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Stocks
Cricut, Inc.
CRCT

CRCT Cricut, Inc.

Cricut, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
5.62
▲ ⁦+2.93%⁩ (+0.16)
Market Cap$1.2B
Beta0.14
52w Low52w High
3.746.93
Last Week
⁦-3.93%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.77%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+39.11%⁩
Last Year
⁦-6.64%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall91
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 91% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
73
13.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
17
-3.1%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
94
21.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
91
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
75
17.02%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
69
3.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
22
2▼3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$5.62
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$4.10
⁦-27%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$3.70–$4.50⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$13
⁦+127%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$4.10–$13⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$4.10
⁦-27.0%⁩
Current Price $5.62·Median $4.10
Low
$3.70
High
$4.50
Current price
$5.62
Average target
$4.10
Street summary

Cricut (CRCT) Price Target Analysis

Bearish tilt

Cricut stock shows a clear negative gap between its current market price of 5.81 and the average analyst price target of 4.07, indicating an overvaluation from an analytical perspective. Although the average target has risen by 4.9% over the past thirty days to reach its current level, this slight improvement has not narrowed the gap, as the current price remains higher than even the most optimistic analyst target of 4.5.

As of 2026-08-26
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+7.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 1.67
Sell
Analyst coverage
3
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
14%
Analyst ratings over time3 analysts rating
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months1.67 → 1.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-05-06
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell· $3.75
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.07x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    31.22x
    5.19x41.53x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.18x
    4.52x36.15x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.4%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -3.1%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    32.0%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    57.9%
    12.9%79.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    21.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    17.0%
    0.0%3.9%
    High
  • Payout Ratio
    222.4%
    4.4%96.7%
    High
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Cricut operates an interconnected creative ecosystem that combines cutting and heat press machines with the Design Space platform, paid subscriptions, accessories, and materials. The company generates revenue through two main streams: the Platform business, which includes high-margin subscriptions and digital services, and the Products business, which includes machines, accessories, and materials; it is also testing additional services such as Direct-to-Film, but their financial contribution was not material through August 4, 2026.

In Q2 of fiscal 2026, revenue was $156.3 million, down approximately 9% year over year, while net income was $39.1 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.19. Platform revenue reached $85 million, or approximately 54% of the total, and grew slightly more than 5%, while Products revenue declined 22% to $71.3 million, or approximately 46% of the total, due to lower volumes, promotional pricing, and a comparison with tariff-related purchase pull-forwards in the prior period.

Gross margin was 74.5% and operating margin was 30.3% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, but both benefited significantly from nonrecurring amounts that included a $17.9 million IEEPA tariff refund and $6.4 million from the settlement of an intellectual property dispute. Excluding these items, gross margin would have been approximately 58.9%, operating margin would have been 14.7%, and operating income would have been approximately $23 million instead of $47.4 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Paid subscribers increased by 93 thousand, or more than 3% year over year, to slightly more than 3.1 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with 25 thousand subscribers added sequentially; this helped Platform revenue grow slightly more than 5% to $85 million.
  • Average revenue per user increased 5% to $56.37 from $53.84, supported by subscriber growth and foreign exchange effects, while the premium plan starting at $14.99 per month expanded to the desktop and mobile applications following initial testing.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Consumer cutting machine sales achieved double-digit growth during Q2 of fiscal 2026, while machine units sold into channels also increased at a double-digit rate globally. Cricut Joy 2 and Cricut Explore 5 bundles were key drivers, with performance also benefiting from an earlier Prime Day.
  • Active users grew 1% year over year and remained stable sequentially, while 90-day engaged users were stable year over year; this was the first time this metric had stabilized in a second quarter since 2022, coinciding with improved onboarding and a simplified Design Space.
  • During the quarter, Cricut launched agentic AI features and Cricut Creative Labs experiences for turning images into coloring pages and artwork, and it launched the new AutoPress in July 2026. Management expected Platform revenue to grow in each quarter of the second half of fiscal 2026 and both the Products and Platform businesses to grow during the same half, without providing detailed quantitative guidance.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The mix shift toward the Platform provides a more recurring and profitable financial foundation; the Platform represented approximately 54% of Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue, and its reported gross margin was 93%, even though it included a nonrecurring benefit from an intellectual property settlement.
    • +Underlying demand indicators show improvement despite the decline in reported revenue, as machine units sold to consumers and units sold into channels grew at double-digit rates, driven by Cricut Joy 2 and Cricut Explore 5 bundles, while active users increased 1%.
    • +The balance sheet has clear flexibility; the company ended Q2 of fiscal 2026 with $286 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt, and generated $50.4 million in operating cash flow compared with $36.2 million in the comparable period.
    • +Inventory declined by $19 million year over year to $106 million, and Cricut used $7.5 million to repurchase 1.7 million shares, with $21.6 million remaining under the authorized $50 million repurchase program.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Products revenue declined 22% to $71.3 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite double-digit growth in machine units, due to lower accessories and materials volumes, promotional pricing, and a mix shift toward lower-priced machines compared with the prior year's launches; this highlights the difficulty of converting unit demand into revenue growth.
    • −Cricut's total revenue declined approximately 9% to $156.3 million, while management described the performance of Products and the first half of fiscal 2026 as disappointing, making a return to profitable growth dependent on its expectation that the Products trend will reverse in the second half.
    • −The Accessories and Materials business faces intense competition and continued erosion in volumes and prices, despite share gains in certain printable product categories and Cricut accessories; the company's reliance on promotions to improve affordability may also pressure revenue and Products profitability.
    • −The quality of the earnings surge was weaker than the reported figures, as removing the IEEPA tariff refunds and intellectual property settlement reduced the calculated operating margin from 30.3% to 14.7% and operating income from $47.4 million to approximately $23 million. Management also warned that AI features could pressure Platform margin as their usage increases.
    • −Existing tariffs, input costs, supply chain dynamics, and consumer caution in certain markets remain sources of pressure, and management did not estimate the impact of tariffs on margins because of uncertainty. International sales also declined 1% to $35.9 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a temporary timing impact resulting from a distribution change in a European channel.
    • −The analyst consensus is “Sell,” with an average target of $4.07 and a narrow range of $3.70 to $4.50, while insiders recorded net sales of $2.2 million across 13 sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 25, 2026. Insider sales remain a weak standalone signal because they may be prearranged, but their concurrence with the Sell consensus adds valuation and sentiment risk.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $4.07, between a low target of $3.70 and a high target of $4.50, and the average falls within the 52-week range of $3.735–$6.93 and is approximately 41% below its peak. The analyst consensus is “Sell,” and the high target, which is approximately 35% below the peak of the 52-week range, reflects a revaluation associated with declining revenue, weakness in Products, and the dependence of Q2 fiscal 2026 profitability on nonrecurring items.

    SellAnalyst target: $4.07(-27.6%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did Cricut's revenue decline in Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite growth in machine sales?

    Total revenue declined approximately 9% to $156.3 million, and Products revenue fell 22% to $71.3 million. This occurred despite double-digit growth in machine units sold to consumers and units sold into channels because the mix of Cricut Joy 2 and Cricut Explore 5 was lower-priced than the prior year's launch mix. Increased promotions, lower accessories and materials volumes and prices, and the comparison with tariff-related purchase pull-forwards in Q2 of fiscal 2025 also contributed.

    How important are subscriptions and the Platform to CRCT's results?

    Platform revenue was $85 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, up slightly more than 5%, and represented approximately 54% of total revenue. Paid subscribers exceeded 3.1 million, an increase of 93 thousand year over year and 25 thousand sequentially, while average revenue per user increased to $56.37. Reported Platform gross margin was 93%, but it benefited from a nonrecurring intellectual property settlement, and management cautioned that the cost of AI features could pressure margin in the future.

    Was Q2 fiscal 2026 profitability repeatable?

    Cricut reported net income of $39.1 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.19, with a gross margin of 74.5% and an operating margin of 30.3%. The results included a $17.9 million IEEPA tariff refund and $6.4 million from the settlement of an intellectual property dispute. Management explained that excluding these items would have reduced gross margin to approximately 58.9%, operating margin to 14.7%, and operating income to approximately $23 million.

    What products and initiatives support Cricut's growth during fiscal 2026?

    Cricut Joy 2 and Cricut Explore 5 bundles were key drivers of double-digit growth in machine units during the first half of fiscal 2026. In July 2026, the company launched the new generation of AutoPress and expanded its AI-powered Cricut Creative Labs tools and premium subscription plan starting at $14.99 per month. The Direct-to-Film service was still at an early stage and was not financially material as of the August 4, 2026 call, and most of its users were existing subscribers.

    What is Cricut's position regarding liquidity, debt, and share repurchases?

    Cricut ended Q2 of fiscal 2026 with $286 million in cash and cash equivalents and no debt. Operating cash flow increased to $50.4 million from $36.2 million in Q2 of fiscal 2025, and inventory declined by $19 million to $106 million. The company repurchased 1.7 million shares for $7.5 million during the quarter, and $21.6 million remained under the authorized $50 million repurchase program.

    What are the key risks CRCT shareholders are monitoring in the second half of fiscal 2026?

    The main operating risk is continued weakness in Products after its revenue declined 22% during Q2 of fiscal 2026 amid competition, promotions, and pressure on accessories and materials. The company also faces existing tariffs, higher input costs, supply chain dynamics, and consumer caution in certain markets, so it did not quantify the impact of tariffs on margins. The analyst consensus of “Sell,” with an average target of $4.07, and insider net sales of $2.2 million over three months add pressure to sentiment, while recognizing that insider sales may be prearranged.