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CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall36
Weak — below market medianHigh FlyerF 4/8SafeBetter than 36% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
—17.2xBottom tier
▸
Growth
90
24.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
69
-2.3%▼4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
57
0.01%▼0.19%Around median
▸
Momentum
99
75.4%▲0.5%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
74
29▲3Top tier
CRWD

CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
270.04
▲ ⁦+1.48%⁩ (+3.95)
Market Cap$275.0B
Beta1.25
52w Low52w High
85.68273.54
Last Week
⁦+7.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦+32.75%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+35.44%⁩
Last Year
⁦+116.05%⁩
Fair Value
Current price⁦$270⁩
  • Analyst targets
    10 analysts
    ⁦$235⁩
    ⁦−13%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$132⁩–⁦$425⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦+21%⁩
  • Discounted cash flow modelLow confidence
    ⁦10.9%⁩ discount rate · follows analysts' earnings estimates, then ⁦20%⁩ growth
    ⁦$71⁩
    ⁦−74%⁩
    Range ⁦⁦$59⁩–⁦$88⁩⁩Typical for this method across large companies: ⁦−45%⁩
0
methods value it above the price
1
methods near the price
1
methods value it below the price

10-year US Treasury yield ⁦5.29%⁩ as of ⁦2026-09-30⁩. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 10 analysts setting price target
$233.92
⁦-13.4%⁩
Current Price $270.04·Median $235.00
Low
$132.00
High
$425.00
Current price
$270.04
Average target
$233.92
Street summary

Slight increase in target consensus amid wide divergence

The 30-day average price target rose from 230.48 to 233.92, an increase of 1.49%, while it remained unchanged over the last 7 days, as did the number of analysts, which stands at 10. This suggests a slight improvement in consensus, not a broad or recent shift in expectations. The target range is wide, between 132 and 425, and the current price of 270.04 is above the average and median of 235, highlighting significant divergence among estimates.

As of 2026-10-02
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.91
Buy
Analyst coverage
53
Buy conviction
75%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
109%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time53 analysts rating
10
30
12
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.73 → 3.91
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-10-02
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-21
    Morgan Stanley
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-09-18
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    186.36x
    5.29x42.31x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    0.6%
    -57.2%11.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    24.3%
    -20.2%64.4%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    101.9%
    -163.9%188.1%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    75.2%
    13.2%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    -2.3%
    -62.6%26.8%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.0%1.6%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    35.8%
    6.5%77.1%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    24.62
    -9.9014.38
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Last updated: 2026-09-02Based on 2026-08-26 data

Company Overview

CrowdStrike offers the Falcon cybersecurity platform and generates most of its revenue from cloud protection subscriptions covering endpoints, identity, cloud environments, Next-Gen SIEM, exposure management, and AI usage monitoring through AIDR. In Q2 FY2027, subscription revenue accounted for $1.40 billion of total revenue of $1.47 billion, while professional services posted a record $71 million; commercial expansion increasingly relies on Falcon Flex, which allows customers to purchase multiple modules and expand their usage within a unified subscription.

The company recorded 26% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 FY2027, with growth accelerating for the fifth consecutive quarter. Adjusted gross margin was 79%, and adjusted subscription gross margin was 81%, while adjusted operating income reached a record $372 million at a 25% margin, up 350 basis points year over year. GAAP net income was $5 million, compared with record adjusted net income of $323 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.31, while free cash flow reached $377 million, or 26% of revenue.

Ending annual recurring revenue reached $5.84 billion in Q2 FY2027, growing by more than 25%, while net new annual recurring revenue reached a record $333 million, up 51%. Performance was broad-based across customer sizes and regions, but the United States represented about 65% of quarterly revenue versus 35% for international markets, while 51%, 35%, and 26% of subscription customers adopted seven modules and eight or more modules, respectively.

What's Driving the Stock

  • CrowdStrike added $333 million in net new annual recurring revenue in Q2 FY2027, exceeding the high end of its guidance by more than $45 million, and then raised its FY2027 net additions outlook to a range of $1.350–$1.359 billion, representing annual growth of approximately 34%.
  • Annual recurring revenue from accounts that adopted Falcon Flex exceeded $2.29 billion, growing 101%, and the company added more than 935 Flex accounts during the quarter, while all of its ten largest deals by value were Flex deals. Customers migrating from traditional subscriptions to Flex achieved an average increase of more than 40% in ending annual recurring revenue, while new Flex customers contributed 34% of quarterly net additions.
  • Demand for AI protection products accelerated; ending annual recurring revenue for AIDR approached three times its level in the previous quarter, and the company confirmed that it is a separately priced add-on module rather than a replacement for EDR. CrowdStrike also observed in a sample of its customers growth of more than 400% in cloud usage and more than 100% in the use of custom agents on endpoints.
  • Annual recurring revenue for Next-Gen SIEM exceeded $695 million, and annual recurring revenue for the identity business reached more than $585 million, growing 34%, while Falcon Shield grew by more than 185% and the privileged account protection offering by more than 35 times. The cloud business recorded annual recurring revenue of $905 million, growing by more than 29%, demonstrating the breadth of growth beyond the core endpoint product.
  • Partners support the sales pipeline; more than 25 partners collaborated through Project Quiltworks on opportunities with a total contract value of approximately $400 million, and the global systems integrator partner business grew by about 50%. CrowdStrike also executed $600 million in deals through the AWS, Google, and Microsoft marketplaces in Q2 FY2027, an increase of more than 30%.
  • The market reaction to the August 26, 2026 results was strong, with news reports indicating that the stock jumped 11% and then 18.7% after revenue and adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations and the annual outlook was raised. Conversely, the stock fell by more than 5% in a session associated with September 1, 2026 news as the ten-year Treasury yield rose to 4.80% and technology stocks faced broad pressure.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The company combines 26% revenue acceleration with improving profitability, as adjusted operating margin expanded by 350 basis points to 25% and adjusted operating income rose 46% to $372 million in Q2 FY2027.
  • +Falcon Flex provides a scalable engine for expanding customer spending; the initial conversion increases ending annual recurring revenue by more than 40% on average, and customers that recommitted to Flex at least twice had average ending annual recurring revenue more than 53% above the starting point of their first subscription.
  • +CrowdStrike is expanding into additional AI-related categories without replacing the core product; AIDR is sold as a standalone module, while the endpoint business has accelerated for the fourth consecutive quarter, and identity, Next-Gen SIEM, and cloud are delivering separate growth supported by seven- and eight-figure deals.
  • +Liquidity strengthens the quality of growth, as the company generated record operating cash flow of $530 million and free cash flow of $377 million during the quarter, while cash and cash equivalents totaled $5.01 billion.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $230.48, close to the upper end of the 52-week range of $233.88, while the wide spread between the lowest target of $119 and the highest target of $425 reveals substantial disagreement over the growth trajectory and risks. The consensus “Buy” rating supports a positive outlook, but the absence of an available price-to-earnings ratio and a market capitalization of approximately 36.5 times the midpoint of FY2027 revenue guidance make the valuation highly dependent on continued ARR growth and margin expansion, particularly in a high-yield environment.

BuyAnalyst target: $230.48(-14.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What made Q2 FY2027 the best quarter in CrowdStrike's history, according to management?

Revenue reached $1.47 billion, growing 26%, while net new annual recurring revenue reached a record $333 million, growing 51%. The company also recorded record adjusted operating income of $372 million and record free cash flow of $377 million. Net additions exceeded the high end of the company's guidance by more than $45 million, while both gross and net retention rates improved from the previous quarter.

How does Falcon Flex convert platform usage growth into revenue?

Annual recurring revenue from accounts using Falcon Flex exceeded $2.29 billion in Q2 FY2027, growing 101% year over year. CrowdStrike added more than 935 Flex accounts during the quarter, and accounts migrating from traditional subscriptions achieved an average increase of more than 40% in ending annual recurring revenue. More than 630 accounts also recommitted to Flex at least once, and customers that recommitted two or more times had an average increase of 53% compared with the beginning of their first Flex subscription.

How important is AIDR to CrowdStrike's growth?

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The transition from 26% revenue growth in Q2 FY2027 to guidance for 23%–24% growth in Q3 FY2027 implies an expected quarterly slowdown, even as full-year guidance remains at approximately 25% growth.
  • −CrowdStrike faces competition from providers of EDR, SIEM, vulnerability management, and point security products, while one analyst raised the possibility that AI labs could launch their own security solutions. Management responded by emphasizing 15 years of accumulated threat data and Falcon's integration, but maintaining its advantage requires converting this stated differentiation into results in a rapidly changing market.
  • −Approximately 65% of Q2 FY2027 revenue is concentrated in the United States versus 35% internationally, making results more exposed to the U.S. corporate spending cycle and monetary policy, despite international growth accelerating for the fifth consecutive quarter.
  • −The acquisition of XM Cyber's technology assets, expected to close in the second half of FY2027, will add no revenue or annual recurring revenue during FY2027 and therefore provides no near-term support for guidance despite requiring execution and technical integration.
  • −Valuation represents a material risk; the $219 billion market capitalization equals approximately 36.5 times the midpoint of FY2027 revenue guidance of about $6.0 billion, while the price-to-earnings ratio is unavailable in the provided data. This high sales multiple increases the stock's sensitivity to rising yields, and it fell by more than 5% in the September 1, 2026 session as the ten-year U.S. Treasury yield reached 4.80%.
  • −Insider transactions provide a weak negative signal; net selling during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 28, 2026 was approximately $172.1 million, with 838 sales and no purchases recorded. However, insider sales may have been prearranged, and the provided data offers no evidence to the contrary, so they should not be interpreted in isolation as evidence of business deterioration.
AIDR is a separately priced add-on module that operates through the same Falcon agent and is not a replacement for the EDR product, allowing incremental revenue without deploying another software agent. Its ending annual recurring revenue approached three times its level in the previous quarter, and its deals included an eight-figure win with one of the world's largest banks. Management links demand to the need for visibility into AI usage, data loss prevention, and policy enforcement, with a pricing model that includes token allowances and additional packages when those allowances are exceeded.
What is CrowdStrike's guidance for Q3 and FY2027?

For Q3 FY2027, the company expects revenue between $1.523 billion and $1.529 billion, growing 23%–24%, and annual recurring revenue between $6.184 billion and $6.188 billion. For FY2027, it expects revenue between $5.991 billion and $6.011 billion and annual recurring revenue between $6.603 billion and $6.612 billion. It also raised its net new annual recurring revenue guidance to $1.350–$1.359 billion, representing growth of approximately 34% and an increase of about $116 million from the initial outlook.

Which products are driving growth beyond endpoint protection?

Annual recurring revenue for Next-Gen SIEM exceeded $695 million in Q2 FY2027, while identity annual recurring revenue reached more than $585 million, growing 34%. Falcon Shield grew by more than 185%, and the privileged account protection offering grew by more than 35 times, while cloud annual recurring revenue reached $905 million, growing by more than 29%. This is complemented by the acceleration of AIDR and exposure management, alongside the endpoint business continuing to accelerate for the fourth consecutive quarter.

What are the main valuation risks for CRWD stock?

The provided market capitalization is $219 billion, or approximately 36.5 times the midpoint of FY2027 revenue guidance of about $6.0 billion, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data. The average analyst target is $230.48, close to the top of the 52-week range of $233.88, but targets range from $119 to $425. The stock's decline of more than 5% in a session covered by September 1, 2026 news, as the ten-year Treasury yield reached 4.80%, illustrates the sensitivity of the high valuation to changes in discount rates.