38.00
High
$58.00
Current price
$31.14
Average target
$43.67
Street summary

Limited Decline in Target Price While Valuations Remain Stable

The consensus target price fell to 43.67 from 45.5 over the last 30 days, a decline of 1.83 or 4.02%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days and 1 day. The estimates range remains wide, between 38 and 58, with a median of 41.5 and the consensus based on two analysts, indicating notable divergence in outlook and relatively limited confidence.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.17
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
92%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
64%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
3
8
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.08 → 4.17
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-17
    Evercore ISI Group
    Positive
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    42.08x
    4.50x36.01x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    44.66x
    4.35x34.77x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.57x
    3.07x24.54x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    20.4%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.9%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    14.7%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    64.4%
    9.8%69.4%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    1.2%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Below average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    10.38x
    1.28x10.25x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Clearway Energy, Inc. owns and operates a U.S. portfolio of power generation assets, including wind, solar, batteries, and flexible generation. Its cash flows come primarily from electricity sales under long-term contracts; in fiscal 2026 quarter 2, the company extended the contract terms for three ERCOT wind projects, with a combined capacity exceeding 600 megawatts, beyond 2040.

According to the latest available EDGAR filings, the company generated revenue of $354 million and gross profit of $220 million in fiscal 2026 quarter 1, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 62.1%, but recorded a net loss of $163 million. By comparison, fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $1.4 billion, gross profit was $899 million, and net income was $169 million, while the trailing-twelve-month figures ending in 2026 were revenue of $1.5 billion, gross profit of $943 million, and net income of only $2 million.

In fiscal 2026 quarter 2, Clearway reported adjusted EBITDA of $409 million and CAFD of $167 million, bringing the first-half totals to $666 million and $237 million, respectively. The flexible generation segment performed in line with plan, while the solar and battery portfolios were affected by lower resources and realized revenue, and the wind portfolio was hurt by weaker-than-normal resources at Alta and ERCOT, despite plant availability remaining at high levels.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management lowered its fiscal 2026 CAFD guidance range to $430–470 million from $470–510 million because of weak wind and renewable resources in the first half; the low end assumes that the ENSO-related weather pattern continues during the second half.
  • The company reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 CAFD-per-share target of $2.70 or more and is targeting a compound annual growth rate of 7%–8% or more between fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2030, with a fiscal 2030 CAFD-per-share target of $3.10 or more.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Clearway completed long-term power purchase agreements for the three targeted projects in its ERCOT wind fleet, covering more than 600 megawatts beyond 2040; management confirmed that the restructuring of Elbow Creek and Langford Wind increased EBITDA and CAFD from the first month the contracts took effect.
  • The projects planned to reach commercial operation in fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 are now 100% contracted, while signed or awarded contracts are in place for more than 2 gigawatts of advanced-stage projects designated for fiscal 2028, and approximately 2 additional gigawatts of solar and storage projects for fiscal 2029.
  • Management estimates that approximately 70% of the growth investments required to achieve or exceed the high end of the fiscal 2030 target are now contracted and visible, with more than $2 billion of identified growth opportunities for projects scheduled for completion between fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2029.
  • The digital infrastructure business provides an additional growth option not included in the base targets; Clearway Group’s portfolio includes more than 17 gigawatts of co-located generation under development, of which more than 6 gigawatts have been included in the announced project portfolio, but the first natural investment opportunity for CWEN may not emerge before fiscal 2030.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The new long-term contracts for the ERCOT wind fleet provide more predictable cash flows beyond 2040, with an immediate increase in EBITDA and CAFD for Elbow Creek and Langford Wind, according to management.
    • +The growth plan is based on projects controlled by Clearway Enterprise, and 100% of the projects planned to reach commercial operation in fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 are now contracted, while commercial visibility covers approximately 70% of the capital required to achieve or exceed the high end of the fiscal 2030 target.
    • +The project repowering program is expected to invest approximately $600 million at CAFD yields ranging from 11% to 12%, making it a high-return path for improving the fleet and extending the life of its assets.
    • +The company is targeting a long-term payout ratio below 70% and expects retained cash flow to contribute more than $500 million toward funding growth investments between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2029.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Clearway’s output depends on volatile natural resources; weak wind at Alta and ERCOT and lower resources and revenue in the solar and battery portfolios led the company to lower fiscal 2026 CAFD guidance by $40 million at both ends of the range to $430–470 million.
    • −GAAP earnings show sharp volatility; net income moved from $236 million in fiscal 2025 quarter 3 to a loss of $104 million in fiscal 2025 quarter 4 and then a loss of $163 million in fiscal 2026 quarter 1, while trailing-twelve-month net income ending in 2026 was only $2 million.
    • −Deploying approximately $3 billion of capital between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2029 requires substantial financing; the company expects to raise more than $1.5 billion in corporate debt and issue $0.5–1.0 billion of external equity, creating risks of higher leverage and shareholder dilution if the investments do not generate sufficient accretive returns.
    • −Digital infrastructure projects remain an unproven option within CWEN’s base targets; the announced contracts relate to development, the Wyoming complex had no announced end-customer contract as of August 5, 2026, and the MISO South contracts were conditional and would later need to be replaced by long-term contracts with a hyperscale computing customer.
    • −The solar equipment supply chain is exposed to U.S. policies concerning foreign entities of concern, Section 232 investigations, and inflation; although management said it had secured equipment for fiscal 2027 projects and most fiscal 2028 projects and had signed supply agreements with at least four companies, compliance and equipment costs remain risks for fiscal 2029 projects and beyond.
    • −The fiscal 2030 outlook includes the possibility of lower prices for uncontracted energy or capacity, in addition to a negative effect from corporate financing; therefore, reaching the high end of the CAFD-per-share target depends partly on more favorable market and financing outcomes.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $44.8 and a wide range of $40 to $58. The average target is above the 52-week range high of $41.74, while the lowest target falls within the 52-week range of $27.67–41.74, reflecting fundamental optimism alongside notable variation in assessments of the growth plan’s value. No meaningful price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, which is consistent with trailing-twelve-month net income ending in 2026 of only $2 million and quarterly results fluctuating between profit and loss.

    BuyAnalyst target: $44.8(+43.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Clearway lower its fiscal 2026 guidance?

    The company lowered its fiscal 2026 CAFD range to $430–470 million from $470–510 million on August 5, 2026. The reduction followed weak wind resources at Alta and ERCOT and lower resources and realized revenue in the solar and battery portfolios during the first half. The midpoint of the range assumes below-P50 production at certain assets, while the low end assumes that the ENSO-related weather pattern continues during the second half. Management nevertheless confirmed that plant availability and controllable operating performance remained strong.

    What are CWEN’s CAFD growth targets through fiscal 2030?

    Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2027 CAFD-per-share target of $2.70 or more. It is also targeting $3.10 or more in fiscal 2030, consistent with a compound annual growth rate of 7%–8% or more from fiscal 2025. The company has more than $2 billion of identified growth opportunities for projects scheduled for completion between fiscal 2027 and fiscal 2029. Management estimates that approximately 70% of the investment required to achieve or exceed the high end of the fiscal 2030 target is now contracted and visible.

    How will Clearway fund its $3 billion investment plan?

    The company plans to deploy approximately $3 billion of corporate capital between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2029. It expects to fund more than $500 million through retained cash flows and more than $1.5 billion through corporate debt, with $600 million of debt raised as of August 5, 2026. It also expects to issue $0.5–1.0 billion of equity, of which $50 million had been raised as of the same date. Management is targeting corporate leverage of between 4 and 4.5 times, maintaining a BB credit rating, and reducing the payout ratio to below 70%.

    What is the impact of the new ERCOT wind contracts on cash flows?

    Clearway completed long-term power purchase agreements for all three ERCOT wind projects it targeted for improvement, totaling more than 600 megawatts. The contract terms extend beyond 2040, increasing cash flow predictability. Management said the restructuring of Elbow Creek and Langford Wind increased EBITDA and CAFD from the first month it took effect, despite financing service associated with settling the previous hedges. These projects transitioned to 15-year fixed-price contracts with customers not named on the call.

    How large is Clearway’s data center and digital infrastructure opportunity?

    Clearway Group’s portfolio includes more than 17 gigawatts of co-located generation under development for digital infrastructure complexes, of which more than 6 gigawatts have been included in the announced development portfolio. Future contracts for these complexes are targeting terms of between 20 and 25 years, and the presented materials estimated the capital opportunity at approximately $400–500 million per gigawatt of generation. Management explained on August 5, 2026, that the first natural investment opportunity for CWEN may emerge in fiscal 2030 and that this opportunity is not included in the current base targets. No end-customer contract had been announced for the Wyoming complex, while MISO South had conditional revenue contracts with a data center developer.

    What do the latest financial results reveal about Clearway’s profitability?

    Fiscal 2026 quarter 1 recorded revenue of $354 million and gross profit of $220 million, but the net loss was $163 million. In fiscal 2025, revenue was $1.4 billion, gross profit was $899 million, and net income was $169 million. The trailing twelve months ending in 2026 recorded revenue of $1.5 billion and gross profit of $943 million, compared with net income of only $2 million. In fiscal 2026 quarter 2, adjusted EBITDA was $409 million and CAFD was approximately $167 million, two non-GAAP measures that highlight operating cash generation despite volatile net income.