| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 46 | 26.7x | 17.3x | Around median | |
Growth | 17 | -0.1% | 7.1% | Bottom tier | |
Quality | 68 | 19.5% | 4.5% | Top tier | |
Safety | 74 | 1.9x | 2.6x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 75 | 1.79% | 0.06% | Top tier | |
Momentum | 40 | 14.8% | -1.6% | Around median | |
Sentiment | 88 | 15 | 3 | Top tier |
The floor: what the company is worth if growth stopped today
64% of today's price is what a buyer pays for growth that has not happened yet.
10-year US Treasury yield 4.96% as of 2026-10-22. Estimates computed from company data and analyst targets, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
C.H. Robinson Worldwide operates in freight brokerage and logistics through North American Surface Transportation NAST and international freight services Global Forwarding. The freight brokerage model involves arranging the transportation of customers' goods through carriers and managing the spread between shipment revenue and fulfillment costs, with services including full truckload, less-than-truckload LTL, and cross-border transportation. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30, contractual freight accounted for approximately 70% of full truckload volume, compared with 65% in the same quarter of fiscal year 2025; therefore, the speed of contract repricing directly affects the company's ability to absorb rising carrier costs.
Revenue for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30 was approximately $4.9 billion, up 19.3% from the same quarter of the previous year, while net income reached $186.8 million and diluted earnings per share were $1.56. The operating margin was 5.2%, compared with 5.2% in the same quarter of fiscal year 2025, while increasing from 4.4% in quarter 1 of fiscal year 2026. This reflects revenue and earnings expansion with a stable operating margin year over year, at a time when management said truckload linehaul cost per mile rose 29% from the same quarter of the previous year.
The company's story depends as much on improving execution through Lean AI as it does on the freight cycle; NAST shipments per employee per day increased 15% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. According to EL7 data, operating cash flow for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30 was approximately $685.4 million, equivalent to 108% of net income of $633.3 million for the same period. A news report published on 2026-10-05 added a definitive agreement to acquire RXO for $5.8 billion, aiming to strengthen market share in freight brokerage and logistics.
Q2 FY2026
Last 12 months to 2026-06-30
When: 2026-10-28
Annual revenue growth at the 19.3% threshold in the expected earnings announcement
Operating margin at the 5.2% threshold in the expected earnings announcement
The median price target from 7 analysts is $200, within a range of $91 to $230, reflecting expected growth, while the discounted cash flow model values the cash the company generates at $187, within a range of $147 to $250 and at a discount rate of 9.3%. The industry-multiple valuation is $109, within a range of $69 to $166, based on next year's earnings at a median multiple of 15.3 across 13 companies, pricing the company in line with its peers. The no-growth value is $49 at a discount rate of 9.3%, representing current after-tax operating profit remaining constant forever. Analyst targets and the cash flow model are closer to each other than they are to the industry-multiple and no-growth values, illustrating the effect of growth expectations and future cash flows compared with peer pricing and constant earnings. Analyst targets tend to be optimistic by nature, while the cash flow model tends to be conservative by nature, so the differences reflect the different measures and assumptions of these methods.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-10-19; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
C.H. Robinson arranges the shipment of customers' goods through carriers and manages the relationship between shipment revenue and fulfillment costs through NAST and Global Forwarding. In quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30, contracts accounted for approximately 70% of full truckload volume, compared with 65% in the same quarter of fiscal year 2025. This mix makes repricing highly important because linehaul cost per mile rose 29% compared with the same quarter of the previous year.
NAST shipments per employee per day increased 15% in quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30 compared with the same quarter of the previous year. Productivity improvement in NAST and Global Forwarding exceeded 60% since the end of fiscal year 2022, according to management's explanation on the 2026-07-29 call. The strategy includes automating manual work throughout the shipment cycle, from quoting to revenue collection. These results support the company's ability to accommodate additional volumes, but the sustained impact depends on continued improvements in execution.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
Operating cash flow coverage of net income at the 108% threshold for the last 12 months in the expected earnings announcement
According to EL7 data, operating cash flow was $685.4 million for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30, equivalent to 108% of net income of $633.3 million for the same period. Free cash flow as calculated by EL7 (operating cash flow minus capital expenditures) for the last 12 months through 2026-06-30 was approximately $668.8 million. However, operating cash flow for quarter 2 of fiscal year 2026 ended 2026-06-30 was $35.9 million according to EL7 data, compared with $227.1 million in the same quarter of fiscal year 2025. Therefore, the trailing year supports earnings quality in cash terms, while the quarterly decline calls for monitoring collections and cash requirements without assuming an undisclosed cause.
The news report published on 2026-10-05 stated that a definitive agreement to acquire RXO for $5.8 billion had been announced. The transaction aims to strengthen market share in freight brokerage and logistics and integrate operations between the two entities. Announcing the agreement does not mean closing has occurred, so the operational benefit depends on transaction completion and successful integration.
Management discussed the Montgomery case on the earnings call dated 2026-07-29, with questions addressing the status of the advisory verdict, the possibility of its adoption as a final judgment, and the appeals process. Management said the timing of post-trial proceedings is subject to judicial discretion, without specifying a firm date. It acknowledged expectations of higher insurance costs year over year, with existing coverage continuing through the end of 2026. This makes legal and insurance costs an independent factor when assessing the ability of Lean AI and pricing improvements to support profitability.