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Home
Stocks
Grupo Cibest S.A.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall88
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/8Better than 88% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
76
11.5x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
18
4.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
90
——Top tier
▸
Safety
17
——Bottom tier
▸
Capital Return
—
—2.12%N/A
▸
Momentum
100
79.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
82
4▲3Top tier
CIB

CIB Grupo Cibest S.A.

Grupo Cibest S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
102.04
▼ ⁦-1.05%⁩ (-1.08)
Market Cap$24.5B
Beta0.44
52w Low52w High
49.39105.60
Last Week
⁦+3.67%⁩
Last Month
⁦+14.85%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+48.77%⁩
Last Year
⁦+105.93%⁩
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$102
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$110
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$72–$110⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$236
⁦+132%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$110–$236⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Annual plan
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Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$97.33
⁦-4.6%⁩
Current Price $102.04·Median $110.00
Low
$72.00
High
$110.00
Current price
$102.04
Average target
$97.33
Street summary

Grupo Cibest (CIB) Stock Price Target Revision Analysis

Bullish tilt

Grupo Cibest stock has seen a notable positive shift in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target jumping by 35.18% to reach 97.33. This increase is primarily due to a series of rating upgrades, as both Citigroup and Goldman Sachs raised their ratings for the stock to "Buy" in late July and August 2026. Despite this optimism, there is a clear dispersion in forecasts, with the low target at 72 while the high and median targets reach 110, indicating a gap in fair value estimation among analysts.

As of 2026-08-20
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+4.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.36
Hold
Analyst coverage
11
Buy conviction
27%
Target dispersion
37%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time11 analysts rating
2
1
7
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.73 → 3.36
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Goldman Sachs
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-13
    Citigroup
    NeutralBuy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-28
    Goldman Sachs
    NeutralBuy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.46x
    3.16x25.26x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • FCF Yield
    —
    —
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    4.2%
    -36.3%104.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    9.4%
    -99.4%194.2%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    —
    —
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-11 data

Company Overview

Grupo Cibest S.A. is a financial services group operating primarily through Bancolombia, alongside BAM, Banco Agricola, and the digital platforms Nequi, Wompi, and Wenia. Its revenue model relies on net interest income from loans and the investment portfolio, as well as fees from cards, payments, bancassurance, and digital services; in fiscal Q2 2026, net interest income rose 16.5% quarter over quarter, while net fee income increased 9.8% quarterly and 17.7% annually.

According to the provided financial statements, the company recorded revenue of $11,498.8 billion, gross profit of $7,427.9 billion, and net income of $2,523.3 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, representing a gross profit margin of approximately 64.6% and a net income margin of approximately 21.9%. During the earnings call, management reported that accounting net income for the quarter reached COP 2.7 trillion, up 87% quarter over quarter, with annualized return on equity of approximately 29% and a net interest margin of 7.9%.

Loan portfolio growth was nearly flat quarter over quarter, but reached 5.7% annually and 9.6% excluding currency effects; mortgages increased 12% annually and consumer loans rose 7.4%, while commercial loans remained stable quarter over quarter. Meanwhile, earnings benefited from the reallocation of liquidity toward fixed-income investments, as the group’s investment margin increased from 1.8% to 6% during fiscal Q2 2026, alongside deposit growth of 7% annually and 12% excluding currency effects.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 net interest margin guidance to a range of 7.4%–7.6% and increased its return on equity guidance to 21%–22%, while maintaining loan growth guidance at 7%–8% and cost of risk guidance at 1.6%–1.8%.
  • The lending margin widened from 7.8% to 8.3%, while the investment margin jumped from 1.8% to 6% during fiscal Q2 2026, lifting the group’s net interest margin by 91 basis points to 7.9%.
  • The number of revenue-generating Nequi users reached 18 million, while the activity rate reached 81.6% in fiscal Q2 2026; its deposits also grew 12% quarter over quarter to COP 7.6 trillion, and its loan portfolio increased 14% to COP 2.2 trillion.
  • In August 2026, Grupo Cibest completed the acquisition of 100% of Avista Colombia to strengthen payroll-linked lending, a segment management describes as lower risk and offering growth and cross-selling opportunities, with the potential to expand the platform in Central America.
  • Net fee income rose 17.7% annually, supported by bancassurance in partnership with SURA, cards and payments, and digital banking, while fee expenses declined due to efficiency initiatives.
  • The company repurchased more than 7 million shares for COP 967 billion during the twelve months ended fiscal Q2 2026 and proposed an extraordinary distribution of COP 1.2 trillion from the proceeds of the Banistmo sale, subject to shareholder approval in August 2026.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The low-cost funding model demonstrated an ability to protect margins; following two policy rate increases totaling 200 basis points during the first half of fiscal 2026, standalone Bancolombia’s deposit costs rose by only 64 basis points over two quarters, while less interest-rate-sensitive deposits account for 57% of the consolidated funding base.
  • +Profitability and credit quality improved simultaneously in fiscal Q2 2026; credit provisions declined 17% quarter over quarter to COP 1 trillion, 30- and 90-day nonperforming loan ratios remained broadly stable, and the cost of risk was 1.6%.
  • +The digital ecosystem is expanding sources of growth beyond traditional banking; Nequi’s total income rose 16% quarter over quarter to COP 492 billion, while its financial income grew 19% and net fees increased 10%, alongside its integration with Wompi and Wenia.
  • +The capital base supports expansion and distributions, with standalone Bancolombia’s Common Equity Tier 1 ratio at 12.1% and total solvency ratio at 13.9% in June 2026, while management expects solvency to reach 15.3% by the end of fiscal 2026.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $97.33 and a target range of $72 to $110. The average target is approximately 6% below the 52-week range high of $103.50, while the wide gap between the lowest and highest targets reveals uncertainty about the sustainability of investment margins and credit quality; no valid price-to-earnings ratio is available in the provided data to offer an additional valuation anchor.

BuyAnalyst target: $97.33(-4.6%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CIB’s earnings in fiscal Q2 2026?

Accounting net income reported during the call reached COP 2.7 trillion, up 87% quarter over quarter, while annualized return on equity reached approximately 29%. Net interest income rose 16.5% quarter over quarter as the lending margin widened to 8.3% and the investment margin reached 6%. Provisions also declined 17% to COP 1 trillion, while net fee income increased 9.8% quarter over quarter and 17.7% annually.

What is Grupo Cibest’s guidance for fiscal 2026?

Management is targeting loan growth of between 7% and 8% in fiscal 2026. It raised net interest margin guidance to 7.4%–7.6% and return on equity guidance to 21%–22%. It also maintained its expected cost of risk at 1.6%–1.8% and expects an efficiency ratio of approximately 48%.

How important is Nequi to CIB’s growth outlook?

The number of revenue-generating Nequi users reached 18 million, while the activity rate was 81.6% in fiscal Q2 2026. Deposits rose 12% quarter over quarter to COP 7.6 trillion, and loans grew 14% to COP 2.2 trillion. Total income reached COP 492 billion, up 16% quarter over quarter, while financial income grew 19% and net fees increased 10%.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Asset quality faces risks from the effects of the earthquake, the El Nino phenomenon, and the impact of the strong peso on exporters; management identified these three factors as the main areas to monitor during the second half of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027, with pressures already emerging in credit cards, personal loans, and mortgages.
  • −Nequi’s portfolio carries a relatively high level of risk due to its focus on underserved banking segments; an analyst question cited a nonperforming loan ratio of 3.7% and a cost of risk of 14.6%, even as management affirmed that the portfolio remains profitable and that it does not expect further deterioration.
  • −Part of the earnings surge depended on a temporary opportunity in the carry trade and fixed-income investments; management explained that this window is expected to narrow over time, while the investment margin reached 6% in fiscal Q2 2026 versus annual guidance of approximately 3.5%.
  • −Loan growth remained nearly flat quarter over quarter during fiscal Q2 2026 due to electoral uncertainty, and management expects overall growth of approximately 8% in fiscal 2027 without reaching double digits before interest rates decline, with commercial loans growing by only around 8%.
  • −The group’s economists lowered their forecast for Colombian GDP growth in fiscal 2026 from 2.9% to 2.6%, amid inflation exceeding 6.1% and an expected government deficit of 6.5% of GDP, an environment that could pressure credit demand, funding costs, and asset quality.
  • −The wide range of analyst targets, from $72 to $110, reflects meaningful differences in valuation estimates; the average target of $97.33 is also below the 52-week range high of $103.50, limiting the significance of the positive consensus if margins decline or the cost of risk rises.
How do higher interest rates affect Grupo Cibest’s profitability?

The asset-sensitive balance sheet benefits from loan repricing as the policy rate rises, and the lending margin increased from 7.8% to 8.3% in fiscal Q2 2026. Management explained that each 100-basis-point rate increase now adds approximately 25 basis points to the margin, compared with around 20 basis points previously following the sale of Banistmo. Meanwhile, the cost of deposits rose from 4% to 4.4%, and a later reversal of the interest-rate cycle could reduce this support for margins.

What are the main credit quality risks facing CIB?

The cost of risk was 1.6% in fiscal Q2 2026, while 30- and 90-day nonperforming loan ratios remained broadly stable. Nevertheless, pressures emerged in credit cards, personal loans, and mortgages, while Stage 2 loans increased modestly among commercial clients exposed to currencies and the El Nino phenomenon. Management identified the earthquake, El Nino, and the impact of the strong peso on exporters as the three main risks for the second half of fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2027.

What does the Avista Colombia transaction add to Grupo Cibest?

Grupo Cibest completed the acquisition of 100% of Avista Colombia in August 2026. The transaction is intended to strengthen payroll-linked lending capabilities, which management described as a low-risk segment with growth and cross-selling potential. Management sees an opportunity to combine Avista’s technology and operating model with Bancolombia’s funding advantages to improve profitability and potentially expand the platform in Central America.