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Stocks
Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall65
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockF 7/9Better than 65% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
59
20.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
51
2.3%▼7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
75
—4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
38
3.0x▼2.6xBottom tier
▸
Capital Return
23
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
70
17.7%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
81
7▲3Top tier
CCEP

CCEP Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC · NASDAQ
Market Closed
102.77
▼ ⁦-0.11%⁩ (-0.11)
Market Cap$45.6B
Beta0.48
52w Low52w High
84.66113.67
Last Week
⁦-4.65%⁩
Last Month
⁦-3.51%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+5.39%⁩
Last Year
⁦+12.38%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$103
Analyst target · 5 analysts
$111
⁦+8%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$106–$119⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
N/A (negative FCF)

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 5 analysts setting price target
$111.75
⁦+8.7%⁩
Current Price $102.77·Median $111.00
Low
$106.00
High
$119.00
Current price
$102.77
Average target
$111.75
Street summary

CCEP Stock Price Revision Analysis

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners (CCEP) stock saw a slight movement in its average price target, rising by 0.86% over the past thirty days to reach 111.75. However, the stock is currently trading at 106.85, a level very close to the lower end of analyst forecasts (106), indicating a narrow gap between the current price and the lowest expected estimates, despite an optimistic ceiling reaching 119.

As of 2026-08-20
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦-0.1%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
12
Buy conviction
67%
High
Target dispersion
13%
Analyst ratings over time12 analysts rating
1
7
4
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.58 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • ⬇ Downgrade2026-08-13
    UBS
    BuyNeutral
  • ⬆ Upgrade2026-08-13
    Goldman Sachs
    BuyMarket Perform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-06
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    20.28x
    4.61x36.85x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    —
    —
  • EV / EBITDA
    14.90x
    2.86x22.90x
    Near median
  • FCF Yield
    5.5%
    -37.4%14.9%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    2.3%
    -16.7%29.2%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    38.3%
    -135.4%136.3%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    35.6%
    9.2%67.5%
    Near median
  • ROIC
    —
    —
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    3.05x
    0.61x4.86x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-04 data

Company Overview

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC operates in the ready-to-drink non-alcoholic beverages market and generates revenue from the sale of a broad portfolio of carbonated beverages, water, energy drinks, sports and hydration drinks, and coffee across retail and out-of-home consumption channels. Its growth model depends on increasing volumes and revenue per case, improving the packaging and category mix, and expanding cold distribution through coolers, supported by a geographic presence spanning Europe, Australia and the Pacific, Indonesia, and the Philippines. Mix drivers include brands and products such as Coke Zero, Monster, Powerade, Aquarius, Smartwater, and Grinders, alongside innovations in small and premium packaging.

In the first-half results announced during the fiscal year 2026 Q2 call on August 4, 2026, revenue reached €10.7 billion, up 6.1%, while volumes increased 5.6%, or 2.2% after adjusting for consumption days, with growth in Europe, Australia and the Pacific, and Southeast Asia. Revenue per case grew 0.4%, while operating profit rose 8.1% to €1.5 billion, and the operating margin expanded by approximately 30 basis points to 13.8%, supported by volume growth and a decline in operating expenses to 21.4% of revenue. Diluted earnings per share reached €2.20, up 10.6%, and free cash flow reached €435 million.

EDGAR filings for fiscal year 2025 show revenue of $20.9 billion and gross profit of $7.4 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 35.4%, along with net income of $2.0 billion and earnings per share of $4.26. Compared with fiscal year 2024, revenue increased by approximately 2.5% from $20.4 billion, while net income rose by approximately 42.9% from $1.4 billion and earnings per share increased from $3.08. This indicates that the improvement in profitability in fiscal year 2025 outpaced sales growth.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Sports and hydration category volumes increased 12% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, with Powerade growing by more than 10% and Aquarius continuing to expand in the Iberian Peninsula. Powerade was also launched in Indonesia, where the sports category is approximately half the size of the carbonated beverages category.
  • Energy drink volumes increased 19% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, Monster grew at approximately twice the category's growth rate, and CCEP's share rose by 230 basis points, while the Monster Ultra range recorded growth exceeding 50%. At the same time, zero-sugar beverage volumes increased 10%, and Sprite grew 6% overall.
  • The FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign supported demand through more than 500 thousand in-store displays, coverage exceeding 47 thousand European outlets, Panini stickers on 163 million packages, and the production of more than 135 million packages featuring images of teams and players. The campaign also awarded buyers more than 1.3 million tournament-related items through purchases of the company's products.
  • The company added more than 80 thousand coolers during fiscal year 2026 through August 4, an increase of 5% and more than 10% since the accelerated expansion program began in fiscal year 2025. Management explained that a cooler placed in a suitable location can recover its cost in approximately two years, while connected coolers support improvements in product selection, sales rates, and mix.
  • The customer base expanded through specific contracts and distribution agreements covering more than 600 Marriott International hotels, with rollout beginning in the second half of fiscal year 2026, in addition to Domino's in Australia and Parkdean Resorts, Papa John's, and Leeds United in Britain. Coverage of English Premier League stadiums also reached 80%, while Smartwater and Fuze Tea secured listings at McDonald's in selected markets.
  • Management reaffirmed all elements of its fiscal year 2026 guidance, including comparable free cash flow of at least €1.7 billion. Share repurchases executed under the €1 billion annual program totaled approximately €600 million through August 4, 2026, after the company returned $4.3 billion to shareholders through dividends and repurchases during the three years preceding the call.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Performance in the first half of fiscal year 2026 combined revenue growth of 6.1%, operating profit growth of 8.1%, and diluted earnings per share growth of 10.6%, with the operating margin expanding to 13.8%. Earnings growth exceeding sales growth reflects tangible benefits from cost control and improved productivity.
  • +The faster-growing categories provide diversification beyond traditional carbonated beverages; energy drinks increased 19%, sports and hydration drinks 12%, and zero-sugar beverages 10% in the first half of fiscal year 2026. Monster's growth also exceeded the category's rate by approximately twofold, while share increased by 230 basis points.
  • +Indonesia and the Philippines support a long-term growth trajectory; the Coke Zero campaign in the Philippines delivered double-digit volume growth, and margins in the Philippine market approached the 10% target. The new Manila facility project also remained on track to begin production in 2027 and provide additional capacity to meet demand.
  • +Cash generation represents a clear pillar, with free cash flow reaching €435 million in the first half of fiscal year 2026 despite investments in coolers, a Powerade line in Australia, can-filling lines in Sweden, and the Manila facility. Management is targeting comparable free cash flow of at least €1.7 billion for fiscal year 2026.

Valuation

The average analyst price target is $111.75, with a range between $106 and $119 and a consensus Buy rating. The average falls within the 52-week range of $84.66–$113.67 and equals approximately 98.3% of its high, while the highest target exceeds that high by approximately 4.7%. The positive case is based on earnings and cash flow growth, but the average target's proximity to the top of the range makes the achievement of fiscal year 2026 estimates, particularly amid higher second-half costs, a decisive factor in the valuation.

BuyAnalyst target: $111.75(+8.7%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What drove CCEP's growth in Q2 of fiscal year 2026?

The first-half results announced on August 4, 2026, showed revenue growth of 6.1% to €10.7 billion, with volumes increasing 5.6%, or 2.2% after adjusting for consumption days. The FIFA World Cup 2026 campaign, favorable weather, and innovations such as Coke Zero Zero, Supercans, and Powerade in Indonesia contributed to strong demand. June 2026 was also the company's largest month by volume, and management confirmed that there was no pull-forward of demand from Q3 of fiscal year 2026 into Q2.

How important are zero-sugar beverages to CCEP's portfolio?

Zero-sugar product volumes increased 10% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, and these products led carbonated beverage growth in Europe. Sprite grew 6% overall, Monster Ultra's growth exceeded 50%, and Coke Zero caffeine-free and Zero Chill Sprite performed above management's expectations. In the Philippines, the Coke Zero campaign supported double-digit volume growth, making zero-sugar products a clear growth pillar across several markets.

Has Southeast Asia become an actual growth engine for CCEP?

Management described Indonesia and the Philippines on August 4, 2026, as a scalable growth engine, with continued strength in carbonated beverages in Indonesia and growth in Coke Zero and Wilkins in the Philippines. Sprite Nipis Mint, Coke Zero Vanilla, and Powerade contributed to Indonesia's growth during Q2 of fiscal year 2026, while the Philippines' margin approached the 10% target. However, the tea category remained weak in Indonesia, and management emphasized that the improvement represented early progress rather than complete success.

Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

  • −Second-half fiscal year 2026 results face mathematical and operational pressure from six fewer selling days, in addition to most of the cost impact from Middle East disruptions occurring in that half. Cost of sales per case increased 0.6% in the first half, compared with full-year guidance of 1.5%, indicating an expected acceleration in cost pressure.
  • −Revenue per case growth slowed to 0.4% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, compared with approximately 4% in the corresponding period of fiscal year 2025. In Europe, growth was 1.4% in Q2 of fiscal year 2026, compared with 4.2% in Q2 of fiscal year 2025, with a negative impact from increased sales of large packages and consumers' focus on value.
  • −The exit of Suntory alcoholic beverages from Australia and the Pacific had a negative impact exceeding 1% of total revenue in the first half of fiscal year 2026. Although the region's revenue excluding alcohol grew 10%, the exit remains a factor weakening reported comparisons until its impact is fully absorbed.
  • −Indonesia's improvement remains at an early stage; management described the performance as progress rather than complete success and also noted continued weakness in the tea category during the first half of fiscal year 2026. This makes the market's contribution to the Asian growth engine dependent on continued improvement in carbonated beverages and the success of the new distribution model.
  • −Coke Classic volume declined despite continued revenue growth, while zero-sugar products led carbonated beverage growth in Europe. The increase in France's sugar tax also affected volumes, and potential additional changes to the beverage tax in the Philippines were still under evaluation on August 4, 2026, highlighting continued exposure to regulatory taxes.
  • −The average analyst target is $111.75, only approximately 1.7% below the 52-week range high of $113.67, while the low and high targets range between $106 and $119. The proximity of the consensus valuation to the annual high makes the stock more sensitive to any slowdown in volumes or greater-than-expected pressure on margins.
How does CCEP use technology and artificial intelligence to increase sales?

CCEP uses the KIRA application to connect Nielsen and Kantar data, point-of-sale data, and brand information to accelerate analysis of consumer responses to promotions and new packaging. This helps commercial teams make decisions such as allocating cooler space, pricing promotions, and identifying priority innovations. The company also uses artificial intelligence to optimize promotional pricing, clean millions of manufacturing records, and support digital twins in the supply chain, but management described KIRA on August 4, 2026, as still being in its early stages.

What are the main risks to CCEP's fiscal year 2026 guidance?

On August 4, 2026, management reaffirmed its fiscal year 2026 guidance, including comparable free cash flow of at least €1.7 billion. However, the second half includes six fewer selling days and is also expected to absorb most of the cost impact from Middle East disruptions, compared with an increase in cost of sales per case of only 0.6% in the first half versus full-year guidance of 1.5%. Additional risks include the slowdown in revenue per case to 0.4% in the first half of fiscal year 2026, the impact of beverage taxes in France, and the possibility of changes to them in the Philippines.

How did CCEP's profitability develop between fiscal years 2024 and 2025?

CCEP's revenue increased from $20.4 billion in fiscal year 2024 to $20.9 billion in fiscal year 2025, or by approximately 2.5%. During the same period, net income rose from $1.4 billion to $2.0 billion, and earnings per share increased from $3.08 to $4.26. Gross profit also reached $7.4 billion in fiscal year 2025, compared with $7.2 billion in fiscal year 2024, reflecting earnings growth that outpaced revenue growth.