EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Crescent Energy Company
CRGY

CRGY Crescent Energy Company

Crescent Energy Company · NYSE
Market Closed
14.66
▲ ⁦+1.73%⁩ (+0.25)
Market Cap$4.8B
Beta0.89
52w Low52w High
7.6814.67
Last Week
⁦+2.73%⁩
Last Month
⁦+26.71%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+11.06%⁩
Last Year
⁦+56.29%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall91
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 5/8DistressBetter than 91% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
84
91.6x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
92
24.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
68
8.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
55
2.2x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
21
2.89%▲2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
90
22.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
66
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$15
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$19
⁦+30%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$14–$19⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$50
⁦+242%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.3⁩% discount · ⁦8⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$19–$50⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$17.20
⁦+17.3%⁩
Current Price $14.66·Median $19.00
Low
$14.00
High
$19.00
Current price
$14.66
Average target
$17.20
Street summary

Limited Divergence in CRGY Targets Despite Higher Consensus

The consensus price target rose from 16.75 to 17.20 over the last 30 days, an increase of 0.45 or 2.69%, while remaining unchanged over the last 7 days or 1 day. The current price is 14.41 versus a target range of 14 to 19, with the consensus and median at 17.20 and 19, respectively. However, coverage is limited to a single analyst, making dispersion and confidence difficult to measure despite the wide range.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.93
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
80%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
2
10
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.93
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    Raymond James
    Strong Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Seaport Global
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    91.62x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    6.53x
    3.36x26.89x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.46x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    18.6%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    24.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    142.1%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    38.6%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    8.9%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.24x
    0.40x3.19x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.9%
    0.4%10.1%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    255.9%
    11.9%109.0%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.02
    -1.814.34
    Near median
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) operates as an energy producer in the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Uinta basins, building its portfolio through asset acquisitions, then reducing costs and optimizing production and cash flows. Its net acreage reached about 1 million acres, and Q2 FY2026 production reached approximately 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, of which 140,000 barrels of oil per day is oil, or nearly 42% of the total. The portfolio also includes a minerals and royalties business, which produced about 13,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day and management expects to generate nearly $200 million in EBITDA during FY2026 without direct development capital.

Crescent Energy recorded Q2 FY2026 revenues of $1.4 billion and net income of $492.8 million, equivalent to an approximate net income margin of 35%, compared to a net loss of $419.8 million on revenues of $1.2 billion in Q1 FY2026. Adjusted EBITDAX reached about $798 million, while levered free cash flow reached a quarterly record of $418 million. For annual comparison, the company achieved revenues of $3.6 billion and net income of $132.9 million in FY2025.

Operational improvement came from the core asset mix: Crescent Energy reduced well costs in the Eagle Ford by about 5% year-over-year to be more than 25% below 2023 levels, and reduced development costs in the Uinta by about 20% to under $800 per foot, while achieving about $190 million in annualized savings in the Permian. This was accompanied by liquidity of nearly $2.2 billion, no near-term maturities, and a weighted average debt maturity of nearly six years at the end of Q2 FY2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The company raised its FY2026 total production guidance to a range of 327,000 to 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, after Q2 FY2026 production exceeded the midpoint of original guidance by about 2% and oil production exceeded it by about 4%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Crescent Energy raised the annualized savings target from Permian assets to between $250 million and $300 million, or about three times the original target of $90 million to $100 million, after realizing about $190 million as of August 4, 2026.
  • Management kept the FY2026 development capital range unchanged at $1.325 billion to $1.425 billion, despite raising production, and also improved adjusted operating expense guidance by $0.50 to a range of $11 to $12 per barrel of oil equivalent; this reflects additional production without a parallel increase in capital.
  • Management expects, according to the August 4, 2026 call, to generate over $1 billion in levered free cash flow during FY2026, after recording $418 million in Q2 FY2026, supporting debt reduction, maintaining distributions, and share repurchases when returns are favorable.
  • The organic inventory base is expanding with the growth of the Austin Chalk program; the company expects the Eagle Ford well mix by the end of FY2026 to be split roughly evenly between the Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk, in parallel with testing additional resource opportunities in the Permian and Uinta during the second half of FY2026 and FY2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The combination of higher production, lower costs, and flat development capital led to a record quarterly levered free cash flow of $418 million in Q2 FY2026, and management is targeting over $1 billion for FY2026.
    • +Achieving $190 million in Permian savings during the first six months post-acquisition, and raising the target to $250 to $300 million, provides a defined path for improving margins and cash flows through FY2027.
    • +Asset efficiency outside the Permian also improved; Eagle Ford well costs dropped by more than 25% compared to 2023 levels, and drilling efficiency in the Uinta rose by about 25% year-over-year, while completion efficiency nearly doubled.
    • +Liquidity of about $2.2 billion, the redemption of the remaining $259 million senior notes due in 2029 on July 31, 2026, and the lack of near-term maturities support the company's ability to deleverage while continuing to distribute $0.12 per share for Q2 FY2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Results remain highly sensitive to commodity price volatility and geopolitical conflicts; management explained on August 4, 2026, that supportive commodity price tailwinds boosted performance, meaning their reversal could pressure free cash flow and the company's ability to reduce debt.
    • −Management expects a natural decline in oil production and total production during the second half of FY2026 due to the timing of bringing wells online and the transition in the Permian from two-mile to three-mile laterals, with expected oil production in the mid-130,000 barrels per day range in Q3 FY2026 versus about 140,000 in Q2.
    • −Crescent Energy expects FY2027 production to be slightly lower than FY2026 as a result of resetting capital intensity in the Permian, which is a clear slowdown risk despite the current improvement in efficiency and costs.
    • −The full Permian savings target has not yet been realized; the gap between the realized savings of $190 million and the target of $250 to $300 million ranges between $60 million and $110 million, and the remaining benefit depends on continued execution through the end of FY2026 and into FY2027.
    • −The development capital program remains substantial at $1.325 to $1.425 billion in FY2026, while management focuses on rapid deleveraging; therefore, weaker-than-expected cash flows could narrow the flexibility between investment, debt repayment, distributions, and share repurchases.
    • −The average analyst target of $18.20 assumes a rerating that exceeds the 52-week high of $14.29 by about 27%, while the lowest target is only $14; thus, realizing the optimistic valuation requires the continuation of Permian savings and high free cash flow despite the expected decline in production.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is a Buy, with an average target of $18.20 and a wide range between $14 and $24, while the 52-week range spans from $7.68 to $14.29. The average target exceeds the 52-week high by about 27%, and the highest target exceeds it by about 68%, but the proximity of the lowest target to that peak reveals a tangible divergence regarding the amount of potential rerating. The optimistic scenario relies on achieving the Permian savings target of $250 to $300 million and generating over $1 billion in free cash flow in FY2026, while it is constrained by the expected decline in production during FY2027 and the sensitivity of results to commodity prices.

    BuyAnalyst target: $18.2(+24.1%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CRGY's results in Q2 FY2026?

    Crescent Energy's production reached about 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, including 140,000 barrels of oil per day, exceeding the midpoint of the original FY2026 plan. The company recorded revenues of $1.4 billion and net income of $492.8 million in Q2 FY2026. It also achieved about $798 million in adjusted EBITDAX and levered free cash flow of $418 million.

    What is the significance of the Permian savings to the Crescent Energy story?

    Upon announcing the acquisition, the company identified an initial annualized savings opportunity of $90 to $100 million. By the August 4, 2026 call, it had realized about $190 million and raised the total target to $250 to $300 million. The savings come from optimizing operations, infrastructure, and commercial terms, with well costs reduced by about 20% to 25% compared to the prior operator. Management expects to achieve the bulk of the target by the end of FY2026 and heading into FY2027.

    What is Crescent Energy's guidance for FY2026?

    The company raised its total production guidance to a range of 327,000 to 335,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. It improved adjusted operating expense guidance by $0.50 to a range of $11 to $12 per barrel of oil equivalent, while keeping development capital at $1.325 to $1.425 billion. According to the August 4, 2026 call, the company expects over $1 billion in levered free cash flow during FY2026.

    How does Crescent Energy allocate its free cash flow?

    Management outlined its priorities as maintaining distributions, strengthening the balance sheet, and then directing excess cash to the highest-return opportunities. It declared a distribution of $0.12 per share for Q2 FY2026, and on July 31, 2026, redeemed the remaining $259 million of 2029 notes. Liquidity reached about $2.2 billion, but management clarified that the near-term focus will remain on rapid deleveraging, with the potential to fund accretive acquisitions or share repurchases when returns are favorable.

    Can CRGY's production growth continue in FY2027?

    Management explained on August 4, 2026, that production in FY2027 is slated for a slight decline compared to FY2026 due to resetting capital intensity in the Permian. It also expects a natural decline in volumes during the second half of FY2026, with oil production in the mid-130,000 barrels per day range in Q3. Conversely, cash flows could improve due to the completion of Permian savings and the broader application of new development designs during FY2027.

    What are the opportunities to expand Crescent Energy's resources beyond current production?

    The company holds about 1 million net acres across the Permian, Eagle Ford, and Uinta, and is working to increase economic locations and lower breakevens. It expects the Eagle Ford well program by the end of FY2026 to be split roughly evenly between the Eagle Ford and Austin Chalk, following expanded activity in the western portion of the assets. It also plans to demonstrate further resource appraisal results in the Permian and Uinta during the second half of FY2026 and FY2027, leveraging improved drilling and completion efficiencies.