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Home
Stocks
Corteva, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
54.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
27
3.7%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
51
8.5%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
75
0.9x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
35
0.86%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
73
4.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
82
11▲3Top tier
CTVA

CTVA Corteva, Inc.

Corteva, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
83.91
▼ ⁦-0.69%⁩ (-0.58)
Market Cap$56.1B
Beta0.57
52w Low52w High
60.5490.97
Last Week
⁦-6.74%⁩
Last Month
⁦+10.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+12.68%⁩
Last Year
⁦+15.73%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$84
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$96
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$86–$103⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦-84%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$14–$96⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$95.38
⁦+13.7%⁩
Current Price $83.91·Median $96.00
Low
$86.00
High
$103.00
Current price
$83.91
Average target
$95.38
Street summary

Corteva’s price targets remain stable with limited divergence in confidence

Corteva’s target price expectations remained unchanged over 1 day, 7 days, and 30 days; consensus stayed at $95.38, with the number of analysts holding steady at 5. The range is between $86 and $103, reflecting a $17 difference between the lowest and highest estimates compared with the current price of $83.905, with no recent shift in the consensus level.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.90
Buy
Analyst coverage
21
Buy conviction
71%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time21 analysts rating
4
11
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.90
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    KeyBanc
    Sector Weight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    RBC Capital
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    UBS
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    54.84x
    4.94x39.51x
    Expensive
  • Forward P/E
    21.30x
    3.70x29.59x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    18.24x
    2.62x20.92x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    1.1%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.7%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -25.4%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    49.5%
    7.6%58.9%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    8.5%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.90x
    0.22x3.72x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    48.0%
    4.7%147.8%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.94
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Corteva operates in agricultural technology through two main businesses: Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed business generates revenue from the sale of seeds, traits, and licenses, benefiting from demand for the latest genetic combinations and products such as Pioneer, Brevant, and Conkesta E3; Crop Protection sells herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, and biological products, with an increasing focus on differentiated and new products. In the first half of fiscal year 2026, the Seed business delivered organic growth across all regions, while Crop Protection benefited from volume growth in new products despite competitive pricing pressure.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $6.4 billion and gross profit reached $3.7 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 57.8%, while net income was $1.2 billion and earnings per share were $1.73. Operating EBITDA reached $2.3 billion, up 4% year over year. For the first half of fiscal year 2026, net sales increased 4% to $11.3 billion, organic sales grew 2%, and operating EBITDA reached $3.7 billion, up 10%, with the margin expanding by approximately 200 basis points to 32.8%.

The improvement in the first half of fiscal year 2026 came from a specific mix: price and mix added approximately $100 million, volume about $40 million, cost reductions and productivity improvements more than $160 million, currency approximately $85 million, and improved net seed licensing returns $90 million. This contribution shows that earnings growth did not depend on sales alone, but also on seed pricing, licensing, manufacturing efficiency, and lower input costs, while Crop Protection pricing remained under pressure.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 31, 2026, Corteva raised its fiscal year 2026 outlook to operating EBITDA of between $4.1 billion and $4.3 billion, operating earnings per share of between $3.60 and $3.80, and an operating margin of between 22.5% and 23.5%. The midpoints represent growth of approximately 9% in operating EBITDA and 11% in earnings per share compared with the previous fiscal year.
  • Revenue from the new-product portfolio in Crop Protection is approaching $2 billion during fiscal year 2026; pricing for these products remained nearly stable in the first half, with volumes growing at a high-single-digit rate. The company also expects Crop Protection volumes to grow at a high-single-digit rate in the second half of fiscal year 2026, driven by continued adoption of new products.
  • The seed licensing business is now approximately three years ahead of the original plan, and improved net returns from it contributed $90 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026. Corteva expects to become net royalty positive during fiscal year 2026, adding a source of growth alongside direct seed sales.
  • The strength of the seed portfolio supported modest corn share gains in North America during fiscal year 2026, particularly through Brevant, while soybean share ended nearly stable despite some share loss in the Delta region. In Brazil, management said on July 31, 2026 that the order book was slightly ahead of the market, and it expects Conkesta E3 penetration to reach a high-single-digit or low-double-digit percentage during fiscal year 2027.
  • Corteva is targeting completion of the Vylor separation on October 1, 2026, after filing Form 10, appointing both boards of directors, and completing key leadership appointments. According to the July 31, 2026 update, the expected annual impact from lost integration benefits was reduced from approximately $100 million to about $25 million during fiscal year 2026, while finalizing capital structures and separating information technology systems remain among the outstanding steps.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Results for the first half of fiscal year 2026 demonstrate Corteva's ability to convert 4% net sales growth into 10% operating EBITDA growth, with the margin expanding to 32.8%. This reflects a tangible impact from productivity improvements, lower input costs, and expense discipline, rather than merely benefiting from higher prices.
  • +The company has portfolio-specific growth drivers, including revenue from new Crop Protection products approaching $2 billion during fiscal year 2026, seven new active ingredients planned for launch over the following decade, and Aviso fungicide as the first expected launch among them in Brazil during the years following the July 31, 2026 call date.
  • +The seed licensing business adds a path that is less dependent on direct sales, after moving approximately three years ahead of plan and contributing a $90 million improvement in net returns in the first half of fiscal year 2026. This coincides with strong demand for Pioneer and Brevant technologies and expected momentum in Conkesta E3 penetration in fiscal year 2027.
  • +The increase in earnings and margin ranges for fiscal year 2026 provides a quantitative indication of management's confidence in execution, despite Crop Protection pricing pressure and separation costs. The reduction in the expected impact from lost integration benefits to approximately $25 million also limits the transaction's direct financial burden compared with the previous estimate of $100 million.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $95.38, within a range of $86 to $103, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is approximately 4.8% above the 52-week range high of $90.97, while the lowest target is within the 52-week range of $60.535–$90.97. The data do not include a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so the valuation of CTVA here is based on the target range and the expansion of its operating results, balancing the raised fiscal year 2026 outlook against Crop Protection pricing pressure and execution risks related to the Vylor separation.

BuyAnalyst target: $95.38(+13.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CTVA's results in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026?

Revenue in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $6.4 billion, gross profit was $3.7 billion, and net income was $1.2 billion. Operating EBITDA increased 4% to $2.3 billion. Support came from seed pricing, productivity, licensing, and lower input costs, while growth in new products partially offset Crop Protection pricing pressure.

What is Corteva's fiscal year 2026 outlook following the second-quarter results?

On July 31, 2026, the company raised its operating EBITDA range to $4.1–$4.3 billion. It also raised expected operating earnings per share to $3.60–$3.80 and the operating earnings margin to 22.5%–23.5%. At the midpoints, the outlook equates to growth of approximately 9% in operating EBITDA and 11% in earnings per share compared with the previous fiscal year.

How does the Seed business affect Corteva's growth?

The Seed business delivered organic growth across all regions during the first half of fiscal year 2026, led by North America and the Europe, Middle East, and Africa region. Improved net licensing returns contributed $90 million, with the licensing business approximately three years ahead of the original plan. The company also recorded a modest corn share gain through Pioneer and Brevant, and expects Conkesta E3 penetration to reach a high-single-digit or low-double-digit percentage in fiscal year 2027.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Crop Protection pricing pressure remains the most prominent operational risk; prices declined by approximately 3% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and the company expects a low- to mid-single-digit decline in the second half, with high-single-digit pressure in Brazil and no pricing recovery expected there during fiscal year 2026.
  • −Some Crop Protection molecules face competition from generic products following patent expirations, particularly in pre-emergence herbicides. Corteva has had to reduce prices for these products to preserve share, and although cost restructuring protected margins in the first half of fiscal year 2026, continued competition may test the company's ability to repeat this.
  • −Farmer conditions are pressuring demand, particularly in Brazil, where management indicated on July 31, 2026 that credit was difficult, fuel and fertilizer costs were high, and farmer margins were tight. The company also assumed that Brazilian corn acreage would remain nearly stable in the second half of fiscal year 2026, rather than repeat the safrinha expansion recorded in previous years.
  • −The second half of fiscal year 2026 is characterized by seasonal weakness and a high concentration of earnings in quarter 4; management expects an operating loss of approximately $100 million in quarter 3, total second-half earnings of only about $500 million, and year-over-year results to remain nearly stable. The effects of tariffs, lost integration benefits, and the Middle East conflict are also concentrated in this half, making achievement of the guidance more sensitive to the timing of sales and costs.
  • −The Vylor separation targeted for October 1, 2026 entails execution risks, because the outstanding steps according to the July 31, 2026 call include amendments to Form 10, finalizing capital structures, completing the separation of information technology systems, and Form 10 becoming effective. Although the expected impact from lost integration benefits was reduced to approximately $25 million, the target date is conditional on completing these stages.
  • −The July 31, 2026 session showed high trading sensitivity, as the stock fell 10.51% amid conflicting reports regarding the interpretation of quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 results and the annual outlook. This volatility increases repricing risk around the separation and results, even as the company confirmed on the call on the same date that it had raised its operating earnings and earnings per share outlook.
What are the key risks facing CTVA's Crop Protection business?

Crop Protection prices declined by a low-single-digit percentage in the first half of fiscal year 2026, approximately 3% according to management. The company expects prices to decline by a low- to mid-single-digit percentage in the second half, with greater pressure in Brazil and competition from generic products following the expiration of some patents. In contrast, revenue from new products is approaching $2 billion during fiscal year 2026, and their prices remained nearly stable while volumes grew at a high-single-digit rate.

What does the Vylor separation mean for Corteva shareholders?

The company is targeting completion of the separation on October 1, 2026, with Vylor beginning operations as an independent public company focused on advanced seeds and genetics. As of July 31, 2026, Corteva had publicly filed Form 10, appointed both boards of directors, and announced Luke Kism as Chief Executive Officer of New Corteva, while capital structures and the separation of information technology remained among the required work. Management estimated the remaining impact from lost integration benefits at approximately $25 million during fiscal year 2026, down from a previous estimate of $100 million.

How do analyst targets for CTVA stock compare with its annual range?

The average analyst price target is $95.38, with a high target of $103 and a low target of $86, and a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average target exceeds the 52-week range high of $90.97 by approximately 4.8%, while the low target remains within the $60.535–$90.97 range. The data do not present a usable price-to-earnings ratio, so the target range should be considered alongside the raised fiscal year 2026 outlook, pricing pressure, and the operational separation.