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Home
Stocks
CVS Health Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall84
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Grey zoneBetter than 84% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
75
24.9x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
30
7.4%▲7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
66
4.8%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
49
4.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
65
2.81%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
82
36.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
85
17▲3Top tier
CVS

CVS CVS Health Corp.

CVS Health Corp. · NYSE
Market Closed
94.66
▼ ⁦-0.66%⁩ (-0.63)
Market Cap$120.8B
Beta0.60
52w Low52w High
69.51110.68
Last Week
⁦-2.64%⁩
Last Month
⁦+1.24%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.43%⁩
Last Year
⁦+31.93%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$95
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$112
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$92–$123⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$114
⁦+20%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$112–$114⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$111.20
⁦+17.5%⁩
Current Price $94.66·Median $112.00
Low
$92.00
High
$123.00
Current price
$94.66
Average target
$111.20
Street summary

Slight increase in the target with valuations remaining positive

Bullish tilt

The average price target rose to 111.2 from 109.93 over the last 7 days, an increase of 1.27, and to 111.2 from 110.21 over the last 30 days, an increase of 0.99. The average remained unchanged over the last day, while the number of analysts also remained at 7, indicating a limited improvement in the outlook without an expansion of the coverage base. The current price of 94.66 remains below the low target of 92 and the high target of 123, with the average and median at 111.2 and 112, respectively, reflecting notable dispersion among the estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.11
Buy
Analyst coverage
27
Buy conviction
89%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
33%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time27 analysts rating
6
18
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.07 → 4.11
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-09-09
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-26
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    24.91x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    11.98x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.54x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.7%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.4%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    5.8%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    44.5%
    12.8%90.7%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    4.8%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.87x
    0.60x5.10x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.8%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    69.9%
    7.4%76.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.47
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

CVS Health operates through an interconnected healthcare ecosystem that combines health insurance through Aetna; pharmacy benefit management, prescription services, and specialty pharmacy services through Caremark and CVS Specialty; care delivery services; and CVS Pharmacy locations, retail stores, and digital platforms. The company generates revenue from insurance premiums, pharmacy benefit management, dispensing prescriptions and specialty drugs, care services, and consumer sales. In Q2 FY2026, Health Care Services segment revenue was approximately $52 billion, Health Care Benefits segment revenue exceeded $37 billion, and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment revenue was approximately $34 billion, with intersegment transactions making their combined total different from the group’s revenue.

In Q2 FY2026, CVS Health reported revenue of $106.1 billion, gross profit of $47.2 billion, net income of $3.0 billion, and diluted earnings per share of $2.31, according to EDGAR data. This equates to a gross margin of approximately 44.5% and a net income margin of approximately 2.8%. On an adjusted basis, operating income reached $5.2 billion, up more than 35% year over year, and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.58, up more than 40%, while revenue grew by more than 7%.

The improvement was broad-based, as all three operating segments delivered revenue and earnings growth and exceeded management’s expectations. The Health Care Benefits segment reported adjusted operating income of approximately $2.4 billion and a medical benefit ratio of 87.4%, while adjusted operating income for Health Care Services exceeded $1.7 billion and its counterpart in Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness was approximately $1.5 billion. Revenue for the twelve months ended in 2026 was approximately $407.9 billion, but net income of $2.9 billion demonstrates that the scale of the business does not eliminate earnings sensitivity to medical costs, pricing, and regulation.

What's Driving the Stock

  • CVS Health raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance for FY2026 by $0.60 to a range of $7.90–$8.10, increased its revenue forecast to at least $414 billion, and raised its operating cash flow forecast to at least $11.5 billion, $2 billion above its previous guidance.
  • The improvement at Aetna is the most prominent operating driver; the Health Care Benefits segment delivered more than $2 billion of year-over-year improvement in adjusted operating income during the first half of FY2026, and the company raised its adjusted operating income guidance for the segment to $5.03–$5.37 billion.
  • Health Care Services revenue grew by more than 11% to approximately $52 billion, and its adjusted operating income increased 10% to more than $1.7 billion. Care delivery revenue also grew by approximately 23%, driven primarily by Oak Street Health.
  • Comparable-store prescription volume increased 7%, and comparable-store pharmacy sales grew by approximately 3%, helping the Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment generate adjusted operating income of approximately $1.5 billion, up more than 10%. Drivers included drug mix and the contribution from the Rite Aid transaction completed in FY2025.
  • The company is expanding GLP-1 opportunities through Caremark, Aetna, and a direct-to-consumer platform. It reduced the price of a MinuteClinic weight-management visit from $49 to $29 and allows certain eligible individuals to access treatments for a cash price starting at $149. It also announced a partnership with Eli Lilly to make Zepbound and Foundayo available at the cash price with same-day pickup through the CVS Health app or stores later in 2026, alongside its existing relationship with Novo to dispense oral and injectable Wegovy.
  • CVS Health is investing more than $20 billion in technology over a decade and has already achieved more than $1 billion in operating savings. Its AI-powered claims assistance system reduces processing time by more than 20%, while it shortened preparation time for Aetna One employees in certain cases from 90 minutes to 2 minutes and returned 1 million hours of pharmacists’ time to serving patients.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case5 pts

  • +Q2 FY2026 showed simultaneous improvement across all three segments, with revenue growth of more than 7%, adjusted operating income growth of more than 35%, and adjusted earnings per share growth of more than 40%, supporting the view that the recovery extends beyond a single driver.
  • +Aetna’s improvement is numerically tangible; the medical benefit ratio reached 87.4%, and the segment generated adjusted operating income of approximately $2.4 billion. Even the underlying performance after excluding $500 million of favorable items remained above management’s expectations.
  • +The company generates strong cash flow, with operating cash flow of $10.6 billion in the first half of FY2026, and it raised its FY2026 forecast to at least $11.5 billion, while expecting leverage to improve from its level of approximately 3.5 times at the end of the quarter.
  • +The combination of approximately 9,000 pharmacy locations, nearly 30,000 pharmacists, Caremark, Aetna, and MinuteClinic represents a clear distribution advantage in the GLP-1 market. The company can serve both insurance-funded prescriptions and the cash market, while CVS Specialty maintains medication adherence above 90%.
  • +Management expects adjusted earnings per share to grow at a mid-teens rate between FY2025 and FY2028 and views $8.44 as a reasonable initial level for adjusted earnings per share in FY2027, equivalent to approximately 13% growth from an adjusted baseline of $7.46.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $110.47, within a wide range of $92 to $126, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average is approximately at the upper end of the 52-week range of $69.51–$110.68, while the highest target is approximately 14% above that limit and the lowest target is approximately 17% below it, reflecting meaningful disagreement over the sustainability of Aetna’s recovery and pressures on Caremark and 340B. No valid price-to-earnings multiple is available in the data, so the stock’s valuation here is based on analyst targets, the 52-week range, and the company’s ability to achieve its adjusted earnings per share guidance of $7.90–$8.10 for FY2026.

BuyAnalyst target: $110.47(+16.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CVS Health’s results in Q2 FY2026?

Revenue reached $106.1 billion, net income was $3.0 billion, and earnings per share according to EDGAR were $2.31. On an adjusted basis, the company reported operating income of $5.2 billion and earnings per share of $2.58, representing year-over-year increases of more than 35% and 40%, respectively. All three operating segments delivered revenue and earnings growth, led by Aetna’s recovery and improvements in pharmacy and health services.

How did CVS Health’s FY2026 outlook change?

The company raised its adjusted earnings per share guidance by $0.60 to a range of $7.90–$8.10. It also increased its revenue forecast to at least $414 billion and adjusted operating income guidance to a range of $16.58–$16.92 billion. Its operating cash flow forecast increased by $2 billion to at least $11.5 billion, and the guidance does not assume any share repurchases during FY2026.

Has the Aetna business fully recovered?

Aetna showed clear progress, with the Health Care Benefits segment generating adjusted operating income of approximately $2.4 billion and a medical benefit ratio of 87.4% in Q2 FY2026. The year-over-year improvement in adjusted operating income exceeded $2 billion during the first half, and Medicare performance was also above management’s expectations. However, approximately $500 million of the quarter’s result was related to a risk-adjustment settlement and favorable prior-year development, and the company expects a medical benefit ratio of 89.75% for FY2026, meaning that continued medical cost control remains critical.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Profitability remains highly sensitive to medical costs. Despite the improvement in the medical benefit ratio to 87.4% in Q2 FY2026, the company expects a ratio of 89.75% for FY2026 with a margin of 25 basis points and also assumes a persistently elevated medical cost trend in Medicare pricing for FY2027.
  • −Q2 FY2026 benefited from approximately $500 million, or 140 basis points of the medical benefit ratio, related to an updated risk-adjustment settlement for the individual exchange business and favorable prior-year development. Management confirmed that underlying performance exceeded its expectations even after excluding these items, but their nonrecurrence makes subsequent earnings comparisons more difficult.
  • −CVS Health expects Caremark membership to decline in FY2027 because of a more conservative approach to underwriting and contract renewals, along with product actions and the exit of certain health-plan clients from specific markets. Client retention is also trending slightly below historical performance, although closer to industry benchmarks.
  • −The 340B business faces pressure from restrictions imposed by drug manufacturers on covered entities and from major specialty drugs transitioning to generics, which management expects to become a headwind in FY2027. The broader strength of Caremark offset the pressure in Q2 FY2026, but the company did not specify its expected magnitude later.
  • −The pharmacy business faces simultaneous pricing and regulatory pressures. Price reductions for certain drugs related to regulation, generic drug entry, and pharmacy reimbursement pressures offset a significant portion of the Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment’s revenue growth. The company also expects regulatory developments and the proposed settlement with FTC to accelerate the shift toward net-cost-based pricing models, increasing execution risk and risks associated with legacy contracts.
  • −On July 30, 2026, a federal appeals court revived portions of claims accusing CVS and other companies of selling ineffective decongestant medications and using misleading “maximum strength” claims. The available data do not specify the value of any financial liability, but the ongoing litigation creates legal and reputational exposure separate from operating performance.
What is CVS Health’s opportunity in the GLP-1 drug market?

The company serves the market through Caremark and Aetna coverage, a direct-to-consumer platform, and a network of approximately 9,000 pharmacy locations and nearly 30,000 pharmacists. MinuteClinic reduced the price of a weight-management visit from $49 to $29, and certain eligible individuals can access treatment for a cash price starting at $149. During 2026, CVS Health announced a collaboration with Eli Lilly involving Zepbound and Foundayo, in addition to its relationship with Novo to dispense oral and injectable Wegovy.

What are the main risks facing Caremark and pharmacy services in FY2027?

Management expects Caremark membership to decline because of greater discipline in underwriting and renewals, as well as product actions and the exit of certain health-plan clients from specific markets. It also expects continued 340B pressure resulting from manufacturer restrictions and the transition of certain major specialty drugs to generics. In contrast, the mitigation plan relies on CVS Specialty and the generic specialty drug portfolio; Cordavis has generated more than $1.8 billion in savings for clients from Humira alone.

How is CVS Health using artificial intelligence and technology to improve performance?

The company has committed to investing more than $20 billion in technology over a decade and, through Q2 FY2026, has achieved more than $1 billion in operating savings. Its claims assistance system reduces processing time by more than 20%, while preparation for certain Aetna One cases has been shortened from 90 minutes to 2 minutes. In addition, 83% of prior authorizations are approved immediately and more than 95% within 24 hours, while automation has returned 1 million hours of pharmacists’ time to direct care.