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Stocks
Chesapeake Utilities Corporation
CPK

CPK Chesapeake Utilities Corporation

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
129.82
▲ ⁦+0.18%⁩ (+0.23)
Market Cap$3.1B
Beta0.68
52w Low52w High
118.88140.83
Last Week
⁦-1.87%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.76%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.27%⁩
Last Year
⁦+4.85%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall46
Balanced — near the middle of the marketMomentum TrapF 5/9DistressBetter than 46% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
38
20.7x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
66
14.6%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
41
7.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
41
4.5x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
45
2.15%2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
59
7.9%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
68
4▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$130
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$146
⁦+12%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$142–$150⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$146.00
⁦+12.5%⁩
Current Price $129.82·Median $146.00
Low
$142.00
High
$150.00
Current price
$129.82
Average target
$146.00
Street summary

Forecast Stability Analysis for Chesapeake Utilities (CPK)

Chesapeake Utilities stock shows a state of complete stability in analyst estimates over recent periods (1, 7, and 30 days), with the target price stabilizing at 142 dollars. This consistency reflects the absence of any recent revisions by analysts following the stock, with zero Dispersion in opinions, as the high, low, and mean forecasts converge at the same value, indicating a unified but narrow-scope vision.

As of 2026-05-22
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+2.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.67
Buy
Analyst coverage
6
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
6%
Analyst ratings over time6 analysts rating
1
2
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.67 → 3.67
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-04-20
    Barclays
    —· $142.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-24
    Barclays
    Reduce· $140.00
  • = Reiterate2025-10-28
    Barclays
    —· $141.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.67x
    4.50x36.01x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    19.05x
    4.35x34.77x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.14x
    3.07x24.54x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    -6.2%
    -17.6%10.2%
    Near median
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.6%
    -10.5%25.3%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    11.9%
    -53.8%122.0%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    40.7%
    9.8%69.4%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.0%
    -2.0%11.4%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.52x
    1.28x10.25x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    2.1%
    1.4%6.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    42.7%
    35.0%95.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.31
    0.573.91
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Chesapeake Utilities Corporation operates in natural gas transmission and distribution and the construction of energy-related infrastructure through regulated businesses concentrated in Delmarva and Florida, alongside unregulated energy activities that include propane, Aspire services, and CNG, RNG, and LNG services. Earnings growth depends primarily on capital investment in transmission and distribution networks, followed by cost recovery and earning a return through regulatory frameworks, with additional benefits from customer growth and natural gas demand in its service areas.

In fiscal 2026 Q2, revenue was $201.9 million, net income was $25.4 million, and earnings per share were $1.05. On an adjusted basis, gross margin was approximately $150 million, up 5% from fiscal 2025 Q2, while adjusted net income rose 5% to approximately $25 million. Adjusted earnings per share increased only 1% to $1.05 because of shares the company issued during the previous twelve months to support its target capital structure.

The regulated segment accounted for most of the earnings mix in fiscal 2026 Q2, generating an adjusted gross margin of approximately $125 million, or nearly 83% of the company total, while regulated operating income increased 7% to approximately $55 million. The unregulated energy segment generated an adjusted margin of approximately $25 million, up 2%, while operating expenses during the first half of fiscal 2026 represented 45% of gross margin, the lowest ratio the company has recorded according to the call.

What's Driving the Stock

  • The Florida Energy Pathway represents the largest single project in Chesapeake Utilities' history, with a total investment of approximately $1.2 billion. It is a 97-mile intrastate natural gas transmission pipeline in Florida running from Palm Beach County to Miami-Dade County, supported by commitments from several investment-grade shippers for approximately 250 thousand dekatherms per day, with service targeted to begin in 2030.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company raised its fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance by $100 million to a range of $550 million to $600 million, driven by initial spending on the Florida Energy Pathway and increased investment in regulated distribution and infrastructure. It also expects capital investments to exceed $2.2 billion during the period from 2024 to 2028, compared with more than $1.4 billion by the end of fiscal 2026.
  • Growth in transmission systems, infrastructure, and distribution added approximately $10 million to margin in fiscal 2026 Q2. At the adjusted earnings-per-share level, natural gas transmission expansions contributed $0.15, infrastructure investments contributed $0.10, distribution demand growth contributed $0.06, and improvements in propane and Aspire contributed $0.06.
  • Transmission projects are expected to contribute approximately $33 million to gross margin during fiscal 2026, increasing by an additional $51 million in fiscal 2027. The Worcester Resiliency Upgrade, an LNG storage facility, remains the largest project in this group that has not yet entered service, with construction remaining on schedule and the project targeted to become fully operational in early 2027.
  • Customer growth supports the demand base, with the company recording growth in fiscal 2026 Q2 of 3% in Delmarva, 2.1% at Florida Public Utilities, and 1.8% at Florida City Gas. In late July 2026, Florida City Gas also received an interim rate adjustment with an annual value of $16 million, which the company expects to add more than $6 million to fiscal 2026 revenue.
  • Management reaffirmed fiscal 2028 earnings-per-share guidance of $7.75 to $8.00, compared with earnings per share of $5.97 in fiscal 2025. In February 2027, the company intends to provide capital expenditure and earnings growth rate guidance for the period from 2027 to 2031, incorporating the impact of its expanded capital program and the Florida Energy Pathway.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The regulated business model provides greater visibility into earnings growth, and in fiscal 2026 Q2 the regulated segment generated an adjusted margin of approximately $125 million and operating income of approximately $55 million, representing growth of 6% and 7%, respectively.
    • +The Florida Energy Pathway has a tangible commercial foundation through commitments of approximately 250 thousand dekatherms per day, while Peninsula Pipeline Company intends to finance and own at least 51% of the approximately $1.2 billion project, giving Chesapeake Utilities a significant regulated growth opportunity with potential sharing of risk and capital.
    • +Improved efficiency supports the company's ability to convert investment into earnings. Operating expenses declined to 45% of gross margin in the first half of fiscal 2026, alongside 5% growth in adjusted net income and 8% growth in adjusted earnings per share during the first six months of fiscal 2026.
    • +The company combines growth financing with capital returns. It raised its annual dividend by 7.3% and set the next payment at $0.74 per share, while targeting a payout ratio of between 45% and 50% and retaining 50% to 55% of earnings to fund the capital program and reduce the need for external financing.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Florida Energy Pathway carries significant execution and financing risks, as its total cost is approximately $1.2 billion and its targeted revenue does not begin before 2030. In addition, arrangements with the partner that could own and finance up to 49% had not been completed as of the August 7, 2026 call, and the regulatory and environmental permitting processes remain in their early practical stages.
    • −The Florida City Gas rate case presents regulatory risk. The company requested a base rate increase of approximately $47 million and a return on equity of 11.25%, while the Office of Public Counsel took a position opposing the request. Management stated on August 7, 2026 that it did not know whether a settlement could be reached and that it was prepared for full litigation if necessary.
    • −Management acknowledged a slowdown in customer growth compared with previous peak levels, although growth rates in Delmarva and Florida remain relatively strong. This sensitivity to housing activity could become more important because distribution network expansions depend on residential developments, new homes, and continued customer connections.
    • −Higher depreciation, amortization, and property taxes reduced adjusted earnings per share by $0.11 in fiscal 2026 Q2, while utility, vehicle, and insurance expenses reduced it by $0.05, collection and customer service costs by $0.04, and wage and benefit costs by $0.03. This contributed to limiting quarterly adjusted earnings-per-share growth to 1% despite 5% growth in adjusted net income.
    • −Debt and equity issuance during the previous twelve months reduced adjusted earnings per share by $0.05 in fiscal 2026 Q2, illustrating dilution risk and higher financing costs as capital expenditure guidance increased to $550–600 million. Although 70% of total debt capacity of $798 million was available on June 30, 2026 and revolving facility capacity was increased to $650 million, the scale of the capital program remains an ongoing source of financing needs.

    Valuation

    The average analyst target is $142, identical to both the highest and lowest targets and accompanied by a Buy consensus, but it does not provide a diverse range of views because all consensus boundaries are equal. This target is slightly above the top of the 52-week range of $140.83, compared with a low of $118.88, while the data does not include a valid earnings multiple for assessing the share price relative to earnings. Therefore, the consensus valuation depends heavily on execution of the investment program and fiscal 2028 earnings-per-share guidance of $7.75–8.00, while financing and regulatory risks remain.

    BuyAnalyst target: $142(+9.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the biggest driver of CPK stock growth in the coming years?

    The biggest driver is the Florida Energy Pathway, a 97-mile intrastate natural gas transmission project in Florida with a total investment of approximately $1.2 billion. The pipeline runs from Palm Beach County to Miami-Dade County and is supported by commitments of approximately 250 thousand dekatherms per day from several investment-grade shippers. Peninsula Pipeline Company plans to own and finance at least 51% of it, with a partner potentially owning up to 49%. The company targets placing the project into service in 2030.

    How did CPK perform in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Revenue was $201.9 million, net income was $25.4 million, and earnings per share were $1.05 in fiscal 2026 Q2. On an adjusted basis, gross margin was approximately $150 million, up 5% from fiscal 2025 Q2. Adjusted net income rose 5% to approximately $25 million, but adjusted earnings per share increased only 1% to $1.05. The regulated segment generated an adjusted margin of approximately $125 million, compared with approximately $25 million for the unregulated energy segment.

    What are Chesapeake Utilities' earnings and capital expenditure guidance?

    The company reaffirmed fiscal 2028 earnings-per-share guidance of $7.75 to $8.00, compared with $5.97 in fiscal 2025. It raised fiscal 2026 capital expenditure guidance by $100 million to a range of $550–600 million. It also expects investment to exceed $2.2 billion during the period from 2024 to 2028. It set February 2027 as the date for providing capital expenditure and earnings growth rate guidance for the period from 2027 to 2031.

    How important is the Florida City Gas rate case to CPK's results?

    Florida City Gas requested a base rate adjustment of approximately $47 million and a return on equity of 11.25%. In late July 2026, the Florida Commission approved an annual interim adjustment of $16 million, which the company expects to generate more than $6 million in revenue in fiscal 2026. However, the Office of Public Counsel took a position opposing the company's request, and management did not confirm that a settlement could be reached. Management stated on the August 7, 2026 call that it was prepared for full litigation if necessary.

    Can CPK finance its large capital program?

    The equity capitalization ratio was 50% on June 30, 2026, and 70% of total debt capacity of $798 million was available on that date. The company also increased the capacity of its revolving credit agreement by $200 million to $650 million, divided between a $250 million 364-day tranche and a $400 million five-year tranche expiring in August 2031. In contrast, debt and equity issuances reduced adjusted earnings per share by $0.05 in fiscal 2026 Q2. The company intends to retain 50% to 55% of earnings to support investment and reduce the need for external financing.

    What were the main operational risks that emerged in fiscal 2026 Q2?

    Higher depreciation, amortization, and property taxes reduced adjusted earnings per share by $0.11 as a result of increased capital investment. Utility, vehicle, and insurance expenses reduced it by $0.05, while collection and customer service costs reduced it by $0.04 and wages and benefits by $0.03. Lower CNG, RNG, and LNG services also had a negative impact of $0.04 per share. Alongside these pressures, management acknowledged on August 7, 2026 that customer growth had slowed from previous peak levels, although it did not consider this concerning in its service areas at that time.

    −
    CNG, RNG, and LNG services declined, reducing adjusted earnings per share by $0.04 in fiscal 2026 Q2, while margin growth in the unregulated energy segment was only 2%. This indicates that growth outside regulated activities is slower and more uneven than growth in the regulated utility segment.