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Centuri Holdings, Inc.
CTRI

CTRI Centuri Holdings, Inc.

Centuri Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
20.16
▼ ⁦-0.44%⁩ (-0.09)
Market Cap$2.0B
Beta1.11
52w Low52w High
19.0442.99
Last Week
⁦-1.61%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-33.25%⁩
Last Year
⁦-0.59%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall23
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 6/9Better than 23% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
44
61.1x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
89
40.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
20
5.3%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
33
4.1x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
24
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
21
9.8%▲2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
72
5▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$20
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$36
⁦+79%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$33–$36⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$35.00
⁦+73.6%⁩
Current Price $20.16·Median $36.00
Low
$33.00
High
$36.00
Current price
$20.16
Average target
$35.00
Street summary

Stable Targets with Slight Improvement and Divergent Ratings

The consensus price target has remained at 35 since September 4 and 7, 2026, with a range between 33 and 36 and only one analyst. Over the last 30 days, the consensus rose from 34.67 to 35, an increase of 0.95%, with no change in the number of analysts; this indicates limited improvement rather than broad repricing or a clear increase in confidence.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.86
Hold
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
3
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 2.86
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-11
    UBS
    Neutral· $36.00
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    61.09x
    4.50x36.01x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    24.07x
    4.35x34.77x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    11.99x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -0.0%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    40.3%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    1200.0%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    7.8%
    9.8%69.4%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    5.3%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.11x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-07 data

Company Overview

Centuri Holdings provides energy infrastructure services in North America, including gas and electric transmission and distribution networks, substations, and data center-related infrastructure. It generates revenue from Master Service Agreements MSA and bid projects; in fiscal year 2025, MSA accounted for approximately 78% of the business versus 22% for bid work, while activity was split 53% gas and 47% electric. The company relies on relationships with regulated utilities and reported an MSA renewal rate of 100%.

In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, revenue reached $961.99 million, representing year-over-year growth of 32.86% and a positive surprise of $125.97 million versus expectations, while earnings per share reached $0.24, exceeding expectations by $0.04. The published data for this quarter does not include a breakdown of gross profit, margins, or segment mix, so the latest complete operating breakdown remains quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026.

In quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, Centuri reported revenue of $723.2 million and gross profit of $35.8 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 5%, but it incurred a net loss of $9.5 million and a loss per share of $0.09. U.S. Gas net revenue was approximately $284 million, Canadian operations revenue was $60 million, core Union Electric revenue was approximately $199 million, and core Non-union Electric revenue was approximately $151 million. On a trailing twelve-month basis ending in 2026, revenue was $3.2 billion, gross profit was $262 million, and net income was $30.8 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 results showed strong acceleration, with revenue rising 32.86% year over year to $961.99 million, exceeding expectations by approximately $125.97 million, while earnings per share surpassed expectations by $0.04 to reach $0.24.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Bookings in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026 reached approximately $1.3 billion, equivalent to a book-to-bill ratio of 1.8 times, and included $900 million of MSA renewals, $180 million of new or expanded MSA, and $250 million of bid work.
  • Backlog reached a record $6.5 billion, while the opportunity pipeline stood at $13 billion; in April 2026, the company had approximately $2 billion in pending bids, including nearly $200 million of data center work under negotiation.
  • Since the beginning of fiscal year 2025, Centuri has secured $170 million of data center-related work and was evaluating and bidding on approximately $1.5 billion of additional opportunities in this market, leveraging its expertise in substations, interconnections, and electrical infrastructure.
  • Management is targeting fiscal year 2026 revenue between $3.24 billion and $3.54 billion, adjusted EBITDA between $280 million and $310 million, adjusted net income between $55 million and $75 million, and free cash flow exceeding $60 million.
  • The One Centuri plan targets a compound annual growth rate between 10% and 15% in core revenue through fiscal year 2029, an improvement between 70 and 170 basis points in core gross margin, and a compound annual growth rate between 30% and 45% in adjusted earnings per share.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Quarter 2 fiscal year 2026 results support the case for continued demand, after the company achieved year-over-year revenue growth of 32.86% and exceeded revenue and earnings-per-share estimates by a clear margin.
    • +Bookings of $1.3 billion in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, backlog of $6.5 billion, and an opportunity pipeline of $13 billion provide operating visibility extending into fiscal year 2027, with management focused on selecting higher-margin work.
    • +Seasonal performance improved in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026; core gross profit rose 96% year over year, and its margin increased from 2.7% to 4.1%, while the gross loss in U.S. Gas improved by 57% to $6 million.
    • +The company is targeting a reduction in net debt to adjusted EBITDA from 2.7 times at the end of quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026 to approximately 2 times by the end of fiscal year 2026, with expected free cash flow exceeding $60 million and no planned equity issuance under the fiscal year 2029 plan.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Cash flow remained under pressure in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, as operations used $35 million and free cash flow was negative $54 million due to working capital timing and growth, making achievement of the full-year free cash flow forecast exceeding $60 million dependent on a reversal of this effect during the remainder of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Despite the year-over-year improvement, U.S. Gas recorded a gross loss of $6 million in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, highlighting continued seasonal and weather sensitivity; storm Fern affected Northeast operations and temporarily delayed the start of a multi-year MSA in Texas.
    • −Core gross margin for Non-union Electric declined from 8.7% to 6.3% in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026 due to the startup of an MSA, resource allocation to post-storm grid restoration work, and seasonal weather, despite activity and margins returning to normal levels by the end of March 2026.
    • −The fiscal year 2029 targets require simultaneous execution to increase the share of bid work from 22% in fiscal year 2025 to approximately 35%, achieve a compound annual growth rate between 10% and 15% in core revenue, and improve core margin by up to 170 basis points; any difficulty converting the $13 billion opportunity pipeline into profitable contracts could weaken these targets.
    • −The shift to a balanced fleet mix of 50% purchased and 50% leased creates cumulative pressure on EBITDA margin through fiscal year 2029, according to management, even with its expected benefits for free cash flow and capital efficiency.
    • −The average analyst price target of $35 is below the 52-week range high of $42.985, while the target range is only $33 to $36; this leaves the valuation sensitive to Centuri's ability to convert rapid growth into sustainable earnings, margins, and cash flows, particularly given the loss in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $35 and a narrow range between $33 and $36. The average is below the 52-week range high of $42.985 and above its low of $19.04. No displayed price-to-earnings ratio is available, while trailing twelve-month earnings per share ending in 2026 were only approximately $0.31, so the valuation case depends heavily on achieving earnings growth, margin improvement, and cash flow targets through fiscal year 2029.

    BuyAnalyst target: $35(+73.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the main driver of Centuri's growth in fiscal year 2026?

    Growth came from gas and electric work, with expansion in MSA and bid work. In quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, U.S. Gas revenue rose 44% to $284 million, Canadian operations increased 51% to $60 million, core Union Electric revenue grew 14% to $199 million, and core Non-union Electric revenue grew 25% to $151 million. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026, total revenue accelerated to $961.99 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 32.86%.

    How large is CTRI's exposure to data centers?

    Since the beginning of fiscal year 2025, Centuri has secured $170 million of data center-related work. In May 2026, the company was evaluating and bidding on approximately $1.5 billion of additional work, with nearly $200 million under negotiation among the pending bids in April 2026. Its capabilities relevant to this market include substations, interconnections, and electrical infrastructure, and management describes this work as having attractive margin characteristics.

    Was Centuri profitable in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026?

    The company reported a net loss of $9.5 million and a loss per share of $0.09 in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026. However, the loss attributable to common shares improved from $18 million in the comparable period to $9 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose 35% to $33 million. Gross profit also increased 76% year over year to approximately $36 million, and core gross profit rose 96% to $28 million.

    What is Centuri's outlook for fiscal year 2026?

    Management expects revenue between $3.24 billion and $3.54 billion in fiscal year 2026 and core revenue between $3.15 billion and $3.45 billion. It expects adjusted EBITDA between $280 million and $310 million and adjusted net income between $55 million and $75 million. It is also targeting free cash flow exceeding $60 million, net capital expenditures between $75 million and $90 million, and net debt to adjusted EBITDA of approximately 2 times by the end of fiscal year 2026.

    How does Centuri plan to improve margins through fiscal year 2029?

    The company is targeting an improvement between 70 and 170 basis points in core gross margin through fiscal year 2029. The plan depends on increasing the mix of higher-margin bid work from 22% in fiscal year 2025 to approximately 35%, reducing seasonal effects, and improving pricing, project selection, and fleet efficiency. In quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, core gross margin increased to 4.1% from 2.7%, while trailing twelve-month core margin reached 8%, an increase of 100 basis points.

    What are the main financial and operational risks facing CTRI?

    Free cash flow was negative $54 million in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026, requiring significant improvement during the remainder of the year to achieve the full-year forecast exceeding $60 million. U.S. Gas recorded a gross loss of $6 million, while core Non-union Electric margin declined to 6.3% from 8.7%. In addition, the fiscal year 2029 plan requires converting a $13 billion opportunity pipeline into profitable work while increasing the share of bid work, improving margins, and reducing leverage.