The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 76 | 20.1x | 20.8x | Top tier | |
Growth | 26 | -1.4% | 6.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 54 | 8.2% | 6.6% | Around median | |
Safety | 70 | 0.7x | 0.7x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 66 | 2.69% | 2.02% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 80 | 29.1% | 4.1% | Top tier | |
Sentiment | 59 | 12 | 3 | Around median |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
ConocoPhillips is one of the world's largest independent oil and natural gas exploration and production companies, with its operational activities concentrated in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford in the United States, in addition to Alaska and a diverse international portfolio that includes Canada, Equatorial Guinea, and Qatar. The company generates its revenue by extracting and selling crude oil, natural gas, and liquefied natural gas, and it distinguishes itself with a strategy of keeping its production unhedged to maximize the benefits of price fluctuations, while linking a significant portion of its crude to premium-priced markets such as Dated Brent and ANS.
During the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company reported strong financial performance with total revenues reaching $13.5 billion, a gross profit of $7.2 billion, and a net income of $2.2 billion, reflecting earnings per share of $1.78. On the operational front, total production reached 2.309 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, with United States (Lower 48) operations contributing 1.453 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, achieving a year-over-year growth of 4%. The company also successfully generated $2.4 billion in free cash flow and returned $2 billion of it to shareholders.
Looking ahead, the company continues to make tangible progress on its major capital projects, led by the Willow project in Alaska which has reached a 50% completion rate, in addition to the Port Arthur liquefied natural gas project expected to begin production next year. Despite geopolitical challenges that led to the exclusion of Qatari production volumes from the second-quarter guidance, management maintained a strong outlook for average annual production at 2.31 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, while adhering to its operating cost guidance of $10.2 billion.
ConocoPhillips stock currently trades at a notable discount compared to the analyst consensus average price target of $137.25, with overall recommendations holding firm at a buy rating. This valuation reflects a belief in the company's ability to generate massive cash flows from its upcoming projects, despite the lack of a direct price-to-earnings ratio in the current data. With the highest analyst price target reaching $183, investors view the stock as offering a strong upside opportunity supported by operational fundamentals and generous dividend distributions.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-07-14; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
Geopolitical tensions have led to the shutdown of the company's production in Qatar, specifically at the QG3 facility which produced approximately 80,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day last year. Due to this stoppage, management has completely excluded Qatari production from its second-quarter 2026 guidance, which was set at 2.2 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. However, the company expects the impact to be confined to this single asset, while the rest of its global portfolio continues to operate without significant disruption.
The company announced that the Willow project in Alaska is 50% complete following the successful conclusion of the 2026 winter construction season, which included critical gravel and bridge work. The company is preparing to transport processing modules to Alaska by sea next summer, keeping the project on track to achieve first oil production by 2029. This project is a foundational pillar for reaching an inflection point in the company's free cash flow of $7 billion by the end of the current decade.
ConocoPhillips is committed to returning 45% of its operating cash flows to shareholders, a target it has strictly maintained across various economic cycles. In the first quarter of 2026, the company already returned $2 billion, split evenly between regular dividend distributions and share repurchases. The company also relies on a cost-averaging policy for its repurchases, while focusing on growing its base dividends to be competitive with the top quartile of the S&P 500 index.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Management raised the 2026 capital expenditure guidance to a range between $12 billion and $12.5 billion, an increase of $250 million at the midpoint. This rise is primarily due to the addition of a new drilling rig in the Permian Basin to keep pace with increasing completion efficiencies, as well as anticipating higher levels of non-operated spending in response to partner requests. These modest additions aim to maintain the company's outstanding operational efficiency in preparation for 2027, without compromising financial discipline.
The company has made significant progress in its liquefied natural gas strategy, having recently signed a third-party tolling agreement in Equatorial Guinea to extend the life of the EGLNG facility into the next decade. Additionally, the first phase of the Port Arthur project is proceeding excellently and is expected to begin production next year in 2027. The company has already successfully marketed 5 million tons from this project, mostly to Europe, capitalizing on growing demand and high global prices.