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Stocks
Cinemark Holdings, Inc.
CNK

CNK Cinemark Holdings, Inc.

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
35.08
▼ ⁦-0.20%⁩ (-0.07)
Market Cap$4.1B
Beta0.98
52w Low52w High
21.6038.98
Last Week
⁦+0.86%⁩
Last Month
⁦-7.56%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+29.07%⁩
Last Year
⁦+34.10%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall81
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 4/8Better than 81% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
74
18.8x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
47
4.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
58
9.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
55
2.3x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
38
0.94%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
90
42.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
78
8▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$35
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$40
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$30–$43⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$31
⁦-12%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$31–$40⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$38.67
⁦+10.2%⁩
Current Price $35.08·Median $40.00
Low
$30.00
High
$43.00
Current price
$35.08
Average target
$38.67
Street summary

Cinemark (CNK) Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Cinemark stock has seen a strong upward revision in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus jumping from $33 to $38.67, an increase of 17.18%. This shift reflects growing optimism among the six analysts covering the stock, especially with the median price stabilizing at $40, which exceeds the current price of $37.24, indicating a potential growth gap despite the variance in the forecast range between $30 and $43.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.64
Buy
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
55%
Mixed
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
1
5
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.82 → 3.64
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Benchmark
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    B. Riley
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    18.76x
    4.21x33.71x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    15.76x
    3.09x24.70x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.06x
    2.57x20.60x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.7%
    -33.4%21.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.5%
    -16.2%48.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    0.5%
    -464.8%138.2%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    9.5%
    11.3%77.5%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    9.0%
    -33.6%17.7%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.31x
    0.60x5.67x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.0%9.4%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    17.6%
    5.9%105.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. operates a global network of movie theaters and generates revenue primarily from admissions, food and beverages, and film-related merchandise. The company supports these sources through premium-priced formats and experiences such as XD, IMAX, ScreenX, 4DX, and D-BOX, alongside strategic pricing, loyalty programs, and direct marketing. On July 30, 2026, management said its directly addressable customer base had reached 40 million customers globally and that direct channels represented approximately 50% of the activity referenced in the call.

Fiscal Q2 2026 delivered the first quarterly global revenue exceeding $1 billion in Cinemark's history, with quarterly records in admissions revenue, food and beverage revenue, spending per patron, merchandise, premium experience performance, and loyalty transactions. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached a record $294 million, with a margin of 27.1%, the second-highest quarterly margin in the company's history and only ten basis points below the record. The quarter also generated nearly $300 million in free cash flow, compared with capital expenditures exceeding $60 million, while the international business in Latin America posted record adjusted earnings and margin, and the domestic business margin exceeded 27%.

EDGAR filings show that fiscal 2025 revenue was $3.1 billion, net income was $138.2 million, and earnings per share were $1.04, while revenue for the twelve months ended in 2026 was approximately $3.2 billion, net income was $170.7 million, and earnings per share were approximately $1.49. In fiscal Q1 2026, the company reported revenue of $643.1 million, a net loss of $6.4 million, and negative earnings per share of $0.06, before the record operating improvement announced in fiscal Q2 2026. This progression reflects earnings sensitivity to attendance levels and the strength of the film slate, because approximately 40% of the cost structure is fixed and provides operating leverage when box office and ancillary revenue increase.

What's Driving the Stock

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

A strong film mix and domestic market share gains drove fiscal Q2 2026 revenue above $1 billion for the first time and raised adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to $294 million, with a margin of 27.1%.
  • Cinemark expanded its premium offerings during the first half of fiscal 2026 by adding seven XD auditoriums, 12 ScreenX auditoriums, two IMAX auditoriums, three 70-millimeter projectors, and 112 new auditoriums equipped with D-BOX technology; the network now includes approximately 350 auditoriums globally in XD, IMAX, and ScreenX formats and approximately 660 auditoriums equipped with D-BOX technology.
  • Film-related merchandise sales reached a record $25 million in fiscal Q2 2026, supported by improvements in product assortment, inventory distribution, and sell-through rates, adding a source of growth alongside admissions and food and beverages.
  • Visit frequency among audiences under age 25 increased by approximately 20% year over year, according to management's estimate on the July 30, 2026 call, and creator-led films such as Backrooms and Obsession, alongside Iron Lung, helped attract younger audiences and broaden the sources of theatrical content.
  • During fiscal Q2 2026, studios began implementing commitments to a 45-day exclusive theatrical window, and management believes that extending exclusivity could support attendance, but emphasized that measuring its long-term impact requires additional time.
  • A base of 40 million directly addressable customers globally enables Cinemark to personalize offers and convert new moviegoers into repeat visitors, leveraging direct communication channels, digital marketing, and influencer networks.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 demonstrated the strength of operating leverage; quarterly revenue exceeded $1 billion, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $294 million, the margin reached 27.1%, and free cash flow approached $300 million.
    • +The expansion of premium experiences remains in a growth phase, as the company added 136 new auditoriums or installations across XD, ScreenX, IMAX, and D-BOX during the first half of fiscal 2026, and management says it has additional opportunities to add a second premium format at certain locations.
    • +Revenue sources beyond traditional admissions are expanding; merchandise generated $25 million in fiscal Q2 2026, alongside records in food and beverages, spending per patron, and premium experiences.
    • +The approximately 20% year-over-year growth in visit frequency among those under age 25, alongside the success of Backrooms and Obsession and anime, faith-based, and foreign-language content, provides an opportunity to broaden the audience and reduce dependence on a single type of film.
    • +Cash generation supports capital allocation flexibility; Cinemark spent more than $60 million on improving its business in fiscal Q2 2026 while returning capital to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, with balance sheet strength and growth opportunities prioritized.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Results depend heavily on the strength of the film slate and attendance; management emphasized that fiscal 2027 performance will remain contingent on content quality, marketing effectiveness, and release distribution, while the clustering of major films during peak periods could create capacity constraints and crowd out similar films.
    • −Market share gains and record margins may not be fully repeatable, as management said it needs a longer period of box office stability to determine the structural portion of the share gains, while the 27.1% margin in fiscal Q2 2026 came amid a strong box office environment and a content mix that resonated with audiences.
    • −The Latin American business faces currency, inflation, and mandatory wage increase risks, in addition to labor laws that limit flexibility in adjusting staffing levels as box office changes; management explained that government-mandated wages in some markets can rise by more than inflation.
    • −Electricity costs and semi-variable expenses such as credit card fees, maintenance, and cleaning rise with increased attendance, and management expects the impact of energy prices to continue in the second half of fiscal 2026, particularly because of its significant exposure to markets such as Texas, which have experienced increased demand from data centers.
    • −Premium experiences represent only approximately 15% of total box office, according to management, and auditorium size limits the ability to add certain screens; therefore, the actual scope for expansion may be smaller than the apparent demand for XD, IMAX, ScreenX, 4DX, and D-BOX.
    • −

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on CNK stock is neutral, with an average price target of $38.67 and a wide range between $30 and $43. The average target is near the upper end of the 52-week range of $38.98, while the highest target exceeds it and the lowest target remains within the range, a divergence that reflects differing estimates regarding the sustainability of operating leverage following the record quarter and the dependence of results on the strength of the film slate. Earnings per share of approximately $1.49 for the twelve months ended in 2026 provide an operating reference point, but the absence of a buy consensus and the wide target range highlight the conservative aspect of the valuation.

    HoldAnalyst target: $38.67(+10.2%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove Cinemark's record results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Quarterly global revenue exceeded $1 billion for the first time in the company's history, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization reached $294 million, with a margin of 27.1%. Cinemark posted records in admissions, food and beverages, spending per patron, merchandise, premium experiences, and loyalty transactions. Management attributed this to a strong film slate, improved operating leverage, market share gains, and investments in the guest experience. Free cash flow for the quarter approached $300 million, with capital expenditures exceeding $60 million.

    How is Cinemark growing beyond traditional admissions revenue?

    The company relies on food and beverages, merchandise, and premium experiences to increase spending per patron, and these categories posted record results in fiscal Q2 2026. Merchandise sales alone reached $25 million, supported by improvements in assortment, product distribution, and inventory management. During the first half of fiscal 2026, Cinemark added seven XD auditoriums, 12 ScreenX auditoriums, two IMAX auditoriums, 112 D-BOX auditoriums, and three 70-millimeter projectors. The network includes approximately 350 auditoriums globally in XD, IMAX, and ScreenX formats and approximately 660 auditoriums equipped with D-BOX technology.

    How important are younger audiences to CNK's performance?

    Management estimated on the July 30, 2026 call that visit frequency among audiences under age 25 increased by approximately 20% year over year. Creator-led films such as Backrooms and Obsession, following Iron Lung, helped attract younger audiences with an existing connection to the creators. Cinemark uses social and digital marketing and influencer networks to convert this interest into ticket sales. A base of 40 million directly addressable customers also gives the company a channel to encourage repeat visits through more personalized offers.

    What is the impact of the 45-day exclusive theatrical window on Cinemark?

    Management said studios began committing more extensively to a 45-day exclusive theatrical window during fiscal Q2 2026. Cinemark believes that longer exclusivity could enhance the value of watching films in theaters before they move to other channels. However, it explained on the July 30, 2026 call that the change is still in its early stages and that its long-term impact cannot yet be measured accurately. Therefore, the window represents a potential supporting factor rather than a guaranteed financial outcome in the provided data.

    What are the main operating risks facing Cinemark?

    Revenue and attendance are directly linked to film quality and release timing, and management warned about the clustering of major releases during certain periods in the second half of fiscal 2026. In Latin America, the company faces currency fluctuations, inflation, mandatory wage increases, and laws that limit staffing flexibility. Electricity, credit card, maintenance, and cleaning expenses also rise with increased activity, and management expects energy price pressure to continue during the second half of fiscal 2026. In addition, the company needs more time to determine how much of its market share gains can be considered permanent.

    How do analysts' price targets for CNK compare with its annual range?

    The average analyst price target is $38.67, with the highest target at $43 and the lowest at $30, while the consensus rating is neutral. The average target is near the top of the 52-week range of $38.98, while the highest target exceeds that level and the lowest remains within the range of $21.60 to $38.98. The $13 difference between the highest and lowest targets indicates clear divergence in estimates of the sustainability of the record results. This divergence centers on operating leverage, the strength of the film slate, and the company's ability to maintain market share gains and margins.

    The neutral analyst consensus and the range of price targets between $30 and $43 reflect the absence of strong agreement on fair value; the average target of $38.67 is also very close to the top of the 52-week range of $38.98, making the valuation sensitive to the continuation of record margins and a strong film slate.