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Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A.
CCU

CCU Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A.

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. · NYSE
Market Closed
11.64
▼ ⁦-0.09%⁩ (-0.01)
Market Cap$2.2B
Beta0.27
52w Low52w High
10.7115.36
Last Week
⁦-0.60%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.96%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-1.19%⁩
Last Year
⁦-5.21%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall47
Balanced — near the middle of the marketContrarianF 6/9Better than 47% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
81
20.3x▼17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
49
-7.8%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
70
10.6%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
55
2.7x2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
1
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
35
-2.2%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
70
33Top tier
Fair Value
Current price$12
Analyst target · 3 analysts
$9.05
⁦-22%⁩
See it clearly overvalued
Range ⁦$9.05–$9.05⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$14
⁦+23%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$9.05–$14⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 3 analysts setting price target
$9.05
⁦-22.3%⁩
Current Price $11.64·Median $9.05
Low
$9.05
High
$9.05
Street summary

CCU Price Forecast Analysis

Bearish tilt

CCU shares have seen a notable decline in analyst sentiment over the past 30 days, with the average price target falling by 6.7% to 9.05, which is approximately 24% below the current share price of 11.92. The three analysts covering the stock show a complete consensus (zero dispersion) at this price target, reflecting a unified conviction that the current market valuation is overextended.

As of 2026-09-03
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-6.7%⁩
Average rating
★ 2.43
Sell
Analyst coverage
7
Buy conviction
14%
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
0%
Analyst ratings over time7 analysts rating
1
3
1
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months2.33 → 2.43
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-27
    Citigroup
    Underperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Goldman Sachs
    Sell
  • = Reiterate2026-05-20
    Goldman Sachs
    —· $9.70
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.34x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    8.80x
    2.86x22.90x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    7.4%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -7.8%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -29.7%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    44.7%
    9.2%67.5%
    Above average
  • ROIC
    10.6%
    -29.3%20.8%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.71x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-05 data

Company Overview

Compañía Cervecerías Unidas S.A. produces and markets a multi-category beverage portfolio in Chile, Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, and wine export markets. The portfolio includes beer, spirits, wine, mineral, purified, and flavored water, juices, functional beverages, and low-alcohol ready-to-drink products, and the company relies on sales volumes, price management, and category, channel, and packaging mix optimization to generate revenue. Its brands mentioned in the earnings call include Stones, Mistral, Kantal, Cachantún, and Manantial, alongside Pepsi and products associated with Heineken and Nestlé.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, consolidated net sales rose 4.8%, as a 6.4% increase in average prices in Chilean pesos offset a 1.5% decline in volumes. Gross profit grew 6.8% and its margin improved by 76 basis points, while MSD&A expenses rose 3.3% but fell as a percentage of sales by 62 basis points; as a result, EBITDA expanded 59.4%. Nevertheless, the company recorded a larger net loss than in Q2 fiscal 2025, affected by a nonrecurring impairment loss of 6.068 billion Chilean pesos related to the Bolivia business and by a nonrecurring positive tax effect that had supported the comparison period in Argentina.

The Chile segment led performance in Q2 fiscal 2026, with sales growth of 1.5%, volume growth of 2.5%, and EBITDA growth of 26.2%, while international business sales increased 15.7% despite a 7.4% decline in volumes, and its operating loss on an EBITDA basis narrowed 25.8%. By contrast, wine segment sales declined 14.1%, volumes 13.7%, and gross profit 26.9%, causing its EBITDA to contract 61.9%. For the annual comparison, fiscal 2024 revenue was approximately $2904.6 billion, gross profit was $1313.6 billion, and net income was $176.5 billion, according to the provided EDGAR figures.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Pricing lifted Q2 fiscal 2026 results: the consolidated average price in Chilean pesos increased 6.4%, while in the international business it rose 24.9% due to revenue management actions, particularly price increases in Argentina aligned with inflation.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The Chile segment achieved volume growth of 2.5% and gained overall market share compared with Q2 fiscal 2025, while non-alcoholic categories grew at a mid-single-digit rate and outperformed the low-single-digit decline in beer and spirits.
  • Stones, Mistral, and Kantal ready-to-drink and low-alcohol products grew by more than 10% in Q2 fiscal 2026 and came to represent 8.3% of total alcoholic beverages in the Chile segment through June 2026, supporting a mix shift toward higher-margin innovation.
  • During Q2 fiscal 2026, CCU acquired Nestlé Chile's 49% stake in Aguas Nestlé, increasing its ownership to 100% in a company operating within the Chilean water market, which had been growing at a low-double-digit rate through June 2026, while maintaining the strategic relationship to distribute existing water brands and coffee-based ready-to-drink beverages.
  • Management introduced the Vamos por Más strategy, based on focusing on the business, strengthening operational synergies, increasing responsiveness, and accelerating digital transformation; the tools mentioned include a proprietary revenue management algorithm and real-time control towers for logistics, planning, and commercial and industrial operations.
  • The joint venture and associated business in Colombia recorded mid-double-digit volume growth during Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company intends to expand its brand portfolio and compete with a differentiated mix to improve volume and profitability in a market management describes as highly competitive.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +The core Chile business demonstrated a clear ability to convert volume growth and lower direct costs into profitability, with segment gross profit rising 9.4% and EBITDA 26.2%, while its margin expanded by 264 basis points in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +The non-alcoholic beverage and better-for-you product portfolio provides a growth path beyond declining alcohol categories; the company holds strong positions in water, flavored water, juices, and functional products, while the water market in Chile had been growing at a low-double-digit rate through June 2026.
    • +The acquisition of all of Aguas Nestlé gives the company 100% of the business's net income going forward, and the CFO described the transaction as accretive to profitability, while retaining distribution of Nestlé water brands and coffee-based ready-to-drink beverages in Chile.
    • +The 59.4% increase in consolidated EBITDA, alongside a 62-basis-point decline in MSD&A as a percentage of sales, indicates that efficiency and pricing initiatives have begun to offset a significant portion of weak consumption and distribution costs.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −The wine segment represents the clearest operational risk, as its volumes fell 13.7%, sales 14.1%, and gross profit 26.9%, followed by a 61.9% contraction in EBITDA in Q2 fiscal 2026 due to weaker domestic and export demand and higher wine costs.
    • −Argentina and Bolivia remained a source of pressure on the international business; segment volumes declined 7.4%, the beer and water industries in Argentina contracted at a high-single-digit rate, while social unrest and the difficult business environment disrupted operations in Bolivia and contributed to the recognition of a nonrecurring impairment loss of 6.068 billion Chilean pesos.
    • −Consolidated sales growth depends more on pricing than demand growth, as sales rose 4.8% due to a 6.4% increase in average prices despite a 1.5% decline in volumes in Q2 fiscal 2026; management also acknowledged that consumers have become less willing to accept price increases, limiting the repeatability of this driver.
    • −Margins face multiple pressures from higher oil, distribution, aluminum, and wine costs, while management confirmed that the commodity and foreign-exchange hedging policy remained unchanged through August 5, 2026; the stronger Chilean peso also hurt wine export revenue despite benefiting dollar-denominated costs in Chile.
    • −The ratio of net financial debt to EBITDA increased from 1.7 times in the previous quarter to 2.4 times in Q2 fiscal 2026 after cash was used to purchase the Aguas Nestlé stake, bringing it close to the upper end of the company's stated range of 1.5 to 2.5 times.
    • −The valuation signals caution, as the consensus analyst target is $9.05, below the low end of the 52-week range of $10.71, while the consensus is limited to “Neutral” and no price-to-earnings ratio is available to confirm the presence of a valuation discount.

    Valuation

    The analyst consensus on CCU is “Neutral,” with an average price target of $9.05 and the highest and lowest targets matching at the same level, indicating no dispersion in estimates but also reflecting that the consensus relies on only one target. This target is below the 52-week range of $10.71–$15.36, consistent with concerns about the wine contraction, weak consumption in Argentina, and higher leverage, and no price-to-earnings ratio is available to compare valuation with earnings.

    HoldAnalyst target: $9.05(-22.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-09-01; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove growth in CCU's Q2 fiscal 2026 results?

    Consolidated net sales rose 4.8% due to a 6.4% increase in average prices in Chilean pesos, despite a 1.5% decline in volumes. Gross profit grew 6.8% and its margin improved by 76 basis points, while EBITDA increased 59.4%. The Chile segment was the main driver, raising its volumes by 2.5% and EBITDA by 26.2% during the same period.

    Why did CCU's wine business decline?

    In Q2 fiscal 2026, wine volumes declined 13.7% and sales fell 14.1% due to industry contraction in the export and Chilean markets. Gross profit fell 26.9% due to higher wine costs, while the stronger Chilean peso pressured export revenue and the average price declined 0.5% because of mix. This resulted in a 61.9% contraction in EBITDA, despite a 3.7% reduction in MSD&A expenses and the recognition of restructuring expenses of 1.633 billion Chilean pesos.

    What is the significance of CCU's purchase of Nestlé Chile's stake in Aguas Nestlé?

    In Q2 fiscal 2026, CCU purchased Nestlé Chile's 49% stake, increasing its ownership in Aguas Nestlé to 100%. Management said the water market in Chile had been expanding at a low-double-digit rate through June 2026 and that full ownership would accelerate decision-making and give CCU all of the subsidiary's net income. The strategic relationship with Nestlé will continue through the distribution of water brands and coffee-based ready-to-drink beverages in Chile, alongside support for Cachantún and Manantial.

    How is CCU addressing weak consumption in Argentina?

    International business segment volumes declined 7.4% in Q2 fiscal 2026, with high-single-digit contraction in Argentina's beer and water industries. The company partially offset this by raising average prices in Chilean pesos by 24.9%, mainly through price increases aligned with inflation, narrowing the segment's loss on an EBITDA basis by 25.8%. Management reported on August 5, 2026, that seasonally adjusted volumes had been improving monthly since March 2026, but emphasized that stable inflation and exchange rates had not yet translated into more active consumption.

    What are the main growth opportunities in CCU's portfolio in Chile?

    Management believes that water, flavored water, juices, and functional products are driving growth in better-for-you categories, and non-alcoholic categories grew at a mid-single-digit rate in Q2 fiscal 2026. Volumes of Stones, Mistral, and Kantal ready-to-drink and low-alcohol products also increased by more than 10% and came to represent 8.3% of total alcoholic beverages in the segment through June 2026. The company is supporting this trend through Cachantún innovations, the expansion of Manantial in purified water, and the use of revenue management tools to improve the channel and packaging mix.

    Did CCU's debt increase after the Aguas Nestlé transaction?

    The ratio of net financial debt to EBITDA increased from 1.7 times in the previous quarter to 2.4 times in Q2 fiscal 2026 after CCU used available cash to finance the acquisition. The new level is near the upper end of the company's stated range of 1.5 to 2.5 times. The CFO confirmed on August 5, 2026, that the policy of distributing at least 50% of net income remained in place for fiscal 2026, while the 2027 policy is subject to the customary shareholders' meeting in April 2027.