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Campbell Soup Company
CPB

CPB Campbell Soup Company

Campbell Soup Company · NASDAQ
Market Closed
21.00
▲ ⁦+0.29%⁩ (+0.06)
Market Cap$6.3B
Beta-0.00
52w Low52w High
19.5634.17
Last Week
⁦-11.43%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.91%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-0.52%⁩
Last Year
⁦-34.56%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall35
Weak — below market medianValue TrapF 5/8Better than 35% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
85
15.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
11
-5.0%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
39
6.6%▲4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
35
5.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
52
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
12
-27.9%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
94
13▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$21
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$20
⁦-5%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$18–$22⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$15
⁦-30%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$15–$20⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$19.62
⁦-6.6%⁩
Current Price $21.00·Median $20.00
Low
$18.00
High
$22.00
Current price
$21.00
Average target
$19.62
Street summary

Gradual Decline in Campbell Soup Targets

Bearish tilt

The average price target fell from 20.67 to 19.62 over the last 30 days, a decline of $1.05 or 5.08%, followed by a decline of $0.59 or 2.92% over the last 7 days. The number of analysts remained unchanged, indicating that the decline reflects a weaker revision of targets within the same group, rather than an expansion of the coverage base. The consensus price target of 19.62 is below the current price of 21, while the range is between 18 and 22, with a median of 20, reflecting limited but clear variation in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.55
Hold
Analyst coverage
20
Buy conviction
5%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
19%
Analyst ratings over time20 analysts rating
1
13
2
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.70 → 2.55
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    BTIG
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-09-04
    Bank of America Securities
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    15.67x
    4.61x36.85x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.72x
    3.86x30.86x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    10.59x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    10.8%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -5.0%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -33.3%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    28.1%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    6.6%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    5.35x
    0.61x4.86x
    High debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-09-03 data

Company Overview

Campbell Soup Company operates through two main portfolios: Meals & Beverages and Snacks. The Meals & Beverages portfolio includes brands and products such as Campbell's, Pacific, Rao's, Prego, soups, broths, and sauces, while Snacks includes Goldfish, Snyder's, Pepperidge Farm, Snack Factory, Milano, and Chessmen. Cooking products represent about half of the soup portfolio, while more than 50% of retail sales in the Meals & Beverages segment are tied to cooking occasions, a category that management said achieved a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5% over four years.

In quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026, ended August 2, 2026, net sales declined 8% to $2.137 billion, and the company recorded a net loss of $69 million, or $0.23 per share, equivalent to a negative net margin of approximately 3.2%. Management attributed the weak results to lower revenue, inflationary pressure on margins, and weakness in the Snacks segment. In contrast, cooking soup products delivered stronger performance, while Pacific continued to grow at a double-digit rate and Rao's remained one of the leading growth drivers in the Meals & Beverages portfolio.

The latest trailing-twelve-month record in EDGAR data shows revenue of $9.9 billion, gross profit of $2.9 billion, net income of $608 million, and earnings per share of approximately $2.03; representing a gross margin of approximately 29.3% and a net margin of approximately 6.1%. By comparison, quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026 recorded revenue of $2.4 billion, gross profit of $650 million, and net income of $124 million. This contrast highlights the extent of the deterioration seen in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 compared with the profitability recorded in the previous quarter.

What's Driving the Stock

  • At the midpoint of fiscal year 2027 guidance, management expects organic sales to decline by approximately 3%, with a slight decline in Meals & Beverages and weakness in Snacks peaking in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027 before a modest improvement throughout the remainder of the fiscal year.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The efficiency plan targets $500 million in savings through fiscal year 2030, including $150 million from existing plans and $350 million in identified incremental savings. The measures include workforce reductions, a direct and indirect procurement initiative, and supply chain network optimization, with a significant portion of the impact expected to be concentrated in the second half of fiscal year 2027.
  • The company raised prices by an average of 4% to 5% across approximately 60% of its portfolio and expects the positive income statement impact to begin in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2027. Management assumed price elasticity of 1.5 times, meaning the profitability improvement from pricing will be offset by deliberate pressure on volumes and net sales.
  • The Snacks recovery plan is betting on Goldfish Gluten-Free and Goldfish protein and whole-grain products, alongside Snyder's innovations and national campaigns for Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm during fiscal year 2027. Management said Goldfish showed encouraging signs in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026, but it does not expect consumption in the Snacks segment to reach positive growth by the end of fiscal year 2027.
  • The acquisition of a 49% stake in La Regina was completed on May 4, 2026, and its results became fully consolidated in Campbell's financial statements, with the unowned 51% stake recorded under noncontrolling interests. This provides additional expansion for the sauces portfolio, but it also adds interest costs associated with La Regina debt and the initial cash payment of approximately $140 million.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The cooking portfolio provides a clear strength: cooking products represent about half of the soup portfolio, more than 50% of retail sales in Meals & Beverages are tied to cooking, and this category has grown at a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5% over four years.
    • +Pacific is delivering double-digit growth, and management describes Rao's as one of the portfolio's leading brands, with an opportunity to increase awareness within and beyond the sauces category. The consolidation of La Regina results since May 4, 2026, also supports the expansion of the company's presence in sauces.
    • +The plan to deliver $500 million in savings through fiscal year 2030 could offset a meaningful portion of inflation and volume weakness, particularly because $350 million consists of identified incremental savings covering procurement, workforce reductions, and supply network optimization.
    • +Stabilizing Goldfish and Snyder's, which management says are the two most profitable brands in the Snacks portfolio, could have a significant impact on segment earnings. The company is supporting this with targeted innovations such as Goldfish Gluten-Free and marketing campaigns for Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm during fiscal year 2027.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Sales in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026 declined 8% to $2.137 billion, and performance shifted to a net loss of $69 million, or $0.23 per share, reflecting a sharp deterioration compared with net income of $124 million in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026.
    • −Management expects Snacks sales to decline at a high-single-digit rate in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027 and does not assume the segment's consumption will return to positive growth by the end of the fiscal year. It also acknowledged that the recovery in potato chips and improvements to the plant network will take longer.
    • −Fiscal year 2027 guidance assumes inflation of between 5% and 6% and double-digit logistics inflation, with a significant decline in gross margin in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027 and a decrease of between 50 and 100 basis points for the full fiscal year. The second half remains more exposed to cost changes because coverage is only approximately 50%, compared with 80% in the first half.
    • −The company is implementing an average price increase of 4% to 5% across approximately 60% of the portfolio, assuming elasticity of 1.5 times, and management therefore expects a negative impact on volumes and net sales. If the improvement in Snacks consumption is delayed or elasticity exceeds this assumption, results could move toward the lower end of the earnings-per-share range of $1.65 to $1.80 in fiscal year 2027.
    • −Campbell's reduced its quarterly dividend by 36% to $0.25 per share to accelerate debt repayment and expects interest expense to increase by approximately $25 million in fiscal year 2027. In addition, $500 million of notes mature in March, and the option to refinance with a hybrid instrument could carry a higher interest coupon despite receiving 50% equity credit treatment.
    • −The analyst consensus is Neutral, and the average target of $20.43 is approximately 40% below the 52-week range high of $34.17, while the highest target is only $28 and the lowest target falls to $18. This range reflects caution related to the loss in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026, the dividend reduction, and pressure on margins and volumes.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on CPB is Neutral, with an average target of $20.43 and a relatively wide range between $18 and $28. The average target is approximately 40% below the 52-week range high of $34.17, while the highest target is approximately 18% below that high, reflecting a revaluation related to the sales decline in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026, the quarterly loss, the dividend reduction, and margin pressures. In contrast, an improvement in valuation depends on demonstrating a recovery in Snacks and delivering the $500 million savings plan without further volume erosion.

    HoldAnalyst target: $20.43(-2.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-04; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What caused CPB's weak results in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026?

    Net sales declined 8% to $2.137 billion in quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026, ended August 2, 2026. Campbell's recorded a net loss of $69 million, or $0.23 per share, compared with net income of $124 million in quarter 3 of fiscal year 2026. Management cited weakness in the Snacks segment, inflationary pressure on production costs and margins, and weak consumer purchasing power.

    How does Campbell's plan to fix the Snacks segment in fiscal year 2027?

    The plan focuses on stabilizing Goldfish and Snyder's because management says they are the two most profitable brands in the Snacks portfolio. Initiatives include Goldfish Gluten-Free, protein and whole-grain products, Snyder's innovations, and national campaigns for Goldfish and Pepperidge Farm during fiscal year 2027. Management expects segment sales to decline at a high-single-digit rate in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027, followed by a modest improvement in volumes over the subsequent quarters. Nevertheless, the company does not expect Snacks consumption to reach positive growth by the end of fiscal year 2027.

    Why did Campbell's reduce its dividend, and how large was the reduction?

    The company reduced its quarterly dividend by 36% to $0.25 per share following the results of quarter 4 of fiscal year 2026. Management described the decision as difficult but necessary, linking it to long-term value creation and accelerated debt repayment. The decision comes alongside an expected increase in interest expense of approximately $25 million in fiscal year 2027 and the maturity of $500 million in notes in March.

    What is the impact of the La Regina acquisition on Campbell's financial statements?

    The acquisition of a 49% stake in La Regina was completed on May 4, 2026, and the company's results were fully consolidated in Campbell's financial statements. The unowned 51% stake appears under earnings attributable to noncontrolling interests, while the financial statements also include fair-value adjustments related to the second payment due on May 4, 2027, and the option to purchase the remaining interests. Campbell's made an initial cash payment of approximately $140 million, and its financing, alongside La Regina debt, contributes to higher interest expense during fiscal year 2027.

    What are the key elements of Campbell's fiscal year 2027 guidance?

    The midpoint of guidance indicates an organic sales decline of approximately 3%, with an earnings-per-share range of $1.65 to $1.80 in fiscal year 2027. Management expects inflation of between 5% and 6%, logistics costs rising at a double-digit rate, and gross margin to decline by between 50 and 100 basis points for the full fiscal year. Quarter 1 of fiscal year 2027 will be the weakest in terms of margin and earnings per share, with margin expected to improve in quarter 2 and earnings-per-share growth expected to turn positive in quarter 4. The trajectory depends on the speed of the Snacks recovery and the level of inflation in the second half, where cost coverage is only approximately 50%.

    What does the analyst consensus say about CPB's valuation?

    The consensus recommendation is Neutral, with an average price target of $20.43. The target range extends from $18 to $28, while the 52-week range is between $19.56 and $34.17. The average target is approximately 40% below the 52-week range high, and even the highest target remains below that high, reflecting caution toward declining sales, margin pressure, and the dividend reduction.