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Stocks
CSW Industrials, Inc.
CSW

CSW CSW Industrials, Inc.

CSW Industrials, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
286.62
▼ ⁦-0.03%⁩ (-0.08)
Market Cap$4.7B
Beta0.81
52w Low52w High
230.45355.48
Last Week
⁦-1.97%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall64
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 64% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
28
39.1x▼17.3xBottom tier
▸
Growth
63
27.7%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
68
9.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
61
3.3x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
74
0.38%▲0.19%Top tier
▸
Momentum
65
24.8%▲0.2%Around median
▸
Sentiment
47
4▲3Around median
Last Month
⁦-3.29%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.33%⁩
Last Year
⁦+19.21%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$287⁩
  • Discounted cash flow model
    ⁦8.9%⁩ discount rate · follows analysts' earnings estimates, then ⁦20%⁩ growth
    ⁦$406⁩
    ⁦+42%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$309⁩–⁦$563⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦−46%⁩
  • Analyst targetsLow confidence
    4 analysts
    ⁦$299⁩
    ⁦+4%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$285⁩–⁦$313⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+20%⁩

The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today

  • Value with no growth
    Today's after-tax operating profit, held flat forever, at a ⁦8.9%⁩ discount rate
    ⁦$53⁩
    ⁦−81%⁩

⁦81%⁩ of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.

1
methods value it above the price
1
methods near the price
0
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.27%⁩ as of ⁦2026-10-06⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$299.00
⁦+4.3%⁩
Current Price $286.62·Median $299.00
Low
$285.00
High
$313.00
Current price
$286.62
Average target
$299.00
Street summary

Downward revision of CSW Industrials price expectations

Bearish tilt

CSW Industrials stock has seen a negative revision in analyst estimates over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling by 8.09% to 299, compared to 325.33 previously. This decline comes despite the number of analysts remaining at 4, indicating a collective reassessment of the stock's fair value. It is noted that the current stock price (342.71) is trading at a significant premium, exceeding even the highest price target set by analysts (313), which reflects a clear gap between the stock's market performance and the estimates of financial institutions.

As of 2026-08-17
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.71
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
43%
Mixed
Target dispersion
10%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
2
1
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.71 → 3.71
Recent analyst moves
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    —· $285.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Truist Securities
    —· $300.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    39.10x
    5.53x44.25x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    22.56x
    4.31x34.46x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    21.10x
    3.33x26.63x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    3.1%
    -34.9%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    27.7%
    -11.7%44.6%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -12.1%
    -138.1%139.7%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    42.4%
    8.3%53.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    9.6%
    -25.7%19.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.30x
    0.55x4.37x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.4%
    0.0%5.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    15.2%
    11.3%114.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.74
    -4.947.95
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-08-30Based on 2026-05-26 data

Company Overview

CSW Industrials operates as a diversified industrial company selling specialized products to the heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, plumbing, and electrical markets, alongside industrial reliability solutions and engineered building products. The company generates revenue through three segments: Contractor Solutions, which includes repair, replacement, and installation products such as Mars, Aspen, and DuctStrip; Specialized Reliability Solutions, which provides products and solutions for industrial applications; and Engineered Building Solutions, which includes product lines such as Smoke Guard and VACO. In Q4 fiscal 2026, Contractor Solutions represented approximately 76% of consolidated revenue, generating $237 million, compared with $46 million for Specialized Reliability Solutions and $27.6 million for Engineered Building Solutions.

In Q1 fiscal 2027, revenue was $350.6 million, gross profit was $157.4 million, net income was $49.8 million, and earnings per share were $3.04. These figures equate to a gross margin of approximately 44.9% and a net income margin of approximately 14.2%. Fiscal 2027 trailing-twelve-month revenue was approximately $1.2 billion, with gross profit of $495.6 million and net income of $120.9 million.

Q4 fiscal 2026 results showed the nature of the growth that preceded the fiscal 2027 figures; revenue increased 34% to $309 million, but consolidated organic growth was limited to 2.8% because acquisitions were the largest driver. Adjusted gross profit was $135 million at a margin of 43.5%, down 70 basis points, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 39% to $83 million and its margin expanded to 26.8%. GAAP net income for the quarter was $20.2 million, while adjusted earnings per share were $3.14, up 21% year over year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The expansion of the Contractor Solutions portfolio through Mars and Aspen is the largest volume driver; in Q4 fiscal 2026, segment revenue increased 43% to $237 million, with $67 million, or 40.3%, of the growth coming from acquisitions, while organic growth was 2.6%. Treating Mars and Aspen as if they had been owned during the comparison period, the segment's pro forma organic growth was 5.5%.
  • Mars synergies exceeded initial expectations; the company implemented actions worth more than $10 million and raised its forecast for annual synergies to more than $12 million, while targeting an earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin above 30% by the first anniversary of ownership in November 2026. The migration of Mars onto the company's enterprise resource planning system in January 2026 and the integration of the customer-facing interface at Aspen in May 2026 also support cross-selling and easier product ordering.
  • DuctStrip and Flair expand the company's exposure to ductless HVACR solutions and smart controls. CSW Industrials paid approximately $21 million to acquire DuctStrip, a cable that combines the conductors required for mini-split systems, and estimated its incremental contribution to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at approximately $2 million; it also invested an additional $4.8 million in Flair and its room-temperature control and energy-saving products.
  • Specialized Reliability Solutions improved its performance in Q4 fiscal 2026, with revenue increasing 22.4% to $46 million, including organic growth of 8.8%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization jumped 73.7% to $10.1 million. The segment margin expanded 640 basis points to 21.8%, driven by higher-margin acquisitions, pricing, and an improved product mix.
  • For fiscal 2027, management is targeting growth in revenue, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, adjusted earnings per share, and free cash flow, with revenue growth in all three segments after excluding the impact of the GRD exit in Engineered Building Solutions. It also expects a higher full-year margin in Specialized Reliability Solutions and a higher margin in Engineered Building Solutions excluding GRD, but did not provide a numerical range for organic revenue growth.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company has demonstrated its ability to expand revenue through acquisitions while maintaining positive organic growth; Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue increased 34%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased by a greater 39%, and its margin expanded 90 basis points to 26.8%.
  • +The addition of Mars and Aspen gives the Contractor Solutions portfolio a better balance between demand for HVAC unit repairs and replacements. Management pointed to a stable residential market, the resumption of distributor restocking in March and April 2026, and continued demand momentum in May 2026, while the acquired products enable the company to serve the repair cycle when replacement demand remains weak.
  • +Mars integration plans are showing measurable progress, with more than $10 million of implemented synergies and a forecast exceeding $12 million, compared with the initial target of $10 million. The unification of ordering systems creates an opportunity to sell Mars, Aspen, and the broader Contractor Solutions portfolio to the same customers, alongside shifting sales toward higher-margin products after rationalizing stock-keeping units.
  • +The GRD exit enhances the quality of the Engineered Building Solutions segment; excluding the GRD business, segment revenue increased 10.5% to $21.7 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin was 25.8%, compared with 21.2% in the comparison period. The remaining businesses also recorded a book-to-bill ratio of 1.05 times, with the Smoke Guard and VACO backlog growing 13%.

Valuation

The analyst consensus on CSW shares is "Neutral," with an average price target of $299 and a relatively narrow target range of $285 to $313. The average target falls within the 52-week range of $230.45 to $355.483 and well below its high, reflecting the market's balance between acquisition growth and synergies on one hand, and higher debt and interest expense, margin dilution, and weak organic growth on the other. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data, so a reliable judgment based on the earnings multiple cannot be made.

HoldAnalyst target: $299(+4.3%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CSW Industrials' growth in Q4 fiscal 2026?

Revenue increased 34% to a record $309 million, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 39% to $83 million. Acquisitions were the largest driver, as consolidated organic growth was limited to 2.8%. In Contractor Solutions, acquisitions added $67 million of growth, compared with an organic contribution of $4.3 million.

How are Mars and Aspen changing CSW Industrials' growth model?

Mars and Aspen increase the company's exposure to HVAC repair parts alongside its unit replacement business, making the Contractor Solutions portfolio more balanced between the repair and replacement cycles. Aspen achieved revenue growth of 10.4% in Q4 fiscal 2026, and its growth since the acquisition on May 1, 2025, was approximately 13.5%. For Mars, the company implemented more than $10 million of synergies and expects synergies to exceed $12 million, with an operating margin above 30% by November 2026.

What is the importance of DuctStrip and Flair to CSW Industrials' portfolio?

The company acquired DuctStrip for $21 million in Q4 fiscal 2026. The product combines the conductors for mini-split HVAC systems into a single cable to accelerate installation. Management estimated the net addition to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization at approximately $2 million because CSW was a major distributor of the product before the acquisition. It also added $4.8 million to its investment in Flair, which develops smart vents and room-level thermal controls for ductless systems.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case8 pts

  • −The revenue mix is heavily dependent on Contractor Solutions, which represented 76% of Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue, making results highly sensitive to the residential HVAC cycle. Management assumed a roughly stable market in fiscal 2027, with continued weakness in new-home construction and existing-home sales and no strong recovery in replacement demand through May 2026.
  • −Most of the growth in Q4 fiscal 2026 came from acquisitions rather than organic activity; consolidated revenue increased 34%, while organic growth was only 2.8%. In Contractor Solutions, acquisitions added $67 million, or 40.3%, while organic growth was 2.6% and pricing was accompanied by a slight decline in unit volume, revealing slower underlying demand relative to the reported growth rate.
  • −Acquisitions diluted the Contractor Solutions margin before synergies were fully realized; the segment's adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin declined from 33.7% to 31.7% in Q4 fiscal 2026. Management also explained that Aspen will remain below the segment's average margin and that Mars is targeting a margin above 30%, but it may remain below the historical level of approximately 32% to 33%.
  • −The financial burden increased after the company moved from net cash to net debt; debt used for covenant calculations was $843 million, and the net-debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio was 2.55 times at the end of fiscal 2026. Management estimates fiscal 2027 interest expense at approximately $46 million and intangible asset amortization at approximately $61 million, two factors that could cause GAAP earnings growth to be weaker than adjusted operating earnings growth.
  • −Free cash flow turned negative at $6.8 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, compared with positive $22.8 million in the comparison period, due to working capital funding, acquisition integration costs, and higher interest expense. Although management expects strong free cash flow growth during fiscal 2027, restoring cash conversion remains a key execution point following a year-over-year decline of $29.6 million in that quarter.
  • −Margins face pressure from material, tariff, and transportation costs; adjusted gross margin declined 70 basis points to 43.5% in Q4 fiscal 2026, while ocean freight costs increased 25% to 30% during the months preceding the May 26, 2026 call. Specialized Reliability Solutions implemented three price increases in April, May, and June 2026, while Contractor Solutions had not announced an additional price increase, leaving a timing gap before some costs are offset.
  • −The plan to sell GRD US and exit GRD Canada resulted in an impairment charge of $15.6 million and exit expenses of $2.1 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, with additional costs of between $1 million and $2 million expected. The decision reflects weakness in the Canadian multifamily housing market and higher aluminum costs, and it also requires completing the sale and exit without exceeding the expected cost.
  • −Insiders recorded five sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, for net sales of $3.2 million. This is a weaker trading signal than the operational and financial risks because insider sales may have been prearranged, and the context did not specify the nature of those transactions.
Can CSW Industrials' balance sheet absorb the acquisitions?

The company ended fiscal 2026 with net debt of $843 million for covenant calculation purposes and a net-debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio of 2.55 times. This ratio is within management's target range of one to three times, but it is clearly higher than the previous net cash position. Management expects interest expense of approximately $46 million in fiscal 2027, with available cash flow directed toward debt reduction when suitable acquisitions or share repurchases are not available.

Why is CSW Industrials exiting the GRD business?

The company classified GRD US as held for sale on March 31, 2026, and decided to exit GRD Canada because of weakness in the Canadian market and multifamily housing, as well as higher aluminum costs. The decisions resulted in an impairment charge of $15.6 million and expenses related to the Canadian exit of $2.1 million, with additional expected costs of between $1 million and $2 million. Excluding GRD, Engineered Building Solutions revenue in Q4 fiscal 2026 was approximately $21.7 million, and the adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin was 25.8%.

What are the key items to monitor in fiscal 2027?

Management expects growth in revenue, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, adjusted earnings per share, and free cash flow during fiscal 2027, but it did not specify a numerical range for organic growth. Execution indicators include achieving more than $12 million of Mars synergies, improving Specialized Reliability Solutions margins, and completing the GRD exit. The recovery in free cash flow following its negative $6.8 million result in Q4 fiscal 2026 and the ability of pricing to offset material and freight inflation should also be monitored.