EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
Choice Hotels International, Inc.
CHH

CHH Choice Hotels International, Inc.

Choice Hotels International, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
96.77
▼ ⁦-1.49%⁩ (-1.46)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta0.68
52w Low52w High
84.04123.82
Last Week
⁦-3.62%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.27%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-13.22%⁩
Last Year
⁦-18.74%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall31
Weak — below market medianContrarianF 6/9SafeBetter than 31% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
60
13.6x▲17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
18
2.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
53
15.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
41
4.4x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
36
1.19%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
40
-9.0%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
46
10▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$97
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$110
⁦+14%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$86–$129⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$-15.20
⁦-116%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$-15.20–$110⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$111.56
⁦+15.3%⁩
Current Price $96.77·Median $110.00
Low
$86.00
High
$129.00
Current price
$96.77
Average target
$111.56
Street summary

Slight Increase in Consensus While Valuations Remain Cautious

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 106.17 to 109.38, an increase of $3.21 or 3.02%, while the number of analysts remained at three. There was no change over the last day or seven days. The consensus stands at 109.38 versus a current price of 100.62, while the range is between $86 and $128, reflecting clear divergence in estimates; the median of 108 is also slightly below the consensus.

As of 2026-09-04
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+3.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.88
Hold
Analyst coverage
17
Buy conviction
18%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
44%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time17 analysts rating
1
2
10
2
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.88 → 2.88
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-28
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-08-18
    Morgan Stanley
    Underweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Deutsche Bank
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    13.65x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.23x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    13.55x
    2.75x22.03x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    1.7%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.6%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    8.7%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    39.8%
    12.0%66.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    15.6%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.37x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    1.2%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    16.0%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    3.01
    -2.656.14
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Choice Hotels International operates an asset-light hotel franchise model, generating revenue primarily from royalties, franchise fees, and services provided to hotel owners, alongside partnership and procurement fees. Its growth formula relies on increasing room count, raising revenue per available room, improving the average royalty rate, and expanding non-room-related services; partnership and services fees reached $28.7 million in fiscal Q2 2026, up 6%. Its operating drivers include brands such as Comfort, Country Inn & Suites by Radisson, Cambria, and Everhome, while extended-stay hotels represented more than 40% of the U.S. room development pipeline.

In fiscal Q2 2026, the company reported EDGAR-listed revenue of $440.8 million, net income of $64.3 million, and earnings per share of $1.41; this equates to a calculated net income margin of approximately 14.6%. On the company's operating basis excluding reimbursable revenue from franchised and managed properties, revenue rose 7% to $277 million, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 6% to approximately $175 million, and adjusted earnings per share rose 5% to $2.02.

Earnings growth came from improved U.S. royalties, higher revenue per available room, royalty-rate expansion, growth in franchisee programs and services and partnership revenue, as well as the impact of the transition to direct franchising in Canada. Global room count increased 2.6%, and revenue per available room grew 1.3% in the United States and 1.7% globally on a currency-neutral basis, while the average U.S. royalty rate increased 11 basis points. Conversely, adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 7%, partially offsetting the impact of revenue and royalty growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Choice Hotels raised its fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization outlook to a range of $635–650 million, with a midpoint of $642.5 million, after reaching $175.4 million in Q2 and growing approximately 6.3%.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The U.S. room growth trajectory improved clearly during fiscal Q2 2026; room openings increased 27%, exits declined 50%, and U.S. franchise agreements rose 30%, while the company expects to open approximately 75% of the agreements signed since the beginning of fiscal 2026 within the same year.
  • Conversions have become the primary expansion driver, as they are expected to represent approximately 90% of U.S. openings in fiscal 2026. U.S. conversion franchise agreements rose 82% in Q2, while the conversion pipeline grew 24% year over year and 6% compared with the end of March 2026.
  • Commercial and technology investments have begun producing measurable indicators: Choice Privileges membership grew 7% to 77 million members, loyalty contribution increased by more than 250 basis points, while the AI-powered EasyBid platform improved the conversion rate for group requests for proposals by 360 basis points and contributed to 16% growth in group revenue.
  • Business Direct supported small and medium-sized corporate demand; approximately 60% of registered companies are new to Choice, around 90% of room nights occur midweek, and revenue from small and medium-sized business travelers increased 8% in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • International expansion and extended stay provide the company with an additional growth path; net international rooms increased 13%, net rooms in Canada rose 5.4%, and extended stay recorded 12 consecutive quarters of double-digit room growth.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +The U.S. development funnel improved across several stages simultaneously during fiscal Q2 2026, with openings increasing 27%, franchise agreements rising 30%, exits declining 50%, and the conversion period from signing to opening shortening by approximately one month.
    • +The asset-light franchise model enhances the long-term conversion of earnings into cash flow; capital expenditures for hotel development declined 80% in the first half of fiscal 2026, there are no additional wholly owned hotels in the development pipeline, and assets associated with development programs total approximately $650 million and can be recycled gradually.
    • +Revenue per hotel is expanding through an 11-basis-point increase in the average U.S. royalty rate and 6% growth in partnership and services fees to $28.7 million, with targeted annual royalty-rate expansion of 7–9 basis points in fiscal 2026.
    • +Choice's commercial tools are delivering a measurable impact on franchisee economics, including reducing prototype costs by up to 25%, expected discounts of up to the mid-20% range across furniture, fixtures, and construction product categories, and reducing operational support requests by approximately 40% in the initial trial of the Charlie tool.
    • +Liquidity of $475 million and net leverage of 3.1 times adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization provide flexibility within the company's target range of 3–4 times, and the company returned $172 million to shareholders through July 31, 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −U.S. revenue per available room growth of 1.3% in fiscal Q2 2026 remained approximately 300 basis points below the hotel segment mix index referenced in discussions with analysts; management acknowledged the gap and stated that the primary improvement opportunity is concentrated in rates.
    • −Operating cash flow declined to $67 million in the first six months of fiscal 2026 from $116 million in the comparable period, due to higher acquisition costs for franchise agreements and increased reimbursable expenses related to marketing and reservation systems.
    • −Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses rose 7% in fiscal Q2 2026, while the impact of the improved operating outlook on adjusted earnings per share guidance was reduced to a range of $6.86–7.10 due to higher interest expense and the expected effective tax rate.
    • −U.S. room growth remains exposed to weakness in new construction; the domestic development pipeline was nearly flat year over year and down 0.4%, and approximately 90% of expected U.S. openings in fiscal 2026 depend on conversions, increasing the importance of maintaining the pace of contract signings and openings.
    • −Management expects momentum to moderate; U.S. revenue per available room growth is expected to slow in fiscal Q4 2026 compared with Q3, while international room growth is expected to decline from 13% to a low- or mid-single-digit rate as comparisons become more difficult.
    • −Fiscal Q3 2025 includes approximately $9.5 million of nonrecurring lump-sum compensation, creating a more difficult comparison for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization in fiscal Q3 2026, although its absence is associated with improved franchisee retention.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $109.38, compared with a wide range of $86 to $128 and a consensus rating of “Neutral,” reflecting notable divergence in estimates of the impact of improving rooms and royalties versus weak cash flow and expense pressures. The average target is below the 52-week range high of $123.82, while the highest target is slightly above that high and the lowest target is close to the low of $84.04; no valid price-to-earnings multiple is available within the provided data to support an additional reliable comparison.

    HoldAnalyst target: $109.38(+13.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-02; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CHH's results in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Choice Hotels reported EDGAR-listed revenue of $440.8 million, net income of $64.3 million, and earnings per share of $1.41. On an operating basis excluding reimbursable revenue, revenue rose 7% to $277 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 6% to approximately $175 million, driven by higher U.S. royalties and partnership fees and the benefit from direct franchising in Canada.

    How does Choice Hotels expect earnings to grow in fiscal 2026?

    The company raised its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization guidance to $635–650 million for fiscal 2026. It also raised its U.S. revenue per available room growth outlook to a range of 0%–1.25% and global growth to 0%–1%. Expected adjusted earnings per share are now $6.86–7.10, with pressure from higher interest expense and a higher effective tax rate.

    Why are conversions important to CHH's growth?

    Choice Hotels expects conversions to represent approximately 90% of U.S. openings in fiscal 2026, compared with a historical percentage in the mid-60s. U.S. conversion franchise agreements increased 82% in fiscal Q2 2026, and the conversion pipeline grew 24% year over year. The average time between signing and opening also shortened by approximately one month, and the company expects to open nearly 75% of the agreements signed since the beginning of fiscal 2026 within the same year.

    What impact do AI and the Choice Privileges program have on the company's business?

    The EasyBid platform improved the conversion rate for group requests for proposals by 360 basis points and contributed to a 16% increase in group revenue in fiscal Q2 2026. The Charlie tool within the property management system reduced operational support requests by approximately 40% in an initial trial. In the Choice Privileges program, membership grew 7% to 77 million, and loyalty contribution increased by more than 250 basis points during the quarter.

    Is the Choice Hotels model becoming more asset-light through franchising?

    Capital expenditures for hotel development declined 80% in the first half of fiscal 2026, and the company expects a decline of approximately 70% for the full fiscal 2026. The company owns 19 fully operational hotels and one hotel under construction, with no additional wholly owned hotels in the development pipeline. The book value of programs associated with owned hotels, joint ventures, and lending is approximately $650 million, including nearly $450 million in owned hotels, with the first disposition expected in the first half of 2027, subject to market conditions.

    What are the main financial and operational risks facing CHH stock?

    Operating cash flow declined to $67 million in the first six months of fiscal 2026 from $116 million in the comparable period, alongside increased franchise agreement costs and reimbursable investments. Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses also rose 7% in Q2, while U.S. revenue per available room growth remained at 1.3%, with a gap versus the hotel segment mix index. The reliance on conversions for approximately 90% of U.S. openings in fiscal 2026 also adds sensitivity to the pace of completing agreements and opening hotels.