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Stocks
The Vita Coco Company, Inc.
COCO

COCO The Vita Coco Company, Inc.

The Vita Coco Company, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
52.01
▲ ⁦+1.78%⁩ (+0.91)
Market Cap$3.0B
Beta0.77
52w Low52w High
33.1985.83
Last Week
⁦-10.42%⁩
Last Month
⁦-19.79%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-33.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦+53.24%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
31
28.6x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
86
26.1%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
86
28.0%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
92
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
33
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
51
90.3%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
44
5▲3Around median
Fair Value
Current price$52
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$78
⁦+50%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$68–$90⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$47
⁦-10%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$47–$78⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$77.80
⁦+49.6%⁩
Current Price $52.01·Median $78.00
Low
$68.00
High
$90.00
Current price
$52.01
Average target
$77.80
Street summary

The Vita (COCO) Stock Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

COCO stock shows remarkable stability in analyst forecasts with a clear optimistic bias, as the consensus price target has remained at $79 throughout the past thirty days without any change, representing a significant growth gap compared to the current price of $61.63. Recent ratings from major institutions such as Piper Sandler and Goldman Sachs reinforce this positive trend, as all have maintained "Buy" or "Overweight" recommendations in recent months, indicating stable institutional confidence in the company's performance.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-1.5%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.82
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
73%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
42%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
7
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.82 → 3.82
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-09
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    28.63x
    4.61x36.85x
    Above average
  • Forward P/E
    28.77x
    3.86x30.86x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    19.95x
    2.86x22.90x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    4.2%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.1%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    69.9%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    41.1%
    9.2%67.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    28.0%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    13.96
    -4.825.90
    Exceptional
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-23 data

Company Overview

The Vita Coco Company operates as a beverage platform focused on coconut water, generating revenue from branded Vita Coco products and private-label products it manufactures for retailers. Its operations include the Americas segment and the International segment, and it expanded in Q2 fiscal 2026 through the acquisition of Copra, which specializes in premium refrigerated Thai Nam Hom coconut water, with coconut water products accounting for approximately 90% of its sales. Copra also adds other products, including young Thai coconut meat, nectar, purée, and ready-to-drink coconut smoothies.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, net sales increased 28% year over year to $216 million, driven by 21% growth in Vita Coco Coconut Water sales and 83% growth in private label. Americas sales reached $172 million, up 21%, including $138 million from Vita Coco Coconut Water, up 15%, while International segment sales increased 63%, with Vita Coco Coconut Water growing 60% and private label growing 82%.

Gross profit reached $105 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, and gross margin increased to 49% from 36% a year earlier, with a tariff refund contributing approximately 700 basis points of the 1,200-basis-point improvement. Net income attributable to shareholders reached $49 million, or $0.82 per diluted share, compared with $23 million and $0.38 a year earlier, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $67 million, or 31% of sales, versus $29 million and 17% a year earlier. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased by $6 million to $42 million due to investment in personnel, marketing, and sales.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to net sales of between $790 million and $805 million, a gross margin of approximately 40%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of between $154 million and $161 million, based on the strength of the core business and the addition of Copra.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Retail sales growth for the coconut water category since the beginning of fiscal 2026 reached 29% in the United States and 65% in measured European markets, while Vita Coco Coconut Water achieved growth of 29% in the United States and 57% in those European markets, with the brand gaining share across key markets.
  • For fiscal 2026, the company expects Vita Coco Coconut Water sales growth in the high teens to 20% range and growth of between 90% and 100% in U.S. private-label sales. In Q2 fiscal 2026, Americas private-label volume increased 82%, alongside a 1% improvement in price and mix, supported by recaptured distribution territories and the start of shipments to a new account.
  • The initial payment for the Copra acquisition was approximately $175 million, financed with roughly 80% cash and 20% stock, while the additional payment due in 2029 ranges from $45 million to $100 million based on 2028 gross profit. Copra expects sales exceeding $100 million in calendar fiscal 2026, and the company intends to invest approximately $11 million to double extraction capacity and improve the efficiency of the Thailand facility.
  • The company operated at approximately 95% of production capacity in Q2 fiscal 2026 and raised its estimates for 2028 capacity requirements due to strong demand. As of June 30, 2026, the company also had $279 million in cash with no borrowings under its revolving credit facility and had generated $82 million in cash since the beginning of the fiscal year, supporting expansion funding and the integration of Copra.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The bullish case is based on simultaneous growth in the flagship brand, private label, and international markets; Q2 fiscal 2026 sales increased 28%, while the International segment grew 63% and private label grew 83%. The company also attributed approximately two-thirds of the growth in its U.S. Vita Coco business to increased household penetration and the remaining third to a higher purchase rate within households.
    • +Profitability improved sharply in Q2 fiscal 2026, as gross margin increased 1,200 basis points to 49%, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin rose to 31% from 17%. Although the tariff refund added approximately 700 basis points, the remainder of the improvement came from better pricing and lower ocean freight and finished-goods costs.
    • +The Copra acquisition gives the company direct access to the premium refrigerated segment, which management estimates accounts for approximately 13% of U.S. coconut water sales and has grown slightly faster than the rest of the category since the beginning of fiscal 2026. The Copra brand also grew 42% year to date through foodservice and select retailers, and management says the business is profitable and included in fiscal 2026 guidance.
    • +Cash of $279 million as of June 30, 2026, and the absence of drawn debt under the revolving facility provide flexibility to fund Copra's approximately $11 million investment and share repurchases. In July 2026, the board increased the repurchase authorization by $40 million, leaving $61 million remaining under a total authorization of $105 million.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Production capacity is a direct constraint on growth, as the network is operating at approximately 95%, and management said its ability to exceed available capacity is limited even though demand surpassed its expectations. An earthquake near General Santos in the Philippines also caused a temporary shutdown and the loss of several weeks of production and inventory equivalent to two weeks at a facility that represents approximately 1% of the network's total annual production.
    • −Management expects gross margin in the second half of fiscal 2026 to be lower than in the first half due to higher ocean freight, packaging materials, domestic logistics, and energy costs, in addition to a greater mix of lower-gross-margin private-label products. Most of the cost increases are expected to begin affecting margins from the middle of Q3 fiscal 2026, while the tariff refund provided exceptional support of approximately 700 basis points to the Q2 margin.
    • −The guidance assumes a slowdown in core revenue growth during the second half of fiscal 2026 due to comparisons with distributor inventory building and the rollout of Walmart products, despite the raised outlook for the period. Management also based its expectations on U.S. category growth of approximately 20%, below the 29% growth recorded since the beginning of fiscal 2026, making achievement of the guidance sensitive to continued demand strength.
    • −The Copra acquisition carries execution and financing risks; the initial payment was $175 million, with an additional payment of between $45 million and $100 million due in 2029 based on 2028 gross profit, alongside a rapid capital investment of approximately $11 million. Copra also currently relies heavily on lower-gross-margin private label, requires a separate cold chain spanning shipping through retail, and management has incorporated potential integration costs and additional expenses into its guidance.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $79, within a range of $68 to $90, with a consensus rating of “Buy.” The average is below the 52-week high of $85.83, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains well above the range low of $34.85; the wide spread in targets reflects differing assessments of growth sustainability, second-half margin pressures, and the results of the Copra integration.

    BuyAnalyst target: $79(+51.9%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove COCO's growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Net sales increased 28% to $216 million, with Vita Coco Coconut Water growing 21% and private label growing 83%. In the Americas, Vita Coco Coconut Water sales increased 15% to $138 million, driven by 7% volume growth and a 7% improvement in price and mix. International segment sales increased 63%, with the brand growing 60% and private label growing 82%.

    How does the Copra acquisition affect The Vita Coco Company's growth story?

    On July 23, 2026, the company announced the addition of Copra, which specializes in premium refrigerated Nam Hom coconut water, a segment that management estimates accounts for approximately 13% of category sales in the United States. The initial payment was $175 million, with an additional payment in 2029 ranging from $45 million to $100 million based on 2028 gross profit. Copra expects sales exceeding $100 million in calendar fiscal 2026, and the company plans to invest approximately $11 million to double extraction capacity and improve the efficiency of its Thailand facility.

    What is COCO's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects net sales of between $790 million and $805 million and a gross margin of approximately 40% in fiscal 2026. The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization range is between $154 million and $161 million. It also targets growth in the high teens to 20% range for Vita Coco Coconut Water sales and growth of between 90% and 100% for U.S. private label following the inclusion of Copra.

    Did COCO's profit margin improve sustainably in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Gross margin increased to 49% from 36% a year earlier, but the tariff refund contributed approximately 700 basis points of the total 1,200-basis-point improvement. The remainder of the increase came from improved coconut water pricing and lower ocean freight and finished-goods costs, offset by higher domestic logistics costs. Management expects a lower margin in the second half of fiscal 2026 as shipping, packaging, energy, and the greater private-label mix flow through the income statement.

    What are the main supply risks facing COCO?

    The company was operating at approximately 95% of capacity during Q2 fiscal 2026, limiting its ability to respond to demand above plan. An earthquake near General Santos in the Philippines caused damage, a temporary shutdown, and the loss of several weeks of production and inventory equivalent to two weeks at a facility representing approximately 1% of the network's total annual production. The company is working with several partners to secure 2028 capacity, but adding a new partner may take between 18 and 24 months, while adding a TETRA line typically takes between 9 and 12 months.

    What does The Vita Coco Company's liquidity look like after the Copra transaction?

    Cash reached $279 million as of June 30, 2026, and the company had no debt drawn under its revolving credit facility. It generated $82 million in cash since the beginning of fiscal 2026, driven by strong net income and a $28 million reduction in inventory, partially offset by $20 million in share repurchases and an $11 million working-capital outflow. After the repurchase authorization was increased by $40 million in July 2026, $61 million remained available under a total authorization of $105 million.

    −
    Copra faces competition from Harmless Harvest and from private-label products that have captured part of the growth in the premium refrigerated segment, while the Copra brand itself remains small despite growing 42% since the beginning of fiscal 2026. This means that the ambition to build a major brand within this segment requires commercial success beyond Copra's current position as a prominent private-label supplier.
  • −Analyst targets ranged from $68 to $90, while the stock's 52-week range was $34.85 to $85.83; this divergence reveals significant sensitivity to growth, margin, and integration estimates. Insiders also recorded seven sales and no purchases during the three months ending with the latest transaction on June 17, 2026, for net sales of $30.4 million, but this is a weak standalone signal because these sales may have been prearranged unless the context proves otherwise.