EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Coinbase Global, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall11
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 4/9Better than 11% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
22
—17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
17
-10.4%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
18
——Bottom tier
▸
Safety
63
——Around median
▸
Capital Return
23
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
28
-54.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
67
18▲3Top tier
COIN

COIN Coinbase Global, Inc.

Coinbase Global, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
175.26
▲ ⁦+1.73%⁩ (+2.98)
Market Cap$46.2B
Beta3.36
52w Low52w High
139.11402.16
Last Week
⁦-9.05%⁩
Last Month
⁦+17.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-10.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦-46.06%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$175
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$209
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$95–$330⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$93
⁦-47%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦13.3⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$93–$209⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$206.15
⁦+17.6%⁩
Current Price $175.26·Median $208.50
Low
$95.00
High
$330.00
Current price
$175.26
Average target
$206.15
Street summary

Coinbase Price Target Stable with Slight Consensus Decline

The consensus price target remained stable at $202.63 over the last 7 days, with the number of analysts remaining at 6. Over 30 days, the consensus declined from $204.95 to $202.63, a decrease of $2.32 or 1.13%, while the median remained at $203. Estimates range from $95 to $330, reflecting a wide divergence in views compared with the current price of $184.64.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.62
Buy
Analyst coverage
34
Buy conviction
65%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
134%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time34 analysts rating
3
19
9
2
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.51 → 3.62
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-31
    Cantor Fitzgerald
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-25
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Bernstein
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    51.61x
    2.76x22.06x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    50.73x
    3.07x24.55x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    5.8%
    -19.9%19.1%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -10.4%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -136.6%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Weak
  • Gross Margin
    76.0%
    23.5%98.3%
    Strong
  • ROIC
    4.8%
    -36.5%24.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Coinbase Global operates as a digital asset platform and infrastructure provider, generating revenue from fees on cryptocurrency, derivatives, equities, and prediction market trading, alongside subscriptions and services related to custody, USDC, and staking. Its strategy is based on increasing assets held on the platform and then expanding customer use of products such as Coinbase One, Base, perpetual contracts, and the Coinbase One Card, supporting customer retention and revenue diversification.

In fiscal year 2025, Coinbase reported revenue of $7.2 billion, net income of $1.3 billion, and earnings per share of $4.45. Management explained on the fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 call that revenue had become more diversified, with Bitcoin-related transactions representing 12% of the company’s business after previously accounting for more than half of revenue, alongside expansion in perpetual contract, prediction market, and equity trading and growth in subscriptions and services.

In fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, revenue was $1.2 billion, compared with $1.4 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1, a sequential decline of approximately 14%. The company recorded a net loss of $359.5 million and a loss per share of $1.36, compared with a net loss of $394.1 million and a loss per share of $1.49 in the previous quarter, meaning the loss narrowed despite the revenue decline. The provided data did not include a separate gross profit figure or a complete financial breakdown of revenue by segment.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 20, 2026, Coinbase shares rose 6% as Bitcoin surpassed $71 thousand, following the liquidation of $3.3 billion in short positions in the cryptocurrency market, highlighting the sensitivity of trading activity and the stock to the level of movement in digital assets.
  • President Trump called on Congress in August 2026 to pass the CLARITY Act, and reports identified September 15, 2026 as the date for a procedural vote in the Senate requiring 60 votes. CEO Brian Armstrong expressed optimism that the legislation would pass, while emphasizing that Coinbase could continue operating even if regulators issued alternative rules.
  • Coinbase One surpassed one million subscribers and reached an all-time high through fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, despite lower cryptocurrency trading volumes during the period. Management said subscribers trade more, generate stronger unit economics, and demonstrate better retention and engagement, and that growth marketing campaigns generally target a one-year payback period and outperformed that benchmark during the stated period.
  • Prediction markets, perpetual contracts, and equity trading showed signs of expanding activity rather than replacing it, as management said prediction market users generated additional spot trading volumes. It also described the initial uptake of pre-IPO perpetual contracts for non-U.S. customers, which began with a product linked to SpaceX, as encouraging.
  • Management said Base processed approximately $32 trillion in stablecoin transfers during the twelve months preceding the July 30, 2026 call, with settlement costing less than one cent and taking less than one second. Coinbase believes Base, USDC, and X402 give it an early position in payments for AI-powered agents, but it did not provide financial forecasts for this activity.
  • On August 11, 2026, Coinbase selected Abu Dhabi as a global hub for tokenized securities trading, adding an international avenue to its expansion in onchain-traded products.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The revenue model’s reliance on Bitcoin declined to 12% of the business, after previously exceeding half of revenue, due to the addition of perpetual contracts, prediction markets, equities, subscriptions, and services, reducing revenue concentration within a single trading product.
  • +Coinbase One surpassed one million subscribers and reached a record level in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and management said its members demonstrate better retention, engagement, and unit economics and use additional services such as staking and the card.
  • +Base provides tangible operating scale of approximately $32 trillion in stablecoin transfers over twelve months, while settlement costing less than one cent and taking less than one second indicates competitive capabilities in payments and automated applications.
  • +Passage of the CLARITY Act could reduce long-term regulatory uncertainty, while management believes rules that regulators may issue could allow operations to continue even if it does not pass, giving the company two potential paths toward greater clarity.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The average analyst target is $201.16, within a wide range of $95 to $330, with a “Buy” consensus; the average is much closer to the lower end of the 52-week range of $139.11 than to its high of $402.16. No usable price-to-earnings multiple is available because the latest 2026 trailing twelve-month data show a net loss of $987.8 million, despite fiscal year 2025 net income of $1.3 billion. The breadth of analyst targets and their divergence from the 52-week high reflect significant disagreement over the impact of the cryptocurrency cycle, regulation, and new product growth versus continued losses.

BuyAnalyst target: $201.16(+14.8%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How did Coinbase perform in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2?

Revenue was $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, compared with $1.4 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1. The company recorded a net loss of $359.5 million and a loss per share of $1.36. The loss was smaller than the previous quarter’s net loss of $394.1 million, but revenue declined by approximately 14% sequentially.

Does Coinbase still primarily rely on Bitcoin trading?

Management said on the July 30, 2026 call that Bitcoin-related transactions had come to represent 12% of the business, after previously accounting for more than half of revenue. Diversification comes from perpetual contracts, prediction markets, and equity trading, in addition to subscriptions and services. Coinbase One also recorded more than one million subscribers and its highest number of paid subscribers through fiscal year 2026 quarter 2.

Why is the CLARITY Act important for COIN shares?

The CLARITY Act aims to provide a clearer framework for regulating digital assets in the United States, and reports identified September 15, 2026 as the date for a procedural vote requiring 60 votes in the Senate. Brian Armstrong expressed optimism that it would pass, but said becoming law would require additional steps. He added that Coinbase already follows many of the practices the legislation may require and that regulators could issue their own rules if it does not pass.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Revenue remains highly sensitive to cryptocurrency market cycles and trading volumes; Coinbase revenue declined from $1.4 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1 to $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, coinciding with the decline in cryptocurrency trading volumes cited by management.
  • −Coinbase recorded a net loss of $359.5 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and the latest 2026 trailing twelve-month data show a net loss of $987.8 million and a loss per share of approximately $3.75, depriving the valuation of a stable traditional earnings anchor.
  • −Base faces direct competition from Robinhood and Stripe launching their own chains, while Coinbase also operates in a stablecoin market that includes USDT, PYUSD, and Onyx USD. Despite Base’s progress, management acknowledged that the market is undergoing a period of fragmentation that may precede consolidation, without specifying when or guaranteeing that it will occur.
  • −Network expansion could pressure the economic return per unit, as management said it is willing to share USDC economics with partners such as Hyperliquid to strengthen liquidity and distribution. Growth in Coinbase One could also shift some revenue from standalone trading fees to subscriptions and other products, making the revenue mix impact more complex.
  • −The regulatory and legal path remains unresolved: passage of the CLARITY Act required a procedural vote by 60 members of the Senate on September 15, 2026, while Baltimore filed a lawsuit on August 13, 2026 against major trading platforms over allegedly illegal sports betting.
  • −Insiders recorded net sales of $8.9 million through 39 sales and no purchases during the three months ended August 24, 2026. This remains a weak signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the provided data did not specify the reasons for those transactions.
  • How could Base and USDC support Coinbase’s growth?

    Management said Base processed approximately $32 trillion in stablecoin transfers during the twelve months preceding the July 30, 2026 call. The network provides settlement costing less than one cent and taking less than one second, and hosts the majority of the activity the company cited in X402 payments and AI-powered agents. Coinbase continues to support USDC in partnership with Circle, with the contract renewed on the same terms, while also supporting other stablecoins such as USDT and PYUSD.

    What are the main new products that could expand Coinbase’s revenue?

    Coinbase is expanding into prediction markets, perpetual contracts, and equity trading, and management said prediction market users added volumes to spot trading rather than replacing it. The company began offering pre-IPO perpetual contracts to non-U.S. customers, with the first product linked to SpaceX, and described the initial uptake as encouraging. On August 11, 2026, it also selected Abu Dhabi as a global hub for tokenized securities trading.

    What explains the wide range of analyst valuations for COIN shares?

    The average price target is $201.16, but estimates range from $95 to $330, compared with a 52-week range of $139.11 to $402.16. This variation reflects Coinbase’s sensitivity to digital asset prices, trading volumes, and regulatory decisions, alongside uncertainty over converting Base, Coinbase One, and new products into profits. The latest 2026 trailing twelve-month data also include a net loss of $987.8 million, so no reliable traditional price-to-earnings multiple is available.