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The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.
CHEF

CHEF The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc.

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
110.45
▲ ⁦+0.62%⁩ (+0.68)
Market Cap$4.5B
Beta1.38
52w Low52w High
53.20117.65
Last Week
⁦-2.63%⁩
Last Month
⁦+0.23%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+43.50%⁩
Last Year
⁦+75.57%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Balanced — near the middle of the marketHigh FlyerF 8/9Better than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
50.0x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
60
11.2%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
64
8.6%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
48
3.8x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
41
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
98
74.3%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
35
5▲3Bottom tier
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$110
Analyst target · 2 analysts
$111
⁦+0%⁩
See it fairly priced
Range ⁦$97–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$17
⁦-85%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦10.5⁩% discount · ⁦1⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$17–$111⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 2 analysts setting price target
$111.00
⁦+0.5%⁩
Current Price $110.45·Median $111.00
Low
$97.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$110.45
Average target
$111.00
Street summary

CHEF price targets unchanged with limited dispersion

Price targets have not changed over the last 30 days; the consensus and median remained at 111, compared with the current price of 110.45, while the number of analysts remained at two. The range is between 97 and 125, reflecting relatively clear dispersion in the valuation despite the stable consensus and its proximity to the current price.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.78
Buy
Analyst coverage
9
Buy conviction
78%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
25%
Analyst ratings over time9 analysts rating
7
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.00 → 3.78
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-11
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    BTIG
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    49.98x
    4.61x36.85x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    45.83x
    3.86x30.86x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    27.19x
    2.86x22.90x
    Expensive
  • FCF Yield
    2.5%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    11.2%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    34.8%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    24.5%
    9.2%67.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    8.6%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.76x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

The Chefs' Warehouse operates as a specialty distributor of high-quality food ingredients, focusing on fine-dining and upscale casual restaurant customers in North America and the Middle East. Its model is built on a flexible supply network, specialized product expertise, on-time order delivery, and direct relationships with chefs, while growing revenue by adding new customers, increasing the number of items sold per customer, and expanding product categories. In fiscal Q2 2026, organic specialty product sales increased 10%, driven by 7.2% growth in unique product placements, a 6% increase in specialty cases, and a 3.6% rise in unique customers; customer growth would have been approximately 4.9% excluding the impact of the conflict in the Middle East, while center of the plate category pounds increased 8.8%.

In fiscal Q2 2026, net sales increased 12.9% year over year to $1.169 billion, including 12.2% organic growth and a 0.7% contribution from acquisitions. Gross profit increased 15.2% to $292.9 million, and gross profit margin improved 49 basis points to 25.1%; specialty product margin also improved 47 basis points, and center of the plate category margin improved 75 basis points. Net price inflation was 4.9%, comprising 4% in specialty products and 6.4% in the center of the plate category, while produce represents approximately 14% of total revenue.

Operating income in fiscal Q2 2026 increased to $58.6 million from $40.2 million, and GAAP net income rose to $33.8 million, or $0.76 per diluted share, from $21.2 million and $0.49 per share a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA was $88.1 million versus $65.4 million, despite a 9.6% increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses to $234.2 million due to compensation and benefits, facilities, distribution, and depreciation associated with fleet and facility investments.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to sales of between $4.5 billion and $4.6 billion, gross profit of between $1.102 billion and $1.125 billion, and adjusted EBITDA of between $305 million and $315 million; the guidance implies a margin of 6.8%, representing a 70-basis-point year-over-year improvement.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Operating momentum is supported by 12.2% organic growth in fiscal Q2 2026, with unique product placements increasing 7.2%, specialty cases rising 6%, and center of the plate category pounds increasing 8.8%, indicating an expanding customer base and deeper product penetration within existing accounts.
  • Putting greater volume through the existing infrastructure, alongside improvements in pricing, purchasing, route consolidation, and distribution centers, increased gross profit margin by 49 basis points and adjusted EBITDA margin by 120 basis points year over year in fiscal Q2 2026.
  • The company set a fiscal 2030 revenue target of between $6 billion and $6.5 billion, an annual growth rate of between 7% and 10%, and adjusted EBITDA of between $450 million and $520 million at a margin of 7.5% to 8%; it expects organic growth to be the primary driver, with a modest acquisition contribution of approximately 1% annually.
  • The Chefs' Warehouse is investing in artificial intelligence and data technologies across sales, pricing, purchasing, inventory, logistics, and customer experience, and management says the returns have already begun to emerge, without assuming an immediate five- or six-point increase in profitability.
  • Liquidity of $321.1 million as of June 26, 2026, together with a $30 million reduction in the drawn ABL facility balance to $70 million and net leverage of 1.6 times, provides capacity to invest in distribution centers and the fleet, repurchase shares, and pursue disciplined tuck-in acquisitions.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Fiscal Q2 2026 combines 12.9% sales growth, 15.2% gross profit growth, and an approximately 34.7% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $88.1 million, demonstrating that growth is translating into higher operating profitability.
    • +Customer and product metrics show a genuine expansion in activity; unique product placements increased 7.2%, unique customers rose 3.6%, and center of the plate category pounds increased 8.8%, rather than the increase relying solely on 4.9% price inflation.
    • +Prior investments in capacity, sales teams, pricing, purchasing, and facilities support economies of scale; operating income increased approximately 45.8% to $58.6 million, while selling, general, and administrative expenses grew only 9.6% versus sales growth of 12.9%.
    • +The company generated approximately $270 million in free cash flow since the beginning of 2024 and is targeting future conversion of 40% to 60% of adjusted EBITDA into free cash flow, while keeping capital expenditures at an average of approximately 1% of revenue.
    • +Less-penetrated markets, particularly Texas and Florida, provide a company-specific path for expansion; management reported that the Texas business is growing strongly and that its EBITDA margin improved by hundreds of basis points compared with the prior two years.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Middle East operations face direct disruption from the conflict and changing supply routes; they operated at approximately 75% of the prior-year level at the beginning of the conflict and then at approximately 94% during May and June 2026, and the company had to use alternative ports and air and land routes, increasing transit times and product prices.
    • −Demand within the restaurant customer base is characterized by consistently high natural churn, and management confirmed on July 29, 2026 that the customer attrition rate had not improved materially; therefore, the company must continue attracting new customers and increasing penetration to offset this recurring churn.
    • −Margins are exposed to fluctuations in product mix, inflation, and transportation costs; center of the plate category inflation reached 6.4% in fiscal Q2 2026, and management based its second-half guidance on diesel averaging more than $5 per gallon without assuming a meaningful decline.
    • −Despite raising guidance, management expects year-over-year revenue growth to slow in the second half of fiscal 2026 due to caution regarding the Middle East and the end of the comparison effect from the Italco acquisition in Q4, which represents approximately 70 basis points of year-over-year growth.
    • −Competition in specialty distribution is strong, according to management, while The Chefs' Warehouse model requires broad inventory, human expertise, and costly logistics capacity; new facilities and excess capacity may temporarily pressure margins until that capacity is filled with sufficient sales volume.
    • −

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $111, with a wide range of $97 to $125 and a consensus Buy rating; the average is below the 52-week range high of $117.33, while the highest target exceeds that high and the lowest target remains clearly above the range low of $53.20. No price-to-earnings multiple is provided in the data, so the stock's valuation here is based on the breadth of the target range and the company's ability to execute its fiscal 2026 guidance and fiscal 2030 targets, while accounting for Middle East risks and the expected slowdown in growth in the second half.

    BuyAnalyst target: $111(+0.5%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CHEF's growth in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Net sales increased 12.9% to $1.169 billion in the quarter ended June 26, 2026, driven by 12.2% organic growth and a 0.7% contribution from acquisitions. Unique product placements increased 7.2%, specialty cases rose 6%, and center of the plate category pounds increased 8.8%. The number of unique customers also increased 3.6%, or approximately 4.9% when excluding the impact of the conflict in the Middle East. Net price inflation of 4.9% contributed to growth but was not the sole driver.

    Did The Chefs' Warehouse's profitability improve in fiscal Q2 2026?

    Gross profit increased 15.2% to $292.9 million, and its margin improved 49 basis points to 25.1% in fiscal Q2 2026. Operating income rose to $58.6 million from $40.2 million, while net income reached $33.8 million versus $21.2 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $88.1 million from $65.4 million, with its margin improving 120 basis points year over year. This occurred despite an increase in selling, general, and administrative expenses to $234.2 million.

    What is CHEF's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects sales of between $4.5 billion and $4.6 billion in fiscal 2026. Gross profit guidance ranges from $1.102 billion to $1.125 billion, and adjusted EBITDA guidance ranges from $305 million to $315 million. This implies an adjusted margin of 6.8%, up 70 basis points from the prior year. The company also expects a fully diluted share count of between 46 million and 46.7 million shares due to the dilutive effect of the convertible notes due in 2028.

    What are The Chefs' Warehouse's fiscal 2030 targets?

    The company is targeting revenue of between $6 billion and $6.5 billion in fiscal 2030, based on an annual growth rate of between 7% and 10%. It expects organic growth to be the primary driver, with a modest acquisition contribution of approximately 1% annually. It is also targeting adjusted EBITDA of between $450 million and $520 million and a margin of between 7.5% and 8%. The plan is tied to expanding capacity in New England, Texas, Las Vegas, and the Midwest, and improving routes, facilities, pricing, and purchasing.

    How do Middle East operations affect CHEF's risks?

    The Middle East operations functioned at approximately 75% of the prior-year level at the beginning of the conflict, then improved to approximately 94% during May and June 2026. The team faced difficulties bringing products into the region, so it used alternative ports, air freight, and land transportation instead of some sea routes, resulting in longer transit times and higher product prices. Management incorporated a degree of caution into its fiscal 2026 guidance due to uncertainty regarding the return of tourism in fiscal Q4 2026. Conversely, the company said its North American operations experienced no supply impact from these disruptions.

    Does CHEF have a balance sheet capable of funding expansion and share repurchases?

    Total liquidity was $321.1 million as of June 26, 2026, comprising $135.5 million in cash and $185.6 million available under the ABL facility. The company repaid $30 million of debt under this facility during fiscal Q2 2026, reducing the drawn balance to $70 million. Net debt was $478.5 million, while net debt to adjusted EBITDA remained at 1.6 times, within the target range of 1.5 to 2.5 times. Management intends to allocate capital to capacity, the fleet, technology, and share repurchases, while retaining flexibility for disciplined tuck-in acquisitions.

    The insider transaction signal was classified as a strong sell, with net sales of $9.7 million during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, and nine sales recorded with no purchases; however, these sales may have been prearranged, so this remains a weaker trading signal than the operating and financial risks.