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Stocks
Cardinal Health, Inc.
EL7 Factor Analysis
How we score this
Overall77
Strong — clearly above market medianSuper StockBetter than 77% of Market stocks, per EL7's model
FactorScoreDistributionValueAvgRank
▸
Valuation
60
32.3x▼17.8xAround median
▸
Growth
73
14.3%▲7.1%Top tier
▸
Quality
70
29.2%▲4.5%Top tier
▸
Safety
60
1.7x▲2.6xAround median
▸
Capital Return
24
0.90%▼2.12%Bottom tier
▸
Momentum
86
57.8%▲2.9%Top tier
▸
Sentiment
44
11▲3Around median
CAH

CAH Cardinal Health, Inc.

Cardinal Health, Inc. · NYSE
Market Closed
234.57
▼ ⁦-0.61%⁩ (-1.45)
Market Cap$54.9B
Beta0.52
52w Low52w High
145.87258.30
Last Week
⁦-4.45%⁩
Last Month
⁦-2.37%⁩
Last 3 Months
⁦+8.45%⁩
Last Year
⁦+55.41%⁩
Fair Value
Current price$235
Analyst target · 6 analysts
$275
⁦+17%⁩
See it undervalued
Range ⁦$250–$292⁩
vs
DCF (estimate)
$422
⁦+80%⁩
Sees it clearly undervalued
⁦7.9⁩% discount · ⁦6⁩% growth
Bottom lineThe two methods broadly agree — estimate range ⁦$275–$422⁩.

Estimates — analyst targets and a simplified DCF, not investment advice.

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Analyst Consensus

This section combines price targets, revision history, analyst coverage changes, and an AI summary of what changed on the Street.

Price Target· 6 analysts setting price target
$273.22
⁦+16.5%⁩
Current Price $234.57·Median $275.00
Low
$250.00
High
$292.00
Current price
$234.57
Average target
$273.22
Street summary

Broader coverage improves consensus

Bullish tilt

The consensus price target rose over the last 30 days from 258.50 to 273.22, an increase of 14.72 or 5.69%. The consensus did not change over the last day or seven days, while the number of counted analysts increased from 2 to 6, making the current reading more broadly covered without a recent change in the average targets. The range is between 250 and 292, with a current price of 247.18, reflecting a notable divergence among estimates despite the consensus remaining above the current price.

As of 2026-09-07
Revisions momentum · 30d
⁦+0.9%⁩
Average rating
★ 4.00
Buy
Analyst coverage
18
Buy conviction
83%
High
Rating activity · 30d
0↑ · 0↓
Target dispersion
18%
Analyst ratings over time18 analysts rating
3
12
3
Strong BuyBuyHoldSellStrong Sell
Rating trend — last 12 months3.59 → 4.00
Recent analyst moves
  • = Reiterate2026-08-19
    RBC Capital
    Sector PerformOutperform
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    TD Cowen
    Buy
  • = Reiterate2026-08-13
    Barclays
    Overweight
Premium content
Key Financials

Ten ratios that matter, each compared against its sector median and average — so you can see whether a number is rich or cheap relative to peers in the same sector.

StockSector medianSector averagetypical sector range
MetricValuePosition within sectorVerdict
  • P/E (TTM)
    32.31x
    3.94x44.30x
    Near median
  • Forward P/E
    19.57x
    4.64x37.16x
    Cheap
  • EV / EBITDA
    17.35x
    3.77x30.13x
    Cheap
  • FCF Yield
    8.1%
    -138.2%7.8%
    Exceptional
  • Revenue Growth YoY
    14.3%
    -56.9%93.8%
    Near median
  • EPS Growth YoY
    12.4%
    -160.1%130.2%
    Above average
  • Gross Margin
    3.8%
    12.8%90.7%
    Weak
  • ROIC
    29.2%
    -155.3%16.0%
    Exceptional
  • Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.72x
    0.60x5.10x
    Low debt
  • Dividend Yield
    0.9%
    0.0%3.9%
    Low
  • Payout Ratio
    29.1%
    7.4%76.0%
    Moderate
  • Altman Z-Score
    —
    —
Financial Analysis
|

Stock Analysis

AI-generated
Based on 2026-08-11 data

Company Overview

Cardinal Health operates in pharmaceutical and medical product distribution and provides specialized healthcare services. In Q4 fiscal 2026, the Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment generated $58.8 billion in revenue, representing about 92% of the company’s quarterly revenue, while the Global Medical Products and Distribution segment recorded $3.1 billion in revenue, and the other growth businesses, which include at-Home Solutions, Nuclear and Precision Health Solutions, and OptiFreight Logistics, generated $1.7 billion in revenue. Profit generation depends on pharmaceutical distribution volumes, branded-to-generic drug conversions, growth in the higher-margin Specialty business, as well as medical products and specialized logistics and pharmaceutical services.

In Q4 fiscal 2026, revenue increased 6% to $63.7 billion, and gross profit grew 16% to $2.6 billion, equivalent to a gross margin of approximately 4.1%. Operating income increased 30% to $935 million, and non-GAAP diluted earnings per share reached $2.91, up 40%, though $0.31 of that was related to a non-recurring benefit from an IEEPA tariff refund. The Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions segment generated segment profit of $645 million, up 21%, and Global Medical Products and Distribution recorded profit of $150 million, or $50 million after excluding the $100 million refund benefit, while profit from the other growth businesses increased 14% to $183 million.

For fiscal 2026, according to EDGAR data, revenue reached $254.2 billion, compared with $222.6 billion in fiscal 2025, and gross profit increased to $9.8 billion from $8.2 billion. Net income was $1.7 billion and earnings per share were $7.23, compared with $1.6 billion and $6.45, respectively, in fiscal 2025. According to management’s non-GAAP presentation, the company generated $5 billion in adjusted free cash flow during fiscal 2026 and ended the year with $4.9 billion in cash.

What's Driving the Stock

  • Management expects non-GAAP earnings per share growth of 13% to 15% in fiscal 2027 from a baseline of $10.95, placing the expected range between $12.40 and $12.60, compared with long-term guidance for annual growth of 12% to 14%.
  • Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions remains the largest driver; its revenue grew 6% to $58.8 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026, and its profit increased 21% to $645 million. For fiscal 2027, management expects revenue growth of 3% to 5% and profit growth of 8% to 11%, supported by branded and generic drug volumes and growth in the higher-margin Specialty business.
  • Specialty growth exceeded 25% in fiscal 2026, and management expects it to continue growing at a double-digit rate in fiscal 2027. Biopharma Solutions is expected to grow by more than 20% and is on track to reach $1 billion by fiscal 2028, while the 3PL business added two commercialization agreements for gene therapies expected to enter the market in fiscal 2028.
  • The other growth businesses are expected to deliver revenue growth of 11% to 13% and profit growth of 15% to 18% in fiscal 2027. This is supported by PET growth of more than 20% and Theranostics growth of approximately 30% in Q4 fiscal 2026, in addition to a two-percentage-point contribution to the group’s profit growth from Strive Medical and AdaptHealth’s Diabetes Health business.
  • Capital allocation provides additional support for earnings per share; Cardinal Health repurchased $1.35 billion of shares during fiscal 2026 at an average of $187 per share, and the board then increased the repurchase authorization by $5 billion, bringing the total to $6.4 billion. Management expects to execute at least $1 billion in repurchases in fiscal 2027, with expected adjusted free cash flow of $3.5 billion to $4 billion.
  • at-Home Solutions achieved an order fill rate of approximately 99% and its best historical performance for shipments leaving on time, while OptiFreight Logistics saw strong interest in and adoption of its Shipment Navigator and Tracking Beacon products. Management says the integration of Advanced Diabetes Supply is progressing ahead of schedule and generating savings above expectations.

Buying & Selling Case

▲ Buying Case4 pts

  • +Cardinal Health combines revenue expansion with improving operating leverage; in Q4 fiscal 2026, gross profit grew 16% and operating income increased 30%, compared with revenue growth of 6%, with all five operating segments contributing to gross profit growth.
  • +The mix shift toward Specialty, Biopharma Solutions, Theranostics, and PET provides growth sources above those of the traditional distribution business; Specialty growth exceeded 25% in fiscal 2026, and Theranostics grew by more than 30% during the same fiscal year.
  • +Liquidity strengthens investment flexibility and shareholder returns; the company generated $5 billion in adjusted free cash flow in fiscal 2026, held approximately $4.9 billion in cash, and approved a total share repurchase authorization of $6.4 billion.
  • +Contracts and renewals support the stability of the business base, as the company renewed its largest Global Medical Products and Distribution customers under a long-term contract, extended its relationship with Kroger, and assumes a stable customer portfolio in its fiscal 2027 planning.

▼ Selling Case6 pts

Valuation

The analyst consensus on CAH stock is “Buy,” with an average price target of $273.22 and a range of $250 to $292. The average target is approximately 5.8% above the 52-week range high of $258.30, reflecting expectations for continued earnings growth and repurchase execution, but it increases the valuation’s sensitivity to any slowdown relative to fiscal 2027 earnings per share guidance. The context does not include a valid earnings multiple that can be used as an additional valuation anchor.

BuyAnalyst target: $273.22(+16.5%)

Figures in the text are as of 2026-08-27; the live price is shown at the top of the page.

FAQ

What is the main profit driver for Cardinal Health in fiscal 2027?

Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions remains the largest driver after recording $58.8 billion in revenue and $645 million in segment profit in Q4 fiscal 2026. Management expects the segment’s revenue to grow 3% to 5% and its profit to grow 8% to 11% in fiscal 2027. Drivers include branded and generic drug volumes, growth in the higher-margin Specialty business, and expansion of the MSO and Biopharma Solutions platforms. The company expects previously announced acquisitions to add two to three percentage points to segment profit growth during fiscal 2027.

Why was earnings per share strong in Q4 fiscal 2026?

Non-GAAP diluted earnings per share reached $2.91, up 40% from the comparable period, versus the $2.42 estimate reported in the news. The result benefited from profit growth in Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions, improvement in Global Medical Products and Distribution, and contributions from the other growth businesses. However, $0.31 of earnings per share came from a non-recurring IEEPA tariff refund benefit, equivalent to approximately 15 percentage points of the 40% growth rate. Management therefore used $10.95 as an adjusted baseline when developing fiscal 2027 guidance.

How important is CAH’s share repurchase program?
Earnings callEDGAR filings30-day newsInsider activity

Automated analysis for informational purposes only — not investment advice.

  • −The revenue mix is heavily dependent on Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions, which represented approximately $58.8 billion of the total $63.7 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026; therefore, any slowdown in pharmaceutical distribution or Specialty volumes could outweigh growth in the smaller segments.
  • −Management expects a slowdown from the exceptional pace recorded in fiscal 2026; Specialty growth is moving from more than 25% to a double-digit rate closer to long-term assumptions, while Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions revenue is expected to grow only 3% to 5% in fiscal 2027, with no assumption that exceptional demand will recur.
  • −Profitability in Global Medical Products and Distribution remains low and timing-sensitive; segment profit adjusted for the non-recurring benefit was only $50 million in Q4 fiscal 2026, and management expects Q1 fiscal 2027 profit to be approximately half its Q1 fiscal 2026 level, with a greater concentration of profit in the second half, particularly Q4.
  • −The company faces regulatory exposure through IRA WACC pricing changes and the 340B program; IRA WACC changes created an approximately 500-basis-point headwind to pharmaceutical segment revenue growth in Q4 fiscal 2026, and fiscal 2027 guidance assumes a similar relative impact, with new pricing changes taking effect in January 2027.
  • −Fuel, commodity, and supply chain costs could pressure Global Medical Products and Distribution, as management cited increases in diesel, polyethylene, polypropylene, polyvinyl, and resin costs. It also warned that a continuation of the conflict in Iran or those costs remaining elevated throughout fiscal 2027 could push segment profit toward the low end of the $200 million to $220 million guidance range.
  • −The consensus valuation entails high execution requirements because the average target of $273.22 exceeds the 52-week range high of $258.30, while analysts’ targets range from $250 to $292. Any failure to achieve expected earnings per share growth of 13% to 15% or to offset the slowdown in Specialty could limit the realization of this valuation.
  • On August 11, 2026, the board increased the share repurchase authorization by $5 billion, bringing the total authorization to $6.4 billion. The company had repurchased $1.35 billion of shares during fiscal 2026 at an average of $187 per share, including an additional $350 million program in Q4. Management expects to spend at least $1 billion on repurchases in fiscal 2027, with an expected weighted average diluted share count of approximately 233 million shares. This supports earnings per share, but remains tied to expected adjusted free cash flow of $3.5 billion to $4 billion in fiscal 2027.

    Will Specialty growth continue at Cardinal Health?

    Specialty growth exceeded 25% in fiscal 2026, driven by distribution, services, and acquisitions. Management expects continued double-digit growth in fiscal 2027, but it will be slower than the fiscal 2026 rate and closer to the mid-teens pace the company has historically used in planning. Biopharma Solutions is targeting $1 billion by fiscal 2028, with expected and achieved growth of more than 20%. The 3PL business also secured two additional commercialization agreements for gene therapies expected to enter the market in fiscal 2028, and the company opened an innovative therapies pharmacy in La Vergne, Tennessee.

    What are the key risks for Global Medical Products and Distribution?

    Global Medical Products and Distribution revenue declined 2% to $3.1 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026, affected by expected amounts due to customers related to tariff refunds and lower distribution volumes. Segment profit was $150 million, but falls to $50 million after excluding the non-recurring $100 million IEEPA benefit. Management expects profit of $200 million to $220 million in fiscal 2027, with greater weighting toward the second half, particularly Q4. Persistently elevated fuel and raw material costs or an extended conflict in Iran could push the result toward the low end of the range.

    How are Cardinal Health’s other growth businesses performing?

    at-Home Solutions, Nuclear and Precision Health Solutions, and OptiFreight Logistics collectively recorded $1.7 billion in revenue and $183 million in segment profit in Q4 fiscal 2026, growing 7% and 14%, respectively. Management expects revenue growth of 11% to 13% and profit growth of 15% to 18% in fiscal 2027. PET grew by more than 20% and Theranostics by approximately 30% in Q4 fiscal 2026, while Theranostics grew by more than 30% for fiscal 2026 as a whole. Strive Medical and AdaptHealth’s Diabetes Health business are expected to add two percentage points to the group’s profit growth during fiscal 2027.