EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall90
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 6/9SafeBetter than 90% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
12
57.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
99
165.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
89
28.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
97
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
52
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
57
103.6%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
37
12▲3Bottom tier
CRDO

CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · NASDAQ
Market Closed
162.95
▲ ⁦+1.65%⁩ (+2.64)
Market Cap$30.4B
Beta3.23
52w Low52w High
86.49290.43
Last Week
⁦-0.74%⁩
Last Month
⁦-32.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-27.93%⁩
Last Year
⁦+23.62%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$163
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$275
⁦+69%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$206–$350⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$39
⁦-76%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦12⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$39–$275⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$274.42
⁦+68.4%⁩
Current Price $162.95·Median $275.00
Low
$206.00
High
$350.00
Current price
$162.95
Average target
$274.42
Street summary

A slight rise in consensus with wide divergence

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose to 274.42 from 268.69 over 7 days, an increase of 5.73 or 2.13%, while remaining stable over the last day and changing only marginally over 30 days, with an increase of 0.24 or 0.09%. The range between 206 and 350 reflects wide divergence between two analysts, indicating significant variation in valuation despite the consensus remaining above the current price of 167.92.

As of 2026-09-09
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.16
Buy
Analyst coverage
19
Buy conviction
95%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
88%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time19 analysts rating
4
14
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.17 → 4.16
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-09-02
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    57.18x
    6.87x54.92x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    29.39x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    54.47x
    4.52x36.15x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    1.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    165.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    313.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    67.1%
    12.9%79.5%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    28.3%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    66.48
    -10.9113.66
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-01 data

Company Overview

Credo Technology Group develops high-speed connectivity solutions for AI data centers, with a portfolio spanning copper and optical links over distances ranging from millimeters to kilometers. Active Electrical Cables (AEC) remain its largest business, alongside optical Digital Signal Processors (DSP), silicon photonics Photonic Integrated Circuits (PIC), Zero-Flap Optics solutions, Screaming Eagle, Blue Heron, and Toucan retimers; the company generates revenue from component sales and from providing integrated solutions combining silicon, hardware, firmware, telemetry, and Pilot software.

In Q1 fiscal 2027, Credo reported record revenue of $479.0 million, up 10% sequentially and 115% year over year, with GAAP gross profit of $309.1 million, implying a calculated margin of approximately 64.5%, net income of $129.4 million, and earnings per share of $0.67. On a non-GAAP basis, gross margin was 68%, operating income was $230.6 million at a 48.2% margin, and net income was $236.3 million at a 49.3% margin.

Growth was led by the expansion of the AEC business, while optics was the fastest-growing part of the portfolio, and both the optical DSP and retimer businesses posted record revenue in Q1 fiscal 2027. Annual statements for fiscal 2026 show revenue of $1.3 billion, gross profit of $908.3 million, and net income of $472.3 million, while trailing-twelve-month figures during fiscal 2027 rose to revenue of $1.6 billion and net income of $538.3 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects revenue of between $525 million and $535 million in Q2 fiscal 2027, compared with revenue of $479 million in Q1 fiscal 2027, with a non-GAAP gross margin of between 67% and 69%.
  • Credo is targeting year-over-year growth exceeding 85% in fiscal 2027, driven by optical revenue exceeding $600 million, with each of Zero-Flap Optics, silicon photonics PIC, and optical DSP expected to contribute more than $100 million.
  • Production shipments of Zero-Flap Optics solutions have begun, and the company expects additional ramps at major cloud service providers and Neo Cloud customers during fiscal 2027 across 800-gig and 1.6T speeds; it also plans to generate its first revenue from 1.6T DSP later in fiscal 2027.
  • The company recorded its first revenue from silicon photonics PIC following the Dust Photonics acquisition and secured two design wins at two major companies for 800-gig and 1.6T products, whose production is expected to accelerate in fiscal 2028, with a potential limited contribution beginning in the latter part of fiscal 2027.
  • The product pipeline extends growth opportunities into fiscal 2028; Credo is targeting the start of revenue from Active LED Cables with a reach of up to 30 meters, as well as OmniConnect and Weaver solutions aimed at memory connectivity in inference applications, and estimates that OmniConnect content could reach thousands of dollars per GPU.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Credo demonstrated a strong combination of growth and profitability in Q1 fiscal 2027, with revenue rising 115% year over year to $479 million, while non-GAAP operating margin reached 48.2% and net margin reached 49.3%.
  • +The company is expanding beyond its historical reliance on AEC into a multi-product optical growth engine; the target of more than $600 million in optical revenue in fiscal 2027 includes DSP, PIC, and Zero-Flap Optics, with each category expected to contribute more than $100 million.
  • +Credo's integrated portfolio, from SerDes, DSP, and PIC to firmware and Pilot, provides the ability to address AI network reliability at the system level; management says Pilot can continuously monitor six links within each path and detect signal-integrity degradation before a link outage.
  • +The balance sheet remains capable of funding expansion, as the company ended Q1 fiscal 2027 with cash and cash equivalents of $764.3 million and generated operating cash flow of $90.2 million and free cash flow of $82.9 million despite spending on the Dust Photonics acquisition.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $268.69, within a wide range of $200 to $350, and the consensus rating is Buy; the average is approximately 13% below the 52-week high of $308.67, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 13%. The wide 52-week range of $86.485 to $308.67, together with the 19% decline following the September 1, 2026 results despite 115% revenue growth, shows that the market assigns a substantial premium to execution of the optical strategy and may reprice the stock sharply if the targeted ramps falter.

BuyAnalyst target: $268.69(+64.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-03; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove Credo's growth in Q1 fiscal 2027?

Revenue reached $479 million, up 10% sequentially and 115% year over year, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of triple-digit year-over-year growth. AEC remained the company's largest business, while optics was the fastest-growing area, and the optical DSP and retimer businesses posted record revenue. Credo also began recording revenue from silicon photonics PIC following the Dust Photonics acquisition.

What is Credo's outlook for Q2 and fiscal 2027?

The company expects revenue of between $525 million and $535 million in Q2 fiscal 2027 and a non-GAAP gross margin of between 67% and 69%. It expects non-GAAP operating expenses of between $100 million and $105 million, compared with expenses of $95.2 million in Q1. For fiscal 2027, it is targeting overall growth exceeding 85% and a non-GAAP net margin of approximately 50%.

Why is optics an important driver for CRDO stock?

Credo is targeting more than $600 million in optical revenue in fiscal 2027, with each of Zero-Flap Optics, PIC, and optical DSP contributing more than $100 million. Production shipments of Zero-Flap Optics have begun, and the company expects additional ramps during fiscal 2027 across 800-gig and 1.6T products. The Dust Photonics team also secured two major design wins whose production is expected to accelerate in fiscal 2028, but the initial two wins do not include DSP, leaving an additional opportunity for future integration.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Customer concentration is extremely high: the four largest customers represented 33%, 28%, 13%, and 10% of Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue, respectively, or 84% combined, and management expects three to four customers to remain above the 10% threshold during subsequent quarters and fiscal 2027.
  • −Credo operates in a competitive optical-components market, and management described competition at the DSP and PIC levels as strong; the Zero-Flap Optics, NPO, Active LED Cables, and OmniConnect bets also require continued innovation and execution for design wins to convert into actual revenue.
  • −Achieving growth exceeding 85% in fiscal 2027 depends on a clear acceleration in the second half and optical revenue surpassing $600 million, increasing execution risk if production ramps for Zero-Flap Optics, PIC, or DSP are delayed; management also expects non-GAAP gross margin to remain broadly near the fiscal 2026 level rather than expand further.
  • −Although AEC continues to grow, management acknowledged that its growth rate will be slower than that of optics after it more than tripled between fiscal 2025 and fiscal 2026, making the continuation of the company's exceptional growth more dependent on the success of optical products starting from a smaller base.
  • −The expansion plan faces supply and tariff risks; Q2 fiscal 2027 guidance was based on the existing tariff regime, which the company described as fluid, and inventory rose $62.2 million sequentially to $313.1 million as it prepared to increase volumes, while operating cash flow declined $92 million sequentially due to working-capital changes.
  • −The stock carries high valuation and volatility risk despite strong results; its 52-week range extended from $86.485 to $308.67, and the stock then fell 19% after the Q1 fiscal 2027 results announcement on September 2, 2026. Insiders also recorded net sales of $134.4 million over three months through 231 sales and no purchases as of July 31, 2026, a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the evidence shows otherwise.
  • How significant is Credo's customer-concentration risk?

    The largest customer accounted for 33% of Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue, the second for 28%, the third for 13%, and the fourth for 10%. The four largest customers therefore accounted for 84% of revenue, making any change in demand from a major customer material to results. Management expects three to four customers to continue representing more than 10% of revenue each during subsequent quarters and fiscal 2027, despite diversification efforts across Hyperscalers, Neo Clouds, and other customers.

    Which products could add growth for Credo in fiscal 2028?

    The company is targeting the start of revenue from Active LED Cables in fiscal 2028, solutions that use MicroLED and extend up to 30 meters. It also expects revenue from OmniConnect and the Weaver gearbox in fiscal 2028 to address memory capacity and bandwidth constraints in inference applications, with potential content of thousands of dollars per GPU. In addition, it expects NPO design wins to begin ramping in fiscal 2028, with solutions initially led by silicon photonics PIC and the potential to offer complete optical engines over the longer term.