EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Cisco Systems, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/8Congress sellingBetter than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
27
32.6x▼18.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
77
11.8%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
85
16.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
73
1.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
35
—2.10%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
86
71.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
40
14▲3Around median
CSCO

CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc.

Cisco Systems, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Open
108.96
▼ ⁦-0.22%⁩ (-0.24)
Market Cap$430.4B
Beta1.01
52w Low52w High
65.75130.37
Last Week
⁦-0.88%⁩
Last Month
⁦-10.32%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+9.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦+54.18%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$109
Analyst target · 18 analysts
$135
⁦+24%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$110–$150⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$57
⁦-48%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.8⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$57–$135⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 18 analysts setting price target
$132.00
⁦+21.1%⁩
Current Price $108.96·Median $135.00
Low
$110.00
High
$150.00
Current price
$108.96
Average target
$132.00
Street summary

Rising Consensus with Divergent Analyst Signals

Cisco Systems’ consensus price target rose to 132 from 126.44 30 days ago, an increase of 5.56 or 4.4%, while the number of analysts remained at 18. The consensus did not change over the last 7 days or 1 day. Current targets range from 110 to 150, while the median is 135, reflecting a notable divergence in estimates despite the current price remaining at 109.2.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.85
Buy
Analyst coverage
27
Buy conviction
67%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time27 analysts rating
5
13
9
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.62 → 3.85
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-14
    HSBC
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Evercore ISI Group
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.60x
    7.08x56.62x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.83x
    5.23x41.81x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    22.86x
    4.60x36.80x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    2.9%
    -56.3%10.3%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.8%
    -18.0%68.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    31.4%
    -157.8%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    64.5%
    13.2%79.6%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    16.3%
    -63.2%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.11x
    0.26x3.28x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-12 data

Company Overview

Cisco Systems sells networking, communications, security, and enterprise observability infrastructure, combining Silicon One systems, Acacia optics, data center switches, wireless networking, security products, Splunk, and Webex. It generates revenue from products, services, software, and subscriptions; in Q4 fiscal 2026, product revenue totaled $13.5 billion, compared with $3.8 billion for services, while software revenue reached $6.2 billion, subscriptions represented 48% of total revenue, and annual recurring revenue reached $32.1 billion.

In Q4 fiscal 2026, Cisco reported record revenue of $17.3 billion, up 18% year over year, including 24% growth in product revenue and 28% growth in networking, while services revenue remained stable. Non-GAAP net income totaled $4.9 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share were $1.22, with both growing 23%, while the non-GAAP gross margin reached 66.3% and the operating margin reached 35.9%.

The company concluded fiscal 2026 with record revenue of $63.3 billion, up 12%, non-GAAP net income of $17.2 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share of $4.33. Product orders in Q4 fiscal 2026 grew 35%, comprising 95% growth among service provider and cloud customers, 30% in the public sector, and 21% in enterprises, showing that the acceleration was not limited to a single market.

What's Driving the Stock

  • AI infrastructure orders from major cloud service providers reached $4 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026 and $9.3 billion in fiscal 2026, approximately 4.5 times their fiscal 2025 level. The orders consisted of approximately 60% Silicon One systems and 40% optics, and the company aims to convert this momentum into $7.5 billion in AI infrastructure revenue from these customers in fiscal 2027.
  • Networking orders rose 40% in Q4 fiscal 2026, driven by triple-digit growth in service provider routing and Acacia optics, while Acacia orders exceeded $1 billion during the quarter. Cisco also secured three new design wins with major cloud service providers, including one based on the P200 system, and began receiving orders from three separate customers for this system.
  • Cisco expects revenue of between $72.2 billion and $73.4 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of between $5.05 and $5.11 in fiscal 2027. For Q1 fiscal 2027, it expects revenue of between $18.0 billion and $18.2 billion, a non-GAAP gross margin of between 65% and 66%, and non-GAAP earnings per share of between $1.32 and $1.34.
  • Enterprise demand expanded beyond major cloud providers; AI infrastructure orders from emerging cloud, sovereign, and enterprise customers exceeded $400 million in Q4 fiscal 2026 and $1 billion during the year. Orders for Nexus switches used in AI deployments rose by more than 85% sequentially, while data center networking orders grew by more than 35% year over year.
  • Security products, including Splunk, achieved double-digit order growth during Q4 fiscal 2026, while security revenue rose 14%. More than 1,500 customers purchased Secure Access, XDR, HyperShield, and AI Defense products during the quarter, bringing the number of new customers since launch to more than 6,400, while firewall orders grew by more than 30%.
  • On August 25, 2026, Cisco expanded the Secure AI Factory initiative through a partnership with Supermicro that integrates liquid- and air-cooling systems with NVIDIA technologies. This adds integrated thermal and computing components to the company's offering for deploying secure AI infrastructure in data centers.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The AI networking investment cycle provides a measurable driver after infrastructure orders from major cloud providers rose to $9.3 billion in fiscal 2026, compared with actual revenue of approximately $4 billion, with a target of $7.5 billion in revenue for fiscal 2027.
  • +Cisco combines chips, systems, software, optics, and security, which was reflected in three new design wins with major cloud service providers and 40% growth in networking orders during Q4 fiscal 2026. The company also plans to expand Silicon One across high-performance networking systems by fiscal 2029, giving it greater control over innovation and supply.
  • +The results show operating leverage despite the decline in gross margin; revenue grew 18% in Q4 fiscal 2026, while non-GAAP net income and earnings per share grew 23%, and the operating margin rose to 35.9%. Operating cash flow increased 27% to $5.4 billion during the quarter.
  • +Cash flow supports substantial capital returns; Cisco returned $12.7 billion to shareholders in fiscal 2026, equivalent to 99% of free cash flow, including $6.6 billion in dividends and $6.1 billion in share repurchases. It also raised its dividend for the fifteenth consecutive year, with $8.1 billion remaining under its repurchase authorization.

▼ Selling Case

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $131.73, close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $130.37, while the target range extends from $110 to $150 and the consensus rating indicates a buy. A reliable price-to-earnings ratio is not available in the provided data, so the valuation of CSCO here is based on the breadth of the target range and the company's ability to achieve its fiscal 2027 guidance while containing pressure on hardware margins and memory costs.

BuyAnalyst target: $131.73(+20.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-26; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the primary driver of Cisco's growth in fiscal 2027?

The most prominent driver is AI infrastructure for major cloud service providers, after Cisco recorded orders worth $9.3 billion in fiscal 2026, including $4 billion in Q4 alone. The company is targeting $7.5 billion in revenue associated with these customers in fiscal 2027, compared with approximately $4 billion in fiscal 2026. This is supported by three new design wins in Q4 fiscal 2026, including P200 and G200 systems and a managed optical networking solution.

Does Cisco's growth depend solely on major cloud service providers?

No; enterprise orders rose 21%, public sector orders rose 30%, and telecommunications orders rose by more than 30% in Q4 fiscal 2026. Campus networking orders also grew 20%, and Wi-Fi 7 orders accounted for more than half of total wireless product orders. In addition, AI infrastructure orders from emerging cloud, sovereign, and enterprise customers exceeded $1 billion during fiscal 2026.

How is the AI-related hardware surge affecting Cisco's margins?

The higher hardware mix and memory costs reduced the non-GAAP gross margin to 66.3% in Q4 fiscal 2026, down 210 basis points year over year. The product margin fell 270 basis points to 64.8%, while the services margin rose 80 basis points to 71.6%. Nevertheless, lower operating expenses as a percentage of revenue increased the non-GAAP operating margin from 34.3% to 35.9%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

6 pts
  • −A higher hardware mix and memory costs are pressuring gross profitability; the non-GAAP gross margin declined 210 basis points year over year to 66.3% in Q4 fiscal 2026, while the product margin fell 270 basis points to 64.8%. Management expects slight pressure on the gross margin to continue during fiscal 2027 as larger hardware volumes are shipped, despite targeting an operating margin of approximately 35%.
  • −The AI revenue target requires precise execution to convert large, nonlinear orders into sales; orders reached $9.3 billion in fiscal 2026, compared with revenue of approximately $4 billion, while the revenue target is $7.5 billion in fiscal 2027. Management explained that these orders are substantial and placed well in advance of delivery, making the timing of revenue recognition variable.
  • −The growth rate may slow after Q1 fiscal 2027 due to difficult year-over-year comparisons; the quarterly guidance implies growth of approximately more than 20%, while management indicated implied growth of approximately 13% across Q2 through Q4 fiscal 2027. The company will also begin comparing its results against previous price increases during the second half of the year, after pricing added approximately five percentage points to revenue growth in Q4 fiscal 2026.
  • −The 14% growth in security revenue in Q4 fiscal 2026 included an unusual contribution from large, long-term on-premises Splunk deals and therefore does not necessarily represent a recurring growth rate. Management expects mid- to high-single-digit security growth in Q1 fiscal 2027, following low-single-digit growth for fiscal 2026.
  • −Memory and certain parts of the supply chain remain sources of pressure, even as Cisco confirms that it has no material lead-time issues and has sufficient supply. Memory costs prompted the company to implement targeted single-digit price increases on certain hardware products, enter strategic agreements, and engage directly with TSMC, highlighting the plan's sensitivity to component costs and availability.
  • −Insider activity during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 19, 2026, recorded net selling of $10 million, with 31 sales and no purchases. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless disclosures state otherwise.
What role do security and Splunk play in Cisco's results?

Security revenue rose 14% in Q4 fiscal 2026, and orders across the entire security portfolio, including Splunk, grew at a double-digit rate. Splunk added more than 280 new customers during the quarter and exceeded its target of one thousand new customers for the year, while more than 1,500 customers purchased Cisco's new security products during the quarter. However, part of Splunk's growth came from large, long-term on-premises deals, so management expects mid- to high-single-digit security growth in Q1 fiscal 2027.

What is Cisco's guidance for Q1 and fiscal 2027?

Cisco expects Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue of between $18.0 billion and $18.2 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of between $1.32 and $1.34. It also expects a non-GAAP gross margin of between 65% and 66% and an operating margin of between 35.5% and 36.5% during that quarter. For fiscal 2027, it targets revenue of between $72.2 billion and $73.4 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of between $5.05 and $5.11.

How does Cisco return capital to shareholders?

Cisco returned $3.2 billion to shareholders in Q4 fiscal 2026, comprising $1.7 billion in dividends and $1.5 billion in share repurchases. Total capital returns in fiscal 2026 reached approximately $12.7 billion, or 99% of free cash flow. The company also raised its dividend for the fifteenth consecutive year, with $8.1 billion remaining available under the share repurchase program.