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CNX Resources Corporation
CNX

CNX CNX Resources Corporation

CNX Resources Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
35.91
▼ ⁦-2.07%⁩ (-0.76)
Market Cap$5.3B
Beta0.61
52w Low52w High
28.7043.62
Last Week
⁦-4.92%⁩
Last Month
⁦-0.61%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+7.32%⁩
Last Year
⁦+22.77%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall99
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 8/9Better than 99% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
92
5.7x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
97
47.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
84
11.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
72
1.2x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
91
—2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
52
23.7%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
76
7▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$36
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$35
⁦-3%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$34–$42⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$98
⁦+172%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦4⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$35–$98⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$37.00
⁦+3.0%⁩
Current Price $35.91·Median $35.00
Low
$34.00
High
$42.00
Current price
$35.91
Average target
$37.00
Street summary

Bullish Revision of CNX Price Target

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target for CNX has seen a notable positive revision over the past thirty days, rising from $34.25 to $37, an increase of 8.03%. This recent upward adjustment places the price target above the current price of $36.04, indicating an improvement in analyst outlook despite the variance in estimates; the range spans between $34 and $42, with the current price positioned above the median ($35).

As of 2026-08-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.83
Hold
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
8%
Target dispersion
22%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
9
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.43 → 2.83
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Mizuho Securities
    —· $42.00
  • = Reiterate2026-03-27
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight· $34.00
  • = Reiterate2026-02-02
    Piper Sandler
    —· $26.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    5.66x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    10.66x
    3.36x26.89x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    4.17x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    14.7%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    47.3%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    319.9%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Exceptional
  • Gross Margin
    45.9%
    7.8%72.1%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    11.2%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.24x
    0.40x3.19x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

CNX Resources Corporation explores, develops, and produces natural gas resources in the Appalachia region, with field operations spanning the Marcellus and Utica formations. The core business relies on gas production, while the company adds cash flows from environmental attributes and the 45Z credit associated with its methane stream; these credits are recognized for accounting purposes within income tax expense and are not included in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. During fiscal Q2 2026, drilling was limited to two wells in the Utica in line with the activity plan, while the company continued to improve drilling efficiency and maintained its estimated Utica well cost at approximately $1.7 thousand per foot.

CNX recorded fiscal Q2 2026 revenue of $618.5 million, net income of $202.9 million, and earnings per share of $1.32. Compared with fiscal Q1 2026, revenue declined by approximately 21% from $786.7 million, and net income fell by approximately 42% from $348.1 million, although earnings exceeded analysts’ estimates by 26.3%. Gross profit was not disclosed, but the company achieved a 59% cash operating margin through cost control despite lower gas prices and a year-over-year decline in total production volumes.

Fiscal 2025 revenue was approximately $2.2 billion, with net income of $633.2 million and earnings per share of $3.98. The latest trailing-twelve-month data ending in fiscal 2026 indicate revenue of $2.6 billion, net income of $949.4 million, and earnings per share of approximately $6.17. The operating mix includes Marcellus and Utica development, alongside income from environmental attributes and the 45Z credit, which management expects to raise combined annual cash flows from the two sources to approximately $90 million in fiscal 2027.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Adjustments to the carbon intensity calculation in the Treasury Department model increased the expected annual monetization value of the 45Z credit to approximately $40 million, and CNX is targeting a combined cash flow run rate of approximately $90 million from it and environmental attributes in fiscal 2027.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The company confirmed that methane cash flows for the first four months of fiscal 2025 qualified for the credit, and in July 2026 it sold $30 million of credits whose cash impact is expected to appear in fiscal Q3 2026 within the income tax line rather than earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.
  • Fiscal Q2 2026 earnings exceeded analysts’ expectations by 26.3%, and the company maintained a 59% cash operating margin despite lower gas prices and a year-over-year decline in total production, highlighting the impact of cost discipline.
  • The fiscal 2026 second-half program includes bringing a large Marcellus pad with 12 to 13 wells online in Q3, followed by a Utica pad in Q4, making the timing of well turn-in-lines a key factor in the production and capital spending trajectory.
  • Management said on July 30, 2026, that the Utica wells were performing in line with stated expectations and ranked among the high-quality assets in the basin, with drilling performance continuing to improve and the estimated well cost remaining near $1.7 thousand per foot.
  • CNX continues to apply the capital allocation approach it has followed for approximately six and a half years, and management indicated on July 30, 2026, that attractive share repurchase opportunities existed, with the possibility of spending above cash flow if returns justified it within risk management constraints.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +CNX’s ability to achieve a 59% cash operating margin and exceed fiscal Q2 2026 earnings expectations by 26.3%, despite weak gas prices and production, supports the thesis that it has a relatively flexible cost base.
    • +The 45Z credit and environmental attributes provide an additional cash flow pathway, with management targeting approximately $40 million annually from 45Z and a combined run rate of approximately $90 million in fiscal 2027.
    • +Bringing 12 to 13 wells from a Marcellus pad online in fiscal Q3 2026, followed by a Utica pad in Q4, could support a production recovery after the year-over-year weakness recorded in Q2.
    • +Management says the Utica wells are delivering the stated performance and rank as high-quality assets within the basin, while drilling teams continue to improve execution with an estimated cost of approximately $1.7 thousand per foot.
    • +The capital allocation approach focuses on increasing long-term value per share, and management indicated on July 30, 2026, that share repurchase opportunities existed when the margin of safety was substantial.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Fiscal Q2 2026 results came under pressure from lower natural gas prices and a year-over-year decline in total production volumes, posing a direct risk to revenue and cash flow for a company whose core business relies on gas production.
    • −Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue declined by approximately 21% from Q1, from $786.7 million to $618.5 million, while net income fell by approximately 42% from $348.1 million to $202.9 million, revealing a clear sequential slowdown despite the earnings beat.
    • −Management described the gas environment extending from fiscal 2026 into fiscal 2027 as relatively weak, and continued weakness could limit CNX’s benefit from improved efficiency or an increase in wells brought online.
    • −Part of the additional cash flow target for fiscal 2027 depends on 45Z credit rules and carbon intensity calculations, while the final Treasury Department rule was still pending during the second half of fiscal 2026; therefore, the timing and value of monetization remain exposed to regulatory changes.
    • −The company assumes stable Pennsylvania environmental attribute market prices when calculating its targeted cash flow run rate, while acknowledging volatility in this market, which could cause the actual contribution to fall below the $90 million annual target in fiscal 2027.
    • −The valuation carries some risk from limited expectations; analyst consensus is Neutral, the average target of $37 is below the 52-week range high of $43.62, and the narrow target range of $34 to $42 does not reflect a strong bullish consensus.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus on CNX is Neutral, with an average price target of $37, a high of $42, and a low of $34. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $43.62, and even the highest target remains below that high, consistent with analysts’ caution toward weak gas prices and declining production and quarterly revenue despite the strong cash operating margin and potential 45Z cash flows. The context does not include a valid price-to-earnings ratio that could be used as an additional valuation anchor.

    HoldAnalyst target: $37(+3.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What supports CNX’s earnings despite weak gas prices?

    CNX achieved a 59% cash operating margin in fiscal Q2 2026 through cost discipline. Net income reached $202.9 million, or $1.32 per share, while exceeding analysts’ expectations by 26.3%. This came despite lower natural gas prices and a year-over-year decline in total production volumes, making the sustainability of cost control a central factor in monitoring the stock.

    How important is the 45Z credit to CNX?

    Management said on July 30, 2026, that adjustments to the carbon intensity calculation increased the expected annual monetization value of the 45Z credit to approximately $40 million. By combining 45Z with environmental attributes, the company is targeting a cash flow run rate of approximately $90 million annually in fiscal 2027. CNX also sold $30 million of credits in July 2026, and their cash impact is expected to appear in fiscal Q3 2026 within the income tax line.

    How will CNX’s production change during the second half of fiscal 2026?

    CNX intends to bring a large Marcellus pad with 12 to 13 wells online in fiscal Q3 2026. Under management’s plan, a Utica pad under development is scheduled to come online in fiscal Q4 2026. Management explained that this distribution reflects the timing of field activity, not an artificial attempt to manage production based on winter prices.

    How are CNX’s Utica wells performing?

    Management stated during the July 30, 2026, call that the Utica wells were performing in line with stated expectations and described their results as high quality within the basin. Drilling in fiscal Q2 2026 was limited to two Utica wells in line with the plan. The company also maintained its estimated well cost near $1.7 thousand per foot, while noting continued improvements in drilling speed and efficiency.

    What are the main financial risks facing CNX stock?

    CNX’s revenue declined from $786.7 million in fiscal Q1 2026 to $618.5 million in Q2, while net income fell from $348.1 million to $202.9 million. The company also faced lower gas prices and a year-over-year decline in total production, and described the gas environment between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027 as relatively weak. In addition, part of the targeted cash flows depends on 45Z rules and volatile environmental attribute prices.

    What does analyst consensus indicate about CNX’s valuation?

    The consensus rating is Neutral, with an average price target of $37 within a range of $34 to $42. Both the average and highest target are below the 52-week range high of $43.62, while the low end of that range is $28.7. This valuation reflects a balance between the 59% cash operating margin and potential 45Z cash flows on one hand, and weak gas prices and declining revenue and production on the other.