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Stocks
Covista Inc.
CVSA

CVSA Covista Inc.

Covista Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
125.09
▲ ⁦+1.18%⁩ (+1.46)
Market Cap$4.2B
Beta0.62
52w Low52w High
86.97156.26
Last Week
⁦-6.36%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+2.47%⁩
Last Year
⁦-5.07%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall89
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 6/9SafeBetter than 89% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
71
17.6x17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
74
9.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
13.4%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
77
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
60
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
62
-4.2%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
33
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$125
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$158
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$140–$175⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$232
⁦+85%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$158–$232⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$157.50
⁦+25.9%⁩
Current Price $125.09·Median $157.50
Low
$140.00
High
$175.00
Current price
$125.09
Average target
$157.50
Street summary

Covista Inc. (CVSA) Target Price Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Covista Inc. shares saw an upward revision in the average target price over the past 30 days, with the consensus rising by 12.5% to reach $157.5 from the previous level of $140. This adjustment reflects an improvement in analyst sentiment, particularly with a potential growth gap compared to the current price of $140.98, supported by expectations of continued revenue and earnings per share (EPS) growth through fiscal year 2029.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.25
Buy
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
28%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.25 → 4.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    Truist Securities
    —· $140.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    17.64x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    14.30x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.86x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.2%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.3%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    14.7%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    57.3%
    9.2%67.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    13.4%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.15x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    4.13
    -4.825.90
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-08 data

Company Overview

Covista Inc. is a national platform for healthcare workforce development, operating through three educational segments: Chamberlain, Walden, and the Medical and Veterinary segment. Total enrollment exceeded 100 thousand students in Q3 FY2026; enrollment reached 40,767 students at Chamberlain, 54,474 students at Walden, and 5,344 students in the Medical and Veterinary programs. Revenue growth is linked to enrollment, student retention, program launches, and campus expansion, in addition to building funded employment pathways in collaboration with healthcare institutions.

In Q4 FY2026, revenue reached $501.4 million, gross profit was $284.6 million, and net income was $71.7 million; representing a calculated gross margin of approximately 56.8% and a net margin of approximately 14.3%. For FY2026, Covista recorded revenue of $2.0 billion, gross profit of $1.1 billion, and net income of $251.6 million, with earnings per share of $7.04.

Q3 FY2026 details show that Chamberlain generated $197 million in revenue, Walden generated $186.6 million, while the Medical and Veterinary segment recorded $103.5 million. Net income according to EDGAR was approximately $41.6 million, while adjusted net income was $69 million, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $127.9 million. Excluding the $18 million impact of shifting one academic week at Walden, the company said revenue growth would have been 8.4% and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin would have been 28.9%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On May 8, 2026, Covista raised its FY2026 revenue guidance to a range of $1.93–$1.945 billion, representing annual growth of 8%–9%, compared with the previous range of $1.9–$1.94 billion. It also raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance to $7.95–$8.15, representing growth of 19%–22%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Total enrollment grew 6.8% in Q3 FY2026, surpassing 100 thousand students and marking the eleventh consecutive quarter of enrollment growth. Walden reached a record 54,474 students, up 12.3%, while Chamberlain returned to positive growth of 0.5% ahead of management's expected timeline.
  • Revenue in the Medical and Veterinary segment increased 8.9% to $103.5 million in Q3 FY2026, and its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 20.1% to $27.5 million. The segment's margin expanded 250 basis points to 26.5%, with AUC's first-attempt medical residency placement rate reaching 97% and exceeding 98% in the latest cycle mentioned during the May 8, 2026 call.
  • Walden launched programs in clinical psychology and behavioral analysis that attracted more than 1,400 students by May 8, 2026, while seven additional programs received approval. At Chamberlain, six campuses were under development, with teaching at the first beginning in September 2026 and two receiving full regulatory approval.
  • Covista's investments with Google Cloud in AI-powered education progressed, and new certificates in nursing, medicine, and AI fundamentals enrolled more than 4,000 learners by May 8, 2026. The company aims to build a personalized learning assistant within the platform already used by students, alongside AI curricula connected to real-world clinical practice.
  • Free cash flow for the last 12 months increased 17% to $336 million in Q3 FY2026, and net leverage declined to 0.7 times as of March 31, 2026. The company refinanced its debt into a $510 million term loan, reduced the interest rate by 50 basis points, and extended maturity to 2033, while repurchasing $66 million of shares during the quarter.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The growth thesis is based on clear structural demand; management indicated on May 8, 2026 that there were approximately 700 thousand advertised healthcare jobs per month in the United States versus only 306 thousand unemployed healthcare workers, while Covista's five institutions graduate more than 24 thousand healthcare professionals annually.
    • +The platform combines enrollment growth with improving profitability; excluding the impact of Walden's one-week timing shift, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth would have been 14.2% in Q3 FY2026, and Walden's adjusted margin would have reached 33.1%, an increase of 280 basis points.
    • +Chamberlain's recovery is supported by specific operating indicators, including double-digit application growth and conversion rates returning closer to their historical levels after adjusting marketing, simplifying applications, and rebuilding scholarship procedures. Positive enrollment growth of 0.5% was achieved one quarter ahead of management's plan.
    • +Liquidity and the balance sheet provide room to fund expansion and return capital simultaneously; free cash flow reached $336 million for the last 12 months, and cash and equivalents totaled $147 million as of March 31, 2026, with low net leverage of 0.7 times.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Approximately 78.8% of Q3 FY2026 revenue was concentrated in Chamberlain and Walden combined, as they generated $383.6 million out of $487 million; therefore, any weakness in enrollment or retention at either institution could have a significant impact on the group's results.
    • −Chamberlain's recovery remains at an early stage; total enrollment growth was only 0.5% in Q3 FY2026, and enrollment in post-licensure programs remained below the prior year despite sequential improvement in RN to BSN and growth in master's programs. Management also acknowledged that weak marketing and conversion in previous cycles was an internal execution failure, making the sustainability of the improvement a factor that requires monitoring.
    • −Total enrollment growth slowed to 6.8% in Q3 FY2026 compared with a nearly 10% comparison in the prior year, while reported revenue growth was 4.5%. Although shifting an academic week at Walden reduced reported revenue by $18 million, the published figures remain sensitive to the timing of the academic calendar.
    • −Q4 FY2026 guidance includes a high level of growth-oriented investments, with capital expenditures expected to exceed the $20 million recorded in Q3 after spending $31 million in the first half. Management also expected a higher effective tax rate than in FY2025, which may limit the conversion of operating growth into net income and free cash flow.
    • −Analyst targets range from $140 to $175, a $35 spread that reflects a meaningful difference in estimates of the stock's value. The average target of $157.5 is only slightly above the 52-week range high of $156.26, making the realization of the target value dependent on continued enrollment growth, execution of campus expansion, and achievement of operating leverage.
    • −Net insider sales during the three months ended August 27, 2026 were approximately $4.4 million across 11 sales with no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence of the motives behind those transactions.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $157.5 and a wide range of $140–$175. The average target is approximately 0.8% above the 52-week range high of $156.26, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 12%; this assumes continued improvement at Chamberlain, growth at Walden, and execution of the planned expansion. The context does not provide a valid comparable earnings multiple, so Covista's valuation here is based on the target range, FY2026 earnings per share of $7.04, capital investment risks, and the slowdown in reported enrollment growth.

    BuyAnalyst target: $157.5(+25.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving Covista's growth in FY2026?

    Growth came from higher enrollment across all three segments, with total enrollment increasing 6.8% in Q3 FY2026 and the number of students exceeding 100 thousand. Walden grew 12.3% to 54,474 students, and Chamberlain returned to positive growth of 0.5% at 40,767 students. Enrollment in the Medical and Veterinary segment also grew 4.1% to 5,344 students, and its revenue increased 8.9% to $103.5 million.

    Is Chamberlain's recovery sustainable?

    Chamberlain posted its first positive total enrollment growth in Q3 FY2026, at 0.5%, and recorded the highest student count in its history at 40,767 students. Management said on May 8, 2026 that applications increased at a double-digit rate and conversion rates returned to levels closer to historical rates after adjustments to marketing, admissions, and scholarship procedures. However, post-licensure programs remained below the prior year, and management described the improvement as a beginning that did not justify declaring the recovery complete.

    How important is Walden to CVSA's results?

    Walden generated revenue of $186.6 million in Q3 FY2026, equivalent to approximately 38.3% of group revenue. Excluding the $18 million shift of one academic week, its revenue would have reached $204.6 million, up 14.7%. Its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization would also have reached $67.8 million, with a margin of 33.1% and a year-over-year increase of 280 basis points.

    How does Covista use AI in its educational products?

    Covista is working with Google Cloud to develop an AI-powered classroom within the platform used by students. Its certificates in nursing, medicine, and AI fundamentals also enrolled more than 4,000 learners by May 8, 2026. The company established the Covista Healthcare Readiness AI Council with clinical leaders from Cleveland Clinic, University of Chicago Medicine, and Advocate Health to connect curricula with real-world clinical practice.

    What is Covista's liquidity and debt position?

    Free cash flow for the last 12 months reached $336 million in Q3 FY2026, up 17%, and cash and equivalents totaled $147 million as of March 31, 2026. Net leverage declined to 0.7 times, and the company refinanced its debt into a $510 million term loan with a 50-basis-point interest rate reduction and maturity extended to 2033. In the same quarter, Covista repurchased $66 million of shares while continuing to fund campus expansion and technology investments.

    What are the main risks to monitor for CVSA?

    Most of Covista's revenue is concentrated in Chamberlain and Walden, which together accounted for approximately 78.8% of Q3 FY2026 revenue. Chamberlain's growth was also only 0.5%, and total enrollment growth slowed to 6.8% compared with a nearly 10% comparison in the prior year. Management expected capital expenditures in Q4 FY2026 to increase from the $20 million level in Q3, alongside elevated growth investments and a higher tax rate than in FY2025.