EL7.AI
Strategy BuilderCOT DataAdvanced NewsResearchNewEarnings CalendarEconomic Calendar
We use cookiesPrivacy Policy
EL7.AIEL7.AI

AI Financial Intelligence
Professional analysis of central bank decisions

© 2026 EL7.AI. All rights reserved.

Markets

  • News
  • Forex
  • Stocks
  • Crypto
  • Gold
  • Commodities
  • Indices
  • ETFs

Analysis

  • Fed
  • ECB
  • BLS
  • COT
  • Economic Calendar

Learn

  • Service Guide
  • Oil

Company

  • About
  • Contact
  • Data Methodology
  • AI Disclosure
  • Pricing
  • Enterprise
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Security
  • WhatsApp
Status data is currently unavailable

The information provided on EL7.AI is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Home
Stocks
CAVA Group, Inc.
CAVA

CAVA CAVA Group, Inc.

CAVA Group, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
55.88
▲ ⁦+3.48%⁩ (+1.88)
Market Cap$6.5B
Beta1.75
52w Low52w High
43.4198.79
Last Week
⁦-9.56%⁩
Last Month
⁦-9.26%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦-22.86%⁩
Last Year
⁦-17.28%⁩
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall18
Poor — bottom quartile of the marketSucker StockF 5/9Better than 18% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
15
99.4x▼17.8xBottom tier
▸
Growth
65
26.8%▲7.1%Around median
▸
Quality
35
4.0%▼4.5%Bottom tier
▸
Safety
60
4.1x▼2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
18
—2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
20
-8.5%▼2.9%Bottom tier
▸
Sentiment
64
20▲3Around median
Fair Value
Low confidenceCurrent price$56
Analyst target · 11 analysts
$95
⁦+70%⁩
See it clearly undervalued
Range ⁦$70–$106⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$21
⁦-62%⁩
Sees it clearly overvalued
⁦12.2⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods disagree — estimate range ⁦$21–$95⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

Compare in the screener
Premium content

Get Your Premium Account Now

  • Stock Deep Analysis
  • The Advanced News Platform
Recommended
Annual plan
$17/mo
Monthly plan
$29/mo

Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 11 analysts setting price target
$90.71
⁦+62.3%⁩
Current Price $55.88·Median $95.00
Low
$70.00
High
$106.00
Current price
$55.88
Average target
$90.71
Street summary

CAVA Group Price Target Analysis

Bullish tilt

The average price target for CAVA stock saw a slight decline of 3.29% over the past thirty days, falling from 93.18 to 90.11, with complete stability in this valuation during the last week. The dispersion between the high (106) and the low (70) reflects a variance in analyst estimates; however, the current price of 72.03 is trading near the lower end of the targets, suggesting a potential growth gap to reach the consensus average.

As of 2026-08-20
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.4%⁩
Average rating
★ 3.75
Buy
Analyst coverage
28
Buy conviction
64%
Mixed
Target dispersion
64%
Wide
Analyst ratings over time28 analysts rating
4
14
9
1
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.62 → 3.75
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Guggenheim
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    Bernstein
    Outperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-12
    TD Cowen
    Buy
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    99.36x
    4.56x36.49x
    Very expensive
  • Forward P/E
    79.54x
    3.79x30.29x
    Very expensive
  • EV / EBITDA
    44.65x
    2.75x22.03x
    Very expensive
  • FCF Yield
    3.2%
    -30.9%16.2%
    Strong
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    26.8%
    -13.8%31.9%
    Strong
  • EPS Growth YoY
    -53.9%
    -156.9%135.6%
    Near median
  • Gross Margin
    20.2%
    12.0%66.5%
    Below average
  • ROIC
    4.0%
    -23.8%21.5%
    Above average
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    4.07x
    0.65x5.48x
    Near median
  • Dividend Yield
    —
    —
  • Payout Ratio
    —
    —
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-11 data

Company Overview

CAVA Group operates a fast-casual restaurant chain focused on Mediterranean cuisine and meals rich in protein and fiber, generating revenue primarily from restaurant sales. The company ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with 476 restaurants across 29 states and the District of Columbia, after opening 17 net new restaurants during the quarter, while operating traditional locations itself and entering airports through licensed partners. System-wide average unit volume was $3.1 million per unit, and the company supports demand through menu innovation, such as Pomegranate Glazed Salmon, its loyalty platform, and Flavor Passport experiences.

In Q2 fiscal 2026, CAVA's revenue increased 31.3% year over year to $365.4 million, and same-restaurant sales grew 9%, supported by a 5.3% increase in guest traffic. Restaurant-level profit was $93.8 million, or 25.7% of revenue, compared with $73.3 million and a 26.3% margin in the corresponding period, while adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 30% to $54.7 million. The company reported net income of $23 million and diluted earnings per share of $0.19, compared with net income of $18.4 million and earnings per share of $0.16 in Q2 fiscal 2025.

For fiscal 2025, revenue was $1.2 billion, net income was $63.7 million, and earnings per share were $0.54, compared with revenue of $963.7 million, net income of $130.3 million, and earnings per share of $1.10 in fiscal 2024. In Q2 fiscal 2026, restaurant economics consisted of food, beverage, and packaging costs equal to 30% of revenue, labor costs of 25.3%, occupancy costs of 6.3%, and other operating expenses of 12.8%. This mix shows strong growth in sales and adjusted operating profit, but it also highlights pressure from ingredient, wage, and delivery costs on restaurant margins.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Same-restaurant sales increased 9% in Q2 fiscal 2026, of which 5.3% resulted from guest traffic growth, while new restaurants recorded productivity exceeding 100% and performed above the company's expectations for revenue and margins.
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • The network expanded 19.6% year over year to 476 restaurants after adding 17 net new restaurants in Q2 fiscal 2026, and the company maintained its guidance to open 75 to 77 net new restaurants during fiscal 2026, with entry into Las Vegas in the second half of fiscal 2026 and the Bay Area in 2027.
  • Pomegranate Glazed Salmon performed in line with management's expectations and maintained a stable order rate during Q2 fiscal 2026; it also attracted new customers and increased visit frequency among loyalty members who purchased it, and it will remain on the menu through the end of fiscal 2026. The company also completed the market test of Roasted Garlic Shrimp, but has not yet determined its launch path.
  • Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 30% to $54.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026, while operating cash flow for the first half was $134.5 million and free cash flow was $44.8 million. The company ended the quarter debt-free, with $435.6 million in cash and investments, in addition to an undrawn $150 million credit facility.
  • Management reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance for same-restaurant sales between 4.5% and 6.5%, restaurant-level profit margin between 23.7% and 24.3%, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $181 million and $191 million. After the initial impact of Cyclospora concerns, same-restaurant sales improved week after week and returned in the latest week mentioned on the August 11, 2026 call to mid-single-digit growth.
  • Buying & Selling Case

    ▲ Buying Case4 pts

    • +CAVA's model combines sales growth within its units with growth in unit count; revenue increased 31.3%, guest traffic grew 5.3%, and the restaurant count rose 19.6% year over year in Q2 fiscal 2026.
    • +New-restaurant productivity exceeding 100% supports the concept's portability across multiple markets, while the 2024 restaurant cohort achieved double-digit same-restaurant sales growth and became the portfolio's best-performing cohort, according to management.
    • +Liquidity provides flexibility to fund the expansion plan; at the end of Q2 fiscal 2026, CAVA had $435.6 million in cash and investments, no debt, and $44.8 million in free cash flow fiscal year to date.
    • +The loyalty platform is expanding its direct customer base faster than the restaurant count is growing, while Salmon demonstrated menu innovation's ability to attract new customers and increase visit frequency among buyers enrolled in the program.

    ▼ Selling Case6 pts

    • −Industry-wide food safety concerns demonstrated the ability of external news to weaken demand even without directly affecting CAVA's supply chain; same-restaurant sales initially declined to a flat or slightly positive range because of the Cyclospora outbreak, and management indicated that the low end of its outlook for the second half of fiscal 2026 assumes slightly negative same-restaurant sales.
    • −Restaurant margins face simultaneous pressure from ingredients and wages; the margin declined from 26.3% to 25.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026, and food, beverage, and packaging costs increased 50 basis points to 30% of revenue because of Salmon, while labor costs increased 30 basis points to 25.3% after an additional 3% investment in wages.
    • −Management expects food, beverage, and packaging costs as a percentage of revenue to remain elevated during the remainder of fiscal 2026 because of fuel surcharges and the rollout of pre-marinated chicken, and it also expects Q4 margins to be approximately 300 basis points lower than Q3 due to historical seasonality.
    • −Same-restaurant sales growth guidance between 4.5% and 6.5% for fiscal 2026 indicates a slowdown from the 9% rate recorded in Q2, while the company plans to increase general and administrative expenses in both Q3 and Q4 compared with Q2 to support growth.
    • −Rapid expansion increases execution risks and upfront spending; pre-opening expenses increased to $6.7 million in Q2 fiscal 2026 from $5.1 million, and full-year guidance targets $22 million to $22.5 million, alongside building the fiscal 2027 opening pipeline and additional capital investments ranging from $5 million to $10 million to improve restaurants and expand some grills.
    • −Insider activity reflects a strong selling signal, with net sales of $1.9 billion over three months and 15 sales versus one purchase through the latest transaction recorded on June 18, 2026. However, insider sales remain a weak standalone signal because they may be prearranged, and the context does not explain the motives behind these transactions.

    Valuation

    The average analyst price target is $90.71, within a wide range of $70 to $106, with a consensus rating of “Buy”; the average is below the 52-week range high of $98.79, while the highest target exceeds that high. No price-to-earnings ratio is available in the data, and the breadth of the 52-week range between $43.41 and $98.79 and the breadth of analyst targets increase the valuation's sensitivity to the path of sales growth and restaurant margins, particularly given the slowdown in full-year guidance compared with Q2 growth and pressure from food and wage costs.

    BuyAnalyst target: $90.71(+62.3%)

    Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-30; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

    FAQ

    What drove CAVA's results in Q2 fiscal 2026?

    Revenue increased 31.3% year over year to $365.4 million, driven by 9% same-restaurant sales growth and a 5.3% increase in guest traffic. The company added 17 net new restaurants and ended the quarter with 476 restaurants, with new-restaurant productivity exceeding 100%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization increased 30% to $54.7 million, while net income was $23 million and diluted earnings per share were $0.19.

    What is CAVA's guidance for fiscal 2026?

    The company expects to open 75 to 77 net new restaurants during fiscal 2026 and achieve same-restaurant sales growth between 4.5% and 6.5%. It expects a restaurant-level profit margin between 23.7% and 24.3% and pre-opening expenses between $22 million and $22.5 million. It also expects adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization between $181 million and $191 million, and reaffirmed these ranges on the August 11, 2026 call.

    How does Pomegranate Glazed Salmon affect CAVA's growth and margins?

    CAVA launched Pomegranate Glazed Salmon nationwide in Q2 fiscal 2026, and adoption and performance were in line with management's expectations. The product helped increase the rate of new customers and raise visit frequency among loyalty members who purchased it, and its order rate remained stable during the quarter. In contrast, its costs contributed to a 50-basis-point increase in food, beverage, and packaging costs to 30% of revenue, and the product will remain available through the end of fiscal 2026.

    Does CAVA have a strong balance sheet to fund restaurant openings?

    CAVA ended Q2 fiscal 2026 with no debt and $435.6 million in cash and investments. It also had an undrawn $150 million credit facility, with an option to increase liquidity if needed. Fiscal year-to-date operating cash flow was $134.5 million and free cash flow was $44.8 million, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of positive fiscal year-to-date cash flow.

    What is the impact of Cyclospora and Salmonella concerns on CAVA?

    Management said on August 11, 2026 that CAVA does not import leafy greens from Mexico or serve iceberg lettuce, but it experienced short-term sales weakness due to broad consumer concerns related to the Cyclospora outbreak. Same-restaurant sales initially declined to a flat or slightly positive range, then improved weekly until returning to mid-single-digit growth in the latest week mentioned. The company did not detect an immediate impact from the Salmonella outbreak, and it confirmed that it does not work with the farms linked to it and continues to monitor the situation with its food safety advisory council.

    What are CAVA's key margin risks in fiscal 2026?

    Restaurant-level profit margin declined to 25.7% in Q2 fiscal 2026 from 26.3% in the corresponding period, despite restaurant-level profit increasing 28.1% to $93.8 million. Labor costs increased 30 basis points to 25.3% of revenue after an additional 3% investment in wages, while other operating expenses increased 40 basis points to 12.8% because of a higher share of third-party delivery. Management expects additional pressure from fuel surcharges and pre-marinated chicken, along with a seasonal decline of approximately 300 basis points in the Q4 margin compared with Q3.