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Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.
CON

CON Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc.

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
34.95
▲ ⁦+2.07%⁩ (+0.71)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta0.69
52w Low52w High
18.5535.90
Last Week
⁦+2.70%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+37.82%⁩
Last Year
⁦+52.89%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall78
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9Better than 78% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
52
22.5x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
63
14.0%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
80
12.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
39
4.4x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
45
0.72%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
97
30.4%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
37
6▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$35
Analyst target · 4 analysts
$40
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$30–$42⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$26
⁦-27%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$26–$40⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 4 analysts setting price target
$38.60
⁦+10.4%⁩
Current Price $34.95·Median $40.00
Low
$30.00
High
$42.00
Current price
$34.95
Average target
$38.60
Street summary

Consensus Stability Amid a Wider Range of Expectations

The consensus price target remained unchanged at 38.6 over 1 day, 7 days, and 30 days. With the current price at 34.95, the consensus indicates a calculated upside of approximately 10.4%, while the target range spans 30 to 42; this reflects clear divergence among analysts, with their number recently increasing from 3 to 4 without any change in the consensus.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.22
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
34%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
2
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.29 → 4.22
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Bank of America Securities
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-11
    Wells Fargo
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    22.55x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    22.01x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.29x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    6.7%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.0%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    30.3%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    29.3%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    12.2%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.37x
    0.60x5.10x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.7%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    16.1%
    7.4%76.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-07 data

Company Overview

Concentra Group Holdings Parent, Inc. is a provider of occupational health services in the United States, serving more than 200 thousand small clients alongside large companies. Its core business is based on occupational health centers that provide work injury treatment and employer services, while other revenue sources include Onsite Health clinics, telemed services, pharmacy services, and services related to occupational health. The company achieves growth by increasing patient visits and revenue per visit, opening new centers, pursuing disciplined acquisitions, and expanding services with existing clients.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue increased 10.0% year over year to $606.0 million, and adjusted net income attributable to the company reached $66.7 million, up nearly 40% from $47.7 million, while adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.52 from $0.37. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 22.5% to $140.9 million, and its margin expanded by approximately 240 basis points to 23.3% from 20.9%. The cost of services also declined to 68.3% of revenue from 70.7%, while operating cash flow was $135.2 million and free cash flow was $121 million.

Occupational Health accounted for the largest portion of the fiscal Q2 2026 mix, generating revenue of $553.5 million and growth of 7.2%, including $361.2 million from work injuries and $183.2 million from employer services. Onsite Health clinics generated revenue of $38.8 million, up 72.1% overall and 27.9% excluding the impact of the Pivot acquisition, while other businesses grew 13.3% to $13.7 million. Average occupational health center visits increased to more than 56 thousand visits per day, with work injury visits growing 3.7% and employer services visits growing 1.8%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 7, 2026, Concentra raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to revenue between $2.325 billion and $2.375 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $485 million and $495 million, and free cash flow between $220 million and $240 million, while maintaining capital expenditures between $70 million and $80 million.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Core revenue growth in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately 8% after excluding the contribution from Pivot, driven by a 2.6% increase in patient visits and a 4.6% increase in revenue per visit. Revenue per work injury visit increased 4.9%, benefiting from pricing adjustments in California and Tennessee and from a higher share of higher-reimbursement initial injury visits.
  • Onsite Health grew 72.1% to $38.8 million and delivered organic growth of 27.9% excluding Pivot. Management cited the strength of the sales pipeline, expansion with shared clients, and improved competitiveness in requests for proposals after adding advanced primary care services and implementing Epic.
  • Net leverage declined to just below 3 times as of June 30, 2026, compared with 3.4 times at the end of fiscal Q1 2026, supported by earnings growth and free cash flow. Falling below 3.25 times reduces the Term Loan B interest margin by 25 basis points to 175 basis points, while management targets a long-term level near 2.5 times.
  • The company targets opening between 8 and 10 new centers during fiscal 2026 and has a list of 30 to 40 locations under consideration, with more than ten openings targeted in 2027. It opened a center near Phoenix during the quarter, followed by two centers in Boise and Kansas City after quarter-end, making Idaho the forty-second state with one of its occupational health centers.
  • During the August 7, 2026 call, management reported early indications of improving activity related to manufacturing, construction, and data center projects, particularly in Texas and Oklahoma. Customer satisfaction and retention metrics also remained at or near record levels, which management linked to market share gains and visit growth.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated strong operating leverage; adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization growth of 22.5% exceeded revenue growth of 10.0%, and the margin expanded to 23.3% as the cost of services declined by 240 basis points as a percentage of revenue.
    • +Concentra combines 8% core business growth after excluding Pivot with a faster-growing driver in Onsite Health, which grew organically by 27.9%. The pipeline of new locations and potential midsized acquisitions provides two additional growth paths, with management confirming that Pivot and Nova are performing ahead of the valuation assumptions made at the time of acquisition.
    • +Free cash flow nearly doubled to $121 million from $63.2 million in the comparable quarter, helping the company reduce leverage to below 3 times ahead of the targeted schedule. During the same quarter, the company repurchased approximately 424 thousand shares for $11 million and paid $8 million in dividends, then declared a dividend of $0.0625 per share on August 5, 2026.
    • +The CEO transition on November 1, 2026 represents an announced multiyear succession plan; Matt DiCanio, president and chief financial officer, will become president and chief executive officer, while Keith Newton will transition to executive chairman. Management affirmed the continuity of the strategy, while the executive and senior leadership team has an average tenure of approximately 20 years.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Total debt was $1.57 billion as of June 30, 2026, compared with a cash balance of $158 million, and net leverage remained just below 3 times despite improving from 3.4 times. Therefore, opportunistic acquisitions or share repurchases could limit the pace of progress toward the long-term leverage target near 2.5 times.
    • −The leadership transition on November 1, 2026 carries execution risks despite being part of a multiyear succession plan; Keith Newton will move to executive chairman after more than a decade as chief executive officer, and Matt DiCanio will assume the roles of president and chief executive officer. The continuity of the strategy and the leadership team's experience mitigate this risk but do not eliminate it.
    • −Some of the growth rates recorded in fiscal Q2 2026 are not expected to continue at the same strength; management said that Onsite Health organic growth in the mid-to-high twenties percentage range may not be sustainable over the long term. It also expects revenue per visit growth to decline from 4.6% to approximately 3% during the remainder of the year, after benefiting from price increases and a mix of higher-reimbursement initial injury visits.
    • −Work injury visit growth slowed from 6.2% in fiscal Q1 2026 to 3.7% in fiscal Q2 2026, and the guidance assumes low-single-digit visit growth in the second half. Management sees positive indicators in manufacturing, construction, and data centers, but described the connection to these trends as early or inferential, making the sustainability of above-long-term growth uncertain.
    • −The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin reached 23.3% in fiscal Q2 2026, but management explained that the second and third quarters are seasonally the strongest, while the midpoint of the full-year guidance implies a margin of approximately 21%. The year-over-year comparison also benefited from approximately $4 million of Nova integration costs recorded in the comparable period and subsequently eliminated through savings, so the full benefit will not recur in the future.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $38.6, above the 52-week range high of $35.9, with a “Buy” consensus. However, the wide target range of $30 to $42 reflects meaningful differences in estimates of the sustainability of visit growth and margins, and the available data do not include a valid earnings multiple that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.

    BuyAnalyst target: $38.6(+10.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CON's fiscal Q2 2026 results?

    Concentra's revenue increased 10.0% year over year to $606.0 million, and 8% after excluding the contribution from Pivot. Occupational health center visits increased 2.6% to more than 56 thousand visits per day, while revenue per visit rose 4.6%. Combined with staffing efficiency and Nova integration savings, this helped increase adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization by 22.5% to $140.9 million and expand its margin to 23.3%.

    What is Concentra's fiscal 2026 guidance following the increase announced in August 2026?

    On August 7, 2026, the company raised its revenue range to between $2.325 billion and $2.375 billion. It also raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range to $485–495 million and its free cash flow range to $220–240 million. It maintained its capital expenditure range at $70–80 million, assuming low-single-digit visit growth and pricing growth approaching 3% during the remainder of the year.

    How important is Onsite Health to CON's growth?

    Onsite Health generated revenue of $38.8 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 72.1% from the comparable period. Even after excluding the impact of Pivot, organic growth was 27.9%, faster than the growth of the core occupational health business. Management attributed this performance to the strength of the sales pipeline, expansion with existing clients, and advanced primary care services supported by the implementation of Epic, but cautioned that organic growth in the mid-to-high twenties percentage range may not continue over the long term.

    How does Concentra use its cash flows, and what is its debt position?

    The company generated $135.2 million in operating cash flow and $121 million in free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026. It spent $11 million to repurchase approximately 424 thousand shares and paid $8 million in dividends, with approximately $54 million remaining under the original $100 million repurchase program. As of June 30, 2026, debt was $1.57 billion and cash was $158 million, while net leverage declined to just below 3 times compared with a long-term target near 2.5 times.

    What changes in Concentra's leadership on November 1, 2026?

    The company announced that Keith Newton will transition on November 1, 2026 from chief executive officer to executive chairman. On the same date, Matt DiCanio, president and chief financial officer, will become president and chief executive officer, while Bob Ortenzio will remain a member of the board of directors. Management described the change as the result of a multiyear succession plan and confirmed that the growth strategy through new centers, acquisitions, and operating leverage will remain unchanged.

    What is Concentra's plan for opening new centers after fiscal Q2 2026?

    The company targets opening between 8 and 10 new centers during fiscal 2026, with a list of 30 to 40 locations under evaluation. It opened a center near Phoenix during the quarter, followed by two centers in Boise and Kansas City after quarter-end, with the Boise location becoming its first center in Idaho and Idaho becoming the forty-second state in its network. Management expects that it may open more than ten locations in 2027, but explained that new centers typically require 12–24 months for their contribution to become clearly visible and that their impact on 2026 visits is less than 1%.

    −
    Insiders recorded three sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on August 3, 2026, for net sales of $11.4 million. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the context provides no evidence to the contrary.