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Home
Stocks
Cigna Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall82
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Grey zoneBetter than 82% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
93
11.6x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
50
7.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
68
11.9%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
65
1.8x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
51
2.19%▲2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
56
-7.5%▼2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
43
15▲3Around median
CI

CI Cigna Corporation

Cigna Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
280.76
▼ ⁦-0.05%⁩ (-0.15)
Market Cap$74.2B
Beta0.31
52w Low52w High
239.51315.47
Last Week
⁦-0.81%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.85%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-4.83%⁩
Last Year
⁦-6.69%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$281
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$330
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$302–$400⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$498
⁦+78%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$330–$498⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$338.33
⁦+20.5%⁩
Current Price $280.76·Median $330.00
Low
$302.00
High
$400.00
Current price
$280.76
Average target
$338.33
Street summary

Analysis of Cigna Group (CI) Price Target Revisions

The analyst outlook for Cigna Group (CI) has shifted toward caution over the past thirty days, with the average price target declining by 0.76% to $339.23. This pullback is primarily driven by rating downgrades from major institutions such as Jefferies and Raymond James in early August 2026, reflecting a decline in positive momentum despite continued expectations for steady revenue and EPS growth through 2029.

As of 2026-08-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.04
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
79%
High
Target dispersion
35%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
6
13
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.04 → 4.04
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-04
    Jefferies
    BuyHold
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-03
    Raymond James
    Strong BuyOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Guggenheim
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    11.62x
    3.94x44.30x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    8.90x
    4.64x37.16x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    7.75x
    3.77x30.13x
    Very cheap
  • FCF Yield
    12.3%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    7.8%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    31.9%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    20.6%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    11.9%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.80x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    2.2%
    0.0%3.9%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    25.3%
    7.4%76.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.78
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

The Cigna Group operates through two primary revenue and earnings engines. Evernorth Health Services provides specialty pharmacy services through Accredo, pharmacy benefit management, care programs, and hospital and health system solutions through Shields Health Solutions, Verity, and Carepath; while Cigna Healthcare focuses on employer-sponsored healthcare plans, stop-loss insurance, supplemental health benefits, and international health businesses. Growth depends on increased specialty drug utilization, management of drug and care costs, and employer acquisition and contract retention.

In fiscal Q2 2026, total revenue reached $71.7 billion, gross profit according to EDGAR data was approximately $15.0 billion, net income was $1.7 billion, and earnings per share were $6.29; equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 20.9% and a net margin of approximately 2.4%. On the adjusted basis management uses to measure performance, the company reported after-tax earnings of $2.1 billion and adjusted earnings per share of $7.78, after accounting for after-tax special items of $153 million, or $0.58 per share.

Evernorth represented the largest share of activity in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue of $61.5 billion, up 6% year over year, and adjusted pre-tax earnings of $1.7 billion. Cigna Healthcare generated revenue of $11.8 billion, up 10%, and adjusted pre-tax earnings of $1.3 billion, while Specialty & Care Services pre-tax earnings rose 22% to $1.1 billion, compared with $609 million for Pharmacy Benefit Services, which declined from the prior year.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Cigna raised its adjusted earnings-per-share outlook for fiscal 2026 to at least $30.45 after Evernorth and Cigna Healthcare outperformed management’s expectations in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • Specialty & Care Services adjusted pre-tax earnings grew 22% year over year to $1.1 billion, supported by increased specialty drug utilization, accelerated adoption of biosimilars and specialty generics, and penetration of new specialty generics exceeding 80% during the quarter.
  • Pharmacy Benefit Services closed fiscal 2026 with a client retention rate exceeding 97%, and preliminary indicators for fiscal 2027 point to retention in the mid-90% range or higher, while new business booked for fiscal 2027 exceeded the combined total of the previous two seasons.
  • The AI-powered Pharmacy Forward program aims to cut the average time to treatment initiation in half and reduce physician documentation time by up to 50%, while care coordination tools are expected to expand support to 20% more clients with emerging complex needs.
  • Care coordination programs demonstrated a reduction of approximately $2,000 in average annual medical costs for participating clients, along with a 42% decline in avoidable hospitalizations, giving Cigna quantitative evidence of the financial impact of its clinical solutions.
  • Shields Health Solutions expands Evernorth’s reach to more than 80 major health systems and over 1,000 hospitals across 50 states, within a specialty drug market that management estimates at approximately $500 billion and growing at a high-single-digit rate.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Cigna’s model combines growth in specialty health services with growth in its employer-sponsored insurance business; Evernorth revenue rose 6% and Cigna Healthcare revenue increased 10% in fiscal Q2 2026, with earnings in both segments exceeding management’s expectations.
  • +Accredo and the specialty services assets represent a clear operating advantage, as the company provides access to more than 330 limited-distribution drugs, while Specialty & Care Services delivered 22% year-over-year growth in adjusted pre-tax earnings.
  • +Strong contract retention and commercial momentum support revenue visibility; the Pharmacy Benefit Services retention rate exceeded 97% for fiscal 2026, and new business secured for fiscal 2027 surpassed the combined total of the previous two seasons.
  • +Cash generation provides flexibility for capital management, as the company maintained its fiscal 2026 free operating cash flow outlook at approximately $9 billion, repurchased nearly 900,000 shares for approximately $250 million in fiscal Q2 2026, and continued reducing debt.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus rates CI as a Buy, with an average price target of $338.33 and a wide range of $302 to $400; the average is approximately 7% above the 52-week range high of $315.47. This positive view is set against a wide annual range of $239.51 to $315.47, reflecting the market’s balance between the raised fiscal 2026 earnings outlook and the strength of specialty services on one hand, and elevated care costs, the Pharmacy Benefit Services transition, and slowing GLP-1 growth on the other.

BuyAnalyst target: $338.33(+20.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CI’s results in fiscal Q2 2026?

The Cigna Group generated approximately $71.7 billion in revenue in fiscal Q2 2026, with adjusted earnings per share of $7.78. Specialty & Care Services led performance with 22% year-over-year growth in adjusted pre-tax earnings to $1.1 billion, supported by specialty utilization, biosimilars, and specialty generics. Cigna Healthcare also recorded 17% year-over-year growth in adjusted pre-tax earnings, benefiting from the performance of the employer business and lower-than-expected outpatient surgery expenses.

How important is Evernorth to CI stock?

Evernorth generated revenue of $61.5 billion and adjusted pre-tax earnings of $1.7 billion in fiscal Q2 2026. Its assets include Accredo, pharmacy benefit management services, and Shields Health Solutions, Verity, and Carepath solutions for hospitals and health systems. Accredo provides access to more than 330 limited-distribution drugs, while Shields serves more than 80 health systems and over 1,000 hospitals across 50 states.

How does the Signature model affect CI’s future?

Signature is a rebate-free pharmacy benefits model designed to simplify pricing and shift client relationships to transparent, fee-based arrangements. Cigna will first offer it to Cigna Healthcare’s fully insured plans in fiscal 2027, then plans to expand it in 2028. Management expects its margins to reach approximately 4% at maturity, but anticipates continued transition investments in fiscal 2027 at a level similar to fiscal 2026 before they gradually decline.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Medical care costs remain elevated at a high-single-digit rate, and the medical care ratio reached 84.5% in fiscal Q2 2026, while management expects this ratio to rise slightly in fiscal Q3 2026 due to seasonality.
  • −Pharmacy Benefit Services earnings declined from the prior year to $609 million due to renewals and extensions of major client contracts and investment in the transition to the Signature model; management also expects a similar level of transition spending in fiscal 2027 before it gradually declines.
  • −GLP-1 prescription growth slowed amid a slight decline in coverage levels and weaker utilization growth, and management expects this trend to continue through the remainder of fiscal 2026; consequently, Pharmacy Benefit Services is running slightly below prior assumptions, although Specialty & Care Services offset this impact in the second quarter.
  • −Part of the outperformance in Specialty & Care Services came from earlier-than-expected adoption of biosimilars and specialty generics, but management does not expect the magnitude of the fiscal Q2 2026 benefit to recur at the same level in fiscal Q3 and Q4 2026.
  • −The exit from the Affordable Care Act insurance marketplace business at the end of 2026 entails stranded overhead expenses that management has not yet quantified, while it described the capital released by the exit as modest and not material.
  • −The independent dispute resolution IDR process creates regulatory and cost pressure; management indicated that approximately $15 billion of industry spending was processed through this mechanism during 2025 and that requests were heavily concentrated among a limited number of providers, although it affirmed that the impact on Cigna remained manageable within its pricing and planning assumptions.
  • Does slowing GLP-1 growth pose a risk to CI’s earnings?

    In fiscal Q2 2026, the company recorded slower GLP-1 prescription growth, with a slight decline in coverage and slower utilization compared with previously elevated levels. Management expects this trend to continue through the remainder of fiscal 2026, creating modest pressure on Pharmacy Benefit Services. Within the Cigna Healthcare portfolio, only 15% to 20% of the business base covers GLP-1 drugs for weight management, so management described the direct financial impact there as relatively limited.

    What are CI’s earnings and liquidity expectations for fiscal 2026?

    Cigna raised its adjusted earnings-per-share outlook for fiscal 2026 to at least $30.45 following the second-quarter results. It maintained its outlook for Evernorth adjusted pre-tax earnings at no less than $6.9 billion and raised its Cigna Healthcare outlook to at least $4.55 billion. It also expects free operating cash flow of approximately $9 billion, with most of it concentrated in the second half of fiscal 2026, and aims to end the year with a debt-to-capital ratio closer to 40%, compared with 42.8% on June 30, 2026.