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| Factor | Score | Distribution | Value | Avg | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Valuation | 81 | 13.0x | 20.8x | Top tier | |
Growth | 88 | 7.5% | 6.1% | Top tier | |
Quality | 54 | 43.2% | 6.6% | Around median | |
Safety | 66 | 0.5x | 0.7x | Top tier | |
Capital Return | 31 | — | 2.02% | Bottom tier | |
Momentum | 56 | 201.1% | 4.1% | Around median | |
Sentiment | 27 | 1 | 3 | Bottom tier |
Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.
Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.
Century Aluminum Company is one of the prominent primary aluminum manufacturers in the United States and Europe, operating major smelters including Mt. Holly and Sebree in America, and the Grundartangi smelter in Iceland, in addition to the Jamalco alumina refinery in Jamaica. The company generates its revenue primarily from selling primary aluminum to domestic and international customers, benefiting from regional premiums in the US Midwest and Europe. The company plays a vital role in providing secure supply chains for the American and European markets, especially in light of current geopolitical tensions that hinder external supplies and increase reliance on domestic production.
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, the company recorded strong financial performance with revenues reaching $649.2 million, an increase of $15 million compared to the previous quarter, driven by higher London Metal Exchange prices and regional premiums despite a decrease in shipment volumes to 123,000 tons. Gross profit reached $118.8 million, while net income jumped to $337.5 million, achieving earnings per share of $3.23. Adjusted EBITDA also recorded approximately $231 million, reflecting an improvement in the sales mix and control over operational expenses despite challenges in energy and raw material costs.
Century Aluminum stock is currently trading below the analyst consensus average price target of $76, with the target range spanning from a low of $75 to a high of $77. This valuation comes amid a consensus that leans towards neutral by Wall Street experts. Despite the absence of current P/E ratio data, the positive momentum in operating earnings and expectations of cash flow growth support the future outlook for the valuation compared to the stock's historical trading range.
Figures in the text are as of 2026-07-18; the live price is shown at the top of the page.
The conflict has led to the disruption of about 2.5 million tons of aluminum production in the Gulf states, creating an expected global deficit of 1.4 million tons for 2026. The company benefits from this shortage by directing its additional production from the Mt. Holly smelter to secure the needs of its customers in the United States who were affected by the interruption of external supply chains. This crisis also contributes to raising global aluminum prices and regional premiums, which directly boosts the company's profit margins.
The company is working in partnership with EGA to develop a new smelter in Oklahoma with a production capacity of 750,000 metric tons annually. This project will contribute to doubling the total United States production of primary aluminum and restoring the capability to produce high-purity aluminum designated for military purposes. The project enjoys significant financial support represented by a $500 million grant from the US Department of Energy, and the final investment decision and start of construction are expected by the end of 2026.
The company actually began operating the new cells at the Mt. Holly smelter in April 2026, and the expansion is scheduled to be completed to reach a capacity of 230,000 tons by the end of June. As for Iceland, all cells of the second production line at Grundartangi will be restarted by the end of July 2026. Accordingly, management stated that the full financial impact and maximum production volume for these projects will be clearly reflected in the financial results for the third quarter of 2026.
Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.
The company has accumulated a tax credit receivables balance under Section 45X reaching $198 million as of March 31, 2026. Management expects to receive approximately $94 million representing fiscal year 2025 receivables over the next few months after filing the tax return. These substantial cash flows will contribute to bolstering the company's liquidity, supporting its ability to fund high-return organic capital investments without the need to increase debt levels.