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Stocks
Chemed Corporation
CHE

CHE Chemed Corporation

Chemed Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
515.97
▲ ⁦+0.31%⁩ (+1.57)
Market Cap$6.7B
Beta0.51
52w Low52w High
365.21557.00
Last Week
⁦-1.53%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.09%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+17.42%⁩
Last Year
⁦+13.15%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall85
Excellent — top fifth of the marketHigh FlyerF 5/9SafeBetter than 85% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
43
25.9x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
41
3.3%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
81
20.7%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
89
0.6x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
61
0.45%▼2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
80
19.1%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
34
33Bottom tier
Fair Value
Current price$516
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$554
⁦+7%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$475–$633⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$460
⁦-11%⁩
Sees it slightly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦2⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$460–$554⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$554.00
⁦+7.4%⁩
Current Price $515.97·Median $554.00
Low
$475.00
High
$633.00
Current price
$515.97
Average target
$554.00
Street summary

Chemed (CHE) Price Target Revision Analysis

The stock has seen a notable positive revision in its average price target over the past thirty days, with the consensus rising by 16.63% from 475 to 554. However, the stock is currently trading at 552.72, which places it very close to the average price target, suggesting that most of the expected gains according to current analyst estimates have been exhausted. The data shows significant dispersion in forecasts between a low of 475 and a high of 633, reflecting uncertainty regarding fair valuation.

As of 2026-08-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.25
Hold
Analyst coverage
4
Buy conviction
25%
Target dispersion
31%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time4 analysts rating
1
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.25 → 3.25
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-31
    Oppenheimer
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-30
    RBC Capital
    Sector Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-29
    Bank of America Securities
    Neutral
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Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    25.92x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    20.15x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    16.84x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    4.8%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    3.3%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    2.1%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    33.1%
    12.8%90.7%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    20.7%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.61x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.5%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    12.1%
    7.4%76.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    10.48
    -38.7417.53
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-29 data

Company Overview

Chemed Corporation operates through two distinct service businesses: VITAS Healthcare for palliative and hospice care, and Roto-Rooter for plumbing, drain cleaning, excavation, and water damage restoration services. In Q2 fiscal 2026, VITAS generated net revenue of $443.3 million, representing approximately 65.8% of Chemed’s consolidated revenue, while Roto-Rooter’s operations accounted for the remaining approximately 34.2%. VITAS’s growth depends on increases in admissions, days of care, and Medicare reimbursement rates, while Roto-Rooter depends on residential and commercial services, ancillary services, and the acquisition of franchise territories.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, Chemed’s revenue was approximately $673.3 million, up 8.8% from the comparable period, while gross profit was $221.5 million, with a gross margin of approximately 32.9%. Net income was $67.7 million, representing a net margin of approximately 10.1% and earnings per share of $5.13, while adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 41.9% year over year. Cash flow from operations exceeded $173 million during the quarter.

VITAS led operating performance with revenue of $443.3 million, up 11.9%, and adjusted EBITDA before the Medicare cap impact of $80.6 million, up 20.6%, with an 18.2% margin. At Roto-Rooter, branch commercial revenue was $56.8 million, up 6.8%, and residential revenue was $159 million, up 1.7%, while adjusted EBITDA remained nearly flat at $48.5 million and its margin declined 77 basis points to 21.1%. On a trailing twelve-month basis in fiscal 2026, the company recorded revenue of $2.6 billion and net income of $275 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Chemed raised its fiscal 2026 outlook for VITAS after average daily census reached 23,687 patients in Q2, up 6.1%, and total patient census exceeded 24,000 for the first time in VITAS’s history; the company now expects daily census growth of between 5.75% and 6.25%, compared with 4.5% to 5.5% previously.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • VITAS admissions totaled approximately 19,125 in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 9%, with hospital-referred admissions increasing 9%, home admissions increasing 9%, and assisted living facility admissions increasing 13.5%, compared with an 8.6% decline in nursing home admissions.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 VITAS revenue growth outlook, before the Medicare cap impact, to 8.25%–9.25% from 6.5%–7.5%. It also raised its EBITDA margin forecast to 19.0%–19.5% from 18.0%–18.5% and lowered its estimate of Medicare cap billing limitations to $7 million from $9.5 million.
  • VITAS expansions in Florida support growth; Marion, Pasco, and Pinellas collectively recorded 594 admissions in Q2 fiscal 2026, the Manatee County program began accepting patients during the quarter, and the consolidated Florida program added $8.9 million to its Medicare cap cushion.
  • The commercial program at Roto-Rooter is driving selective growth; 30 commercial business managers generated growth of approximately 13% at their branches, compared with a 1% decline at branches without a commercial manager. The centralization of water damage restoration billing and collections also improved write-offs by $1.3 million and reduced headcount by approximately 20 employees compared with the comparable quarter.
  • Chemed spent approximately $33.5 million during the first half of fiscal 2026 to reacquire four franchises in strategic locations, including the purchase of a South Texas franchise territory and assets, including Corpus Christi, for approximately $12 million in June 2026. Management does not expect a material impact from them in the second half of fiscal 2026, but views them as a growth opportunity for fiscal 2027 and beyond.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +Chemed combines accelerating growth at VITAS with stable cash flow; consolidated revenue grew 8.8% and adjusted diluted earnings per share increased 41.9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, with operating cash flow exceeding $173 million and leverage described by management as limited.
    • +VITAS’s economics improved clearly, as adjusted EBITDA before the Medicare cap impact increased 20.6% to $80.6 million, outpacing revenue growth of 11.9%, while management raised its fiscal 2026 margin outlook to 19.0%–19.5%.
    • +Medicare cap risk in Florida declined compared with fiscal 2025; VITAS recorded no billing limitation for its consolidated Florida program in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with $16.4 million in the comparable period, and management does not expect a limitation for this program during fiscal 2026.
    • +Roto-Rooter has internal growth levers that do not depend entirely on stronger underlying demand, including commercial managers, improved water damage restoration collections, the sale of excavation and water restoration services to existing customers, and the reacquisition of franchise territories in strategic locations.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −VITAS represented approximately 65.8% of Chemed’s revenue in Q2 fiscal 2026, making consolidated results highly sensitive to admission volumes, lengths of stay, and Medicare reimbursement. Despite the improved Medicare cap position in Florida, the company still expects annual billing limitations of $7 million and recorded an accrual of $500 thousand in the quarter, primarily related to programs outside Florida.
    • −Roto-Rooter is experiencing a structural shift in customer acquisition: total leads declined 1.6% and free internet search leads fell 13.1%, while paid leads increased 7.3% and accounted for 59% of the total, compared with 54% a year earlier, increasing marketing spending by approximately $3.1 million in Q2 fiscal 2026. Management acknowledged that reducing reliance on Google will remain an ongoing battle as search evolves and artificial intelligence tools gain prominence.
    • −Roto-Rooter’s margins show pressure despite revenue growth; adjusted EBITDA remained nearly flat at $48.5 million, and its margin declined 77 basis points to 21.1%, while management maintained its fiscal 2026 forecast at 21.5%–22.5% and did not expect a material improvement in the free-lead environment.
    • −There are pockets of operating weakness within Roto-Rooter; water damage restoration revenue declined 6.7%, average revenue per job fell approximately 3.5%, and independent contractor revenue declined 1.9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, despite improvement in restoration compared with an approximately 13% decline in average revenue per job in Q1.
    • −VITAS remains exposed to changes in oversight and regulation; management noted the potential for increased program integrity oversight and greater focus on quality, with the components of the final plan still unclear, while the expiration of the certificate-of-need application moratorium in November 2026 could be extended, according to the call.
    • −Insiders recorded net sales of $3.6 million during the three months ended August 21, 2026, through six sales and no purchases. This remains a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged, and the data did not clarify the nature of these transactions.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus rates CHE as “Neutral,” with an average price target of $554, within a wide range of $475 to $633. The average target is only three dollars below the top of the 52-week range of $557, while the highest target exceeds that peak and the lowest target falls within the 52-week range of $365.21–$557. This dispersion reflects the market’s balance between accelerating growth at VITAS and marketing and margin pressures at Roto-Rooter. The data does not provide a valid comparable earnings multiple, so CHE’s valuation here is based on the target range and the Neutral consensus rather than a specific earnings multiple.

    HoldAnalyst target: $554(+7.4%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What is the primary driver of CHE’s growth in fiscal 2026?

    The primary driver is VITAS, which recorded revenue of $443.3 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 11.9%. Average daily census increased 6.1% to 23,687 patients, and admissions increased 9% to 19,125. Based on this performance, Chemed raised its fiscal 2026 VITAS revenue growth outlook before the Medicare cap impact to 8.25%–9.25%.

    Has VITAS overcome the Medicare cap issue in Florida?

    The situation improved materially in Q2 fiscal 2026, as the consolidated Florida program recorded no billing limitation, compared with $16.4 million in the comparable quarter of fiscal 2025. The program added $8.9 million to its cap cushion during the quarter, and management does not expect a billing limitation for it during fiscal 2026. However, Chemed still expects total billing limitations of $7 million for fiscal 2026 and recorded $500 thousand in the quarter, primarily related to improved admissions in California.

    Why are Roto-Rooter’s margins under pressure?

    The share of paid leads increased to 59% in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared with 54% in the comparable period, after free leads declined 13.1%. This increased marketing spending by approximately $3.1 million, while adjusted EBITDA remained nearly flat at $48.5 million. As a result, the adjusted EBITDA margin declined 77 basis points to 21.1%, despite a 135-basis-point improvement in gross margin to 50.4%.

    What is the significance of Roto-Rooter’s franchise acquisitions?

    Chemed spent approximately $33.5 million during the first half of fiscal 2026 to reacquire four franchises in strategic locations. This included the purchase of a South Texas franchise territory and assets, including Corpus Christi, for approximately $12 million in June 2026. Management does not expect a material contribution from this transaction in the second half of fiscal 2026, but considers the territory a growth opportunity for fiscal 2027 and beyond.

    What is Chemed’s earnings outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects adjusted diluted earnings per share of between $25.00 and $25.75 for fiscal 2026, excluding specified items that include non-cash stock option expenses and litigation costs. The midpoint of the range represents growth of 7.8% compared with adjusted earnings per share of $20.21 in fiscal 2025. The outlook assumes an effective tax rate of 24.5% and an average diluted share count of 13.5 million shares.

    How does CHE’s valuation look according to analyst consensus?

    Analyst consensus is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $554, a low target of $475, and a high target of $633. The average target is very close to the top of the 52-week range of $557, while the stock’s full range extends from $365.21 to $557. The wide target range reflects differing estimates regarding the sustainability of VITAS’s growth and Roto-Rooter’s ability to offset higher marketing costs and margin pressure.