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Stocks
Crown Holdings, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall83
Excellent — top fifth of the marketSuper StockF 7/9Better than 83% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
81
16.2x▲17.8xTop tier
▸
Growth
48
10.3%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
73
13.3%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
51
2.9x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
71
1.08%▼2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
68
20.2%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
46
9▲3Around median
CCK

CCK Crown Holdings, Inc.

Crown Holdings, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
112.64
▼ ⁦-0.18%⁩ (-0.20)
Market Cap$12.3B
Beta0.58
52w Low52w High
89.21122.91
Last Week
⁦-3.73%⁩
Last Month
⁦-6.67%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+18.47%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.83%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$113
Analyst target · 7 analysts
$126
⁦+11%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$121–$130⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$126
⁦+12%⁩
Sees it undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$126–$126⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 7 analysts setting price target
$125.50
⁦+11.4%⁩
Current Price $112.64·Median $125.50
Low
$121.00
High
$130.00
Current price
$112.64
Average target
$125.50
Street summary

Analysis of price target revisions for Crown Holdings (CCK) stock

Bullish tilt

Crown Holdings stock has seen a gradual improvement in analyst outlook over the past thirty days, with the average price target rising by 2.07% to reach $123 compared to 120.5 previously. This change, with the number of analysts remaining at 7, reflects an increase in positive conviction regarding the stock's fair value. Financial estimates also show sustainable growth in expected earnings per share for the years 2026, 2027, and 2028, supporting the continuity of positive financial performance.

As of 2026-07-30
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦0.0%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.80
Buy
Analyst coverage
15
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
8%
Analyst ratings over time15 analysts rating
2
8
5
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.87 → 3.80
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-07-23
    Citigroup
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    UBS
    Neutral
  • = Reiterate2026-07-22
    BMO Capital
    Outperform
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    16.18x
    4.56x36.49x
    Cheap
  • Forward P/E
    13.51x
    3.79x30.29x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    9.03x
    2.75x22.03x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    9.8%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    10.3%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Above average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    45.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    17.5%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    13.3%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    2.92x
    0.65x5.48x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    1.1%
    0.1%5.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    17.5%
    8.9%99.8%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-21 data

Company Overview

Crown Holdings manufactures aluminum beverage cans, steel food cans, and glass packaging in Mexico, alongside Transit Packaging and canmaking equipment and tooling. The most prominent operating driver comes from beverage packaging globally, while the equipment and tooling business adds earnings linked to production-line construction and expansion projects for Crown and other companies, and pet food cans, which represent about 40% of the North American food can business, provide a degree of seasonal stability.

In Q2 FY 2026, revenue reached $3.7 billion and net income was $245 million, equivalent to an approximate net income margin of 6.6%, while reported diluted earnings per share were $2.23. Adjusted earnings per share rose 16% to $2.49 from $2.15, and segment income increased to $501 million from $476 million, equivalent to about 13.5% of revenue, driven by higher global beverage can shipments and strength in canmaking equipment and North American tinplate operations.

Global beverage can volumes rose 5% in Q2 FY 2026, but the regional mix was uneven: North American volumes increased 5% and European volumes 7%, while Latin American volumes declined 10%. Americas Beverage segment revenue rose 21%, mostly due to the pass-through of higher aluminum costs, while segment income declined by $3 million because of cost inflation and an unfavorable customer mix in Brazil; by contrast, European income improved 10% and Asia Pacific income rose 6%.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Crown raised its adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance range for FY 2026 from $7.90–$8.30 to $8.30–$8.50 following a strong first half, and set Q3 FY 2026 guidance at $2.20–$2.30 per share.
  • The company expects 3%–4% growth in North American beverage can shipments during FY 2026, following 5% growth in Q2, while noting that the market is effectively operating at utilization rates in the mid-to-high 90s after accounting for size and label changes and maintenance.
  • European volumes increased 7% in Q2 FY 2026 and segment income improved 10%, while the first line in Greece began operating during July 2026; the second line in Greece was also planned to be added during Q4 FY 2026, while the Spain expansion was planned to begin operating in the following Q1.
  • Asia achieved double-digit volume growth during the first half of FY 2026, and management expects high-single-digit growth in the second half, despite additional costs related to the Middle East crisis of about $4–$5 million in Asia during Q2.
  • The company targets adjusted free cash flow of at least $900 million in FY 2026 against capital expenditures of approximately $550 million; it returned $594 million to shareholders in the first half, including $517 million in share repurchases and $77 million in dividends, while adjusted net leverage remained at about 2.5 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Demand strength is distributed across more than one region; beverage can volumes increased 5% globally in Q2 FY 2026, including growth of 5% in North America and 7% in Europe, helping raise segment income to $501 million.
  • +Raising adjusted earnings per share guidance for FY 2026 to $8.30–$8.50, with expected adjusted free cash flow of at least $900 million, provides numerical evidence of improving earnings and liquidity rather than volume growth alone.
  • +Projects in Greece, Spain, Brazil, and India add production capacity tied to growing markets; the estimated cost of the Indian plant with two high-speed lines is about $250 million, with long-term commitments expected to cover approximately 70% or slightly more of the volume.
  • +Share repurchases of $517 million and dividend payments of $77 million during the first half of FY 2026 support capital returns, while adjusted net leverage remained at the company’s long-term target of about 2.5 times.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $125.5 within a relatively narrow range of $121 to $130. The average target and the highest target are above the 52-week range high of $122.91, but the proximity of these figures means the valuation rationale rests primarily on delivering adjusted earnings per share guidance of $8.30–$8.50 and generating at least $900 million of adjusted free cash flow in FY 2026. Cost inflation, the downturn in Brazil, and slowing volumes after the World Cup boost remain factors that could limit a re-rating if results fall short of this trajectory.

BuyAnalyst target: $125.5(+11.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-29; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CCK’s results in Q2 FY 2026?

Revenue reached $3.7 billion and net income was $245 million, while reported diluted earnings per share reached $2.23. Adjusted earnings per share rose 16% to $2.49, and segment income increased to $501 million from $476 million. The improvement came from 5% growth in global beverage can volumes, strength in canmaking equipment, and improved productivity in North American tinplate operations.

What is Crown Holdings’ guidance for FY 2026?

Crown raised adjusted diluted earnings per share guidance to a range of $8.30–$8.50 from the previous range of $7.90–$8.30. It expects adjusted earnings per share of $2.20 to $2.30 for Q3 FY 2026. It also targets adjusted free cash flow of at least $900 million, capital expenditures of approximately $550 million, and net interest expense of approximately $355 million.

Where are CCK’s beverage can volumes growing, and where are they weakening?

Volumes increased 5% globally in Q2 FY 2026, with growth of 5% in North America and 7% in Europe. By contrast, Latin American volumes declined 10% because of weakness in Brazil and the customer mix there, while Asia achieved double-digit growth in the first half. Management expects 3%–4% growth in North American shipments for the full FY 2026 and high-single-digit growth in Asia during the second half.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

Latin American volumes declined 10% in Q2 FY 2026, and Brazil was down by a high-single-digit percentage in the first half because of the customer mix and Crown’s greater exposure to customers serving lower-income consumers; management therefore treated the local team’s expectation of returning to flat for the full year with caution.
  • −Inflation in ocean freight, industrial gas, and diesel costs exceeded cost-recovery mechanisms in parts of Asia, Transit Packaging, and North America, and management estimated the impact of the Middle East crisis at about $0.05–$0.06 per share in Q2 and a potential $0.08–$0.10 in the second half of FY 2026.
  • −Volume growth may slow after Q2 FY 2026 benefited from World Cup and America 250 activity; management estimated that about two percentage points of North American volume may have been linked to these two events, while it expects Asia to slow from double-digit growth in the first half to high-single-digit growth in the second half.
  • −Transit Packaging volume remained flat year over year, and improvement in equipment and tooling offset lower steel and plastic strapping volumes, while cost inflation continued to outpace recovery; this makes improvement in industrial activity and capital orders important to the segment’s performance.
  • −At least two-thirds of the outperformance within the Other Businesses segment was linked to canmaking equipment, a business management described as volatile between quarters, increasing the possibility that its exceptional earnings contribution may not recur at the same level.
  • −The average analyst target is $125.5, only slightly above the 52-week range high of $122.91, while the narrow target range extends from $121 to $130; therefore, broadening the re-rating case depends on earnings and cash flow exceeding current expectations, not merely returning to the annual range high.
  • What is the impact of the expansions in Greece, Spain, Brazil, and India on Crown?

    The first line in Greece began commercial operations during July 2026, adding capacity to a European network that management described as highly utilized. The second line in Greece was planned to begin operating during Q4 FY 2026, along with the Ponte Grossa expansion in Brazil, while the Spain expansion was planned to begin in the following Q1. The planned Indian plant with two high-speed lines is estimated to cost about $250 million, and the company typically expects to secure commitments covering approximately 70% or slightly more of its volumes.

    How does CCK use cash flow and manage debt?

    Crown repurchased $305 million of shares in Q2 FY 2026, bringing the first-half total to $517 million. It paid $77 million in dividends, bringing the total returned to shareholders in the first half to $594 million. Adjusted net leverage was about 2.5 times at the end of the quarter, consistent with the long-term target, and management indicated the possibility of repurchasing approximately $200 million of shares in the second half.

    What are the main risks to CCK’s earnings in the second half of FY 2026?

    Management expects shipping, industrial gas, and diesel costs to outpace cost-recovery mechanisms, with the Middle East crisis potentially affecting earnings by $0.08–$0.10 per share in the second half. The World Cup boost, which management estimated contributed about two percentage points to North American volume in Q2, will also not recur. In addition, management is cautious about expectations for a recovery in Brazil after a high-single-digit percentage decline in the first half, and it expects Asian growth to slow to a high-single-digit rate.