EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
CECO Environmental Corp.
CECO

CECO CECO Environmental Corp.

CECO Environmental Corp. · NASDAQ
Market Closed
78.34
▲ ⁦+3.91%⁩ (+2.95)
Market Cap$4.6B
Beta1.51
52w Low52w High
42.82101.24
Last Week
⁦+10.17%⁩
Last Month
⁦+11.31%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-3.40%⁩
Last Year
⁦+68.73%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall26
Weak — below market medianMomentum TrapF 5/9Grey zoneBetter than 26% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
11
794.8x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
81
33.2%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
24
2.3%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
43
6.6x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
16
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
71
55.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
44
4▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$78
Analyst target · 1 analysts
$110
⁦+40%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$85–$125⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 1 analysts setting price target
$106.80
⁦+36.3%⁩
Current Price $78.34·Median $110.00
Low
$85.00
High
$125.00
Current price
$78.34
Average target
$106.80
Street summary

Target Stable as Analyst Count Declines

The consensus price target stood at 106.8, unchanged over one and seven days, while rising by 1.4 points, or 1.33%, over the last 30 days from 105.4. The range between 85 and 125 reflects clear variation in estimates, while the current price of 78.34 is below both the lower bound and the median of 110. However, the number of analysts declined from two to one in the shorter snapshots, reducing the breadth of the consensus base.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+1.3%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.29
Buy
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
100%
High
Target dispersion
51%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
2
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.17 → 4.29
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-10
    Needham
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-06-10
    Lake Street
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    794.80x
    5.69x45.54x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    34.64x
    4.57x36.58x
    Expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    63.86x
    3.43x27.47x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    -0.3%
    -32.7%11.5%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    33.2%
    -10.7%43.4%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -78.5%
    -128.3%132.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    33.2%
    8.6%54.6%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    2.3%
    -25.3%19.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    6.63x
    0.55x4.37x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    2.06
    -5.667.97
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-10 data

Company Overview

CECO Environmental provides engineered solutions to protect industrial equipment and the environment, serving the power generation, industrial water, semiconductor, natural gas processing, infrastructure, and industrial materials markets. Following the closing of the Thermon acquisition on June 1, 2026, the portfolio expanded to include thermal management solutions used in oil and gas, nuclear power, railways, and data centers; revenue is generated from executing engineering projects and supplying systems and products, with additional opportunities to integrate Thermon products into CECO’s existing projects.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, revenue according to EDGAR filings was approximately $285.0 million, and gross profit was $86.5 million, equivalent to a reported gross margin of approximately 30.4%, while the net loss was $34.8 million and loss per share was $0.80. On the adjusted basis presented by management, gross margin was 33.7%, EBITDA was $40.2 million at a 14.1% margin, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.47; therefore, there is a significant gap between accounting profitability and adjusted results.

Q2 fiscal 2026 revenue increased 54% year over year and included only one full month of Thermon’s performance, while standalone CECO recorded record revenue of $235 million. In terms of the $1.82 billion backlog mix, power generation projects represented approximately half, industrial air and water projects accounted for approximately 25%, and the remainder came from natural gas and natural gas liquids infrastructure, hydrocarbon and chemical processing, and other energy activities.

What's Driving the Stock

  • New orders reached $799 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, up 191% year over year, bringing the first-half total to approximately $1.25 billion, an increase of nearly 150%; the company also raised its fiscal 2026 orders forecast to more than $2 billion.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Backlog reached a record $1.82 billion, up 164% year over year and 76% from the previous quarter, with a book-to-bill ratio of approximately 2.8 times for the quarter. Management confirmed that this backlog is supported by purchase orders and binding project commitments, and that the historical order cancellation rate is only approximately 0.3% to 0.5%.
  • Management raised its fiscal 2026 guidance to revenue between $1.3 billion and $1.375 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $225 million, with a mid-teens margin and adjusted free cash flow conversion of at least 55% of adjusted EBITDA.
  • The Thermon integration achieved approximately $13 million in adjusted net annualized savings during the first 60 days, or nearly one-third of the $40 million savings target. The teams identified more than 100 joint commercial opportunities, and more than $500 thousand of Thermon products have already been included in a group of CECO power generation projects.
  • The sales opportunity pipeline exceeded $8.5 billion, driven particularly by power generation and semiconductors, with the addition of Thermon’s estimated pipeline of approximately $1 billion to $1.5 billion. Thermon is also benefiting from data center demand for liquid load banks and heat tracing solutions, products installed directly inside the centers to test cooling systems and maintain buildings’ thermal stability.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The $1.82 billion backlog provides strong revenue visibility, particularly because the book-to-bill ratio reached 2.8 times in Q2 fiscal 2026 and approximately half of the backlog is tied to power generation.
    • +Operating efficiency is improving alongside growth; adjusted EBITDA increased 73% year over year to $40.2 million, and its margin expanded by approximately 154 basis points to 14.1%, while selling, engineering, and administrative expenses declined to 22.4% of revenue, an improvement of approximately 400 basis points.
    • +The Thermon integration could add two growth levers: a $40 million annualized savings target and cross-selling opportunities across more than 100 potential projects. Management expects the combined portfolio to add between one and two percentage points to Thermon solutions’ organic growth, with opportunities in power generation, industrial water, food processing, and data centers.
    • +Cash generation improved materially in Q2 fiscal 2026, as adjusted free cash flow reached approximately $53 million, or slightly more than 132% of adjusted EBITDA. Year-to-date adjusted cash flow also reached approximately $38 million, an increase of nearly $56 million year over year.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Financing the Thermon acquisition increased total debt by approximately $523 million since the end of fiscal 2025, and leverage stood at 2.7 times on June 30, 2026, near the upper end of the range previously announced by the company. Despite repaying an additional $39.5 million and reducing total debt to $692 million on July 31, 2026, lowering leverage to the target range of 2.0 to 2.5 times remains dependent on continued cash generation and successful integration execution.
    • −EDGAR filings for Q2 fiscal 2026 recorded a net loss of $34.8 million and a loss per share of $0.80, despite adjusted earnings per share of $0.47 and strong adjusted operating earnings. This divergence between accounting and adjusted results makes earnings quality and transaction and integration costs essential items to monitor.
    • −Power generation represented approximately half of backlog at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, creating significant sector concentration despite the diversity of the remaining markets. Any slowdown in power generation project execution or delays in customer schedules could disproportionately affect backlog conversion into revenue.
    • −Record orders require substantial capacity to manage materials, labor, suppliers, and delivery schedules, and management acknowledged that it refrained from pursuing some projects to avoid capacity constraints and select better opportunities. Any shortfall in the global supply chain or execution threatens margins and the timing of revenue recognition, even though large projects often rely on a design-once, execute-repeatedly model.
    • −Most of the large industrial water orders discussed by the company were delayed because of conflicts in the Middle East, and these projects are not included in fiscal 2026 guidance. Their later return could provide upside, but the timing is uncertain, and execution capacity and supply chains in some regions remain constrained.
    • −Net insider transactions during the three months ended with the latest transaction on June 25, 2026, amounted to approximately $8.0 million in sales, with one purchase versus three sales. This is a weak trading signal on its own because insider sales may be prearranged unless the data disclose otherwise.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $106.8, versus a wide target range of $85 to $125 and a consensus Buy rating; the average is approximately 5.5% above the 52-week range high of $101.24. The 52-week range extends from $42.82 to $101.24, while no meaningful price-to-earnings ratio is available given the $0.80 loss per share recorded in Q2 fiscal 2026, making the stock’s valuation more dependent on backlog conversion, adjusted profit margins, and the success of the Thermon integration.

    BuyAnalyst target: $106.8(+36.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-31; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CECO’s growth in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue reached $285.0 million, up 54% year over year, and standalone CECO recorded record revenue of $235 million. New orders reached $799 million, up 191%, while backlog rose to $1.82 billion. Momentum came from power generation, liquefied natural gas, semiconductors, and industrial water treatment, in addition to one month of contribution from Thermon following the closing of the acquisition on June 1, 2026.

    How does the Thermon acquisition change CECO’s growth model?

    Thermon added thermal management solutions and exposure to oil and gas, nuclear power, railways, and data centers to CECO’s portfolio. During the first 60 days, the company achieved approximately $13 million in adjusted net annualized savings and identified more than 100 joint commercial opportunities. More than $500 thousand of Thermon products were also included in a group of power generation projects, while the total annualized savings target remained $40 million.

    What is CECO’s outlook for fiscal 2026?

    Management expects fiscal 2026 revenue between $1.3 billion and $1.375 billion after raising the previous lower bound by $25 million. It also expects adjusted EBITDA between $200 million and $225 million, a mid-teens margin, and adjusted free cash flow conversion of at least 55%. On a pro forma basis including Thermon for the full year, management estimates revenue between $1.5 billion and $1.6 billion and adjusted EBITDA between $255 million and $280 million.

    Can CECO’s backlog actually be converted into revenue?

    Backlog reached $1.82 billion at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, up 164% year over year and 76% from the previous quarter. Management stated that recorded orders are supported by purchase orders, legal commitments, and projects whose customers have already obtained the necessary permits, with a historical cancellation rate of approximately 0.3% to 0.5%. Nevertheless, the timing of revenue depends on projects progressing from engineering to execution and on the availability of materials and labor and suppliers’ ability to meet schedules.

    What is CECO’s debt position after the Thermon transaction?

    Total debt increased by approximately $523 million since the end of fiscal 2025 to finance the cash portion of the acquisition and transaction costs. Leverage stood at 2.7 times on June 30, 2026, after which the company repaid an additional $39.5 million, bringing total debt to $692 million on July 31, 2026. CECO aims to reduce leverage to a range of 2.0 to 2.5 times, supported by adjusted free cash flow, which reached $53 million in Q2 fiscal 2026.

    Why does CECO’s accounting loss differ from its adjusted earnings?

    EDGAR filings for Q2 fiscal 2026 showed a net loss of $34.8 million and a loss per share of $0.80. In contrast, the company presented adjusted earnings per share of $0.47 and adjusted EBITDA of $40.2 million at a 14.1% margin. The quarter coincided with the Thermon acquisition and costs to achieve savings, which reached approximately $21 million year to date and included change-of-control items and accelerated vesting of equity awards for former Thermon executives.