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Stocks
Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall88
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 88% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
75
10.1x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
50
15.4%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
63
21.9%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
50
3.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
79
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
81
19.9%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
75
6▲3Top tier
CQP

CQP Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P.

Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. · NYSE
Market Closed
67.74
▼ ⁦-1.54%⁩ (-1.06)
Market Cap$32.8B
Beta0.30
52w Low52w High
49.5371.25
Last Week
⁦-3.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.70%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.75%⁩
Last Year
⁦+26.62%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$68
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$66
⁦-3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$65–$75⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$93
⁦+37%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$66–$93⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$68.67
⁦+1.4%⁩
Current Price $67.74·Median $66.00
Low
$65.00
High
$75.00
Current price
$67.74
Average target
$68.67
Street summary

Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP) Price Target Analysis

Bearish tilt

The average price target for CQP stock saw a slight decline of 0.48% over the past thirty days, falling from $69 to $68.67. Based on the current price of $70.29, the stock is currently trading above the average forecast and above the median price of $66, indicating a cautious outlook from analysts who believe the current price may have exceeded the estimated fair value.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-2.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 1.92
Sell
Analyst coverage
13
Buy conviction
0%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time13 analysts rating
4
4
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.20 → 1.92
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-07
    Barclays
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Barclays
    Underweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    10.13x
    3.56x28.47x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.29x
    3.36x26.89x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.28x
    2.12x16.98x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    8.5%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    15.4%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    62.0%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    31.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    21.9%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.09x
    0.40x3.19x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-05-07 data

Company Overview

The investment case for Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. centers on liquefied natural gas exports and generating cash flows from long-term, fixed-fee contracts with creditworthy counterparties. The partnership is linked to the Sabine Pass platform, while shipping and marketing flexibility and purchase and sales optimization allow it to benefit from gas market volatility on top of the contracted revenue base. In fiscal year 2026 Q1, management explained that the broader Cheniere portfolio includes more than 35 long-term counterparties and that the contracts provide cash flow visibility extending for decades.

In fiscal year 2026 Q2, CQP recorded revenue of $2.6 billion and net income of $1.2 billion, equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 46%. Compared with fiscal year 2026 Q1, revenue declined by approximately 28% from $3.6 billion, while net income rose from $186 million to $1.2 billion, highlighting substantial period-to-period volatility. Revenue for the twelve months ended in fiscal year 2026 was approximately $11.5 billion, with net income of $3.1 billion, versus revenue of $10.8 billion and net income of $3.0 billion in fiscal year 2025.

The provided data does not include a numerical breakdown of revenue by segment, but the fiscal year 2026 Q1 call attributed the Cheniere platform's operating performance to higher liquefied gas volumes, the commissioning of additional trains, and upstream and downstream optimization. At the consolidated Cheniere level, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization exceeded $2.3 billion, and distributable cash flow was approximately $1.7 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q1, with a record 187 cargoes exported through the end of March 2026.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On May 7, 2026, Cheniere raised its consolidated fiscal year 2026 guidance to a range of $7.25 billion to $7.75 billion for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization and $4.75 billion to $5.25 billion for distributable cash flow; the respective midpoints were raised by $500 million and $400 million.
  • Cheniere's fiscal year 2026 production guidance increased by approximately 1 million tonnes to a range of 52 million to 54 million tonnes, driven by higher utilization of existing trains and the accelerated commissioning of the remaining trains in Stage 3. After forward sales executed through May 7, 2026, less than 1 million tonnes, or less than 50 trillion British thermal units, of fiscal year 2026 volumes remained unsold.
  • The CCDL Stage 3 project was approximately 97% complete in fiscal year 2026 Q1, and Train 5 achieved substantial completion in March 2026, while Train 6 and Train 7 were running a few weeks ahead of the schedule used in the initial production guidance. Execution of the Midscale Trains 8 and 9 and debottlenecking project was also approximately 37% complete, after driving nearly 8,000 piles.
  • On August 6, 2026, Cheniere Partners reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 distribution guidance of $3.10 to $3.40 per common unit, as stated on the May 7, 2026 call. A portion of cash was retained within CQP during fiscal year 2026 Q1 to fund potential limited notices to proceed related to Sabine Pass Train 7.
  • Gas market disruptions supported the value of flexible U.S. supply during fiscal year 2026 Q1; approximately 7 million tonnes of liquefied gas supply per month was disrupted through the Strait of Hormuz, while Europe needed approximately 10 million additional tonnes compared with the previous year to reach an 80% storage threshold. On May 7, 2026, management said these conditions strengthened commercial discussions with customers and enabled margins to be locked in on more than 1 million tonnes of open fiscal year 2027 capacity.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +CQP's distribution capacity is underpinned by a long-term, fixed-fee contractual model, and on May 7, 2026, management maintained its fiscal year 2026 distribution guidance of $3.10 to $3.40 per unit despite volatility in global gas markets.
  • +Fiscal year 2026 Q2 figures showed a strong improvement in profitability, with net income reaching $1.2 billion versus $186 million in fiscal year 2026 Q1, while twelve-month net income increased to $3.1 billion from $2.5 billion in the previous reported reading.
  • +The approximately 1 million-tonne increase in fiscal year 2026 production guidance supports the potential for higher volumes available for marketing, while forward sales reduced most open exposure to less than 1 million tonnes and limited the impact of a $1 change in market margins on expected consolidated earnings to less than $50 million.
  • +Sabine Pass Train 7 provides a growth path directly linked to cash-retention decisions at CQP; on May 7, 2026, management said it had allocated resources for limited notices to proceed during fiscal year 2026, with approximately 10 million tonnes of sale and purchase agreements not yet used to support a final investment decision.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Sell, with an average target of $68.67 and a target range of $65 to $75. The average target is approximately 2.8% below the 52-week range high of $70.64, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 6.2%; this divergence reflects a balance between production growth and distribution stability versus execution risks and revenue and margin volatility.

SellAnalyst target: $68.67(+1.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What supports CQP's distributions in fiscal year 2026?

On May 7, 2026, management maintained fiscal year 2026 distribution guidance at a range of $3.10 to $3.40 per common unit. Cash flows are underpinned by long-term, fixed-fee liquefied gas contracts, with more than 35 creditworthy counterparties across the broader Cheniere platform. On August 6, 2026, Cheniere Partners reaffirmed its distribution guidance, leaving the annual framework unchanged in the provided data.

How did CQP perform in fiscal year 2026 Q2?

CQP recorded revenue of $2.6 billion and net income of $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q2. This is equivalent to a calculated net income margin of approximately 46%, with no gross profit figure available in the provided statements. Compared with fiscal year 2026 Q1, revenue was lower than $3.6 billion, but net income was substantially above the $186 million recorded in that quarter.

How important is Sabine Pass Train 7 to CQP units?

Management said on May 7, 2026 that CQP is retaining a portion of cash to fund potential limited notices to proceed related to Sabine Pass Train 7 during fiscal year 2026. Cheniere was working with Bechtel on the engineering, procurement, and construction contract, targeting a final investment decision in fiscal year 2027 according to the call. Management also noted approximately 10 million tonnes of sale and purchase agreements not yet used to support a final investment decision project, an amount it described as more than sufficient to cover Train 7 and debottlenecking work.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The quarterly results reveal sharp financial volatility; CQP's revenue declined by approximately 28% from $3.6 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q1 to $2.6 billion in fiscal year 2026 Q2, despite the simultaneous increase in net income.
  • −The raised guidance depends on the execution and commissioning of Train 6 and Train 7 and the timing of cargoes and production; on May 7, 2026, management estimated that a half-month shift in the timing of the two trains could change consolidated adjusted earnings by approximately $50 million and that a 10 trillion British thermal unit change in production could have an impact exceeding $100 million.
  • −The fiscal year 2026 adjusted earnings guidance range remains wide at $500 million due to volatility in Henry Hub, marketing margins, and production; on May 7, 2026, management estimated that a $0.50 change in Henry Hub could move earnings by approximately $100 million.
  • −Midscale train costs may pressure margins as operations expand; on the May 7, 2026 call, management said operating and maintenance expenses for the midscale trains were similar to or slightly higher than those of the large-scale trains and that they require more electric power, which appears within cost of sales.
  • −New contracts face competition from numerous liquefied gas projects moving toward final investment decisions or holding uncontracted capacity, according to the May 7, 2026 call. Asian imports also declined by approximately 1.5 million tonnes, or 7% year over year, in March 2026, as price-sensitive markets such as India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh halted some demand or sought alternative fuels.
  • −Valuation and market consensus constitute a final pressure factor; the provided consensus is Sell, and the average target of $68.67 is only approximately 2.8% below the 52-week range high of $70.64. The lowest target of $65 also shows that some analysts see less value than the consensus average.
Why did Cheniere raise its fiscal year 2026 guidance?

On May 7, 2026, Cheniere raised the midpoint of its consolidated adjusted earnings guidance by $500 million and the midpoint of its distributable cash flow guidance by $400 million. The reasons included an approximately 1 million-tonne increase in production guidance to 52–54 million tonnes, improved marketing margins, and contributions from locked-in optimization. Management estimated that the production increase at margins of $9 to $10 added approximately $400 million to the guidance base case.

What are the main operating risks that could affect CQP's results?

Results are linked to the timing of Train 6 and Train 7 commissioning, production volumes, cargo timing, Henry Hub volatility, and marketing margins. On May 7, 2026, management estimated that a half-month delay or acceleration for the two trains could move consolidated earnings by approximately $50 million and that a $0.50 change in Henry Hub could change them by approximately $100 million. Management also noted that the midscale trains require more power and that their operating and maintenance expenses were similar to or slightly higher in fiscal year 2026 Q1.

What does analyst consensus say about CQP's valuation?

The provided consensus rating for CQP units is Sell, with an average price target of $68.67. Targets range from $65 to $75, compared with a 52-week range of $49.53 to $70.64. The average target is approximately 2.8% below the range high, while the highest target exceeds that high, revealing a clear difference among analysts regarding how much value production growth and distribution stability can add.