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Stocks
Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall51
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 5/9Better than 51% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
63
13.3x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
46
9.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
95
27.8%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
70
1.5x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
14
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
16
-33.8%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
44
23▲3Around median
CHKP

CHKP Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.

Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
131.64
▲ ⁦+0.87%⁩ (+1.13)
Market Cap$13.3B
Beta0.49
52w Low52w High
112.23210.66
Last Week
⁦-2.10%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.38%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+3.30%⁩
Last Year
⁦-33.14%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$132
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$140
⁦+6%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$105–$188⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$191
⁦+45%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$140–$191⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$145.05
⁦+10.2%⁩
Current Price $131.64·Median $140.00
Low
$105.00
High
$188.00
Current price
$131.64
Average target
$145.05
Street summary

Gradual Decline in CHKP Price Targets Amid Increased Caution

The consensus price target stood at 145.05 from 11 analysts, above the current price of 131.64, but declined from 146.30 over 7 days and from 152.65 over 30 days, down 4.98% over the month. The target range remained wide, between 105 and 188, with a midpoint average of 140, reflecting notable divergence among estimates despite the unchanged number of analysts.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.42
Hold
Analyst coverage
38
Buy conviction
39%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
63%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time38 analysts rating
1
14
23
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.48 → 3.42
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-09-10
    Wedbush
    OutperformNeutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-03
    Citigroup
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-01
    Goldman Sachs
    Neutral
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.30x
    6.87x54.92x
    Very cheap
  • Forward P/E
    12.11x
    5.19x41.53x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.35x
    4.52x36.15x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.3%
    -54.8%10.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    9.2%
    -18.1%66.5%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    25.5%
    -155.3%193.7%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    85.5%
    12.9%79.5%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    27.8%
    -63.6%26.5%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.54x
    0.26x3.22x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-30 data

Company Overview

Check Point Software Technologies provides cybersecurity solutions focused on proactive prevention and the protection of networks, cloud environments, workspaces, and environments that use artificial intelligence. Its revenue model combines sales of firewall appliances, security subscriptions, and deal-related support services; its emerging portfolio drivers include email security, CTEM, SASE, the AI Defense platform, and AI Network Firewall. Its prevention technologies also rely on Threat Cloud AI, more than 100 artificial intelligence agents, and telemetry data from millions of enforcement points.

In fiscal Q2 2026, revenue reached $674 million, representing 1% year-over-year growth, while gross profit rose from $585 million to $588 million, with a gross margin of 87%. Operating income was $260 million, equivalent to an operating margin of 39%, while GAAP net income was $194 million, down 4% year over year. Non-GAAP net income was $264 million, and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.55, exceeding the analysts' estimate of $2.45 and rising 8% year over year.

Subscription revenue represented $333 million, or about 49% of fiscal Q2 2026 revenue, and grew 12% year over year, while product revenue declined 14% due to weak demand for firewall appliances and execution disruption following changes to the sales organization. Geographically, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa contributed 44% of revenue, the Americas contributed 44%, and Asia-Pacific contributed 12%. On an annual basis, revenue increased from $2.6 billion in fiscal 2024 to $2.7 billion in fiscal 2025, while net income rose from $845.7 million to $1.1 billion and earnings per share increased from $7.46 to $9.62.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Adjusted earnings per share in fiscal Q2 2026, announced on July 30, 2026, exceeded market expectations, reaching $2.55 versus an estimate of $2.45 and surpassing the $2.37 recorded in the corresponding period of the previous year.
  • Subscription revenue grew 12% year over year to $333 million, while combined annual recurring revenue growth for email security, CTEM, and AI security exceeded 40%, and calculated billings for these products increased 35%.
  • The company launched AI Network Firewall within the AI Defense platform to provide visibility, control, and protection for prompts, agent actions, and model interactions across networks, public and private clouds, and SASE; management sees accelerating demand for its AI-related security capabilities.
  • Deferred revenue increased 7% to $2.025 billion, and remaining performance obligations rose 7% to $2.55 billion, including $1.6 billion in current obligations, up 4%, providing a contractual base that supports future revenue.
  • Check Point intends to hire approximately 300 additional people in its go-to-market organization by the end of 2026, distributed globally across sales representatives and technical specialists, but management explained that the productivity impact will appear in fiscal Q1 and Q2 2027 rather than in fiscal 2026 results.
  • The company repurchased approximately 2.5 million shares for $325 million during fiscal Q2 2026 at an average of $131 per share and announced a $2 billion expansion of its share repurchase program, supported by cash, securities, and deposits totaling $4.2 billion at the end of the quarter.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Growing subscriptions and their $333 million in revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 provide a more recurring base, while the 7% growth in remaining performance obligations to $2.55 billion indicates contractual demand extending into future periods.
  • +The company maintains strong profitability despite slow revenue growth, recording a gross margin of 87%, an operating margin of 39%, and adjusted earnings per share of $2.55 in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • +The more than 40% growth in combined annual recurring revenue for email security, CTEM, and AI security provides quantitative evidence that emerging products are becoming an increasingly important driver, alongside the launch of AI Network Firewall.
  • +The $4.2 billion cash and investment balance and $161 million in adjusted free cash flow in fiscal Q2 2026 provide flexibility to fund product development, sales expansion, and share repurchases.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Product revenue declined 14% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to weak demand for firewall appliances and execution disruption within the go-to-market organization, and management expects a similar trend to continue in fiscal Q3 2026.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $146.3, within a wide range of $105 to $188, and the average remains approximately 31% below the 52-week range high of $210.66, reflecting a reassessment tied to appliance weakness and commercial execution disruption. The neutral consensus and the absence of an available price-to-earnings multiple in the provided data indicate that the valuation case depends on a fiscal Q4 2026 recovery and growth in emerging products, while the $105 low-end target remains evidence of execution risk.

HoldAnalyst target: $146.3(+11.1%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

How were CHKP's fiscal Q2 2026 results?

Check Point's revenue in fiscal Q2 2026 was approximately $674 million, representing 1% year-over-year growth. The company recorded gross profit of $588 million at an 87% margin and operating income of $260 million at a 39% margin. GAAP net income was $194 million, while non-GAAP net income reached $264 million. Adjusted earnings per share were $2.55 versus analysts' expectations of $2.45.

What is the fastest-growing driver in Check Point's business?

Subscriptions were the primary growth driver in fiscal Q2 2026, with revenue increasing 12% to $333 million. Combined annual recurring revenue growth for email security, CTEM, and AI security exceeded 40% year over year. Calculated billings for these products also increased 35%, showing that the emerging portfolio is growing far faster than total revenue, which grew 1%. These products support a platform that includes AI Defense and AI Network Firewall.

Why did Check Point's firewall appliance sales decline?

Product revenue declined 14% in fiscal Q2 2026 due to lower demand for firewall appliances and execution disruption caused by changes to the go-to-market organization. Management said on July 30, 2026, that fiscal Q3 2026 would see a similar trend, with some large deals shifting to Q4. The chief financial officer emphasized that the cause appears to be more internal than a fundamental change in customer behavior, based on improvement in the qualified pipeline and stabilization of the sales team. The company expects product revenue to return to growth in fiscal Q4 2026, but this expectation makes results highly dependent on execution in that quarter.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −Competitive pressure and the brand-positioning issue remain; during the July 30, 2026 call, analysts raised the perception among some customers that Check Point is a legacy technology company and noted that competitors are seeing stronger demand for firewalls, while management acknowledged that increasing sales presence alone is insufficient and that marketing and open integration need to be strengthened.
  • −Total revenue growth slowed to 1% in fiscal Q2 2026, and the company expects a slight slowdown in subscription growth during fiscal Q3 2026 because large appliance deals shifted to Q4 and due to the effect on the subscriptions and support associated with them.
  • −Maintaining fiscal 2026 guidance depends heavily on fiscal Q4 2026; management confirmed that reaching the midpoint of the range requires growth of approximately 6.5% and quarterly revenue of approximately $800 million, describing this level as high despite improvement in the qualified pipeline.
  • −Gross margin declined slightly due to higher memory costs, while operating expenses before research and development grants increased 13%, or 11% in constant currencies, and GAAP net income declined 4% to $194 million in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • −The neutral analyst consensus and the absence of a published price-to-earnings multiple in the provided data reflect the lack of a decisive valuation signal, while the wide target range of $105 to $188 reveals substantial disagreement over the pace of the firewall appliance recovery and the conversion of AI and sales investments into actual growth.
  • How important is AI Network Firewall to CHKP's business?

    Check Point announced the launch of AI Network Firewall on July 30, 2026, as part of the AI Defense platform. The product is intended to monitor, control, and protect prompts, agent actions, and model interactions across networks, cloud environments, and SASE. The company connects it to the Threat Cloud AI ecosystem, which uses more than 100 artificial intelligence agents and data from millions of enforcement points. However, the product's standalone financial impact was not specified, so the available quantitative evidence comes from combined annual recurring revenue growth of more than 40% for email security, CTEM, and AI security.

    What should be monitored in Check Point's fiscal 2026 guidance?

    On July 30, 2026, the company maintained its fiscal 2026 guidance unchanged and projected fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $665 million to $685 million. It also projected subscription revenue of $332 million to $343 million and adjusted earnings per share of $2.43 to $2.53 for that quarter. Management explained that achieving the midpoint of its fiscal-year guidance requires approximately 6.5% growth in fiscal Q4 2026 and revenue of approximately $800 million. The shift in product revenue from an expected decline in Q3 to growth in Q4, along with the closure of deferred deals, will be the most important test of this guidance.

    What do Check Point's liquidity and share repurchase policy look like?

    Cash, marketable securities, and deposits totaled $4.2 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 2026. Adjusted free cash flow was $161 million, equivalent to 24% of revenue. During the same quarter, the company repurchased approximately 2.5 million shares for $325 million at an average of $131 per share. It also announced a $2 billion expansion of its share repurchase program and expects to reduce its diluted share count in fiscal Q3 2026 by approximately 1.5 million shares.