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Stocks
Crown Castle Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall37
Weak — below market medianFalling StarF 5/9DistressCongress sellingBetter than 37% of Market stocks, per EL7's modelUnsustainable dividend (payout > 100%)
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
29
38.2x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
29
-4.6%▼7.1%Bottom tier
▸
Quality
95
8.1%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
26
8.2x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
67
5.62%▲2.12%Top tier
▸
Momentum
20
-22.1%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
47
10▲3Around median
CCI

CCI Crown Castle Inc.

Crown Castle Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
75.62
▲ ⁦+2.37%⁩ (+1.75)
Market Cap$33.0B
Beta0.97
52w Low52w High
69.72100.50
Last Week
⁦-2.12%⁩
Last Month
⁦+2.23%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-17.84%⁩
Last Year
⁦-19.58%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$76
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$90
⁦+18%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$84–$95⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$40
⁦-47%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦8.7⁩% discount · ⁦0⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$40–$90⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$89.50
⁦+18.4%⁩
Current Price $75.62·Median $89.50
Low
$84.00
High
$95.00
Current price
$75.62
Average target
$89.50
Street summary

Crown Castle (CCI) Price Target Review

Crown Castle's price targets have seen a decline in the general consensus over the past thirty days, with the average price target falling from $93 to $89.5, a decrease of 3.76%. Despite this reduction in expectations, it is noted that the current share price ($75.03) is still trading below the lowest price target set by analysts ($84), indicating that analysts maintain a cautiously optimistic view regarding the stock's fair value despite lowering their targets.

As of 2026-08-27
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-5.8%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.68
Buy
Analyst coverage
22
Buy conviction
55%
Mixed
Rating activity · 30d
1↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
15%
Analyst ratings over time22 analysts rating
3
9
10
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.81 → 3.68
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-20
    Barclays
    Overweight
  • = Reiterate2026-07-24
    Citigroup
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-07-20
    KeyBanc
    Hold
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    38.19x
    5.03x40.26x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    27.85x
    5.89x47.13x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    20.09x
    3.68x29.40x
    Above average
  • FCF Yield
    7.5%
    -23.1%16.7%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    -4.6%
    -14.0%37.7%
    Below average
  • EPS Growth YoY
    118.6%
    -121.8%181.8%
    Strong
  • Gross Margin
    97.5%
    -5.0%81.8%
    Exceptional
  • ROIC
    8.1%
    -4.2%9.5%
    Strong
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    8.24x
    1.55x12.39x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    5.6%
    0.6%15.6%
    Moderate
  • Payout Ratio
    215.4%
    31.2%370.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    -0.17
    -0.883.10
    Below average
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-07-22 data

Company Overview

Crown Castle Inc. operates as a wireless communications infrastructure operator in the United States, generating its core revenue from leasing space at tower sites to mobile network companies, alongside services related to site preparation. On May 1, 2026, it completed the sale of its small cells and fiber businesses, becoming, according to management, the only publicly traded operator focused exclusively on U.S. towers, a transformation that made site rental revenue and tower operating efficiency the focus of growth and profitability.

In fiscal Q2 2026, Crown Castle reported revenue of $1.0 billion and gross profit of $989 million, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 98.9%. Net income was $94 million, or $0.22 per share, with a net margin of approximately 9.4%; compared with net income of $151 million and earnings per share of $0.34 in fiscal Q1 2026. Revenue for the twelve months ending in fiscal 2026 was approximately $7.2 billion, with net income of $383 million and earnings per share of $0.8764.

Fiscal Q2 2026 reflected a mix of core business growth and contract termination pressures; organic growth was 3.9% excluding Sprint cancellations and DISH terminations, rising to 4.2% when DISH revenue was excluded from the comparison base. However, this growth was offset by a $5 million decline from Sprint cancellations, $49 million from DISH terminations, and $25 million from lower non-cash revenue, while AFFO benefited from a $35 million reduction in interest expense and a $14 million increase in interest income after receiving $8.4 billion in sale proceeds.

What's Driving the Stock

  • On July 22, 2026, management raised the midpoint of its fiscal 2026 site rental revenue outlook by $5 million and raised its AFFO outlook by $5 million, while expecting organic growth of 3.4% excluding Sprint cancellations and DISH terminations; more than 90% of expected organic growth for fiscal 2026 was also under contract, compared with approximately 80% at the beginning of the year.
  • Crown Castle expects to reduce fiscal 2026 costs by $15 million, split between $10 million in site rental operating costs and $5 million in selling, general, and administrative expenses. Management aims to expand the EBITDA margin by a few hundred basis points over the following year through land contract purchases, system and process improvements, and shorter customer order execution cycles.
  • Wireless spectrum provides a medium- and long-term demand driver; management cited a plan to make at least an additional 800 MHz available for commercial use, including auctions for at least 165 MHz during 2026 and 2027. Ericsson data cited by management also forecasts U.S. smartphone data consumption rising from 25 to 52 gigabits per month over five years, alongside an expected threefold increase in uplink traffic.
  • Crown Castle is conducting trials with several edge data center providers to use tower sites equipped with power and broadband connectivity for inference, cybersecurity, fraud detection, and real-time processing workloads. The opportunity focuses on distributed facilities requiring tens or low hundreds of kilowatts, or approximately less than 0.2 megawatts, without material capital investment by Crown Castle during the trial stage.
  • The company redeployed the sale proceeds to reduce financial risk and return capital; of the $8.4 billion it received on May 1, 2026, it repaid approximately $7.2 billion of debt and repurchased $1 billion of shares at an average of $88.66 per share. This retired more than 11 million shares and reduced the annual dividend obligation by $47 million, while leverage stood at 6.3 times net debt to EBITDA within the target range of 6 to 6.5 times.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +The transformation into a pure-play U.S. tower operator provides a more focused operating model, with a defined plan to purchase the land beneath towers, automate processes, and shorten execution cycles; this has already been reflected in an expected cost reduction of $15 million during fiscal 2026.
  • +Contractual visibility supports the stability of the core business, as more than 90% of expected organic growth for fiscal 2026 was under contract by the end of fiscal Q2 2026, while the new leasing range remained unchanged at $60 to $70 million.
  • +Using the proceeds from the sale of the small cells and fiber businesses resulted in the repayment of approximately $7.2 billion of debt, including nearly $5 billion of variable-rate debt, and reduced interest expense in fiscal Q2 2026 by $35 million year over year.
  • +The spectrum deployment cycle and edge computing business could add new sources of growth on top of traditional tower leasing; management believes that the 600 MHz band may require new radios and antennas, while tower sites could host distributed edge applications with power requirements of approximately less than 0.2 megawatts.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus is Buy, with an average price target of $89.5 and a range of $84 to $95. The target range falls within the 52-week range of $69.72 to $100.5, and the highest target is below the peak of that range, indicating that the analyst valuation does not assume a full return to the annual high. The absence of a meaningful P/E ratio prevents anchoring the valuation to accounting earnings, so AFFO growth, debt reduction, and the company's ability to offset the effects of DISH and Sprint remain key pillars for assessing the valuation.

BuyAnalyst target: $89.5(+18.4%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-28; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What changed in CCI's business model after the May 1, 2026 transaction?

On May 1, 2026, Crown Castle completed the sale of its small cells and fiber businesses and became, according to management, the only publicly traded pure-play U.S. tower operator. The company received $8.4 billion in net proceeds from the transaction and used approximately $7.2 billion to repay debt and $1 billion to repurchase shares. Tower site rental revenue and related services became the core of the business, with an operational focus on land purchases, improving execution cycles, and enhancing the customer experience.

How did CCI perform in fiscal Q2 2026?

Revenue was $1.0 billion and gross profit was $989 million in fiscal Q2 2026, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 98.9%. The company reported net income of $94 million and earnings per share of $0.22, compared with net income of $151 million and earnings per share of $0.34 in fiscal Q1 2026. Organic growth was 3.9% excluding Sprint cancellations and DISH terminations, but it faced pressure from terminations, cancellations, and non-cash declines totaling $79 million.

What is the impact of DISH's bankruptcy on CCI?

Crown Castle is asserting a contractual claim of $3.5 billion and will seek recovery through the bankruptcy court after terminating the agreement due to nonpayment. Funding of a $2.4 billion escrow account is tied to the closing of EchoStar's spectrum transaction with AT&T, but management did not specify how much Crown Castle could recover from it. In fiscal Q2 2026, DISH terminations reduced site rental revenue by $49 million, while the expected combined annual impact from DISH and Sprint is approximately $240 million.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −There is significant exposure to a single customer's contracts, as the call transcript referred to approximately $774 million in annual rent associated with AT&T contracts due for renewal in 2028; therefore, the renewal terms or the timing of AT&T's spectrum deployment could have a material effect on Crown Castle's revenue trajectory.
  • −Core organic growth did not prevent declines in certain site revenue items in fiscal Q2 2026; it was offset by $5 million in Sprint cancellations, $49 million in DISH terminations, and a $25 million decline in non-cash revenue and prepaid rent amortization. Management also maintained its estimate of the combined annual impact from Sprint and DISH at approximately $240 million, with a greater concentration of the impact in the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • −Management reduced the expected services contribution for fiscal 2026 by $20 million due to lower activity, particularly in fiscal Q3 2026, offsetting higher revenue and lower costs and leaving the EBITDA outlook unchanged. It also explained that the increase in interest income during fiscal Q2 2026 would not recur at the same level in the second half of fiscal 2026.
  • −Crown Castle's $3.5 billion contractual claim against DISH carries legal and collection risks; the amount and classification of the claim will be determined through the bankruptcy process, and management could not estimate the company's share of the $2.4 billion escrow account before knowing the number of claimants and the outcomes of negotiations or court rulings.
  • −Satellite services represent a potential alternative to terrestrial networks, even as management emphasized that indoor coverage, spectrum, and capacity constraints make them more of a complement than a complete substitute. On July 22, 2026, management acknowledged that it was too early to know satellite operators' plans or the extent of their need for terrestrial infrastructure, leaving the impact of this competitive development unresolved.
  • −The analyst target range of $84 to $95 reflects limited variation around the $89.5 average, but even the highest target remains below the 52-week range peak of $100.5. With no meaningful P/E ratio available in the data, the valuation framework depends more heavily on achieving AFFO growth and overcoming the effects of DISH, Sprint, and services weakness, increasing the stock's sensitivity to any operational shortfall.
Does edge computing represent a significant source of growth for CCI?

The edge computing opportunity was still in the trial stage on July 22, 2026, with several companies that management did not name participating. Crown Castle is targeting applications such as inference, cybersecurity, fraud detection, and real-time processing at sites with power and broadband connectivity. The sites could accommodate workloads ranging from tens of kilowatts to low hundreds of kilowatts, or approximately less than 0.2 megawatts, but management did not provide a numerical revenue forecast or a timeline for the trials to transition into broad commercial deployment.

Why does CCI expect growth to improve after fiscal 2026?

Management describes fiscal 2026 as the expected trough for organic growth, and more than 90% of its expected organic growth was under contract by the end of fiscal Q2 2026. Its outlook is based on long-term customer agreements, deployment of the 600 MHz band, a plan to make at least an additional 800 MHz available, and edge infrastructure trials. It also cited a forecast for U.S. smartphone data consumption to rise from 25 to 52 gigabits per month over five years and for uplink traffic to triple.

What do CCI's balance sheet and capital allocation look like after the sale?

Crown Castle ended fiscal Q2 2026 with leverage of 6.3 times net debt to EBITDA, within its investment-grade target range of 6 to 6.5 times. Since the previous quarter, it repaid approximately $7.2 billion of debt, including nearly $5 billion of variable-rate debt, and repurchased more than 11 million shares for $1 billion. The repurchase reduced the annual dividend obligation by $47 million, while the estimated fiscal 2026 capital expenditure outlook remained at $200 million, or $160 million after accounting for $40 million of prepaid rent.