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Stocks
Celsius Holdings, Inc.
CELH

CELH Celsius Holdings, Inc.

Celsius Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
27.22
▲ ⁦+2.22%⁩ (+0.59)
Market Cap$7.0B
Beta0.92
52w Low52w High
23.5666.74
Last Week
⁦-13.01%⁩
Last Month
⁦-1.98%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-18.18%⁩
Last Year
⁦-54.45%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall58
Balanced — near the middle of the marketFalling StarF 4/9Grey zoneBetter than 58% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
40
53.3x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
87
82.9%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
73
7.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
71
0.1x▲2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
43
—2.12%Around median
▸
Momentum
3
-60.1%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
85
15▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$27
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$43
⁦+58%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$26–$57⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$38
⁦+40%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦8.4⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$38–$43⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$41.83
⁦+53.7%⁩
Current Price $27.22·Median $43.00
Low
$26.00
High
$57.00
Current price
$27.22
Average target
$41.83
Street summary

Analyst expectations for Celsius (CELH) stock decline

Bearish tilt

Celsius stock has seen a notable decline in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling by 15.78% to reach $41.83 compared to $49.67 at the beginning of August 2026. This downward adjustment reflects valuation pressures despite continued revenue and profitability growth expectations for the fiscal years 2026 to 2029, as the stock is currently trading at $31.61, which remains below the average forecast.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-3.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.92
Buy
Analyst coverage
24
Buy conviction
71%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 1↓
Target dispersion
114%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time24 analysts rating
5
12
7
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.14 → 3.92
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-27
    Deutsche Bank
    BuyHold
  • = Reiterate2026-08-24
    Piper Sandler
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-10
    Stephens & Co.
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    53.34x
    4.61x36.85x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    15.29x
    3.86x30.86x
    Near median
  • EV / EBITDA
    35.26x
    2.86x22.90x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    6.7%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    82.9%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Exceptional
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -36.8%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    48.8%
    9.2%67.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    7.3%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    0.09x
    0.61x4.86x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.84
    -4.825.90
    Strong
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-06 data

Company Overview

Celsius Holdings manages a portfolio of energy drinks comprising CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar, with each brand targeting a different segment: CELSIUS focuses on active, health-conscious consumers, Alani Nu appeals to a younger audience that is predominantly female, while Rockstar targets consumers associated with gaming, action sports, and music. The company generates revenue by selling these products and expanding their distribution, particularly through the PepsiCo network, while diversifying flavors, sizes, and consumption occasions; the portfolio represented approximately 20% of the dollar value of energy drinks purchased in the U.S. channels tracked by the company during Q2 of fiscal 2026.

Revenue for Q2 of fiscal 2026 reached approximately $817.9 million, an increase of about 11% year over year, and gross profit was $393.7 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 48.1%. Net income was $55.3 million, or approximately 6.8% of revenue, with earnings per share of $0.14; this compares with net income of $110.1 million and earnings per share of $0.33 in Q1 of fiscal 2026. Selling, general, and administrative expenses were $238 million, or 29% of revenue, while adjusted EBITDA was $184 million, with a margin of 22.5%.

Within the Q2 fiscal 2026 mix, Alani Nu generated net sales of approximately $364 million, equivalent to about 44.5% of total revenue, while Rockstar generated approximately $66 million, equivalent to about 8.1%. By contrast, net sales of the CELSIUS brand declined approximately 12% year over year, while its retail sales in tracked channels fell only 2%, reflecting the impact of shipment timing, distributor inventory rebalancing, and increased trade spending, alongside weakness in the warehouse club channel. On a last-twelve-month basis ending within the 2026 data, revenue was approximately $3.0 billion, gross profit was $1.5 billion, and net income was $129.1 million.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Portfolio revenue grew approximately 11% year over year to $818 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, but results fell short of analysts' revenue and earnings-per-share expectations, causing the stock to decline by more than 16% in premarket trading on August 6, 2026.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Alani Nu became the leading growth driver after its net sales reached approximately $364 million and grew 21% year over year, while its retail sales in tracked channels increased approximately 56%, and its retail sales exceeded $1 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026.
  • The company completed the integration of Rockstar in June 2026 within the planned nine-month timeline, and the brand generated approximately $66 million in sales in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with its transition to the company's platform and finished-goods model completed.
  • The dollar value per distribution point for the CELSIUS brand increased approximately 16% between Q1 and Q2 of fiscal 2026 despite an approximately 7% decline in distribution points, while Fizz-Free sales in tracked channels increased by more than 20% quarter over quarter.
  • Management expects the CELSIUS brand's performance in Q3 of fiscal 2026 to resemble its Q2 performance, before gradually building toward a return to growth upon exiting fiscal 2026, while it expects Alani Nu's momentum to continue and plans new innovations for the CELSIUS brand, including a targeted launch for the 16-ounce line in 2027.
  • The company targets markets outside the United States to exceed 15% of revenue within five years; in Q2 of fiscal 2026, Sweden recorded its highest four-week consumer sales in its local history at approximately 3.5 million units, while the company is considering introducing Alani Nu into selected international markets in 2027.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The CELSIUS, Alani Nu, and Rockstar portfolio provides coverage across different consumer segments and consumption occasions, and collectively reached approximately 20% of the dollar value of the energy drink category in tracked U.S. channels during Q2 of fiscal 2026.
    • +Alani Nu demonstrated strong growth supported by more than one product; tracked retail sales increased 56% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and Purple Cotton Candy became the highest-selling new flavor following the success of Cherry Bomb and Lime Slush.
    • +Savings from integrating Alani Nu and Rockstar, operating the second manufacturing line in North Carolina during the second half of fiscal 2026, and improvements in shipping and procurement could support margin expansion in 2027, although aluminum and diesel inflation offset these gains in Q2.
    • +The company repurchased approximately $100 million of shares during Q2 of fiscal 2026, bringing total purchases in the first half to approximately $124 million, and reaffirmed its intention to continue using the $300 million authorization during fiscal 2026.

    ▼ Selling Case7 pts

    • −The core CELSIUS brand business weakened noticeably in Q2 of fiscal 2026, as its net sales declined 12% year over year and its tracked retail sales fell 2%, while management acknowledged that it had gone too far in reducing the number of products and that this impact would continue during Q3.
    • −There is a significant gap between Alani Nu's consumer momentum and reported revenue; tracked retail sales grew 56% in Q2 of fiscal 2026, compared with net sales growth of only 21%, due to the exclusion of certain non-ready-to-drink products, higher trade spending, channel and package mix, inventory build timing, and accounting constraints related to distribution agreements.
    • −Gross margin declined to approximately 48.1% in Q2 of fiscal 2026 compared with approximately 51.5% in the comparable period cited in the August 6, 2026 news, while adjusted EBITDA decreased to $184 million from $210 million a year earlier, and management expects the Q3 margin to remain in the high-40% range.
    • −Commodity costs threaten continued improvement in profitability, as management said that aluminum and diesel inflation at the levels recorded during the August 6, 2026 call largely offsets integration and shipping gains, and it does not expect meaningful margin improvement unless these costs decline.
    • −Alani Nu faces increasing competition from new brands and established players, while CELSIUS faces particular difficulty in the 16-ounce line; therefore, restoring growth depends on the success of 2027 innovations and converting new shelf space, coolers, and permanent displays into actual sales.
    • −Reliance on the PepsiCo network in the United States and Canada increases the sensitivity of results to shipment timing, distributor inventory levels, and promotional-spending efficiency; the difference between consumption and shipment orders accounted for approximately half of the gap between scan data and reported sales for the CELSIUS brand in Q2 of fiscal 2026.
    • −Valuation risks remain despite the Buy consensus; an August 6, 2026 report cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.1 times and an enterprise-value-to-EBITDA multiple of 24.9 times, levels that require an actual recovery in CELSIUS growth and portfolio margins following the Q2 shortfall against revenue and earnings-per-share expectations.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $41.83, within a wide range of $26 to $57, with a consensus Buy rating; the average target is approximately 37% below the 52-week range peak of $66.74, reflecting a significant revaluation compared with the peak. Meanwhile, an August 6, 2026 report cited a price-to-earnings ratio of 36.1 times and an enterprise-value-to-EBITDA multiple of 24.9 times, so the valuation requires proof that the CELSIUS brand can return to growth and that margins can improve; continued growth from Alani Nu alone is not sufficient.

    BuyAnalyst target: $41.83(+53.7%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    Why did CELH stock decline sharply after the Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    Celsius Holdings' revenue and earnings per share fell short of analysts' expectations, causing the stock to decline by more than 16% in premarket trading on August 6, 2026. Revenue was $817.9 million and earnings per share were $0.14, despite revenue growth of approximately 11% year over year. Net sales of the CELSIUS brand also declined approximately 12%, and gross profit margin fell to approximately 48.1%, weakening the quality of the growth reported at the portfolio level.

    Is the core CELSIUS brand still growing?

    Net sales of the CELSIUS brand declined approximately 12% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2026, while its retail sales in tracked channels fell 2%. Management explained that the gap resulted partly from distributor inventory rebalancing, shipment timing, increased trade spending, and weakness in the warehouse club channel. By contrast, dollar value per distribution point increased 16% from Q1 to Q2 despite approximately 7% fewer distribution points, and management expects similar performance in Q3 before gradually building toward a return to growth.

    How important is Alani Nu to Celsius Holdings' growth?

    Alani Nu generated net sales of approximately $364 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, an increase of 21% year over year, and accounted for approximately 44.5% of the company's quarterly revenue. Its retail sales in tracked channels increased approximately 56%, while its retail sales exceeded $1 billion during the first half of fiscal 2026. Purple Cotton Candy became the highest-selling new flavor in tracked channels, while the company is working to convert successful flavors into permanent products to reduce its relative reliance on seasonal launches.

    What did Rockstar add to the Celsius Holdings portfolio?

    The company completed the integration of Rockstar in June 2026 within nine months as planned, and the brand now operates fully on the Celsius Holdings platform and finished-goods model. Rockstar's net sales were approximately $66 million in Q2 of fiscal 2026, and management said performance was in line with its expectations at the time of the acquisition. The plan focuses on stabilizing the brand, refreshing its packaging and logo, and supporting its association with motorsports and music, including the 23XI Racing and Formula DRIFT partnerships.

    What is Celsius Holdings' outlook for margins and growth in Q3 of fiscal 2026?

    Management expects gross margin in Q3 of fiscal 2026 to remain in the high-40% range, close to the 48% level recorded in Q2. Shipping savings and the integration of Alani Nu and Rockstar offset higher aluminum and diesel costs, so management linked any additional improvement to moderation in the prices of these inputs. It also expects the CELSIUS brand's performance to resemble its Q2 level, with continued momentum from Alani Nu and a focus on stabilizing Rockstar.

    What are the main catalysts that could support CELH during 2027?

    The company plans an intensive innovation schedule in 2027, including a new offering to address weakness in the 16-ounce CELSIUS line and new launches and programs for the Alani Nu brand. The full impact of the second manufacturing line in North Carolina is expected to emerge during 2027, alongside gains in raw-material procurement, shipping routes, and price and package management. The company also targets introducing Alani Nu into selected international markets in 2027, as part of a plan to increase the contribution of markets outside the United States to more than 15% of revenue within five years. Conversely, the success of these catalysts depends on overcoming the impact of product reductions and converting new retailer shelf space and fixtures into actual sales growth.