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Celanese Corporation
CE

CE Celanese Corporation

Celanese Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
46.09
▲ ⁦+0.81%⁩ (+0.37)
Market Cap$5.0B
Beta0.75
52w Low52w High
35.1370.70
Last Week
⁦+4.44%⁩
Last Month
⁦+4.87%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-12.92%⁩
Last Year
⁦-2.60%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall10
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketValue TrapF 5/9DistressInsider cluster buyBetter than 10% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
79
—17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
26
-2.2%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
19
-3.9%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
37
82.3x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
12
0.26%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
32
-11.3%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
93
10▲3Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$46
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$58
⁦+26%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$50–$75⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$1.09
⁦-98%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦3⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$1.09–$58⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$60.11
⁦+30.4%⁩
Current Price $46.09·Median $58.00
Low
$50.00
High
$75.00
Current price
$46.09
Average target
$60.11
Street summary

A slight decline in consensus while ratings remain stable

The consensus price target declined to 60.11 from 60.64 over the last 30 days, a decrease of 0.53 or 0.87%, while the number of analysts remained unchanged at five during the observed periods. The consensus remains above the current price of 46.09, but the target range between 50 and 75 reflects a notable divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-11
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
16
Buy conviction
63%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
54%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time16 analysts rating
2
8
6
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.71 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-10
    KeyBanc
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-08-05
    BMO Capital
    Market Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    Deutsche Bank
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    —
    —
  • Forward P/E
    7.17x
    3.70x29.59x
    Very cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    124.68x
    2.62x20.92x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    14.0%
    -21.3%8.9%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.2%
    -21.2%90.4%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    28.9%
    -249.5%198.4%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    20.9%
    7.6%58.9%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    -3.9%
    -52.6%20.2%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    82.30x
    0.22x3.72x
    Financial risk
  • Dividend Yield
    0.3%
    0.2%5.5%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    1.28
    -11.4212.56
    Above average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Celanese Corporation operates in specialty chemicals through two main businesses: Acetyl Chain and Engineered Materials. Acetyl Chain relies on a global production and supply network and the sale of more differentiated derivatives, historically generating more than 80% of its profitability in the Western Hemisphere during 12 of the past 15 years. Engineered Materials focuses on high-value materials for automotive, electronics, data center, medical device, and drug delivery applications; electronics account for about 10% of the business’s revenue and 10% to 15% of its contribution margin, while medical applications account for less than 10% of revenue and about 20% of contribution margin.

In fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, revenue was $2.8 billion, gross profit was $618 million, net income was $125 million, and earnings per share were $1.13. This equates to a gross profit margin of approximately 22.1%, compared with about 20.3% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1, when the company recorded revenue of $2.3 billion, gross profit of $468 million, and net income of $44 million. The improvement reflects pricing strength and product mix in Engineered Materials, along with Acetyl Chain benefiting from supply reliability and supply disruptions in Western markets.

Despite quarterly profitability, the annual earnings picture remains burdened by significant losses; fiscal year 2025 recorded revenue of $9.5 billion, a net loss of $1.2 billion, and negative earnings per share of $10.64, while the loss for the twelve months ended in fiscal year 2026 was approximately $1.1 billion. Management is targeting free cash flow of between $700 million and $800 million in fiscal year 2026 and considers this range a sustainable foundation on which to build in subsequent years.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management is targeting adjusted earnings of approximately $6 per share in fiscal year 2026, but guided to a range of $1.35 to $1.75 for fiscal year 2026 quarter 3 due to increased inventory cost absorption following the accelerated Lanaken shutdown, the advancement of certain Engineered Materials facility closure actions, and a decline of about $10 million in Ibn Sina equity earnings during the year.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • Celanese is targeting free cash flow of between $700 million and $800 million in fiscal year 2026 after generating $140 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, despite using approximately $200 million in working capital during that quarter and about $300 million year to date. Management expects full-year working capital to turn neutral or slightly positive as receivables normalize and inventory is reduced.
  • AI data center servers provide Celanese with a connector content opportunity equal to three times the traditional opportunity, in addition to thermal management and wire and cable applications. Management confirmed on August 5, 2026 that the company is generating actual sales and jointly developing products with customers, rather than merely holding preliminary discussions.
  • The Engineered Materials network restructuring provides expected annual savings of between $30 million and $35 million, while the Lanaken shutdown provides between $20 million and $25 million. The company expects to capture about half of the nylon restructuring savings and about one-third of the Lanaken savings during fiscal year 2026, with the remainder of the impact appearing in fiscal year 2027.
  • The company is committed to completing $1 billion in divestitures by the end of 2027 and has achieved about half of the target following the Micromax transaction. It is working on a portfolio of assets of varying sizes to generate about $500 million more, with confidence that it will announce at least one transaction before the end of 2026.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case5 pts

    • +Fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 showed a clear improvement in profitability, as net income rose to $125 million from $44 million in the previous quarter, and the calculated gross profit margin expanded to approximately 22.1% from 20.3%.
    • +Deleveraging is based on targeted free cash flow of between $700 million and $800 million in fiscal year 2026 and additional divestitures worth approximately $500 million; management expects to reduce net debt from about $10 billion at the end of 2026 to about $9 billion at the end of 2027.
    • +Engineered Materials’ shift toward value rather than volume provides exposure to high-contribution applications; the medical segment generates about 20% of the business’s contribution margin despite representing less than 10% of its revenue, while AI data centers expand the connector materials opportunity to three times the traditional level.
    • +Celanese enters fiscal year 2027 with announced savings actions of between $80 million and $100 million, in addition to Lanaken and nylon restructuring savings, giving it tools to offset some moderation in business conditions.
    • +Insiders recorded five purchases and no sales during the three months ended with the latest transaction on August 14, 2026, and recorded net activity totaled 230,062.46. This signal supports internal confidence, although it does not eliminate leverage and industrial demand risks.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Leverage remains the most significant financial risk; management expects net debt of approximately $10 billion at the end of 2026, with the net debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio exceeding five times during the year, while the long-term target is only about three times.
    • −Acetyl Chain’s profitability depends heavily on the Western Hemisphere, which generated more than 80% of the business’s earnings in 12 of the past 15 years. This concentration increases earnings sensitivity to supply-chain normalization and pressure on Western margins after the disruptions that supported fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 subside.
    • −Engineered Materials faces increased standard polymer production capacity in China, and management acknowledged that keeping pace with volume growth in these grades, particularly in the Chinese automotive market, will be difficult. Automotive production also declined year over year in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and the business’s volumes excluding the divestiture were approximately flat rather than growing.
    • −Management expects Engineered Materials’ margin to contract in fiscal year 2026 quarter 3 compared with the previous quarter as delayed raw-material inflation flows into costs, despite price increases achieved in the second half of quarter 2. This coincides with adjusted earnings guidance of between $1.35 and $1.75 per share for quarter 3, following the adjusted $2.45 that management cited for the previous quarter.
    • −Inventory reductions by acetate tow customers continued during fiscal year 2026 quarter 2, and management expects some of this to persist in the second half of the year despite a slower pace. The accelerated Lanaken shutdown also creates a higher inventory cost absorption burden in the second half, while the Ibn Sina outage during most of quarter 2 adds an expected decline of about $10 million in equity earnings during the year.

    Valuation

    Analyst consensus on CE stock is Neutral, with an average price target of $60.40 and a wide range of $50 to $75; the average falls within the 52-week range of $35.13 to $70.70, while the highest target exceeds the top of that range by $4.30. No valid price-to-earnings multiple is available because of the twelve-month loss of $1.1 billion and negative earnings per share of $10.09, so the valuation is tied to the company’s ability to convert targeted free cash flow of between $700 million and $800 million into actual debt reduction, balanced against margin moderation and Chinese competition.

    HoldAnalyst target: $60.4(+31.0%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove the improvement in Celanese’s fiscal year 2026 quarter 2 results?

    Revenue was $2.8 billion, gross profit was $618 million, and net income was $125 million in fiscal year 2026 quarter 2. The calculated gross profit margin rose to approximately 22.1%, compared with about 20.3% in fiscal year 2026 quarter 1. The improvement came from pricing strength and product mix in Engineered Materials, and from Acetyl Chain’s ability to meet demand during supply disruptions, particularly in Europe. Engineered Materials also incurred a major outage expense of about $15 million during the quarter, but offset it through margin expansion.

    How does Celanese plan to reduce its debt?

    The company is targeting free cash flow of between $700 million and $800 million in fiscal year 2026, which management considers a sustainable foundation for subsequent years. It expects to end 2026 with net debt of approximately $10 billion and then reduce it to about $9 billion by the end of 2027. It is also committed to total divestitures of $1 billion by the end of 2027 and has completed nearly half of that amount following the Micromax transaction. The long-term target for the net debt-to-earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization ratio remains about three times, after exceeding five times during 2026.

    How large is Celanese’s opportunity in AI data centers?

    Celanese already sells materials used in data center servers and is working directly with customers to develop new products for advanced chip requirements. Management believes an AI data center server creates a connector opportunity equal to three times the traditional opportunity. Applications extend to signal protection, thermal management, wires and cables, and cooling systems. This opportunity is among approximately 30 subsegments targeted by Engineered Materials to improve mix and value.

    How important are medical and drug delivery applications to Celanese’s business?

    Medical applications represent less than 10% of Engineered Materials’ revenue but generate about 20% of the business’s contribution margin. Growth opportunities include autoinjectors, home health monitoring, and continuous glucose monitoring devices. The company estimated the addressable market associated with GLP-1 pens at approximately $500 million and confirmed during the August 5, 2026 call that its estimates account for the impact of GLP-1 pills. Management believes additional treatments that can be administered at home through injections could expand the opportunity in subsequent years.

    What are the main pressures expected on Celanese’s fiscal year 2026 quarter 3 results?

    Management guided to adjusted earnings of between $1.35 and $1.75 per share in fiscal year 2026 quarter 3. Pressures include higher raw-material costs flowing into Engineered Materials after being delayed in inventory, and the increased inventory absorption burden associated with the accelerated Lanaken shutdown. The company also expects its Ibn Sina equity earnings to decline by about $10 million during the year, with most of the impact concentrated in quarter 3. This is compounded by continued inventory reductions among acetate tow customers, although management said the pace had clearly slowed.

    What savings does Celanese expect from restructuring?

    The company expects annual savings of between $30 million and $35 million from Engineered Materials network actions, in addition to $20 million to $25 million from the Lanaken shutdown. About half of the nylon restructuring savings and about one-third of the Lanaken savings are expected to be realized during fiscal year 2026. Management also announced additional actions that will provide between $80 million and $100 million in fiscal year 2027 to help offset moderating business conditions. The company is considering smaller site improvements, generally ranging from $5 million to $10 million per site, along with reductions in inventory and supply-chain service costs.

  • −Trailing profitability remains negative, with a loss of approximately $1.1 billion and negative earnings per share of $10.09 for the twelve months ended in fiscal year 2026, following a loss of $1.2 billion in fiscal year 2025. Therefore, no valid traditional price-to-earnings multiple is available as a valuation anchor, and improvement in the outlook depends heavily on a continued quarterly recovery and the execution of debt reduction and savings.