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Home
Stocks
Compass Minerals International, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall23
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSuper StockF 6/9Grey zoneBetter than 23% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
64
57.7x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
52
5.5%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
60
8.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
44
3.2x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
40
0.00%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
55
30.7%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
64
33Around median
CMP

CMP Compass Minerals International, Inc.

Compass Minerals International, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
24.80
▼ ⁦-1.08%⁩ (-0.27)
Market Cap$1.1B
Beta1.25
52w Low52w High
16.4034.50
Last Week
⁦+1.51%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.32%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-22.31%⁩
Last Year
⁦+30.12%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$25
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$30
⁦+19%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$27–$32⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$7.00
⁦-72%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$7.00–$30⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$29.50
⁦+19.0%⁩
Current Price $24.80·Median $29.50
Low
$27.00
High
$32.00
Current price
$24.80
Average target
$29.50
Street summary

Bearish revision of price targets for Compass Minerals (CMP) stock

Bearish tilt

Compass Minerals stock has seen consecutive negative revisions in the average price target over the past thirty days, with the analyst consensus falling from $32.5 to $29.5, a decline of 9.23%. This adjustment occurred while the number of analysts remained at 3, reflecting a consensus among analysts to lower the ceiling of expectations, even though the current price ($24.86) remains below the lowest recorded price target ($27), indicating a risk reassessment despite the existence of a technical price gap.

As of 2026-08-31
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-4.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.00
Hold
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
50%
Mixed
Target dispersion
20%
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
2
1
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.00 → 3.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-05-27
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy· $35.00
  • = Reiterate2026-05-14
    Compass Point
    —· $30.00
  • = Reiterate2026-01-05
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform· $25.00
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    57.67x
    4.94x39.51x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    20.18x
    3.70x29.59x
    Above average
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.86x
    2.62x20.92x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.5%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    5.5%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    114.7%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    17.2%
    7.6%58.9%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    8.6%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.18x
    0.22x3.72x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    0.0%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.98
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Compass Minerals International produces essential minerals through two main businesses. The Salt segment sells highway deicing products and consumer and industrial salt products, while the Plant Nutrition business produces sulfate of potash from the Ogden facility, which the company describes as the leading North American producer of this product. The economics of both businesses depend on production and sales volumes, pricing, mining, processing, and distribution costs, as well as geographic and product mix.

In fiscal Q3 2026, the company reported revenue of $215.3 million and gross profit of $37.9 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 17.6%, while net loss was $5.7 million and loss per share was $0.13. Salt revenue was $173.9 million, or about 81% of total revenue, and increased 5% year over year; Plant Nutrition revenue was $37.6 million, or about 17% of the total, and declined 16% due to lower volumes associated with the sale of the Wynyard asset in March 2026.

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization were $39.9 million in fiscal Q3 2026, compared with $41 million a year earlier. Salt generated $38.9 million, down 15% due to lower highway deicing salt volumes and higher per-unit production and distribution costs, while the figure for Plant Nutrition rose 32% to $15 million and its operating earnings increased 50% to $7.8 million due to improved Ogden pricing and lower per-unit product and distribution costs.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On August 6, 2026, management raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $230 million, within a range of $218 million to $242 million, driven primarily by Plant Nutrition performance that exceeded expectations.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Fiscal 2026 adjusted Plant Nutrition earnings guidance was raised to a range of $49 million to $57 million from a previous range of $43 million to $47 million, after Ogden generated approximately $15 million in fiscal Q3 2026. The company expects to complete the dryer project by the end of fiscal 2027 to improve yield, volume, cost, and finished-product quality.
  • The 2026–2027 deicing bid season supports Salt segment pricing; management cited increases of approximately 10% overall, with some increases in core U.S. markets exceeding 10%. This followed a decline in industry inventories to historically low levels and an increase in bid volumes and demand after the 2025–2026 winter.
  • Fiscal Q3 2026 demonstrated tangible pricing power in Salt, as segment pricing increased 9%, highway deicing pricing increased 8%, and consumer and industrial pricing increased 6%. However, these gains did not fully offset a 6% decline in highway volumes and higher per-unit production and distribution costs.
  • The financial position improved as of June 30, 2026; total debt declined to $716.6 million from $825.3 million a year earlier, net debt fell by $85.6 million to $660.3 million, and net leverage decreased to 2.8 times from 4.3 times. Liquidity also reached $328.1 million, and management noted that S&P upgraded the company’s credit rating.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The Plant Nutrition business combines earnings growth with improved efficiency; despite a 16% revenue decline following the sale of Wynyard, operating earnings increased 50% and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization rose 32% in fiscal Q3 2026, while volumes increased approximately 4% excluding the impact of the sold asset.
    • +The tight deicing salt market provides pricing support, with increases of approximately 10% in 2026–2027 bids and historically low inventories. The company is also working to improve minimum-volume terms and include cost pass-through provisions in several key contracts.
    • +Lower debt and leverage provide Compass Minerals with greater flexibility to fund assets and continue deleveraging; net debt declined 13% year over year, and net leverage improved from 4.3 times to 2.8 times.
    • +Improvement projects at Ogden and Goderich represent an organic opportunity to increase profitability if current investments in maintenance, labor, and training translate into higher production volumes and lower cost per ton. At Ogden specifically, the business has already exceeded management’s previous target of $40 million to $50 million in annual adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The Salt segment remains the dominant source of revenue, generating $173.9 million, or approximately 81% of total fiscal Q3 2026 revenue, and most of the potential total annual tariff exposure came from highway deicing salt shipped from the Goderich mine to the United States. This concentration increases the sensitivity of results to winter weather, Goderich production, and cross-border transportation and trade costs.
    • −Goderich improvements have not translated into the targeted efficiency as quickly as planned; management said the mine is not hoisting sufficient tons at the planned cost, while spending on maintenance and labor has increased. As a result of lower highway volumes and higher per-unit production and distribution costs, Salt adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined 15%, and operating earnings declined 25% in fiscal Q3 2026.
    • −Management expects to commit to lower order volumes in fiscal 2027 compared with prior seasons, based on an assumption that winter weather returns to more normal levels, production constraints at Goderich, and the need to rebuild inventory. Therefore, the increase in unit margin depends on pricing gains exceeding the impact of lower volumes and production and logistics costs.
    • −Tariffs on Canadian goods shipped to the United States, scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026 according to the call, remain a direct risk to Goderich shipments, despite cost pass-through provisions in several key contracts. Management described the situation as fluid, while the company also faces higher fuel costs, tighter trucking capacity, and higher trucking rates.
    • −The decision on the timing of the new mill project at Goderich was deferred until the engineering, sequencing, and governance assessment is completed, because executing the project inside an operating mine could disrupt production. Management said on August 6, 2026 that it expects to provide a more detailed update in early 2027, leaving the timing and magnitude of the capital benefits unresolved.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $29.5 and a relatively narrow target range of $27 to $32. The average target is approximately 80% above the 52-week range low of $16.4, but approximately 14.5% below the range high of $34.5, while no listed price-to-earnings ratio is available to rely on despite positive trailing twelve-month net income of $18.4 million. Therefore, the valuation presented in the data depends on continued improvement at Ogden, debt reduction, and the success of pricing in offsetting weak Salt volumes and Goderich costs.

    BuyAnalyst target: $29.5(+19.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is driving CMP stock results in fiscal Q3 2026?

    Compass Minerals reported revenue of approximately $215.3 million, gross profit of $37.9 million, and a net loss of $5.7 million in fiscal Q3 2026. A 9% increase in Salt pricing lifted segment revenue to $173.9 million, but a 6% decline in highway volumes and higher unit costs pressured its earnings. By contrast, Plant Nutrition generated $15 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization, an increase of 32%. On August 6, 2026, the company raised the midpoint of its consolidated annual guidance to $230 million.

    Why did Compass Minerals’ Plant Nutrition business improve despite lower revenue?

    Plant Nutrition revenue declined 16% to $37.6 million in fiscal Q3 2026, primarily due to a 19% decline in volumes following the sale of the Wynyard asset in March 2026. Excluding the impact of Wynyard, volumes increased approximately 4%, while the average price also increased 4%. Lower per-unit product and distribution costs at Ogden increased operating earnings 50% to $7.8 million. The company aims to complete the dryer project by the end of fiscal 2027 to improve sulfate of potash yield, volume, quality, and cost.

    How do the 2026–2027 deicing bids affect CMP?

    Management described the 2026–2027 bid season as constructive, with price increases of approximately 10% overall and more than 10% in some core U.S. markets. This is supported by lower industrywide inventories following the 2025–2026 winter and higher bid volumes. Compass Minerals focused on maximizing margin per ton and improving minimum-volume terms in contracts. However, the company expects to commit to lower volumes in fiscal 2027 if winter returns to more normal levels.

    What are the main risks from the Goderich mine to Compass Minerals’ results?

    Management said on August 6, 2026 that Goderich is not hoisting sufficient tons at the cost the company planned, despite higher production year over year. Compass Minerals increased spending on maintenance, labor, and training to improve equipment availability and operating stability, but these expenses are pressuring costs in the current period. The company is also deferring the timeline for the new mill until engineering, sequencing, and governance are completed because of the complexity of construction inside an operating mine. In addition, highway deicing salt shipments from Goderich to the United States are exposed to tariffs scheduled to take effect on August 19, 2026, although several key contracts include cost pass-through mechanisms.

    Did Compass Minerals’ debt position improve in fiscal 2026?

    Total debt was $716.6 million as of June 30, 2026, compared with $825.3 million a year earlier. Net debt declined by $85.6 million to $660.3 million, while net leverage improved to 2.8 times from 4.3 times. Liquidity was $328.1 million, including $56.3 million in cash and $271.8 million available under the revolving credit facility. The stated capital allocation priorities are investing in assets and continuing to reduce debt where appropriate.

    −
    The context does not present a usable price-to-earnings ratio despite net income of $18.4 million and earnings per share of approximately $0.44 during the trailing twelve-month period ending in fiscal 2026. The absence of this multiple makes the stock’s valuation less clear, while the average analyst target of $29.5 is approximately 14.5% below the 52-week range high of $34.5, indicating that the consensus does not assume a full recovery to the previous high.