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Stocks
Cameco Corporation
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall38
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 9/9Better than 38% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
10
168.5x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
47
-2.7%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
50
5.0%▲4.5%Around median
▸
Safety
77
—2.6xTop tier
▸
Capital Return
26
0.17%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
41
26.0%▲2.9%Around median
▸
Sentiment
82
13▲3Top tier
CCJ

CCJ Cameco Corporation

Cameco Corporation · NYSE
Market Closed
96.68
▼ ⁦-0.76%⁩ (-0.74)
Market Cap$42.1B
Beta1.05
52w Low52w High
77.53135.24
Last Week
⁦+0.31%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.08%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+1.74%⁩
Last Year
⁦+24.93%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$97
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$135
⁦+40%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$97–$175⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$12
⁦-88%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦9.0⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$12–$135⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$135.00
⁦+39.6%⁩
Current Price $96.68·Median $135.00
Low
$97.00
High
$175.00
Current price
$96.68
Average target
$135.00
Street summary

Near-Complete Stability with a Wide Divergence in Cameco’s Targets

The consensus price target remained unchanged over the last 7 days, holding at 135 with five analysts. Over the last 30 days, the consensus rose only from 134 to 135, an increase of 0.75%, with no change in the number of analysts; this points to stability in the overall outlook rather than broad repricing. The consensus remains above the current price of 97.42, but the target range between 97 and 175 reflects significant divergence in estimates.

As of 2026-09-10
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.6%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.32
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
91%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
81%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
9
11
2
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months4.32 → 4.32
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-09-03
    Jefferies
    Buy
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-07-27
    UBS
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-07-15
    Citigroup
    Positive
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    168.46x
    3.56x28.47x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    68.94x
    2.12x16.98x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    0.9%
    -21.0%15.7%
    Above average
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -2.7%
    -19.7%63.1%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -33.4%
    -141.8%256.7%
    Below average
  • Gross Margin
    26.4%
    7.8%72.1%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    5.0%
    -12.7%20.6%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    —
    —
  • Dividend Yield
    0.2%
    0.4%10.1%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    29.4%
    11.9%109.0%
    Low
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-31 data

Company Overview

Cameco Corporation operates across the nuclear value chain, from high-quality uranium assets and fuel services to its strategic investment in Westinghouse and the AP1000, AP300, and eVinci reactor technologies, as well as its investment in Global Laser Enrichment. The company benefits from uranium sales, conversion services, and fuel fabrication, while Westinghouse provides exposure to reactor construction, fuel services, refueling, and scheduled maintenance after operations begin.

In fiscal year 2025, revenue increased to $3.5 billion from $3.1 billion in fiscal year 2024, and gross profit reached $970.3 million versus $782.6 million. This equates to an approximate gross margin of 27.7%, up from about 25.2%, while net income jumped to $589.5 million from $171.8 million and earnings per share rose to 1.35 from 0.39. The business mix reflects integrated exposure to uranium, fuel services, and Westinghouse, rather than reliance on mining alone.

Results for Q2 fiscal year 2026 were weaker than the comparable period, as adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined by 42% due to lower uranium sales volumes and a weaker contribution from Westinghouse, with the comparison also affected by the contribution from the Dukovany project in fiscal year 2025. In contrast, management said average realized prices improved in both the uranium and fuel services segments and kept the annual production plan unchanged at an attributable share of between 19.5 and 21.5 million pounds of U3O8.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Cameco has contracts to deliver an average of more than 28 million pounds of uranium annually during the five years following Q2 fiscal year 2026, providing a clear contracted demand base while preserving the company's ability to add new volumes on better terms.
  • The long-term uranium price was in the mid-$90s per pound in Q2 fiscal year 2026, even though utility purchasing had not yet reached the replacement rate for consumption, while management indicated that new market-related contracts could include floors in the high-$70s and ceilings near $160 with contractual escalation.
  • Westinghouse's opportunity pipeline includes approximately 91 AP1000 reactors and excludes opportunities to deploy Korean technologies, with Westinghouse expected to capture 40% to 45% of project value and an average earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of approximately 20% over the project cycle.
  • In June 2026, Westinghouse announced a conditional $17.5 billion commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy to facilitate orders for long-lead components for AP1000 reactors, and the next specified step is to move toward definitive agreements involving U.S. utilities and the Department of Energy.
  • On July 31, 2026, Westinghouse confidentially submitted a draft registration statement for a proposed initial public offering to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, adding a potential path to demonstrate the investment's value, while management confirmed that Cameco and Brookfield control Westinghouse and do not expect that to change.
  • Cameco increased its ownership in the Cigar Lake mine during Q2 fiscal year 2026, while keeping its annual attributable uranium production plan unchanged at between 19.5 and 21.5 million pounds of U3O8 despite temporary operational disruptions.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Annual results improved clearly between fiscal years 2024 and 2025; revenue grew by approximately 13% to $3.5 billion, gross profit increased by approximately 24% to $970.3 million, and net income jumped to $589.5 million.
  • +The integration of uranium, fuel services, and Westinghouse gives the company exposure to multiple stages of the nuclear energy cycle, while each new reactor can create long-term demand for uranium, conversion, fuel fabrication, and maintenance services.
  • +Existing contracts averaging more than 28 million pounds annually over five years support sales visibility, while the selective contracting policy allows the company to benefit from higher floors and ceilings in new contracts.
  • +The pipeline of 91 AP1000 reactor opportunities and the conditional $17.5 billion commitment from the U.S. Department of Energy provide a significant growth path for Westinghouse, followed by recurring revenue from fuel, refueling, and outage services after the reactors enter operation.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is “Buy,” with an average target of $134.25 and a wide range between $97 and $175. The average is less than 1% below the 52-week range high of $135.24, while the wide spread in targets reflects fundamental disagreement over Westinghouse's value, the sustainability of uranium prices, and the ability of the AP1000 project pipeline to convert into executed contracts.

BuyAnalyst target: $134.25(+38.9%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What are the main drivers of Cameco's revenue?

Cameco generates revenue from uranium, fuel services, and its investment in Westinghouse, giving it a presence across multiple parts of the nuclear value chain. Fiscal year 2025 revenue was approximately $3.5 billion, compared with $3.1 billion in fiscal year 2024. Existing contracts support average uranium deliveries exceeding 28 million pounds annually during the five years following Q2 fiscal year 2026.

Why were Q2 fiscal year 2026 results weaker?

Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined by 42% compared with the same period of the previous year. The data attributed this to lower uranium sales volumes and weaker Westinghouse earnings, in addition to a difficult comparison with the contribution from the Dukovany project in fiscal year 2025. Nevertheless, Cameco kept its annual attributable production plan unchanged at between 19.5 and 21.5 million pounds of U3O8.

How important is Westinghouse to Cameco's growth story?

Westinghouse provides exposure to reactor construction and the AP1000, AP300, and eVinci technologies, in addition to fuel, refueling, and maintenance services. Its pipeline includes 91 AP1000 reactor opportunities, with an expected share equal to 40% to 45% of project value and an average earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin of approximately 20%. After a reactor begins operating, Westinghouse expects recurring annual opportunities from fuel, outage, and maintenance services, while Cameco also benefits from demand for uranium and conversion.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

−
Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization declined by 42% in Q2 fiscal year 2026 due to lower uranium sales volumes and weaker Westinghouse earnings, illustrating the sensitivity of quarterly results to delivery timing, product mix, and contributions from large projects.
  • −Annual revenue growth slowed from approximately 37% in fiscal year 2022 to approximately 19% in fiscal year 2023, then approximately 19% in fiscal year 2024 and approximately 13% in fiscal year 2025, despite the continued absolute upward trend in revenue.
  • −Key Lake and McArthur River experienced temporary operational disruptions due to spring road conditions, while production at Cigar Lake stopped for approximately two weeks after the end of Q2 fiscal year 2026; the annual plan remained unchanged, but the events highlight the complexity of operating remote and heavily regulated uranium mining and milling assets.
  • −The 91 AP1000 opportunities remain at varying stages, and management declined to specify the probability that they will progress to final investment decisions; therefore, the entire pipeline does not represent contracted revenue, and timelines also depend on agreements, financing, supply chains, and construction execution.
  • −Doug Ford's statements on August 26, 2026, regarding the possibility of cutting off U.S. access to electricity and critical minerals, including uranium, place Cameco's wholly owned Blind River refinery within the scope of potential trade tensions between Canada and the United States.
  • −Analyst targets range from $97 to $175, a wide dispersion reflecting significant differences in the valuation of Westinghouse, the uranium cycle, and execution risks; the average target of $134.25 is also very close to the 52-week range high of $135.24, increasing valuation sensitivity to any operational weakness or delays in reactor projects.
  • What does the Westinghouse initial public offering filing mean for Cameco?

    On July 31, 2026, Westinghouse confidentially submitted a draft registration statement for a proposed initial public offering to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Management did not provide additional details about the offering's size, timing, or use of proceeds because of regulatory restrictions associated with the process. Cameco confirmed that Cameco and Brookfield control Westinghouse and do not expect that to change.

    How does Cameco benefit from higher long-term uranium prices?

    The long-term uranium price was in the mid-$90s per pound in Q2 fiscal year 2026, even though utility contracting had not yet reached the replacement rate. Management said the increase in the average realized price came from market-related components in existing contracts and the strength of the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar. It also indicated that some new market-related contracts include floors in the high-$70s and ceilings near $160 with contractual escalation.

    What are the main operational risks facing Cameco?

    Spring road conditions in Q2 fiscal year 2026 affected northern supply routes and caused temporary disruptions at Key Lake and McArthur River. After the end of the quarter, Cigar Lake production stopped for approximately two weeks due to additional operational challenges. The company managed these developments without changing its annual production plan, but the events confirm that operating remote and heavily regulated uranium mines and mills remains complex.